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Drawing first blood: slow starts doom Bills


Even with talents like RB Lynch, Bills start slowly (buffalobills.com)

It's a mantra in the NFL for good reason: starting fast sets the tone for a given game. How many times have good teams scraped by bad ones because the bad ones got off to a hot start in a game? How many times have great teams beaten upstart teams with momentum because of a quick 10-0 lead? It happens all the time. The best teams in the league impose their will and grab the lead early in the game; that's just how it works. It's a part of the game at which the Buffalo Bills fail miserably.

Once upon a time - i.e. 2006, Dick Jauron's first year as head coach of this franchise - the Bills actually excelled at drawing first blood. Buffalo scored first in 10 of 16 games played, a pretty solid statistic considering how deprived of talent that particular Bills team was. The Bills were 6-4 in games in which they drew first blood and 1-5 otherwise.

In 2007, things shifted slightly for the worse. The Bills played half of their season - eight games - with an early deficit, slightly up from the six in 2006. The Bills in 2007 were 5-3 in games in which they scored first, and 2-6 otherwise.

This season, however, has been a complete reversal from the first two seasons of Jauron's tenure. Through 12 games, the Bills have scored first in just four of them. Opponents have drawn first blood in six consecutive games. The Bills are 4-0 this season in games where they scored first, and 2-6 in the rest.

Add it up! The Bills have played 44 games under Dick Jauron. In exactly half of them, the Bills scored first. They're 15-7 in those games; suffice it to say that a .682 winning percentage would be welcome in these parts. In the other half of games - games in which they're attempting to climb out of an early deficit - they're 5-17 (.227). You do the math. It's important everywhere, but based on the numbers, fast starts are of the utmost importance in Buffalo. And the Bills, week after week, can't start fast.

Blame it on whatever you want. Lack of preparation; awful play-calling; deferring on the opening kickoff; there are plenty of opportunities to find blame. All I know is this: Buffalo has got to start finding a way to take some leads, rather than play from behind. We do it far too often, and it's become a mini-curse for this young team. If the Bills hope to win out and miraculously grab that mythical playoff berth, they'd better learn how to grab an early lead, and fast.

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exacto

brian…and when they lost 4 in a row, you had the exact same take I said…the Bills were SHOOTING themselves in the foot witih TO’s and lack of execution.

The whole PLAN for the Bills under Jauron is get a lead, play stout def, great ST’s and don’t TURN IT OVER. If you play from BEHIND….it reverses everything. I completely agree. But also, how do you not score more than 3 against San Fran?

MARVelous

by MARVelous on Dec 1, 2008 2:49 PM EST   0 recs

Well put.

I have nothing to add

John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...

by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Dec 1, 2008 3:02 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Considering we’ve beaten 2 teams with a winning record in 3 years, I think the team we’re playing has more to do with it than scoring first.

Obviously, scoring first would help the cause, but there’s a reason we lose the games we don’t score first or don’t score first in the games we lose. We simply aren’t better than the majority of those teams.

~K

by Kurupt on Dec 1, 2008 2:54 PM EST   0 recs

Well… yes. But we already know that. Trying for a little originality here.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 1, 2008 3:04 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Face it, Brian.

K’s stat(only beating 2 winning teams) is better than yours. ; )

by jj24 on Dec 1, 2008 3:08 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I wouldn’t say better because both stats suck donkey pelotas.

~K

by Kurupt on Dec 1, 2008 3:27 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

SF Game

especially when your RB is averaging over 5 ypc at the half. no reason why Lynch shouldn’t have had 30 carries in that game. most coaches stick to what is working during a game.

by gatornation on Dec 1, 2008 2:56 PM EST   0 recs

Okay Brian. YOU are a big Jauron fan. Why do you think he gave up on the run which was working and continued to pass the football.

by savedbychrist on Dec 1, 2008 3:08 PM EST   0 recs

Yes, Brian,

Tell us how Dick Jauron likes his eggs.

by jj24 on Dec 1, 2008 3:09 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

As frivilous as this may be to say, we all understand you don’t like Jauron and want to see him fired. If you want to continue down the road, so be it, but there was a post this morning specifically for that discussion. This post has to do with the importance of scoring first (whether you agree or disagree) and what the Bills need to do/stop doing to begin scoring first.

by thatguy34 on Dec 1, 2008 3:11 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Well gatornation was talking about running the football and I second his motion. just wondering what brian thinks about why we did not run the ball which was our strength. that’s all. But thank you for reminding me.

by savedbychrist on Dec 1, 2008 3:15 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

You’re very very welcome.

by thatguy34 on Dec 1, 2008 3:20 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I don’t think he did. I think Turk Schonert did. And why did Schonert abandon the run? Because he likes to pass, because he’s a West Coast guy. The West Coast offense isn’t going to work in Buffalo, Turk. Run. The. Ball.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 1, 2008 3:22 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Also, what does this have to do with fast starts?

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 1, 2008 3:23 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Well, there is an old saying, take what the defense gives you. They were giving us the run and we were doing well so that would have given us a fast start.

by savedbychrist on Dec 1, 2008 3:25 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

ONe question. If you are the head coach and the oc and dc are not doing what you want then what do you do? You tell them what you want? Does the petty officer tell the Captain of the ship what to do? No, when things are not going well the Captain tells the petty officer what to do and when to do it. The buck stops here.

by savedbychrist on Dec 1, 2008 3:27 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Again. This has NOTHING to do with starting fast.

If you want to continue your rant about Jauron – which REALLY isn’t necessary, my friend – do it in the previous post.

