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Front Office

I had this burried down in another post but I wanted everyones opinion on this one.  How do you all think our front office has scouted players over the last four years?  These are obviously my opinions based off of what I have seen thus far from these players.  I just think that DJ and the coaches are getting a lot of the blame and the front office keeps getting a pass.  I really think our scouting is below average.  Clearly this has nothing to do with the ineffectiveness of the coaching (can we PLEASE keep all that firing coaches talk out of this post?) but more to do with the quality of the players they have to use.

2005 – horrible draft IMO – Parrish shouldn’t have been our first pick of that draft
Roscoe Parrish – 1st round went to Dallas
TE Kevin Everett – was a bust prior to injury
(Duke) Raymond Preston – we know
Eric King – cut
OG Justin Geisinger – out of football (I beleive)
RB Lionel Gates – cut

2006
S Donte Whitner Ohio State – not game changer
DT John McCargo NC State – bust
CB Ashton Youboty Ohio State – shown flashes but hurt alot
S Ko Simpson South Carolina – overrated and probably gone after this season
DT Kyle Williams LSU – good find
OT Brad Butler Virginia – good find
OLB Keith Ellison Oregon St. – backup at best
Terrance Pennington – cut
G Aaron Merz California – practice squad? out of football?

2007
Marshawn Lynch RB California – great pick
Paul Posluszny OLB Penn State – not living up to expectations thus far
Trent Edwards QB Stanford – hopefully GREAT find
Dwayne Wright RB Fresno State – cut
John Wendling S Wyoming – career backup/STer
Derek Schouman TE Boise State – jury still out
C.J. Ah You – cut

2008 – cannot make an opinion yet…too early
Leodis McKelvin CB Troy University
James Hardy WR Indiana
Chris Ellis DE Virginia Tech
Reggie Corner DB Akron
Derek Fine TE Kansas
Alvin Bowen OLB Iowa State
Xavier Omon RB Northwest Missouri State
Demetrius Bell T Northwestern State
Steve Johnson WR Kentucky
Kennard Cox

I see some quality there, but nothing to write home about.

As far as SOLID starters i’d only put these guys on my list:
Donte Whitner
Kyle Williams
Brad Butler
Marshawn Lynch
Paul Posluszny
Trent Edwards
Leodis McKelvin – even though jury still out on ’08 class

so that makes 7 SOLID starters over 4 drafts. 1st round picks should be a gimme as they are the easiest to pick. so that means over the last 4 years we have found only 3 other SOLID starters in later rounds for our team.

i’m just not sure that is good front office scouting.

what does everyone think?

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Meh. I’ve seen better, I’ve seen worse. These drafts are far better than Donahoe’s travesties. The 2005 draft you listed was a Donahoe draft.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 8, 2008 3:03 PM EST reply actions  

yup – still the same scouting guys though

by J2 on Dec 8, 2008 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

True, but not the same decision-makers. Big difference.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 8, 2008 3:17 PM EST up reply actions  

oh absolutely.

but you would have to say that they had a lot of input on the picks. definately not final decisions (especially in the Donahoe era), but they obviously had a lot of input on who they should draft as they were the talent observers.

by J2 on Dec 8, 2008 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Are you trying to make us cry?

Please don’t ever list the players taken in the 2005 and 2006 draft again :-)

by Joe P. on Dec 8, 2008 3:55 PM EST reply actions  

’04 draft was no prize either.

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Dec 8, 2008 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

'04 draft

 Bills Daily 2004 Draft Board
Here is the Bills final draft board for the class of 2004. The links in each player’s name takes you to expert analysis about the player. Check out our player capsules for each of the Bills selections and our final grade!

