Potential Bills Free Agent: WR Ernest Wilford
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Biggest off-season need for the Buffalo Bills? Apparently, the restructured front office at One Bills Drive believes it's wide receiver. As user SP lets us know in this diary, Solomon Wilcotts of Sirius radio is reporting this evening that the Bills' front office personnel are "enamored" with free agent wideout Ernest Wilford, and that he will be their top target when free agency begins at midnight on February 29.
Big Cat Country's Take
Let's get right to it, then - who out there knows Ernest Wilford the player better than River City Rage, head blogger at SB Nation's Jaguars blog, Big Cat Country? Very few people, that's who. RCR is a long-time friend of this site, and he was kind enough to give us an incredibly in-depth look at Wilford as a player and his time in Jacksonville. With the Sirius report in mind, I believe you'll find what RCR has to say about Wilford particularly encouraging.
Rather than the usual question and answer format we've used on previous free agent interviews, RCR has provided us with a complete write-up of Wilford's strengths and weaknesses, his impending free agency, and his time in Jacksonville. It's incredibly revealing; please, enjoy this read:
So you'd like a look at Ernest Wilford? I'm pretty jealous, actually. The Jaguars' situation at wide receiver is complicated to say the least, and because of that we're going to let one of my favorite players walk away and become a free agent. The first question that comes to mind from your perspective would have to be, "If he's so good, why is he leaving?". It's easy - we've got two young receivers coming off of Injured Reserve, two first round pick wide receivers that showed signs of life, and last year's big free agent signing in Dennis Northcutt. That's five guys right there, and considering that the Jaguars probably go after another FA in the off-season, as well as one somewhere in the draft, we just can't reasonably sign Wilford if we plan on doing anything to fix our receivers.
But that's all Jaguars insider stuff and probably not relevant to the Buffalo perspective. So what would you be getting out of Wilford?
1. Consistency on third down. Wilford, like most of Jacksonville's wide receivers, gets an occasional case of the drops. Wilford, to his credit, is fantastic on third down. He makes the catch and finds a way to make sure he's far enough down the field to convert. While he's not fast, he can out muscle just about any defensive back. Remember, he's a big dude for a WR (6-4, 223 lbs). If you need six yards, send Ernest over the middle or to the corner and he can make a play. He's got very good body control for a receiver of his size. Ernest had 35 conversions for first downs in '05, 27 in '06, and 35 last season.
2. Injury Free and Mistake Free. For such a physical player, Ernest stays healthy and performs. He's only missed one game as a Jaguar, and that was all the way back in his rookie season. He's reliable, if not spectacular. He's only fumbled the ball once in his career, and he's typically good about batting a ball away from the defensive back if he can't catch it himself. I don't have the numbers to show this, but I don't recall ever seeing Wilford blow a play that led to an interception in the last two seasons.
3. A second or third option. Ernest is going to bring good hands and a powerful physical force to your offense, but he's not a speedy deep threat that's going to give offensive coordinators nightmares. Ernest is the sort of player that helps you keep drives alive, but if you're looking for an explosive scoring threat or yards machine, you should look elsewhere. Remember this with Wilford if the Bills open their checkbook for him: Ernest has never caught more than 45 balls or 600 yards in one season, and only averages 3.5 TDs per season. If you're looking to open up your offense, Ernest might not be the right guy.
So there you go, Ernest Wilford in a nutshell. I hate to see him go, I really do. He's a good guy, no off the field problems, keeps his nose clean and all that good stuff. If he does strap on the Blue and Red, I just hope to see him score lots of touchdowns against the Patriots for you.
-Chris
Discussion Time
I'd once again like to publicly thank Chris (RCR) for providing such excellent insight into, apparently, Buffalo's top free agent target. At this stage, this information is invaluable.
Clearly, in this day and age of the NFL - when teams are so rich that they keep their favorites, thus diluting the free agent pool - no free agent prospect is going to be perfect. Wilford is as close to what the Bills need - an immediate-impact physical presence in their receiving corps - as you can probably find at this point. Sure, there are more enticing names. There are always more enticing names. But in terms of immediate value, Wilford might be the best wideout for the Bills to target.
I like how Wilford meshes with the current wideouts. It gives them a quartet of differently-skilled players: Lee Evans is the home run threat; Wilford would be the chain-moving red zone threat to take over the middle of the field; Josh Reed is the guy who makes you pay on underneath routes if you forget about him; and Roscoe Parrish is the gadget player who can turn any touch into a big play. Perhaps most importantly of all, Wilford is healthy, he's got great character, he works very hard as a down-field blocker, and he'd free up Lee Evans to do what he does best: run.
