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Bills QB Controversy: Why J.P. Losman Should Start

Losman the smarter choice for now (BuffaloBills.com)

Another week is in the books for the Buffalo Bills, and with the team's third victory comes another week of QB controversy. This time, it's different, however, as veteran J.P. Losman's performance on Sunday - coupled with a sprained wrist for rookie Trent Edwards - has thrown Losman squarely back into the mix to start this week's contest against the Cincinnati Bengals.

So the debate over who should be Buffalo's starter rages on, one week after the charade ended with Edwards' name at the top. And while it seems pretty obvious who head coach Dick Jauron prefers at this point, it's also obvious which QB is a better fit right now for the Bills. That quarterback is J.P. Losman.

Losman Better than Edwards... For Now
Before some of you get in a tizzy about this, know that this opinion I hold isn't something I've flip-flopped on as the coaching staff has. Losman has been my guy all season. Nor is this an indictment of Edwards - for a rookie third-round pick, Edwards' play has been above-average, and the level of comfort he's given the coaching staff is very, very rare for a player with his experience. He has a bright future. The point I'm making here is that the time to bring that future to the forefront has not yet arrived.

The play of both quarterbacks in yesterday's win is the perfect microcosm of the current situation at quarterback: Edwards is good enough to keep this team in games; Losman is good enough to win them. It's true that the coaching staff prefers a methodical offensive approach that favors the run and time of possession, something that Edwards' style of play is very conducive to. But with opposing defenses loading up the box with 8 defenders to stop RB Marshawn Lynch - Buffalo's only consistent offensive threat this season - Losman is the smarter choice to relax that style of defense and open up the offense. That's not to say Edwards can't accomplish that - Losman is just better at it, right now.

Take a Look at the Play-Calling
Here's a point I was ready to make, but the ever-awesome Chris Brown beat me to it:

With the wind at his back in the second quarter Edwards had 12 pass attempts on three possessions. He went 6-12 with an interception. The longest completion was 14 yards...

...Losman wasn't in the game for more than five plays before they took a shot deep to Roscoe Parrish INTO the wind near the end of the third quarter. That was followed by two more long passes to Evans with the wind. One set up the go-ahead field goal and the other was the lone touchdown in the game.

It's still unclear whether or not the offensive play-calling - mostly cautious and conservative through 3.5 quarters - changed because Losman entered the game; it's ironic, however, that the decision was made to go deep when the better long-ball QB entered the game. Play-calling has been an issue all season; the fact that Buffalo's coaches felt compelled to open it up with the vet in there is yet another reason that Losman should get the nod.

Perhaps the biggest reason that J.P. should start, to me: the schedule. The Bills, at 3-4, can easily jump back into the wild-card playoff chase with a win on Sunday against the struggling Bengals. After that home contest, the Bills must play 5 of their remaining 8 games on the road - against some pretty good competition to boot. Plus, one of the 3 home contests is a re-match against the juggernaut that is New England. Tell me - would it not make more sense to play the veteran in that situation, if only to maintain the rookie's psyche? Edwards struggled yesterday - and that was the Jets. He'd have a much, much more difficult time holding his own in Jacksonville, Washington and Philadelphia. What's so wrong with protecting the rookie, allowing him to continue his learning process from the sideline while simultaneously providing Losman the opportunity to, at the very least, audition for his next team?

One final point: I'm not making the statement that Losman is the future of the franchise - because it's pretty clear that that title belongs to Edwards. The Bills, right now, can win with either quarterback - but as long as this team has a shot to make the playoffs, and as long as the coaching staff plays to win games with their play-calling, Losman should get the nod for those reasons alone.

Not Getting My Hopes Up
Jauron, on par for the course, won't reveal anything until Wednesday. But this quote tells us everything we need to know:

Buffalo's head coach however, didn't deny that he has concrete thoughts concerning the quarterback position if both quarterbacks are in fact are healthy. He just chose not to share it.

"I probably do know the answer to that," said Jauron. "But come back on Wednesday and we'll tell you."

The writing's on the wall, and it says that if he's healthy, Edwards starts. The coach made his choice last week, and contrary to how he handled the demotion of Losman, won't bench Edwards due to injury. That's me guessing, but I'd place a lot of money on that guess if I were a betting man. And part of me doesn't disagree - if in fact Jauron makes that statement on Wednesday, I'll applaud him. I'll disagree, but I'll give Jauron credit for (finally) sticking with his guns.