Round Pick Overall Pos. Player College
  1 13 13 WR Lee Evans Wisconsin
  1 22 22* QB J.P. Losman Tulane
  3 11 74 DT Tim Anderson Ohio St.
  4 13 109 TE Tim Euhus Oregon State
  7 6 207* OT Dylan McFarland Montana
  7 13 214 WR Jonathan Smith Georgia Tech

*-acquired from Dallas for this year’s 3rd round pick (43rd overall), fifth round pick (144th overall) and next year’s first round pick.
*-acquired from Detroit in last year’s Olandis Gary trade

2004 DRAFT CAPSULES

 

1) WR Lee Evans
1) QB J.P. Losman 6-2 1/4, 224, 4.68 – The Bills paid a high price to get Losman. He is the QB they feel will be the future of the franchise. He has excellent arm strength and puts great velocity on the football. He has some speed and mobility but hasn’t played well in inclement weather this point in his career. He has been known to take sacks in his career but does know how to elude a pass rush. His vision and awareness his solid. – hahahahahahahahahahahahaha
3) DT Tim Anderson 6-3 1/8, 307, 5.014) TE Tim Euhus
7) OT Dylan McFarland
7) WR Jonathan Smith
 

by J2 on Dec 8, 2008 4:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Ugg….Brian is there a way (other than read what i type) that i can edit my own posts? I only wanted half of my reply to sireric on there. If you can do it…just get rid of everthing above


1) WR Lee Evans

thanks buddy

by J2 on Dec 8, 2008 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Comments can’t be edited. Lo siento. :)

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 8, 2008 4:28 PM EST up reply actions  

G Aaron Merz California – practice squad? out of football?

Hanging out at Krytime’s house drinking his beer.

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Dec 8, 2008 3:55 PM EST reply actions  

I'll focus my attention on the last three years
2006
S Donte Whitner Ohio State – not game changer
DT John McCargo NC State – bust
CB Ashton Youboty Ohio State – shown flashes but hurt alot
S Ko Simpson South Carolina – overrated and probably gone after this season
DT Kyle Williams LSU – good find
OT Brad Butler Virginia – good find
OLB Keith Ellison Oregon St. – backup at best
Terrance Pennington – cut
G Aaron Merz California – practice squad? out of football?

Whitner is a good player and if he is moved to FS I feel his playmaking skills will be shown. Youbouty is a solid nickel corner if not sometimes starter – well worth the third round pick he cost. You call Ko overrated but he was a 4th round pick. I think he is at best a decent starter and at worst a decent back-up. I do agree he will be gone this offseason or next. Kyle Williams and Brad Butler, great players. Keith Ellison – another below-average starter or a solid backup as he has proven this season.

2007
Marshawn Lynch RB California – great pick
Paul Posluszny OLB Penn State – not living up to expectations thus far
Trent Edwards QB Stanford – hopefully GREAT find
Dwayne Wright RB Fresno State – cut
John Wendling S Wyoming – career backup/STer
Derek Schouman TE Boise State – jury still out
C.J. Ah You – cut

Poz- not living up to expectations? What were your expectations of the kid? He has 91 tackles this year to lead the team by 37!!!! He hasn’t single-handedly stopped the run but in his first full season he is going to go over 100 tackles, a large portion of them unassisted, and he is calling the defensive plays. Tell me your expectations of the kid. Everybody knows I love Trent. Dwayne Wright made me so happy and then he fumbled it away – literally. Wendling is a special teams guy as you said but they count like starters for the Bills (why Roscoe could easily have a case in your 2005 draft as being worth his pick) and Schouman is the second coming of Royal without the fumbles. He can block but isn’t a dynamic threat.

2008 – cannot make an opinion yet…too early
Leodis McKelvin CB Troy University
James Hardy WR Indiana
Chris Ellis DE Virginia Tech
Reggie Corner DB Akron
Derek Fine TE Kansas
Alvin Bowen OLB Iowa State
Xavier Omon RB Northwest Missouri State
Demetrius Bell T Northwestern State
Steve Johnson WR Kentucky
Kennard Cox
I see some quality there, but nothing to write home about.

McKelvin will prove his worthiness with either Special Teams or Defense. Reggie Corner looks to be an adequate 4th round pick and Steve Johnson may make up for picking Hardy if he doesn’t develop.

As far as SOLID starters i’d only put these guys on my list:
Donte Whitner
Kyle Williams
Brad Butler
Marshawn Lynch
Paul Posluszny
Trent Edwards
Leodis McKelvin – even though jury still out on ’08 class

so that makes 7 SOLID starters over 4 drafts. 1st round picks should be a gimme as they are the easiest to pick. so that means over the last 4 years we have found only 3 other SOLID starters in later rounds for our team.