If you want to talk about slow starts, this is the spot.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 1, 2008 3:31 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Actually, that was two questions (with three question marks). =)

Just kidding, saved. Your point is a good one. It just doesn’t need to be stated repeatedly, stated repeatedly.

by thatguy34 on Dec 1, 2008 3:35 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Balance on offense is needed

This offense was working best when there was balance betwwen the run and pass. For some reason which escapes me, Turk fell in love with the passing game (like so many other OC’s before him).

Using the pass so much early in games is a high risk /high reward type of thing. When it works, it’s great, but when it doesn’t, your team can fall behind fairly quickly. That’s why it’s essential for this team to have the balance – they have trouble coming back from behind.

Get the Bills back to the big game!

by Blitz on Dec 1, 2008 3:55 PM EST   0 recs

The Bills problems are very obvious but not easy to fix

On Offense the Bills are as effective as Trent is effective. If Trent is playing well the offense moves the ball and scores. If Trent is playing poorly the offense looks horrible. On Defense we cannot get a pass rush from our front four. Our LB’s have a hard time supporting either the run or pass. When I watch our defense on third downs I’m more inclined to hope our opponents screw up rather than feeling our defense will make a play.

by gjv on Dec 1, 2008 5:07 PM EST   0 recs

Do you think starting fast is too low on the priority list? (not sarcastic)

Do you think the game plan is geared toward other goals?

Blame it on whatever you want. Lack of preparation; awful play-calling; deferring on the opening kickoff; there are plenty of opportunities to find blame.

I am not saying you don’t have a great point here. You do. But the only thing I can see that is really going to make a difference is not defering. I really don’t think for one week the coaches thought they were going into the game under-prepared, or that Turk felt, before a play, that it was an awful call.

UGH, this is so frustrating, because I 100% agree with you, and at the same time (besides the defer,) I don’t see the coaches showing any ability to make the changes to mend this trend.

Sweet home Orchard Park.

by thurman on Dec 1, 2008 5:18 PM EST   0 recs

Well you technically have to blame the defense for this slow start considering that the score was 7-0 when the O touched the ball for the first time. I think Buffalo actually did come out with a bad defensive gameplan and adjusted on the fly VERY well.

The Niners threw the ball 5 times during their TD drive and the Bills blitzed 4 times. The result of those four blitzes was 4 completions, all of which were longer than 12 yards. The only time Buffalo didn’t blitz was the only time SF didn’t complete a pass. The Bills only blitzed 7 of the 25 times that SF dropped back to pass for the remainder of the game and mixed up the blitzes when they did by having the D-Line stand up or by crowding the line and making it appear as if they were bringing the house in an attempt to confuse Hill and the OL.

I warned that blitzing and cover 1 could be the downfall of the Bills D this week and blitzing simply didn’t work. Tough to blame the defense though when they adjusted and only gave up 3 more points despite a couple of 49er drives that started inside Bills teritory.

I think this loss doesn’t have anything to do with a slow start, practice and preperation or the head coach. The quarterbacks simply had a bad day and the team only scored once despite being inside the 49ers 25 yard line four times. Even the running game stalled inside the red zone. Buffalo had 7 rushes for 10 yards in the red zone and 9 of those were on the wildcat end around by Parrish. So thats 6 rushes and a net gain of 1 yard in the red zone by our running backs! Maybe running the ball more wasn’t the answer.

by kaisertown on Dec 1, 2008 6:48 PM EST   0 recs

A ha!

Kaisertown, you just nailed something.

Fewell was able to successfully adjust in-game. Turk, however, was not. Actually, Turk did adjust – he adjusted to something that wasn’t working.

I’ve got some newfound respect for Fewell – not much, but some.

by thefourwinds on Dec 1, 2008 9:29 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Brian, here's what I meant, yet didn't communicate well enough the other day...

In regards to deferring on the kickoff:

The reason(s) i think teams should take the ball at the start of the game when at home, revolves around this:

First: You’re AT HOME – the fans want to see you come out and attack. It’s the point when any wrinkle you might have to use will work best. The defense has had no opportunity to adjust to the gameplay.

And in accordance with the first…second: By halftime, your opponent has now had 30 game minutes to adjust to your gameplan, and come 2nd half’s kickoff, you’re fighting an uphill battle with the D. Any strategic advantage at the beginning is now diminished.

That all being said, there is a time to defer. I think that deferring to the 2nd half is successful when you play on the road. That’s the point when many people aren’t even in the stands and you can take advantage of playing with a more subdued crowd.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 2, 2008 9:59 AM EST   0 recs

I agree with you on deferring. I hate it. It’s boring.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 2, 2008 10:09 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Wait, so you think it is best for Buffalo to get the ball first at home, but think it is best for Buffalo to give the ball to the home team first when we are on the road? Sounds just a little contradictory to me.

by kaisertown on Dec 2, 2008 12:16 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Yes, it’s very contradictory on my part. I meant that if you were going to defer at all, on the road makes more sense (see: GIVES you a hidden advantage) given the fired-up nature of the crowd at the start vs. the empty seats from halftime. Beer and bathroom becomes priority at that point. Teams can go about their business with little interference from the crowd. Watch the first 5 minutes following halftime.

I believe Phil Simms mentioned something to this effect, during a NE game this year.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 2, 2008 1:14 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I get your reasoning and I think it makes total sense. I just thought it was kinda funny.

Personally, I think you put your best foot forward and defering and putting the D on the field first makes sense to me. I don’t care much either way and I don’t think the decision really matters.

by kaisertown on Dec 2, 2008 1:50 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Gotcha. You just meant there was so much more to be concerned with. Well, there still is. Wow, how is such a regression even possible?

Think about it. This team was DECIMATED by injuries and was playing with more heart, passion, and attitude last year.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 2, 2008 10:16 AM EST   0 recs

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