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Buffalo Bills Positional Previews: WR

It's Evans - then who? - for the Bills

Which player on the Buffalo Bills roster scares opponents most? That question is ridiculously easy to answer: wide receiver Lee Evans. The biggest star on the Bills, Evans enters his fourth season coming off of his break-out year of 82 catches, 1,292 yards and 8 touchdowns. But in order for Evans to continue his improvement and emerge as one of the most dominant wideouts in the league, the rest of the Bills' wide receivers must step up to take pressure off of Evans.

Positional Goals
Heading into the second season of Steve Fairchild's offensive system, it's clear what the Bills are trying to build at wide receiver: versatility. That's a theme that is prominent throughout the offense as a whole. The team is likely to keep five or six wideouts, and all of them could bring very different skill sets to the offense.

The team has receivers who can stretch the field. There are receivers who can make "possession" plays underneath. There are receivers who are devastating in the open field, and there are receivers who will have plays designed specifically for them. Every one of the Bills' top four receivers can run a reverse effectively. There are a variety of weapons and a creative playbook to utilize them. But can one of these receivers step up so that Evans can become the all-around receiver J.P. Losman needs him to be?

Personnel
83-Lee Evans: A rising star, Evans routinely torched defenses last season on long touchdown passes. Widely considered one of (if not the) best deep threat in the NFL, Evans must make his presence felt all over the field to become a complete wide receiver. Losman will look for him more than ever - expect big things from Evans this season.

81-Peerless Price: He didn't exactly light the gridiron on fire last season, but Price made plays in clutch situations - specifically, huge touchdowns at home against Minnesota and on the road at Houston. Should continue to develop a rapport with Losman and could see more looks this season. Will start the year as the #2 receiver.

82-Josh Reed: The most likely candidate to be Buffalo's "possession" receiver, Reed established himself as Losman's go-to receiver on underneath routes. Could end up being Buffalo's second-leading receiver, even if he spends the majority of the year working out of the slot. Might see more red zone looks.

11-Roscoe Parrish: Had a very inconsistent year last year, but did make some big plays. Had long touchdowns against the Lions and Jets, and a huge grab against the Jaguars that set up a game-winning FG. Likely will be used more as a "gadget" player than anything, but his role on offense should expand. He's a playmaker, and we need to get the ball to him as often as possible.

89-Sam Aiken: Will he ever blossom? A player who looks great every pre-season yet never sees playing time on offense. The biggest of Buffalo's wideouts, he could crack the field as a run blocker and possession guy. We need more from him offensively, but he'll make the team based on his special teams ability alone.

Rounding it Out: Jemalle Cornelius, Donovan Morgan. These two youngsters have looked good in OTAs but will likely be victims of Buffalo's depth at wide receiver. Morgan might make the roster over Aiken if he shows enough special teams ability. Cornelius could crack the practice squad.

Longshots: Scott Mayle, Aaron Brown, Johnny Quinn.

Outlook
Think of Buffalo's passing attack (outside of Evans) as "passing by committee". Evans will be the top target on nearly every route, while the rest of our deep wideout corps will be used on almost a rotational basis. J.P. Losman will be most effective when he's using his wideouts to the best of their abilities, i.e. not forcing the issue to any of these three players. I expect Price, Reed and Parrish to each have similar statistical seasons (40 catches, 500 yards, 3-4 TD). Add those numbers up and you have one heck of a compliment for Evans.

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WR
For me, I really think we need the "other" WR's to step up this year.  My expectations for Evans are a little tempered this year because I fully expect defenses to shade the safety to his side and do everything to take away the deep ball.  I'm not sure he is consistent enough to put up big numbers with underneath and intermediate routes.  He really hasn't proven he can do that yet and I'm not sure he's going to.  Don't get me wrong 82 and 1292 is awesome, but a lot of that came in big bunches.  I'm not sure defenses will even give him the chance to beat them deep that often this year.  But for that to happen we need the other WR's to step up and produce forcing D's to look at them as well.  This is how we'll free Evans up deep (along with a strong running game).

Your expectations for Reed, Price and Parrish, to me, are a little excessive.  Last year the 3 combined for 106 catches for 1132 yards and 7 TD's.  I expect a spike in those numbers, but getting about 1500 yards and 10-12 TD's may be a little much unless Evans does get completely shut down.  Combining two of those guys into a #2 WR with 80 for 1000 and 8 TD's would make one of the best #2's in the league.  Very few teams have #2 numbers like that AND a 3rd WR that puts up 500 and 4.  I think one of those guys (Price) will step up this year and see somewhere in the neighborhood of 50-60 catches for 700 yards and 5 TD's with Reed producing similar stats to last year (34-410-2).  I'm not sure Parrish will get that many looks to enhance last year's production.  I'm expecting about 1300-1400 yards and 8-9 TD's between the trio, which in retrospect isn't that far off from your hopes.  Please disregard everything I said then...haha

My prediction....Sam Aiken is useless again

~K

by Kurupt on Jun 23, 2007 11:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Re: Aiken
Way to go out on a limb with that prediction. :-P I kid, I kid.

Aiken is no lock for this roster. I think his biggest competition right now is from Donovan Morgan, who was a TD machine in the red zone during spring practices. If Morgan proves he can hold up on special teams, why not take a gamble on his upside? Aiken's true value is as a specialist, but we have a lot of those already. Is one expendable for a player who could potentially help us, especially deep in opponents' territory?

Create a free account to join in the discussion, Bills fans!

by Brian Galliford on Jun 23, 2007 1:01 PM EDT reply actions  

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