Since when are the first round picks gimmies???? In Madden? Nothing is a gimmie. That is the absoulte dumbest comment I have read on here in a long time. I hate trashing you on it but it is stupid to say that. Now that I have thoroughly yelled at you my list is the same as yours: Whitner, Williams, Butler, Marshawn, Poz, Trent, McKelvin as starters. I don’t think you give enough credit to good depth, though, or special teams.

Other key draft contributors: Roscoe (2005), Youboty, Ko Simpson, Ellison, Wendling, Corner

What about undrafter contributors like Action Freddy Jackson? Brian Moorman and Jason Peters (thought before the time frame you suggest), too.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 8, 2008 4:39 PM EST reply actions  

See thats what i was looking for…ty warren

I only have a few moments because i gotta leave…but.

Since when are the first round picks gimmies????

i should have been more clear, i meant gimmies on who to pick. i’m sorry but the first round pick is easiest. you know what positions you want and any moron can find the top 3 talent in the league and pick the best guy. i never said anything about a successful pick. (Mike Williams – i agreed with the pick at the time)

Poz – maybe i am being too tough on him, but i expected more at this point. tackles are a stat to look at, but they don’t always tell the whole story..such as pass coverage. i was looking for a force in there and have a pass rush that can get after the QB at will…just hasn’t happened yet – maybe because Fewell?

Ko – i think he was overrated because after his first few games everyone thought we’d have our starting FS until he retires. which turned out to be wrong. i was making my comment based off of the expectations that was laid upon him after he started a few games.

gotta jet…..i’ll try to get some more….

oh…brian moorman…he’s my boy. my favorite BB – kept us in a lot of games through the years – did you see the pro bowl hit?

by J2 on Dec 8, 2008 5:01 PM EST up reply actions  

First round picks aren't always the easiest.

There have been so many bad first round picks by every organization. Nobody hits them all. I am not defending the Bills on it just saying that you get one wrong once in a while.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 9, 2008 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

I respectfully disagree

1) The 05 draft doesn’t count against the current FO

So here is my analysis of what’s left
06 has Whitner as not a great value for a top 10 pick, but a solid starter. Youboty, Simpson, and Ellison are decent enough given when they were taken. The fail of McCargo is pretty hard, but I take solace in Butler and Williams

07 – hard to make judgments, but here goes
I’m going out on a limb and saying Lynch was a good pick
Poz isn’t Ray Lewis or Brian Urlacher. He is a solid LB.
Trent – we’re debating whether or not he can be our franchise QB. We took him in the third round.
Of the rest, a backup and a jury still out on Schouman isn’t bad drafting at all.

08- way too soon to call, but here are my judgments. format is optimistic/pessimistic/real judgment

McKelvin – has shown all the tools. Dynamite with the ball in his hands and pretty good and getting his hands on it. Will replace Nate Clements/ what has he actually done so far? he’s a return man who can’t replace Greer or McGee in the starting lineup./ will be a solid CB. Has the potential to be pro-bowl calbier, and when he does make plays they’ll be highlight reel worthy
Hardy – has the physical tools. An offseason training program and some time to recover from his first NFL season will turn him into a solid possession receiver/ JP also has all the physical tools/ I’m not seeing it. He’s still new enough that an epiphany or breakout is possible, but at best he’s a possession guy, (which is really all we need from him)
Ellis – I don’t have enough evidence.
everyone else also checks out as needs more evidence. I will say that Fine and Johnson intrigue me. In fact, Johnson intrigues me enough to wonder if it isn’t possible that it won’t really matter how Hardy turns out.

by Hopefulcynic on Dec 8, 2008 5:14 PM EST reply actions  

Since I also posted this in respons on the other fanpost

J2, I believe you are using a depressing Bills perspective to shed a much worse light on the situation than is actually there. You just notice our mistakes more because you pay attention to them and only notice other teams successes. Look at the Patriots recent draft history, you would expect it to be incomparably better than ours considering their great front office, coaches, and winning ways in recent years. I also think its funny you call Donte Whitner “not a game changer” instead of “solid safety or good starter”. It just seems like you are taking too overly pessimistic a perspective.