But if Edwards gets the call again, and continues to struggle (especially on the road) and throw untimely interceptions, Jauron will continue to feel the heat. Why? Because right now, the better quarterback and the logical choice is Losman. Right now - and I can't stress "right now" enough - Losman is the QB that can take this team places. Edwards is the QB that can keep this team afloat. That difference alone should be the deciding factor. Alas, it's not.

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Losman is the guy
But come on - if Edwards is Jauron's guy, then he should be the starter, end of story.  You can't jerk around two young QBs like this all season long.  Who gets the first team snaps in practice?  What is their offensive philosophy (they're plainly totally differnt quarterbacks)?  Is it dink and dunk and hope the defense wins games, or is it throw some bombs (a la Rex Grossman) and hope for the best?  It seems to me that the offense has been built more for an explosive passing attack, supplemented by a good power running game, not a possession receiver game, but if it's more of a game manager type offense, they should commit to it.  

I'm happy that, given all of the injuries, this team is 3-4 and could, but for a couple of horribly mismanaged games, be 5-2.  But I don't think it's due to a good process - and that's not a recipe for long-term success.

by thetaxman on Oct 29, 2007 3:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely
Like you said (and I attempted to allude to), if Jauron wants Edwards in there, he can't flip-flop. I may want Losman in there - and I strongly believe that he's the best QB on the team right now - but if Edwards is the guy, he'd better get the call. The staff needs to commit more than anything, and I can at least respect Jauron if he commits to Edwards - even if I don't think he's the right guy.
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by Brian Galliford on Oct 29, 2007 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yup
Yup. Flip flopping is moronic. Nevermind the intanigibles, but JP and TE are different players and need different schemes.

(Im just hoping Im stating the obvious there Steve Fairchild)

I think that JP should start for the reasons that Brian stated in the original thread.

Lets give JP one last chance. He was great in 2h06, he has #1 physical gifts, he could be perfect.

Give him some more games to perform or hang himself.

And the dude is committed to Buffalo. Dont look for rent waivers then talk about community while you screw players that are the community.

Sorry but that last para is OT, still pisses me off though.

by Thronsen on Oct 29, 2007 3:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jauron I think will still name Edwards
We have teachers on this staff, a staff that wants to bring this young team up.
I don't think its money, I think it is the unwaivering of a vision.
I still like JP, and if he starts, I will root for him to tear it up. However, I also think that is healthy, the Bills and Jauron think they can keep Edwards in and still make a run.

The biggest problem is that you leave JP wanting out, and there is no way to keep both if Edwards starts the rest of the year. A lot of this has all ready been said, but it deserves repeating.
Last point being, Jauron I don't think is ready to take chances with his weak team as Losman did on Sunday (even if it panned out). I thinkl the coaches have kept us in games, as close as we could have, with a team that is still young and learning.

The Bills can win every game

by killascript on Oct 29, 2007 3:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Let's Not Forget
That Edwards' injury, however small, is to his throwing wrist.  I think they'll have to go with J.P. this Sunday (or provide a good excuse for another week of indecision).  

I completely agree with Brian -- J.P. is the right QB for now.  And I think this benching really will help him focus better on the short passes and getting rid of the ball.  By the way, perhaps I am way wrong, but I think with J.P. (and the 5 interceptions/ 1 fumble), we would have won the Dallas game (I realize he was injured -- but Edwards' led offense scoring 3 points a game is just not going to do it!).  Imagine if we had beaten Dallas with J.P. -- the Bills would have a 4 game winning streak(!) and be ranked in the top 8 teams on any poll.

by labill on Oct 29, 2007 5:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

playoffs
what do you think will be the win number for wild card this year in the AFC?

WE still have 2 games against Miami, Cinci has been struggling of late  And the bills really should be 5-2  I know we aren't an explosive team, but we have been playing some solid football these past few weeks.   The QB controversy is really the biggest thing that needs to be settled, if the Bills want any thoughts of the playoffs.

