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Around SBN: A Miracle Squared: Celebrating The Greatness Of Bo Jackson

Unsung Heroes - RB Anthony Thomas

A-Train leads a crowded backfield

Note: the Buffalo Rumblings "Unsung Heroes" series continues today with a look at Bills RB Anthony Thomas. Previous Heroes: LB Keith Ellison.

Is the A-Train Forgotten?
It's been quite an off-season in Buffalo as far as the running back position goes, with a lot of headlines made nationally. First the team traded Willis McGahee to Baltimore, which left national "experts" scratching their heads. The Draft then brought two rookies in Marshawn Lynch and Dwayne Wright who carry pretty heavy expectations in their first seasons. The potential of these two players has many Bills fans envisioning a long-term "Thunder and Lightning" backfield in Buffalo.

Lost amongst the shuffle was the quiet re-signing of veteran Anthony Thomas, whose first season in Buffalo was anything but spectacular. Despite the necessity of a big season from Lynch, it isn't a stretch to say that the A-Train is the most valuable running back on the Bills' roster right now.

Capable Fill-In
Last season, Thomas proved his worth with this team by capably filling in for Willis "Oh God I'm going to throw up so I can eat Quizno's on the sideline" McGahee during the three games McGahee missed. In those three starts (vs. GB, @ Ind, @ Hou), Thomas ran 67 times for 260 yards (3.9 average) and a TD, while also catching 8 passes for 39 yards. Obviously these numbers aren't close to world-breaking, but he did allow the team to maintain its offensive continuity while McGahee faked injuries on the sideline.

What likely isn't a coincidence is what happened during this three-game stretch. Those three games, especially the Houston game, were the "coming of age" for J.P. Losman, so to speak. After Losman torched Houston, he finished the season on a roll; having the A-Train in the lineup was the likely catalyst. Why?

Good at the "Little Things"
As talented as McGahee was, he was never close to being an all-around back. The fact that the A-Train could do more for the Buffalo offense speaks volumes about McGahee's overall abilities; that's beside the point at the moment. Thomas is widely regarded as a great pass protector who is extremely adept at picking up the blitz. He chips defensive ends, runs playfakes well, is a good lead blocker in the wedge on kick returns, and has solid hands as a receiver. This wide variety of skills made him a more important teammate last year than McGahee will ever hope to be in the rest of his career. That's why one is gone, and one is still with us.

Outlook
In short, Buffalo isn't going anywhere this season without the A-Train playing a prominent role. He'll never be a guy who can carry a full load, but he's such a valuable teammate that does a little of everything that it's impossible not to keep him around. It's likely that the Bills will be using Lynch and Wright often, but Thomas will see his fair share of carries as well; he'll also be the leader of that group. Stats don't tell the whole story with Anthony Thomas, which is why he is Unsung Hero number two in our series.

Leave your comments about Anthony Thomas and his value to the team below.

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RB- Anthony Thomas
Good analysis. I never put it together that JP blossumed while Thomas was in there. Imo he will be vital to the offense again this year with the young guys we just drafted, and JP's on field progress.

by airboyz 1 on Jun 8, 2007 11:55 AM EDT reply actions  

One piece of the puzzle
This is in response to airboyz 1 (welcome to the site, btw) and Kurupt as far as Thomas being the catalyst of Losman's ascension:

In no way do I think that Thomas was the sole catalyst.  A lot of it had to do with the O-Line, as you said K, and also with Losman finally just "getting it".  I do believe that having the A-Train in the backfield as a more well-rounded back helped the process.  Thomas was better than McGahee at picking up the blitz, which helped Losman.  He wasn't a liability in the run department, which didn't put too much pressure on Losman.

He's the most important RB now not in terms of what he can bring statistically, but what he brings as a teammate and as a point of comfort for JP.  That's all I meant.

Buffalo Rumblings: we are awesome.

by Brian Galliford on Jun 8, 2007 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Given a full season as a starter...
...I suspect Thomas' numbers would compare pretty well to McGahee's. As is, though, I think we can expect 100-150 carries and 3.8-4.0 yards per carry from him this year. That's plenty from a backup, and more importantly, it'll give Lynch every opportunity to be this year's Joseph Addai and help Losman progress that much more.

by rexob on Jun 8, 2007 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Good post on Thomas
I don't necessarily feel as strongly as you do about Thomas being the most valuable back on the team right now, but I do feel he will have a great chance to help the run game succeed.

To me, Thomas wasn't anything more than average last year in place of McGahee.  The three games where he carried the load were against three of the worst run D's in the league.  He didn't exactly put up huge numbers against any of those teams, but he did consistently pick up the 3-4 yards that McGahee never did.  His downhill style allowed the offense to have some semblance of a ball controlled style for those few games.  I was impressed with his receiving skills, though not extraordinary, they were above average and he was a big factor in us winning the Houston game on the final drive.

Going into the preseason this year I expect him to be the starting RB, at least in title.  I'm not sure he'll ever see more than 12-15 carries in any game this year, barring injury, but I can see him starting out getting the heaviest workload.  I'm not sure the coaches will have the confidence in Lynch to just feed him the rock like a true #1 back.  I would guess Thomas gets about 50% of the carries, Lynch 40% and Wright a couple per game, at least initially.  Thomas is our only veteran RB capable of getting extended playing time and we will need him as a sort of calming influence while the rookies get up to speed.  Luckily, with all three of our top backs, we will be able to incorporate them in the passing game without a problem.  Unlike McGahee, who was a terrible receiver, I have confidence in Thomas to catch the dumpoffs or swing passes and turn them into nice gains.  He is never going to be a breakaway threat, if he ever was one to begin with, but he should help grind out yards and control the ball.  

As the season wears on I can see Lynch taken over the majority of the load with Thomas and Wright getting a few carries or series here and there.  One thing I will mention is I believe Fairchild will use two-back sets more this year, especially on 3rd downs.  Thomas has proven to be able to hold up in pass protection and I've heard Lynch and Wright aren't terrible in that regard either.  Having multiple options out of the backfield in passing situations will really give JP better options, especially with the expected double teams of Evans.

I will disagree with your thoughts on Thomas potentially being the catalyst for Losman's improvement.  I think that improvement had more to do with the OL reshuffling and improvement and Fairchild opening the offense up more to get the ball downfield to Evans.  I think Thomas being in the lineup was a coincedence at that time.

In the end I'm expecting Thomas to get around 10-15 carries a game, at least for a good portion of the season, and end up with around 700 yards and 6-7 TD's.  For the offense, especially the run game, to be successful we must be able to pick up the short 3rd downs and keep the chains moving.  Last year the offense was too big play oriented.  We need to establish a solid run game that will keep our young D on the sidelines.  I believe Thomas will help in that and will definately help inside the red zone.  I'm really looking forward to seeing how our RB trio will be utilized and I also expect there to be a gradual shift towards the young guys as the season progresses.  It's good to have a veteran presence in the backfield that will not only help the offense, but will also help Lynch and Wright learn to be better runners at this level.

~K

by Kurupt on Jun 8, 2007 3:12 PM EDT reply actions  

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