2005

Logan Mankins G- great pick
Ellis Hobbs CB- very average corner.
Nick Kaczur G/T – solid lineman, good starter
James Sanders SS – backup safety, seen nothing special yet
Ryan Claridge OLB- cut the following year, out of football
Matt Cassell QB- overrated, can’t throw the deep ball
Andy Stokes TE- mr.irrelevant, out of football

2006

Laurence Maroney RB- jury still out if he can be a starter
Chad Jackson WR – disappointment, NE traded up to get him, now doing nothing with the Broncos.
Dave Thomas TE- backup.

2007

Brandon Meriwether S – not a game changer (to use your description of Donte)
Kareem Brown DT- stuck on Jets practice squad
Clint Oldenburg OT- stuck on Rams practice squad
Justin Rogers OLB – backup on Cowboys
Mike Richardson CB- just promoted from practice squad to backup for NE
Justin Hairston RB – out of football
Corey Hilliard OT – backup on Colts
Oscar Lua MLB- out of football
Mike ElginG/C – stints with Colts, Jets, Pats, now out of football

Since it is too early to judge 2008, I think I’ll stop there. Now how do you feel about our drafts? This is a list of their solid draft picks from 2005-2007

Logan Mankins
Nick Kaczur
Laurence Maroney
Brandon Meriweather
JUST TO BE FAIR, even though I don’t think they belong on this list I’ll add
Matt Cassel
Ellis Hobbs

As you pointed out from 2005-2007 the Bills drafted
Trent Edwards
Paul Pozluszny
Marshawn Lynch
Brad Butler
Kyle Williams
Donte Whitner
JUST TO BE FAIR, if Hobbs is going to make the list so should
Keith Ellison
Roscoe Parrish

Can you look at those drafts and honestly tell me the Pats are incomparably better at drafting than we have been. Being slightly better, which is debatable if they are, is not good enough. This team should be light years better. No, K and J2, you still have not convinced me that the front office hasn’t been a strength of this organization in recent years and in team building.

Again, coaching

Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.

by poz on Dec 8, 2008 6:25 PM EST reply actions  

believe you are using a depressing Bills perspective to shed a much worse light on the situation than is actually there

sorry Poz. this wasn’t my intention. my intention was to let everyone look at the whole picture. the reason is because a lot of people want coahces fired and while we are looking at the team and sayin we want DJ or whoever fired, we should also look at where else the problems may lie on the team.

by J2 on Dec 9, 2008 8:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I could have also viewed it in a depressing light myself because the season has just ended so terribly. It is a very valid point, I just think in terms of drafting we aren’t bad at all.

Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.

by poz on Dec 9, 2008 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Poz

Excellent juxtaposition. Enlightening.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 9, 2008 10:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I think the failures of the front office (mainly Modrak and Guy) ARE the biggest problem for the Bills.

There are some cliches out there about how teamwork and playing as a team is the most important thing in the NFL, but it isn’t. The NFL is just like any other league and superstars win games. The Bills don’t have ANY superstars and that falls on the front office.

Paul Posluszny OLB Penn State – not living up to expectations thus far

Then your expectations were way too high. Poz has been a really good player so far and while he hasn’t been great in coverage he has held his own. He hasn’t been a good blitzer, but didn’t scouting reports say that wouldn’t be one of his strengths? Bills fans are so used to seeing undersized linebackers that people tend to forget Poz’s size is average at best. In this defensive scheme he shouldn’t be asked to blitz anyways, his job should be to keep pass plays in front of him and wrap up and don’t miss tackles and he does all of that very well.

