Bills vs 49ers: Keys to a Bills Victory
Buffalo Bills (6-5) vs San Francisco 49ers (3-8)
Sunday, November 30, 2008, 1PM EST
SB Nation's 49ers coverage: Niners Nation
The Buffalo Bills ended a four-game losing streak and revived their slim playoff chances with a 54-31 drubbing of the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend. This week, the Bills return home to face the San Francisco 49ers in another game the Bills should win. Take care of business, and the playoffs remain a possibility. Lose; well, you can kiss your season goodbye. It's really as simple as that.
What does Buffalo need to do to win? Just a few things...
START FAST: Not since their Week 7 victory over San Diego has Buffalo opened the scoring in a game. That means in five straight games, Bills opponents have drawn first blood, to the tune of 40 points in those five contests. That means the Bills, on average, are battling from an 8-0 deficit right out of the gate. They're 1-4 in those games. It's getting old. Start fast, Buffalo, and you immediately sap the energy out of a young 49ers team with nothing to lose.
KEEP ON RUNNING: Buffalo's two most consistent offensive players - running backs Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson - have combined to touch the ball 81 times over the past two games. That, folks, is ideal. The team's new-found commitment to getting these two involved has yielded 67 points in the past two games; if it ain't broke, don't fix it. Expect these two to push 40 touches combined.
USE YOUR WEAPONS: This goes beyond Lynch and Jackson, and it even goes beyond Buffalo's offensive unit. Simply put, Buffalo is an average team with a few potentially elite playmakers. Those playmakers need to be involved. Kurupt mentions Lee Evans every week; he makes this list. The team's two return men, Leodis McKelvin and Roscoe Parrish, make the list as well. This trio hasn't gotten a lot of opportunities in recent weeks, particularly Evans and Parrish. These guys are difference-makers. Get the ball in their hands, by any means necessary.
JUST TACKLE: This one's for you, Kawika Mitchell. The veteran linebacker was put in position by Buffalo's coaching staff to have the game of his life; instead, he missed several tackles, whiffed on a potential safety, and got burned for a long touchdown pass early in the game. It extends past Mitchell, obviously - Buffalo needs to tackle well every week - but the Niners have players who can make plays after contact, specifically Frank Gore. Those types of plays need to be severely limited.
GORE THE SETUP MAN: Buffalo's run defense has struggled in recent weeks, giving up plenty of big gainers on the ground. The 49ers are going to use Gore a lot this week; we should be resigned to the fact that he's going to get his yardage. Buffalo needs to stay disciplined when (if?) that happens, because if Gore's running well, you can bet Mike Martz will try to take advantage of it through deep passes. Stay disciplined, Buffalo, and you'll force Gore himself to beat you.
WIN THE TURNOVER BATTLE: This one is basic to the DNA of any win in the NFL. The Bills were able to pile on 54 points in Kansas City because the Chiefs handed them the ball 5 times. They didn't give the Chiefs such pleasure, not even once. They lost four straight because they lost this battle. Seems simple enough to me.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE: After starting the season 3-0 at home with wins over Seattle, Oakland and San Diego, the Bills have lost two straight to the Jets and Cleveland. Buffalo only has two more games at Ralph Wilson Stadium this season - this Niners game, as well as the season finale against the Patriots. Protect your home turf is a golden rule in the NFL, and it especially holds true against an inferior opponent.
SENSE OF URGENCY: Even in winning 54-31 on the road, Buffalo didn't look overly desperate last weekend. Perhaps that's a good thing - they're not panicking with their backs against the wall - but I'd like to see them playing for the playoffs, particularly in the early parts of games. This is game that the Bills have to win. They'd better play as if they're supremely aware of that fact.
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This list is short, sweet and simple, and honestly, these keys shouldn't be overly difficult to fulfill. If the Bills start fast and score first, it'll make their lives easier. The Bills are favored, and rightfully so, but they still need to take care of business. Go get 'em, Buffalo. Your playoff hopes are at stake.
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Comments
Pretty much all I would have said….probably more than I would have said too.
One more I’d add though is to limit the big play. SF leads the league in plays for 20+ yards. That’s something that’s been killing us lately, so it’s time the D clamped down on that….
~K
by Kurupt on Nov 29, 2008 12:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I tried to do you proud, K.
I failed to note the stat on 20+ plays, but was aware of it; meant to tie it in with “Gore the setup man” and/or “Just tackle”. Whoops.
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by Brian Galliford on Nov 29, 2008 3:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
disagree with one thing Brian
I thought the Bills did look like they were playing with a sense of urgency. Trent Edwards sprinting and diving head first into the end zone twice was inspiring and sent a message to the rest of the team what was at stake. Josh Reed coming up big, Lee Evans’ beautiful catch, Leodis McKelvin playing fired up. I hate to say it, but despite his inability to finish, Mitchell was still flying all over the field. Stroud! Penetrating their line! I thought we played inspired and I think Trent diving for pay dirt exemplified it.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on Nov 29, 2008 2:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Trent played well, sure. Kawika flies around every week. Stroud penetrated one of the worst lines in the league.
I’m not saying I want to seem them antsy, but a little more aggressive would be beautiful.
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by Brian Galliford on Nov 29, 2008 3:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
A little more aggressive every game would be beautiful. I have no intentions of turning this into a coaching post, but the Bills don’t play aggressive because (as I have repeated ad nauseum, teams are a reflection of their coach). Jauron is even-keeled and conservative; therefore, the team is even-keeled and conservative. That approach is great when you have a young team and you are playing terrible for 2 or 3 quarters (see: Oakland and St. Louis games), but when your backs are against the wall and you need a wake up a call, it’s tough to suddenly become aggressive and play with some fire.
Personally, I don’t think this should be a close game. I think the Bills are a far superior team playing at a home against a team that has to travel 3000 miles. That being said, the 9ers played the Cowboys solidly last week (despite the final score) and just like you said Brian, they need to start fast to keep the crowd in it and crush the spirits of a young team that has nothing to play for.
by thatguy34 on Nov 29, 2008 5:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm with that guy up there....
Anything short of a blowout (in my mind) will be yet another disappointing Bills performance for me. I mean, come on, how long do we have to wait until we cross the threshold from mediocre/average ====> to above average/good/great?
Dammit, I ain’t from Detroit and we deserve better.
by MonStarr_716 on Nov 29, 2008 5:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I would love a blow-out, but would take any win we can get. 10 points or better and I’m satisfied.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on Nov 29, 2008 7:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes....
I absolutely agree a w is indeed a w…and that is all we need, and i will be satisfied with that….but i am just ready for the team to show a us lil’ bit more. I feel that we are poised to get over the proverbial “hump”. We need to thump the 49ers (as we should) and finish strong.
by MonStarr_716 on Nov 29, 2008 8:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well Brian, the return of the 50-50 game plan is here
We need to keep the 49ers on their side of the 50 yard line 80% of the time if we want a guranteed victory. That 20% is the inevitable DB coverage breakdown for a long pass, and also includes the seemingly more common Mitchell missed tackle with daylight behind him for a running back play.
As for us, we MUST get over the 50 yard line a minimum 50% of this game. We must put our D and our O in the positions to let good things happen by pinning a young team deep in their side of the field and letting plays come to us. Leodis got his picks because the Chefs were playing from behind and felt the need to get out of their endzone, we need to repeat that situation tomorrow.
Fear the mighty helmet wearing gopher, he is coming for your soul....
by WABillsfan on Nov 29, 2008 5:04 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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