State of the Roster II: Bills Running Backs
Prior to the 2008 NFL Draft - in fact, prior to the free agent signing period of this past March - we took a look at the Buffalo Bills' roster position by position, breaking down then-current personnel, finding holes, and building our community needs list.
Now that free agency and the Draft have been completed, and the Bills have infused their roster with new talent, it's time to repeat our process. Where has Buffalo gotten better? Where have they gotten worse? How will additions impact which Bills veterans remain on the roster? These are questions that we'll attempt to answer over the next week or so.
We continue those discussions today with an examination of Buffalo's stable of running backs. To view our previous discussions on Buffalo's RB situation (pre-off-season), bang it here.
Marshawn Lynch: Here's hoping that Buffalo's prize 2007 rookie spent his off-season accomplishing the difficult task of staying in shape while taking it easy on his body - the second-year back was relied on heavily as a rookie, and will be counted on even more in his second season. Lynch is the bread and butter of Buffalo's offense, and you can bet that he'll continue to face loaded defensive fronts until Buffalo's passing attack can take pressure off of him.
Lynch has elite NFL potential, but don't expect to see more than flashes of it in his sophomore season as Buffalo's offense continues to lose the training wheels. Buffalo's coaching staff could stand to find a way to keep Lynch fresh, as well as getting him more involved in the passing game. Lynch has unquestionably cemented himself as the engine that makes Buffalo's offense go. He's a fan favorite, a hard worker, and a fun personality. I could write about this guy for weeks at a time.
Fred Jackson: Jackson was a pleasant surprise in 2007, filling in admirably for an injured Lynch - and then complementing him well - in late-season wins over the Redskins and Dolphins. Once Lynch returned to action, Jackson continued to see steady work as a receiving back and third down specialist. It is in Buffalo's best interest to continue to develop Jackson's role in this offense - he's a talented kid, and it takes pressure off of Lynch.
Dwayne Wright: Drafted in the fourth round last season, Wright was expected to provide the thunder to Lynch's lightning down the line. Wright was eventually passed on the depth chart by Jackson, the former Division III Coe College stand-out, and his playing time was minimal. He'll receive heavy competition for a roster spot this season from Buffalo's sixth-round draft pick, Xavier Omon.
The Additions: Xavier Omon, Bruce Hall
Omon becomes Buffalo's second sub-Division I running back on the roster, joining Jackson from Division II Northwest Missouri State. The rookie is a strong, tough runner with excellent cutting ability and solid (if unused) hands. Like Wright, he does not have the break-away speed to be a starter, but his 96 collegiate touchdowns prove he has a nose for the end zone.
Hall, an undrafted rookie free agent, is being looked at as a reserve and return specialist. He is a longshot to make the opening day roster.
The Subtractions: Anthony Thomas, Shaud Williams
Thomas, who has spent time under Dick Jauron with both the Bears and the Bills, was placed on Injured Reserve after a 2007 loss to the Jaguars and had not received significant playing time prior to filling in for Lynch in that game. The veteran is probably done in the NFL. The diminutive Williams was brought back after injuries to Lynch and Thomas and was not re-signed.
Pre-Season Outlook: Fred Jackson is currently the most experienced runner on Buffalo's roster, having a year of practice squad experience under his belt along with his contributions last year. Lynch and Wright are entering their second seasons, and Omon and Hall are rookies. However, along with youth comes a wide variety of skills and a potential superstar in Lynch. We will likely witness some growing pains as these young guys continue to learn the ropes, but there is talent at this position - and Turk Schonert would be crazy not to utilize it, especially from his top two guys.
Lynch and Jackson, at this point, are virtual locks for the opening day roster. The team will keep a third back, with Wright and Omon going to battle for that spot. There is a possibility that the team keeps four backs, but one of those guys will need to prove his worth either as a blocking back or on special teams for that to happen.
Change: Youth movement.
As always, your thoughts on Buffalo's running back situation are welcome and encouraged in the comments section.
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RB's
I still think we keep the top 4. Remember, we kept FIVE RB’s to start last season. Wright has played some ST, and I assume Omon would be a nice addition to that group as well. Why we would only keep 3 this year would be a big mystery to me. Lynch has had his injury concerns over the years and I’d feel more comfortable with 3 solid backs behind him.
I’m not high on Wright at all, but he deserves to prove what he has this year. He was just a rookie last year, and seemed to struggle in the transition to the pro game. I think he could be the slowest RB I’ve ever seen though, so he better get tougher between the tackles if he wants the #3 spot.
I love Omon’s production, attitude and his overall story of how he got to where he is now. I think he compares favorably to Jackson in terms of a similar running style. He’s obviously a bigger back, but he seems to have the same North/South style with quick jukes and surprising elusiveness. I like his potential and hope he concentrates on ST this summer.