If you really want to show how bad this FO has been you should post the free agent moves over the last few offseasons instead of the drafts. The drafting (post-donahoe) has been very solid, just not spectacular. For example, if that 2006 draft said Ngata instead of Whitner and/or Nick Mangold instead of John McCargo, then this team would be considerably better than what they are now.

by kaisertown on Dec 8, 2008 6:36 PM EST reply actions  

Here is my proof that this FO hasn’t been good enough. These were the Bills opening game (with Peters added in) starters:

QB – Trent Edwards – average at best
RB – Marshawn Lynch – above average, bordering on elite
FB – I never even noticed one on the field
WR – Lee Evans – Very good starter
WR – Josh Reed – below average #2
TE – Robert Royal – Bottom 5 starter
LT – Jason Peters – very good, bordering on elite
LG – Derrick Dockery – above average
C – Preston/Fowler – Worst starting center? or even starter at his position? in the league
RG – Brad Butler – average, maybe a tad above average
RT – Langston Walker – average, maybe a tad above average

DE – Aaron Schobel – above average
DE – Chris Kelsay – below average
DT – Marcus Stroud – very good, bording on elite
DT – Kyle Williams – average starter, very solid for a #2 (by #2, I mean 2nd best on roster not a backup)
OLB – Kawika Mitchell – average, maybe a tad above average
MLB – Poz – average
OLB – Keith Ellison – below average
CB – Terrance McGee – average
CB – Jabari Greer – above average
FS – Ko Simpson – below average
SS – Donte Whitner – average

When I call a player average I mean that if you were to list every start in the league they would be somewhere between the low teens and low 20s (12ish-22ish) best starter in the league at their position(or about 25-45 if two players start at a position). How can someone look at that lineup and say that the FO has given the coaching staff the tools to succeed? I understand why people want Jauron gone, I just don’t understand how that is the answer. What changes if Jauron and his staff leave, but Modrak and Guy stay and hire some other above average coordinator who exceled with above average players, but would be average in Buffalo with a bunch of average players?

I have no problem with firing Jauron. I understand why everyone wants him gone. I defend him because he takes WAY too much of the blame and not because he is some great coach that deserves defeding. If people want to bring in a new coaching staff and add a free agent or two and hope for a nice draft and think that the Bills will be one of those teams that suddenly turns the corner next year, then they will be very dissapointed with the team that is one the field next fall. Cutting Robert Royal, Duke Preston and Chris Kelsay and bringing in a new “better”, more “aggressive” coach isn’t going to make this team any better. This organization needs to find a way to get Trent Edwards to hit that switch and play like he did the first month of the year, or find a better QB and they need to bring in an elite game changing player somewhere (I don’t care if it is an elite TE, WR, DE or ballhawking, hardhitting safety). If they don’t this team is going to look a hell of lot like they do now, next year regardless of who is standing on the sidelines with a headset on.

by kaisertown on Dec 8, 2008 7:01 PM EST up reply actions  

youth

Kaiser, you fail to take into account that most of these players who are expected to improve and are not in their prime yet. I think if you look at who are the players still in their developmental stages and those at or past their prime, you can get a better perspective on our weaknesses.

QB – Trent Edwards – average at best YOUNG
RB – Marshawn Lynch – above average, bordering on elite YOUNG
FB – I never even noticed one on the field WEAKNESS
WR – Lee Evans – Very good starter
WR – Josh Reed – below average #2
TE – Robert Royal – Bottom 5 starter WEAKNESS
LT – Jason Peters – very good, bordering on elite YOUNG
LG – Derrick Dockery – above average
C – Preston/Fowler – Worst starting center? or even starter at his position? in the league WEAKNESS
RG – Brad Butler – average, maybe a tad above average YOUNG
RT – Langston Walker – average, maybe a tad above average

DE – Aaron Schobel – above average
DE – Chris Kelsay – below average WEAKNESS
DT – Marcus Stroud – very good, bording on elite
DT – Kyle Williams – average starter, very solid for a #2 (by #2, I mean 2nd best on roster not a backup) YOUNG
OLB – Kawika Mitchell – average, maybe a tad above average
MLB – Poz – average YOUNG
OLB – Keith Ellison – below average YOUNG
CB – Terrance McGee – average
CB – Jabari Greer – above average
FS – Ko Simpson – below average YOUNG
SS – Donte Whitner – average YOUNG

The only young players I expect to develop into weaknesses or stay around their current level are Ko Simpson and Keith Ellison (of the two I personally think Ellison is more likely to improve) So that leaves blatant lapses in management at the FB, TE, DE, and C positions.