Feel free to leave your thoughts on Wilford, the Wilcotts report, or the RCR/Big Cat Country report in the comments section. This is an interesting way to cap off a Monday in early February, that's for sure.
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| Year | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | FL |
| 2004 | 15 | 19 | 271 | 14.3 | 2 | 0 |
| 2005 | 16 | 41 | 681 | 16.6 | 7 | 0 |
| 2006 | 16 | 36 | 524 | 14.6 | 2 | 1 |
| 2007 | 16 | 45 | 518 | 11.5 | 3 | 0 |
| TOT | 63 | 141 | 1994 | 14.1 | 14 | 1 |
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Comments
That was quick
by SP on Feb 18, 2008 6:32 PM EST 0 recs
3rd down
Outside of Bryant Johnson's potential, I don't think the option for that type of player is available in free agency. I Hope we will make a short-term acquisition in FA, and then look for a potential playmaker in the second or third round.
by jmorris0823 on
Feb 18, 2008 7:39 PM EST
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3rd down conversion
Here's a good stat about Wilford. In his career, on third/fourth down and less than 11 yards to go, he has 42 receptions... for 42 first downs.
by Krenn on
Feb 18, 2008 8:51 PM EST
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thanks
by jmorris0823 on
Feb 18, 2008 10:07 PM EST
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Good points
by Kumario! on
Feb 19, 2008 8:47 AM EST
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I like him...
by killascript on Feb 18, 2008 6:53 PM EST 0 recs
Can he be a legitimate #2?
If the Bills feel they need their 1st and/or 2nd to be defensive, or they fall in love with a TE prospect, Wilford seems like a solid option.
I just really want Drayton Florance first.
by Kumario! on Feb 18, 2008 7:38 PM EST 0 recs
Wilford
by sireric on
Feb 18, 2008 8:20 PM EST
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Thats absolutely right
by SP on
Feb 18, 2008 8:25 PM EST
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Two big FAs
by killascript on
Feb 18, 2008 8:21 PM EST
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Price
by sireric on
Feb 18, 2008 8:29 PM EST
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I know...
by killascript on
Feb 18, 2008 10:52 PM EST
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We do need more than one piece on Offense...
by SP on
Feb 18, 2008 11:26 PM EST
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I here ya
by SP on
Feb 18, 2008 8:22 PM EST
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another issue
Last year, we overpaid Kelsay in FA and then felt that we had to pay Schobel way too much money to compensate. Lee will be a FA next year, and if we intend to keep him as a number 1 for the future, we will have to pay him a lot more than Wilford. If we overpay for Wilford, then we will overpay (even more) for Lee.
Lee is a very good wr, but his decline last season and his lack of ability to go over the middle and break tackles makes his status as a franchise wr questionable. Unfortunately our lack of weapons at the receiver position makes losing our only real threat hamstrings our position.
by jmorris0823 on Feb 18, 2008 8:50 PM EST 0 recs
i think that...
I'll admit that I'm not completely sold on Wilford, but I wouldn't hate it if Buffalo picked him up.
What I am concerned about is how much money the Bills are willing to offer a guy that has never been a starter in the NFL.
As you mentioned, If the Bills over-pay Wilford, they'll have to do the same thing for Evans. The Kelsey/Schobel contract situation is the perfect example you raise!
I love Evans but as some around her noted, he lacks some skills to be a truely elite receiver in the NFL (kinda like Schobel's lack of size and skills against the run to truely make him a dominate DE). Wilford may be a good addition, but he may not be worth the money he'd get. I don't think anyone would argue that Kelsey isn't at the very least a decent starter, but a decent starter making a ton of money equales poor value.
I think the Bills would be wise to learn from their past mistakes and not fall into the same traps as they have before...
by jri111 on
Feb 19, 2008 12:23 AM EST
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How do we know?
by sireric on
Feb 19, 2008 7:14 AM EST
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overpay
by jmorris0823 on
Feb 19, 2008 1:00 PM EST
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Am I Alone On This?
Let's say that the Bills do acquire Ernest Wilford and draft a WR or TE in the 3rd round, like many fans are suggesting.
Then the Bills would feature Lee Evans, Ernest Wilford, Josh Reed, Roscoe Parrish, Robert Royal, Teyo Johnson, and a 3rd round player as the primary pass receivers in 2008. Again, besides Lee Evans, who else in this new and improved group will defenses have to fear or respect? Who else will defenses have to be concerned about? Nobody.
Back to square one.
Although I suppose Marshawn Lynch could have a similar impact in the passing game as Brian Westbrook, but that is still not good enough. Or the Bills could get lucky and have a Marques Colston fall into their lap.
