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Roster reaction; excited prediction you can hold me to

Upon reviewing the Bills' 53 man roster and having the chance to actually watch every snap of the preseason for the first time in my life (God bless the DVR and NFL Network), a few things stand out to this paying customer as the Seattle game looms.  The debates of the offseason are finally over and now I can't wait for next week when I get to unwrap a whole new season of Bills football...A few honest exit thoughts on the Bills offseason before I set myself up for being disappointed by making a public prediction on where the Bills will be in January 2009:

TE:  So much for addressing the putrid TE position this offseason.  All the Teyo Johnson/ Courtney Anderson kool-aid will ultimately net 0 games played for the Bills.  Frankly, there was a reason neither player caught a pass in the NFL last season and Buffalo was really grasping to think either player could make a difference.  Even the two most promising options at the position, Schouman and Fine, will start the season injured, making it less and less likely that they can make a significant contribution in 2008.  I'll say this again: Buffalo cheaped out at the TE position and it's unacceptable.  Adding two street free agents and banking on a late 4th round pick and a former 7th round pick who started last season on the practice squad to upgrade the position is a joke considering how poorly the TEs produced the last two seasons.  John Guy basically admitted that TE was a priority position for the Bills this offseason and yet another year has passed without the position being properly addressed.  My guess is that Buffalo will add a veteran (Justin Peelle?  Kris Wilson?) in the next few days to play Michael Gaines' useful, but somewhat pedestrian role in 2008, but when is the team going to make an actual attempt to find a difference maker at this position?  This position is really unacceptable as it currently stands.

WR: The good news is that I think the team got a steal in Steve Johnson.  With the injuries and lack of depth at WR throughout the league, there was no way Johnson was going to make it through the year on Buffalo's practice squad.  My hope is that by midseason, Johnson is one of the top 4 players on the depth chart.  Schonert showed more 4 wide this preseason than Fairchild ever used, so I think WR depth will be more important for the Bills going forward.  I'm not optimistic that Hardy will make the impact that Buffalo's awful WR position called for heading into the offseason.  He's a great prospect (if he stays out of trouble with the law going forward), but he's raw.  The routes he ran at Indiana were hardly evolved and he relied mostly on his superior athleticism as a collegiate receiver.  My hope is that Hardy is the next Eric Moulds who took 3 years to contribute.  If that's the case, he's a great pick because Moulds was a Pro Bowl talent once he finally developed.  The bad news is that we're staring at another year of Josh Reed and his putrid production opposite Evans in the starting lineup.  That's beyond unacceptable for a team that looks to be playoff contenders in 2008. 

CB: This position was addressed urgently by the Bills front office this offseason and I applaud them for it.  Drafting prospects like McKelvin and Corner was necessary and Youboty's remarkable preseason made a decent veteran like Will James expendable.  McKelvin was taken so high that I'd expect his playing time to increase steadily as the season goes on, ultimately taking over for Jabari Greer in the starting lineup.  I know Greer is a polarizing player for Bills' fans; I personally like him for depth, but not as a starter, but in any event, Buffalo properly gave themselves options in three young players if Greer can't hold down his job.  Buffalo did well here and Jauron, Modrak, and Fewell deserve credit.

DL: I truly believe the Marcus Stroud trade was a stroke of genius by the Bills front office.  Every Bills' fan and their mother knew that Buffalo needed a massive run stuffing DT since Jauron's regime took power prior to 2006, and for two years Buffalo pretended their defense didn't require one.  I personally believe that Jauron knew all along that this was a need, but Buffalo's front office was unable to find one to their failure.  If Buffalo contends this year, my guess is that Stroud and Edwards will be the two biggest reasons.  Both players are gambles, and hopefully, they'll pay off (I honestly believe Stoud will, whereas I can only "bill-ieve" Edwards will)...also, I buy that Kelsay and Denney were not healthy last season and believe that the DEs will produce at their 2006 level this season and hope that youngsters like Bryan and Ellis can contribute too.  I like what Buffalo did at this position.

