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Paint Analysis: Pennington, Ginn exploit Bills secondary

You know things are going poorly for your defense when a second-year wide receiver already widely labeled with the term "bust" nearly doubles his receiving yardage total on the season against your secondary.  That's exactly what Miami Dolphins wide receiver Ted Ginn did yesterday to the suddenly porous pass defense of the Buffalo Bills.  Ginn made several big plays on the day, and most of them came on similar types of play calls.

This one may have been Miami's most important.  The Bills had just driven down the field on the opening drive of the second half to take a 16-7 lead.  I know that I was comfortable at that point; I'm assuming many of you were as well.  One Ginn play, however, changed the entire complexion of the game...

The Situation
MIA ball, 1st and 10, 3rd quarter, Bills lead 16-7

Presnap_mia_medium_medium

This is a pretty basic formation for the Dolphins, whose offense is coordinated by Dan Henning.  Henning's offenses are famous for being conservative.  That's exactly the look the Bills get here - Anthony Fasano (80) flanks the Dolphins' left tackle, and the Dolphins line up in an off-set I formation.  Ginn (19) is split wide right, lined up opposite the hobbled Terrence McGee (24); Greg Camarillo (83) draws Jabari Greer (33).

The Bills line up in their standard Cover 1 shell here (one safety deep).  Due to Miami's formation, strong safety Bryan Scott (43) and linebacker Kawika Mitchell (59) line up on the line of scrimmage, as this particular Dolphins formation is typically a running formation.  Keith Ellison (56) joins them near the line, feigning blitz, but drops back into zone prior to the snap of the ball.

The Snap

Snap_mia_medium_medium

This looks like a running play from the start; the Bills, as a result, get caught peeking.  At the snap, Pennington immediately drops back, but there's a split second where all three of Buffalo's linebackers - Ellison, Mitchell and Paul Posluszny (51) - stand frozen in place, waiting for the run.  The fact that Mitchell is frozen here is the first part of what killed this play for the Bills.  That split second is all Miami needs.

Essentially, free safety Donte Whitner (20) is caught here - in a traditional setup, that is.  Greer plays Camarillo well, jamming him within 5 yards and effectively taking him out of the play.  Both of Miami's tight ends stay in along with fullback Lousaka Polite (36) to max protect; RB Ronnie Brown (23) sneaks through the line and flares left for a dump-off pass.  The pass is out so quickly that Scott, blitzing off of Pennington's blind side, barely has time to engage his blocker.

In normal circumstances, I believe this play goes left.  In normal circumstances, McGee isn't giving up such a huge cushion.  McGee tackled well yesterday, but his sprained knee limited his agility.  Leaving McGee on the field wasn't defensive coordinator Perry Fewell's mistake; matching him up on the speedy Ginn was.  McGee would have fared much better against the bigger, not-as-quick Camarillo.

Mitchell and Posluszny are slow dropping back into zone, and McGee's cushion makes Ginn's square-in route wide open from the moment the ball was snapped.  Pennington gets the ball out on rhythm (on a three-step drop), McGee misses a tackle, and Ginn is off to the races with Whitner, who inexplicably shaded to his right before crossing the field to pick up McGee's man.  64-yard gain.  Momentum immediately reverts to - and remains with - Miami.

The Aftermath

Ginn_buf_medium

These types of plays happen from time to time in the NFL.  Miami had a good formation that the surprised the Bills with, and it worked to their advantage on this particular play.  The issue, however, was that the Bills allowed receptions like this twice more in the second half, all while this was a one-score game either way.  The problem was that McGee was lined up on Ginn each time.  Miami max protected each time; the Bills were quicker to recognize, but the coaching staff simply didn't counter this Dolphins formation with anything resembling a defense that could slow the image down.

Again, don't blame McGee.  Considering the fact that his lateral movements rivaled my grandfather's yesterday (and both of them are in remarkable shape, considering their respective ages, FYI), he played pretty well.  The problem was that Fewell repeatedly lined him up across from Ginn, exactly the type of receiver that was going to give McGee problems yesterday.  Was this brilliance by Ginn or the Dolphins' offensive "genius", Henning?  Hardly.  They were just taking what Fewell's defense gave them.

Let that image of Ginn sink in.  Let it irritate you to no end.  It should.  Buffalo's coaching staff got smacked around by Bill Parcells' minions yesterday.  It's embarrassing.  It can't happen again.  Let that image of Ginn - who, here in a few weeks, likely will re-assume his label of "bust" - stand as a symbol of yesterday's coaching mediocrity.  Change it, Perry.  Lots needs to change before Laveranues Coles comes to Buffalo this Sunday.

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I blame

The coaching staff for letting McGee out on the field and exposing him the way that they did. If you’re going to have him out there then you need to have Whitner shadow to that side. Camarillo wasn’t going to beat Greer deep and he had flat help from Ellison. I don’t understand how a healthy McKelvin wouldn’t provide more of an upset, given the circumstances, than McGee. I think he may have been able to pick off one of those ducks, er passes, from Pennington.
another problem I had was the Bills abandoning the run. they had been running effectively and then they were behind and they went almost exclusively with the pass. There was more than enough time to execute the gameplan but as you stated, Turk panicked. I guess rookie mistakes are bound to happen to our OC.
I don’t think losing that game is necessarily a bad thing for this team. It keeps them grounded and lets them know you can’t take teams for granted. I’m expecting a big game this week.

by gatornation on Oct 28, 2008 8:13 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Mistake?

Hey Brian, I like the paint analysis that you have been doing – they’re very insightful. However, is it just me or are there 12 Miami players in the analysis?

by karovda on Oct 28, 2008 8:39 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yup, 12 men on the analysis

no wonder we couldn’t stop them….ref’s were allowing them one more guy one the field

by J2 on Oct 28, 2008 8:48 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Wow. That’s embarrassing. Good Lord.