HOWEVER, check out how many young and potentially good to great players we have on the roster and how many positions are strong enough not to be considered a weakness. You don’t build a champion by being elite at every position. You build a champion by being elite at KEY positions and by having no weaknesses at ANY position. This means you can have average to above average players in the right places, not every position must be manned by a good to great player. At those KEY positions we have young and still developing talent, but their futures on the whole looks bright, including, Trent, Lynch, Poz, McKelvin, Peters and Whitner

Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.

by poz on Dec 8, 2008 7:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Every team has young players they rely on. The Titans start Michael Griffin (23), Cortland Finegan (24), Stephen Tulloch (23) and Chris Johnson (23). The Bills don’t have any rookies who top the depth chart and only 3 second year players who would start if everyone were healthy.

Jason Peters turns 27 in a month. He was from the 2004 draft. His problems are mostly mental (not finishing blocks, mean streak, that kinda stuff) so I guess there is room for improvement.

This was Whitner’s third year in the league. He hasn’t improved much from year to year, why would anyone think he will suddenly blossom into an elite player? I think if the Bills leave him out at FS, then he can cover the field pretty adequately in cover 1. He can be an above average FS.

Has Lynch improved from year 1 to year 2? Do running backs really improve throughout their careers? Lynch is great, but what you see is what you get with him.

That’s fine though if you want to say that our roster is young, has a solid core and will improve. I don’t have a problem with that and it’s not as if the FO has done a terrible job or anything like that. But looking at where Buffalo is right now, how good players are today, this team simply isn’t good enough. My main point is that Buffalo isn’t good enough to assume a head coaching change is going to make this team better. And that the problems in Buffalo are QB play and a lack of true playmaking stars. We need for Trent to get better or be replaced AND we need an actual superstar. Not Lee Evans or Marcus Stroud type superstars. I’m talking about an Osi Umenyiora, Mario Williams, Troy Polamalu or Ed Reed type of gamechanger.

by kaisertown on Dec 8, 2008 8:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Those were just some names that popped into my head. A big-time TE would make just as much of a difference, but those guys usually develop a little slower. I don’t think the Bills could draft a Jermaine Grisham type and have it make a huge immediate impact. A possesion WR who could actually be a threat in the red zone would make that kind of impact too, but those guys take time to develop as well. So unless Buffalo makes a trade for a Tony Gonzalez, Antonio Gates or Jason Witten calibur TE or a Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall or Plaxico Burress calibur red zone WR, those options just don’t seem realistic. For Buffalo to be competitve next season I think this team needs to hit on DE in the first round. A legit double digit sack type of player. Trent Edwards needs to develop and play like he did early in the season. I think those two things and some small upgrades at a couple other positions (I think a 2nd or 3rd round center or an average FA will be enough of an upgrade at C) and some depth and this team is ready to make a playoff push with Bill Cowher OR Dick Jauron.

by kaisertown on Dec 8, 2008 9:07 PM EST up reply actions  

there is some truth to that

Watching the Bucs and Panthers on Monday Night Football is actually quite a demonstration of teams with great records who have achieved success not because of receivers, running backs, defensive backs or whatever but because they both are getting consistent play from their offensive linemen and defensive linemen.

I think our offensive line will become consistent with a real center and that our defense needs impact, or as you put superstar, play from the line. If we can get at least one positional upgrade on each line I also think we are ready for a playoff push with Dick Jauron.

Unfortunately, our schedule next year is going to make any push extremely difficult. I think we need to make a big splash in free agency this year if we can afford it. Terrell Suggs is out there, Matt Birk may be out there, Julius Peppers may be out there. We have to make a move.

Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.

by poz on Dec 8, 2008 9:36 PM EST up reply actions  

nice kaiser….my thoughts exactly

no playmakers and a bunch of average players.

maybe we are just 2 or 3 playmakers from an elite team. i hope so

by J2 on Dec 9, 2008 8:57 AM EST up reply actions  

As long as QB is one of those elite players, then yes we are that close.

by kaisertown on Dec 9, 2008 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

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