Ultimately, this team is close.  Edwards remains a mystery.  Buffalo refused to challenge him after his historically inept production in 2007.  He proceeded to get just 4 series in the preseason heading into 2008 and even the biggest OBD homers out there (you know who you guys are), have to admit that this is a scary prospect.  I don't see a bigger gamble in the NFL than what Buffalo is doing at QB.  For now, I'll join the optimistic bunch of you that I read each day and dream about raking in the chips this season even if my personal experiences with big bets generally have lead to high interest loans.  The good news about Edwards is that he doesn't appear to get flustered.  You look around the league and many successful QBs (Romo, McNabb, Eli, etc.) still struggle sometimes in this regard.  There's something that Buffalo sees in Edwards that transcends his awful production.  The cynic in me says it's his modest salary, but the August optimist in me wants to say its his unusual cool for an inexperienced QB.  If the rest of his game develops as quickly, the production will come and Buffalo will have a top 12 QB.  Let's say he does because I like mostly everything else.  The defense will be solid thanks to the Stroud trade, improved DL health, linebackers with pro size (what an unusual concept!), and a secondary that's going to take the leap to extraordinary in 2008 (that means you, Donte Whitner)...I predict the 10-6 Bills will grab the #6 seed, head into San Diego to play the banged up Chargers (when aren't the Chargers decimated by injury?) and surprise the NFL with a 20-16 victory on the road.  While the Bills will come up short against eventual Super Bowl champion, Jacksonville in the divisionals (Jags-24, Seahawks-20: final guess here too), Buffalo will be legitimate Super Bowl contenders heading into 2009...I see it unfolding nicely, but it needs to start this Sunday.  Excuse time is over for Jauron's regime in Buffalo.  This team can produce this season, so let's see it; I cautiously believe we're about to be rewarded for our patience with Buffalo's rebuilding project following the Donahoe disaster...cross your fingers and wake up, Jason Peters- losing game checks won't help anyone.

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

3 recs  |  Comment 19 comments

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Good stuff Nick

I would be very pleased with that outcome, as I believe most Bills fans would also.

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Aug 31, 2008 10:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Couple of things

First, like you I am an unhappy camper in regards to the TE situation. Royal is coming off injury while Schouman and Fine have just acquired theirs. Three gimply less-than-stellar TEs doesn’t inspire great confidence. As you pointed out, however, Buffalo chose to really go after the CB position. TE was more of an unfilled hole than a cop out.

Second, it’s difficult to see Buffalo winning any playoff game at this point. With that said, I’d be delighted if they made it to the playoffs and didn’t embarrass themselves in a hard fought loss.

Third, look for Reed to be pushed out of the lineup fairly quickly. The coaches want Hardy to be in there on a regular basis and Johnson has shown more potential than Reed has. Maybe he’ll wind up 5th on the depth chart after the bye week.

Fourth, did I read that part about Jauron and Co. deserving credit for anything correctly?

by Ron From NM on Aug 31, 2008 11:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

good stuff

hard to disagree with much.

Agree that TE has been overlooked for so long. It’s not like we used our draft picks unwisely this year, as we needed a CB, WR and DE pretty badly as well. Maybe we could have traded w/someone, who knows. We must get a player here next offseason/draft. I will say this, we were able to get some production out of Royal/Gaines last year, so Edwards can hopefully use Schouman/Fine’s talents greatly this year.

~K

by Kurupt on Aug 31, 2008 11:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

and

even though you are hardly convinced w/Edwards, you seem to think he’ll be more than good enough to get us to the playoffs. Correct?

Personally, I’m worried about our CB depth…

~K

by Kurupt on Aug 31, 2008 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Edwards

I’m (blindly) buying Edwards heading into the opener. Edwards could turn into Joe Montana and I will still argue to my death that he should have been challenged for his job based on his poor play down the stretch last season coupled with the overall readiness of the roster in 2008, but that’s an offseason/roster type of argument. My hope is that Edwards can do the type of things Derek Anderson did last year in terms of steady play. Obviously, I’m not saying he’ll put up Edwards numbers (we don’t have Winslow at TE or Jurivicious underneath, but I digress), but I think he can play well enough as a green player under a first year offensive coordinator 66.67% of the time to garner 10 wins…at least that’s my hope on Labor Day weekend.

Never forget 56-10. Revenge.

by SuperFan82 on Aug 31, 2008 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I liked your post Nick.