Can you tell I’m not a pro? ;)

Take 88-Martin out of the play. I guess this was a Freudian slip – the pass protection was so good for Pennington on that play, it looked like there were 11 guys on the LOS.

by Brian Galliford on Oct 28, 2008 9:01 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Really nice write up Brian. I really love the single play analysis stuff you have been doing. It’s looks time consuming and difficult and its awesome that you treat us this well.

That said, I don’t agree with a lot of it. How can it not be Terrence McGee’s fault for being unable to cover Ginn AND the not the coaches fault for leaving him in the game? If McGee’s lateral movement was that bad, he shouldn’t have been in the game.

Leaving McGee on the field wasn’t defensive coordinator Perry Fewell’s mistake; matching him up on the speedy Ginn was. McGee would have fared much better against the bigger, not-as-quick Camarillo.

Camarillo is a 6’0’’ 190 pound player who draws constant comparison to Wes Welker. He is Miami’s best reciever and would’ve eaten the hobbled McGee alive. Prior to Sunday’s game, Ginn had only averaged 8.85 yards per catch on the season. He isn’t good and a healthy McGee would have shut him down.

In normal circumstances, I believe this play goes left. In normal circumstances, McGee isn’t giving up such a huge cushion.

How can you blame Fewell and the scheme when you clearly claim that under normal circumstances, Pennington has to check down to Ronnie Brown. That sounds like a victory for the defense if you ask me.

Change it, Perry. Lots needs to change before Laveranues Coles comes to Buffalo this Sunday.

I disagree. Let’s get McGee healthy, play off the line of scrimmage, make sure the corners have safety help over the top and dare Brett Favre to throw into coverage. I’m sure everybody saw the highlghts (or lowlights) of Favre’s picks against KC. The guy is an interception machine. It’s time for the Bills to do what they do best and that is play conservative defense and wait for the mistakes to come to them.

by kaisertown on Oct 28, 2008 10:35 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If McGee’s lateral movement was that bad, he shouldn’t have been in the game.

That’s exactly the point I was trying to make. Lining him up across from Camarillo was an example of a worst-case, in which if the coaches felt that he needed to be on the field, keep him off of Ginn. Ginn’s a deep threat; Camarillo isn’t. As I said, McGee was tackling well, he just couldn’t keep up with Ginn down the field.

He isn’t good and a healthy McGee would have shut him down.

No arguments here. Can you imagine how dominant we would have been had Youboty been healthy? We need those guys at 100% ASAP.

How can you blame Fewell and the scheme when you clearly claim that under normal circumstances, Pennington has to check down to Ronnie Brown. That sounds like a victory for the defense if you ask me.

I’m not sure that I blamed the scheme. I said McGee was giving up more cushion than he usually does. What I failed to quantify was that this remained true up the field – that cushion stayed at 10-15 yards even in his backpedal. He couldn’t move, so he couldn’t come up on this type of throw. That’s why he should have been on Camarillo, who is more of a YAC receiver than a down-the-field guy. McGee could have handled that short stuff. This isn’t an indictment of Fewell’s scheme at all, just the way McGee fit into it on this particular day.

And yes- a check-down here is exactly what the Bills should have hoped for, but having McGee on the field negated that option pretty quickly.

Let’s get McGee healthy, play off the line of scrimmage, make sure the corners have safety help over the top and dare Brett Favre to throw into coverage.

I should mention that I’m not saying Fewell should change the scheme – just how it’s played. Getting McGee healthy isn’t going to be an easy process if he’s on the field. What I meant here was Fewell needs to change something in the sense of putting Greer on the speedy guys or getting McKelvin onto the field and McGee out of it completely. As you can see from my comment on your most recent (awesome) FanPost, I’m not a proponent for changing the defensive scheme AT ALL.

by Brian Galliford on Oct 28, 2008 10:57 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well explained. I no longer disagree.

by kaisertown on Oct 28, 2008 12:51 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Greer

I think Greer needs to be lined up on number 1. IMO – he’s our best cover corner. We haven’t heard a peep of his name the last 2 weeks…..which is great if your a CB.

McGee should sit if he’s hurt and let McKelvin run with the #2 WR.

McGee embarassed himself out there. I’d rather have a rookie CB than a 50% corner any day. This is the NFL – not college

by J2 on Oct 28, 2008 11:07 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whitner

Is it just me or are Whitner’s instincts really bad? I consistently see him over-pursue on run plays (ie: Rams Stephen Jackson’s big run against us) and bite on play action (ie: first touchdown to the TE in Miami). AND his angles on tackling (ie: Ginn’s big play & Higgins big play against the Raiders), and in general his nose for the ball is just not there.

He has the athletic tools and the motivation to be a better player. But, Catavalos, Fewell, and Jauron need to address this.

by bruuuuce_02 on Oct 28, 2008 2:38 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whitner has proven to be an average/slightly above average player. He doesn’t make many plays, but won’t do a ton to hurt you. I agree that his instincts seem poor, at least in the passing game. For the #8 pick, he still hasn’t lived up to that on the field. As a leader and off the field, he has.

~K

by Kurupt on Oct 28, 2008 2:43 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just asking

If it is obvious McGee should not have been playing, and if it was YOUR team (you are the head coach and the buck stops with you) – wouldn’t you say something to your defensive coordinator……something along the lines of “Hey, get that guy the hell off the field! He’s killing us!”

Lou Saban

by ccthemovieman on Oct 28, 2008 4:39 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yes

that and we won the previous week without him, so it’s not like it would have been some crazy thought….

~K

by Kurupt on Oct 29, 2008 12:06 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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