When i was saw the 85 yard pass on stat tracker (I cant watch the game, stupid Pats), I thought nice JP is back.  Then I saw the throw, it was all Lee Evans, it looked as if the Jets defender had it and Lee pulled it away.  Maybe something did spark JP after he was benched and he'll learn the us fans liked a posied QB, not someone always running around.

And for all you Yankees Bills Fans, GO SOX!

by jwest529 on Oct 29, 2007 7:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i see the writing on the walll...
I see the writing on the wall for JP long term, but I do not want to admit it.  

Trent is Jauron's guy no matter what.  Throwing out all reason, he's sticking to him.  

The ONLY thing I can hope for is that Trent is not 100% this week (it is his trowing wrist after all) and JP lights up Cincy.  

Even though I think Jauron goes back to Trent almost no matter what when he's healthy, how hard would it be to sit JP if he threw for 300+ yards and a handful of touchdowns?  

Factoring the team uprising (which i feel is slowly brewing to the surface- with Evans and other vets already), the fan out-cry would be enormous.  

Jauron might be forced to keep JP in... maybe then JP takes the reigns and pulls a drew brees, making it impossible for the team to put him on the bench?

Hey- that's my ideal scenario and I'm sticking to it! (although Brees did end up getting traded away in the end anyways... then again Rivers was a high priced first round draft pick riding the pine so it was hard to justify keeping him there, far from edwards...)

John I.

by jri111 on Oct 29, 2007 9:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow
A true editorial, I guess... talk about propaganda. I was so excited that JP hit Lee on that long TD. Then, right after he scored, I knew that people were going to react just like this and start harping about JP being the starter. Predictable. The "I told you so" attitude. Here's the bottom line, Lee Evans did everything on that play. Not only did he rip away an underthrown ball from the defender, but he made a stellar run after the catch avoiding the tackle. He sure made JP look great on the play. It was a pretty simple play for a QB: play action, 2 vertical routes, 1 high safety, pick your vertical. JP, not surprisingly, chose Lee. If you listen to the interview with JP, he repeatedly commends Evans for helping him out. I honestly don't care if JP starts as I've said before. But I am going to call out people who don't see things objectively. I'm on board with everybody else in just wanting a permanent starter. I just hope Trent's wrist is OK for this Sunday so Jauron will not have to make a decision. After watching both QBs play thus far, I think they both give us equal opportunity to succeed right now. I'd rather just start developing Trent Edwards as he seems to have more potential.
"I don't agree with a damn thing you say, but I would die for your right to say it."

by ForeignArrow on Oct 30, 2007 11:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As I said
It's not about what Losman does, it's about what the team does when Losman is in there, from the players (yes, that catch was all Evans) to the coaches (throwing bombs into the wind). Obviously, the coaches felt more comfortable with Losman on the road against the Jets - otherwise, they would have dialed up a deep pass or two for Edwards earlier on in the contest. Losman didn't play great, but the coaches and his teammates really stepped it up when he got on the field. That is the best point to be made right now.
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by Brian Galliford on Oct 30, 2007 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i have to admit
although i see edwards, with very few more starts, will give us the better opportunity to win regardless of the opponent, our boys got amped when jp stepped onto the field. offensively and defensively, it's like everyone just drank a redbull and vodka.

we're much tighter when edwards is on the field. even if his play is superior to losman's. the throw was poor. one of his other short throws to the flat was behind the receiver. if the bomb to evans wasn't defended by revis, maybe that's a game crushing int.

i have to admit though, we were loose and excited with jp in there.

by sri on Oct 30, 2007 3:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i botched my comment
instead of "the throw was poor" that's supposed to be "losman's throw was poor"

by sri on Oct 30, 2007 3:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Throw wasn't that poor
We all saw the play.  I am surprised that many feel it should have been intercepted.  Lee Evans had a better chance to catch it than Revis (if Evans was a tall receiver, nobody would be saying the pass was poor).  Also, the first long throw to Parrish was on the money, between two defenders -- it looked like it hit him on the chest (if I recall).

by labill on Oct 30, 2007 5:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The Catch
YouTube - Lee Evans 85 TD Catch vs New York Jets.  Not sure if this will work in comments....

<object width="425" height="366"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/jO2heikp4ag&rel=1&border=0"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param></object>

by Zumone on Oct 30, 2007 7:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it was
underthrown and the safety prevented it from being picked.

by sri on Oct 30, 2007 9:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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