I have a lot of concerns about Edwards coming into the season, too. What’s funny about the situation is we didn’t have any other options. There’s Edwards and Losman. Short of trading for Brett Farve(who’s old), there wasn’t any quality quarterbacks available to us. I’m hoping what we saw from Edwards in the Steelers game is what we see most of the time in the regular season. Counting on Edwards is a gamble but it is also our best bet.

by jj24 on Aug 31, 2008 10:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

TE

was my #1 need in the draft and the value just wasn’t there to take one. I understand what the FO did but I was crying for a pass catching TE. Instead I feel like we have block first TE’s. But the point is well taken by Kurupt that Royal and Gaines were “serviceable” and Edwards looked for them and got them the ball. The problem is they didn’t have big play abiliity. I hope Fine can get healthy and add that dimension of a guy who can run good routes and consistently get open in the middle. If not, I think again TE becomes #1 need next off-season. I know DE is 1A, but without adding that dimension to this offense it will continue to struggle. All top tier offenses in this league have TE’s that can beat Safeties and win matchups in the red zone….

MARVelous

by MARVelous on Aug 31, 2008 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quality article. Rec!

Only one minor disagreement – I think Schouman will play Week 1.

by Brian Galliford on Aug 31, 2008 11:19 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Schouman

Do you know something i don’t or just an educated guess based on the makeup of the 53 man roster?

Never forget 56-10. Revenge.

by SuperFan82 on Aug 31, 2008 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Definitely the latter. :)

by Brian Galliford on Aug 31, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Chris Brown writes on buffalobills.com that Jauron expects Schouman in opener.

The Bills CAN win every game

by killascript on Aug 31, 2008 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Reed and Royal

I have a hunch we are all going to be pleasantly surprised by the contributions of Reed and Royal in the new offence. Everyone seems to forget the pathetic offence that these two along with the rest of the team had to play in the last few years. Reed still gets slammed for dropping balls his first couple of years but that is not the case anymore as his 60 some? catches last year demonstrate. The TE position has been an afterthought for the last few years unless you focus on the blocking aspect. What was most confusing and maddening about Fairchilds O in this regard is that even though we played chicken#%@^ football all last year the TE wasn’t even part of the passing game for the most part. My biggest concerns about Edwards are if the coaching staff is going to let him stretch the field early and often and if he actually has the balls to not check down all the time as he seems to prefer. One more year of boring, pathetic offencive football and I am gonna pack it in as a Bills fan. Last year was disgusting. SCREW PETERS!

by bflobob8 on Aug 31, 2008 11:22 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Because Of Schedule I Agree ...

This schedule really helps in the transition for this team. I agree with a lot of your assessment. When I was watching the last preseason game, I thought to myself … Holy Sh@% … a few years ago this was the garbage we went into the season with. Now our starting players have to look around and say … “We’ve got the horses to win”. They just have to learn to do it and I think the schedule helps a lot.

I think more of Reed than Superfan, but in the right role. Definately not as a #2 lined up wide. But if he can play the slot I think he can hurt people.

by MrFurious1 on Aug 31, 2008 2:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice review. I am pretty hopeful about Trent Edwards. The great thing about him is that he “gets rid of the ball” which all of the good quarterbacks seem to do, unlike guys like Rob Johnson and J.P. Losman.

So the Bills are close to being a good team this year and I think management some good things on the free agent front, bringing in Stroud, Johnson and Mitchell.

I bet though, at the end of the season, we will be looking back and ruing the absence of Peters. Left tackle is considered the second most important offensive position. Now the Bills have an out of position Walker there and Kirk Chambers at right tackle. Brian described Chambers as “not a horrible player”, which should be reassuring to everyone. I’ll bet Trent Edwards has secretly upped his life insurance policy.

by mikeh on Aug 31, 2008 3:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If Walker does well, and we are competent on the right side, it will be nothing short of lucky-genius. I hope it works out

The Bills CAN win every game

by killascript on Aug 31, 2008 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’d be lucky more than anything….

~K

by Kurupt on Sep 1, 2008 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"genius"

Only in terms of the negotiating stance with Peters

The Bills CAN win every game

by killascript on Sep 1, 2008 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Schedule and Edwards

Have to agree with MrFurious about the easier schedule finally giving the Bills a chance to succeed this year. Didn’t they just have the toughest schedule in the league two years in a row?

As for Edwards, I remember reading somewhere that Bill Walsh thought very highly of him. I would believe Bill Walsh. I think the biggest question mark surrounding Edwards is whether he can stay healthy. I mean he just injured himself colliding with his own running back – not the greatest sign.

Great article.

by thefourwinds on Sep 3, 2008 9:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That wasn't just any running back

That was “Beast Mode”! Guarantee that Trent will make sure he stays out of the way from now on!

Get the Bills back to the big game!

by Blitz on Sep 4, 2008 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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