I want the Bills to eventually be a dominant team. If I were the Bills' decision-maker, disappointment would not even begin to express my feelings regarding the 2007 offensive futility. I would not want to be associated with that ever again. I wouldn't want to experience anything even remotely close to that for a long time, and my personnel decisions would reflect that. With respect to offensive playmakers, I would look forward to the draft. Screw free agency and overpaying for Average Joe's. What else is there? Something decent...
Roy. Williams.
A rare opportunity (most teams in their right mind would want to keep an elite player like Williams and lock him up long term). The Bills must take advantage. Does anyone else feel the way that I do?
by Fort Worth on Feb 18, 2008 9:33 PM EST 0 recs
Why not...
by killascript on
Feb 18, 2008 10:49 PM EST
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totally agree about Williams...
If the Bills have even the slightest chance to get a guy like Roy Williams, I would hope that they would make every effort to do so. I have to admit though, I am not encouraged.
As far as free agents go, I tend to agree with your assessment about "overpaying for averagejoes." I am all for spending money on free agents and I hope the Bills are major players in that department, however, I don't want them to overpay for a player simply becuase he is the best alternative in a depleted pool. For example, I'm not really thrilled with any of the free agent WR's, LB's, or TE's (except Crumpler). For that reason, I would rather have Buffalo pursue a WR via trade and LB and TE via the draft.
I see value at both DT (Corey Williams) and CB (Flroence and a number of others) and for that reason I would be all for 'showing them the money.'
My biggest fear is that the Bills go out and throw big money at unproven vets like Wilford and bypass their opportuntity to get true difference makers in free agency.
by jri111 on
Feb 19, 2008 12:32 AM EST
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Keep in mind
I understand that most people want their team to be the Pats or Colts, but we have to have a winning foundation before making that jump. We're close to finishing that foundation, and Wilford could be a big part of it.
by Brian Galliford on
Feb 19, 2008 7:26 AM EST
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Key Word/Concept
The NFL is a highly competitive league. Why settle, ever? Why wait until later to build a dominant team? As young as the Bills are, the window of opportunity, in this league and in this era, is smaller than ever. Smaller than many fans realize or will acknowledge. This isn't the 1980's. You don't have the same kind of time to construct a team. By the time the Bills realize what they need, will it be too late?
Does anyone else see it my way?
by Fort Worth on
Feb 19, 2008 10:01 AM EST
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I miss the K-Gun
Sometimes rather than making one big step at one position, you can take a bunch of small steps all-around and that can get you closer to being a better team.
The Bills had a terrible offense last year, YET they still finished 7-9. Is it so hard to imagine that with less injuries, and some smaller adjustments to the offense, (rather than one big splash) that this team could be 11-5? Four more wins is not that far off.
by sireric on
Feb 19, 2008 10:53 AM EST
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i agree brian
you need a foundation in order to exploit big talent.
look at the redskins and the raiders. the redskins sign a big name impact maker almost every year, and the raiders HAD randy moss, and a lot of other highly touted talent.
but both teams are inefficient, mistake-prone teams.
i hate to say slow and steady wins the race.
but slow and steady wins the race.
by sri on
Feb 19, 2008 4:50 PM EST
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thats exactly right
All that said, if Roy Williams is available, the Bills better at least try to acquire him.
by kaisertown on
Feb 19, 2008 10:46 PM EST
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The thing about housebuilding...
We may end up overpaying him, and if it is only in the 10-15% range, I say do it. He is a good charecter player (which young teams always need) and he is a good effort, consistent guy. Since we would be looking to throw more often, I would say his stats tick up a bit more than they were with the Jags, and he might not suffer the drops so much as he would feel honored to be our #2, rather than a 3rd option of three of the same type of player. I hope we get him and Drayton, those are great veteran foundation players to build around.
by WABillsfan on
Feb 20, 2008 1:26 AM EST
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Wilford
That all said. Wilford is a guy I'm all for. He is tall, athletic and I think he has a little "nasty" to him. Plus I saw him pluck a few big 3rd down slant routes out of the air with his big bear hands. I like that. Not sure if he would be a great red zone threat but think he would open it up for our fast little guys i.e. Evans, Roscoe. You need that OPTION of fade route/jump ball. That can make the safety come over and open up underneath for slots/TE's/RB's.
I like it. Think this FA acquisition is a MUST.
by MARVelous on Feb 18, 2008 11:12 PM EST 0 recs
would help the bills overall
by ArenZimm on Feb 19, 2008 9:34 PM EST 0 recs