I still don’t know why Omon was drafted though. We didn’t need another between the tackles RB, IMO. Lynch, Jackson and Wright already fit that profile. We needed to add a compliment that has speed and gamebreaking ability. I don’t care if he would have been a situational guy only because that’s all we needed. I guess we want the power running ability out of all of our runners.
I have no problem keeping 4 RB’s on the roster heading into the season. I’m guessing Wright and Omon will play a lot of ST’s and could contribute offensively in short yardage situations. I don’t think a 4th RB is going to hurt the overall makeup of the roster in other areas like a 3rd QB or 9th OL might, because those guys should all have a role each week.
~K
by Kurupt on May 14, 2008 11:26 AM EDT 0 recs
couple things
Did the Bills really have 5 RBs on the opening week roster last year?
I remember Lynch, A-Train, Wright and Jackson. So who am i forgetting? did Shaud Williams or Josh Scobey actually make this team last year?
And don’t forget that the Bills get to keep 53 players, but only 43 (i’m not 100% sure that is the right number) are active on gameday. If the Bills keep 4 RBs either Wright or Omon will be inactive every week until someone gets hurt. So you don’t need to worry about any negative impact of players wasting away on the bench if you keep 4 RBs. A lot of those final roster decisions come down to who is safe to put on the practice squad. The Bills will keep Omon if he beats out Wright OR if they feel like some other team might grab him if they put him on the PS.
by kaisertown on
May 14, 2008 11:50 AM EDT
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Scobey
though it was ST only, he was still a RB…
~K
by Kurupt on
May 14, 2008 11:56 AM EDT
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Scobey
Josh Scobey made the roster, though never played a down on offense; just special teams.
Also, the number of players active is 45; 46 if you include the emergency QB (who could be Omon, I suppose…).
by Krenn on
May 14, 2008 11:56 AM EDT
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Omon a good risk
A guy that productive at a position where you can never have too many RBs is a good thing. His slower forty time does not concern me, as he only needs to run five yards at a time to make me happy.
Also, I think they don’t want Lynch blasting through the middle as often, because that will put too much wear on him. Therefore, it is a three-way battle between Jackson/Wright/Omon as to who is the best back up, or if we go through a general rotation. But I do see all of them making the roster.
The Bills can win every game
by killascript on May 14, 2008 11:37 AM EDT 0 recs
Agree if Bills Keep only 2 QBs
Assuming 1 FB is kept, I believe the Bills have 6 available spots btw RB & QB and I expect 4 to be RB’s. However, if the Bills keep a third QB I feel that spot will come from the RB position. One more caveat…Rb’s get injured and this argument of 3 v. 4 RB’s might end up being settled on a training camp or preseason injury. If all make it healthy I expect a decision to be btw WRight and a 3rd QB.
by Berg79 on May 14, 2008 11:42 AM EDT 0 recs
dynamics
This year, there has to be some dynamic additions of someone behind Lynch adding significant offensive impact to this team. Freddy Jackson did an admirable job in the final weeks of the season but was it a trend or mirage?
We have to have a 2nd back that can come in and be productive. I agree with Kurupt in that having a speed back would have been more beneficial, but the Bills focus so much on ST’s that I feel they do not risk taking a scat back that doesn’t provide much value to ST’s.
A combination of Jackson/Wright/Omon have to fill that void. Does anyone see Freddy Jackson earning 400 yds rushing this season?
MARVelous
by MARVelous on May 14, 2008 12:35 PM EDT 0 recs
I certainly hope so
I think the flash we saw last year has to be explored by the coaching staff to test if it was a trend or a mirage. Something like that can’t be ignored because if Fred is the real deal he will extend Marshawn’s shelf life by 3 seasons. The two in tandem have the chance to be explosive, so I certainly hope it wasn’t a mirage. 400 yds and 5 TDs sounds about right to me with Marshawn adding 1,200 and 9 TDs. Wouldn’t that be great.
Another 3 rounds of starters in the draft?
by poz on
May 14, 2008 12:42 PM EDT
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yeah
I don’t think it was a mirage. He might end up being a little less effective than what we saw last season. That Miami game (15 carries for 115 yards, 7.7 ypc) really inflated his overall stats. I would expect Jackson to get about 5-7 carries a game and average over 4 ypc this season. That should come out to 350-400 yards rushing. He was really effective catching the ball last year and another 30+ catches for 250-350 yards seems likely as well. I wouldn’t expect him to score anywhere near 5 TDs though. Marshawn will still be the guy inside the red-zone, so all of Jackson’s TDs will have to come on big plays.
by kaisertown on
May 14, 2008 1:23 PM EDT
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Agree
Freddie should get those 5-7 carries a game spelling Lynch, and even with him on the field ina RB tandem. I think Jackson could be very effective on 3rd down draws because of his ability to squirt by defenders for extra yards.
I think his best asset again will be his receiving skills. I love matching up RB’s against LB’s and DE’s. It’s a mismatch nearly every time. Turk has his work cut out for himself trying to get Lynch and Jackson the ball in space more.
If Jackson ends up with those 400 rushing yards and another 30-40 catches for 300 yards, I’d be thrilled with that production. I don’t think he’ll score more than a TD or two this season though, for the reason you mentioned.
~K
by Kurupt on
May 14, 2008 1:51 PM EDT
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how many from Marshawn?
How many TDs do you guys expect from Marshawn K and Kaiser? If you dont see Freddie as putting up more than a couple do you envision a 15 TD season from Marshawn? Less, more?
Another 3 rounds of starters in the draft?
by poz on
May 14, 2008 2:12 PM EDT
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TDs
I expect about 10 TDs from Marshawn. Somewhere between 9 and 12 would be a great step forward for both him and the offense. If Trent and the passing game can then add 15-18 more the Bills are looking at an almost average offense. Sadly, an almost average offense would be a HUGE improvement over last year.
There were only 5 RBs in the whole league who had 10 or more TDs last year. 15 TDs would have led the league last year, been the 3rd most in 2006 and the 4th most in 2005. I don’t think Marshawn and the offense in general is good enough to come up with that kind of production.
by kaisertown on
May 14, 2008 2:55 PM EDT
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I see
Hardy scoring the most TD this season—should be a poll Who will score the most td this season? As far as Jackson I really liked what I saw of him in the preseason last year and was really waiting for him to get into a game he just seems to find the open spot I see him getting 500-700 yards this year with ML getting 1200-1500 (if they stay healthy) Lynch will most likely miss two-three games this year due to injury because of the way he runs not quiting allows more defensive players to get a hit on him while he’s fighting for more yardage. The coaches seemed to use wringht last year early and then it seemed like he got in the doghouse with them and didn’t get as much playing time I could see him getting this year to show something or be gone.
Bills Fan in PA
by BILLS on May 14, 2008 1:43 PM EDT 0 recs
hardy
will score the most, especially if he pulls a pistol on DB’s…..(ah those jokes will start coming now)
Well, I’ll be even more interested to see if Omon/Wright have any signifcant production this season. I think Freddy Jackson can almost be a WR on some 3rd down plays. He is good at catching flat patterns. THat’s why I don’t get why we drafted Fine. He is just a regular TE. I don’t see what he brings that Schouman couldn’t do? Is he way more athletic than Schouman?????
MARVelous
by MARVelous on May 14, 2008 3:52 PM EDT 0 recs
Fine
It’s because he can block better than Schouman.
~K
by Kurupt on
May 14, 2008 4:18 PM EDT
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Hardy = Billy Cole?
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
May 16, 2008 9:47 AM EDT
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Brian,
these are fun. Keep it up dude I enjoy an intellegent read. Im glad you put some thought into what you are writing. And remember even though I don’t always leave a comment or a post, B3J is reading and loving your site(Buffalo Rumblings).
The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ
by NYTXFAN on May 14, 2008 5:35 PM EDT 0 recs
Jackson will get more than 500 yards and we'll carry 4 RBs
I don’t think Marshawn can make it through a season healthy due to his crowd pleasing “Never say die” running stlye. God knows I love it when the kid takes the rock, jukes a guy, runs one over, then it takes another 5 guys to bring him down and he is still dragging them forward for another 1-3 yards, BUT, it does lead to him getting hurt.
I think ML misses 2-3 games, and Jackson who would be averaging about 5-7 carries and 3-5 catches a game will need to carry the load with Omon then Wright backing him up. So I think Freddie puts up about 500-700 yards rushing (3 80-120 yards games ML out, then another 20-40 per game when ML is healthy) and another 300-400 yards receiving, due to his skills in the flat and running flare routes outta the backfield.
The big question will be whom do the Bill turn to for short yardage situations? If Fowler continues to suck at the point of attack in the running game, I think Freddie or ML will be in there since we’ll need to go outside. If Fowler somehow becomes a rushing game monster or somehow McCaskill learns center well and fast enough to have DJ bench Fowler, then we’ll see Omon or Wright taking the rock in short yardage situations. Mostly because Omon and Wright are both very good straight ahead brusers who can punch a hole through a defense for that 1-2 yard gain needed. Its gonna be interesting to watch training camp and pre-season.
Fear the mighty helmet wearing gopher, he is coming for your soul....
by WABillsfan on May 14, 2008 7:10 PM EDT 0 recs
On behalf of the California Golden Blogs
I am happy to see that you guys are enjoying the amazing running back and human being known as Marshawn Lynch as much as we did. It’s a joy to see him in BEAST MODE out on the field there!
We only got to see him in action for 3 years. You are lucky that it will (hopefully) be much much more. Go Bears! Go Bills (why not?)! GO MARSHAWN!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on May 16, 2008 7:06 PM EDT 0 recs

















