Sans Brady, AFC East turning into a dogfight
We all know what the big news has been this week, even in Buffalo, where the Buffalo Bills stunned even their own fan base with a dominant Week 1 victory over the Seattle Seahawks. New England Patriots all-world quarterback Tom Brady, the game's most dominant player, was placed on Injured Reserve after tearing up his knee in his team's opening day victory. The fact that the news about Brady has overshadowed one of the most exciting Bills victories in around four years speaks volumes about what Brady means to the AFC East landscape (not to mention the league in general). With Brady, the Patriots had a stranglehold on the division. Without him, things change tremendously.
But before the Bills - or more prudently for us, their fans - allow their dreams to become too extravagant, let's allow time for a little perspective.
Clearly, the New England Patriots will be a different team with fourth-year backup Matt Cassel attempting to emerge from Brady's monstrous shadow. But to discount them completely from the AFC East would, in time, be a laughable error. The team is brought back down to earth a bit by Brady's loss, but they're still a very formidable opponent. They still have a very good offensive line, the game's best receiver in Randy Moss (who, granted, might pout if Cassel flops), and a veteran defense with a physical front seven. Cassel merely needs to be a solid game manager for this team to be serious contenders in the AFC. They're more than playoff contenders at this point; until someone beats them, they're still the leaders of this division. I'm actually quite jealous that the Jets get the first crack at de-throning the Pats this weekend.
Speaking of the New York Jets, clearly they're a part of the conversation simply because of their own quarterback, Brett Favre. Rome wasn't built in a day, but the Jets took a serious stab at it this off-season, spending money like the Washington Redskins, circa early Daniel Snyder years. Their offensive line is better, but they lacked a certain cohesiveness in edging the Dolphins in Miami on opening day. They're certainly a factor, and they're much better than they were in 2007. Favre's presence makes them the media darlings post-Brady, but to think that the Jets are the heir apparent to New England's throne simply because of Favre is absurd. They're merely contenders and a much improved team.
We know that our Buffalo Bills are serious contenders after their opening day thrashing of Seattle. "Experts" will point to the team's youth at the quarterback position (as well as overall team youth) as a reason that they might be early-season pretenders, but pay those notions no mind - this team's potential is higher than it has been in decades. Sure, there could be stumbling blocks (for instance, no team knows what key injuries can mean better than the Bills), but like the Patriots, to discount Buffalo because of these perceived shortcomings would be very unwise.
Even the Miami Dolphins aren't pushovers. The hapless team that took the field in 2007 has been morphed into a tough, physical team with a smart quarterback and some very good athletes. Even though they're not on the same talent level as the rest of the division, they have the make-up of a team that can play spoiler, wreaking havoc on the playoff hopes of their biggest enemies. The Bills in particular have struggled with Chad Pennington in the past (though this wasn't the case as recent as 2007). To automatically assume six wins between the three "contenders" over the Dolphins is, again, a large and ill-advised assumption to make.
The Patriots won't be as strong, but they'll be strong enough. The Jets and Bills are now serious contenders, and they're more even with the Pats than they have been in years. The Dolphins are better, and while they're probably not serious players, they're not close to being the division doormat that they were in 2007. The landscape in this division is remarkably even, and while we can no longer assume anything about the potential order of finish, it's plausible for the Bills' fan base to dream big. So, in the words of Steven Tyler, "dream on".
I, for one, can't stand the speculation and the potential letdown. I've watched this team for too long to get overly excited, though I'd be lying if I told you I wasn't intrigued by the possibilities. In any event, I'll be making an attempt to preserve my sanity by following the team's "one game at a time" attitude. It's exciting to be in this position after just one game, but ultimately, the Bills still have a lot to prove. They can start proving it this weekend in Jacksonville, so that's where my focus will remain.
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who should I root for this weekend?
I don’t know who is more dangerous to our division hopes anymore, the Pats or the Jets? Which is a better team, a Bradyless Pats or a Favred Jets? With the two meeting head to head this Sunday, I’m really torn here, someone convince me of who I should want to lose this game more.
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
Root for the Pats
One more major injury to a key player and they’ll be done, so they might as well do some damage to our other divisional rivals while they can.
Jets to lose
Last season the answer was easy: root for anybody, Jets or otherwise, to beat the Pats. That changed somewhat when the Jets acquired Favre; suddenly they leapfrogged the Bills as the main challengers for AFC East (at least according to some). If it was Favre vs. Brady I would have said a pox on both teams. But now that the Pats have fallen back to earth, its time the Jets get taken down a notch. Jets to lose.
6 to 1 – 1/2 a dozen to the other. Or something like that. either way 1 of them is going to get tagged with a loss this weekend. Let them split the season series and let the Bills keep on winning.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
The Pats of course...
The basic human need…the desire… to root for a winner is best fulfilled by backing the Patriots. Yes, the Patriots are damaged goods but the Jets… the Jets are still… the Jets.
The good news – the Bills will actually have a good chance at the Division this year. ’Course they better do it this season ’cause Tom Brady will be back next year. Yikes !!
by newenglandfootballfan on Sep 10, 2008 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions
You root for neither team, take the result as it happens, and avoid feeling dirty for having cheered on one of our arch rivals. Case closed.
by Brian Galliford on Sep 10, 2008 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions
What fun is that
It is good to get a little dirty. You know what happens to people who sit on the fence don’t you.
LOL.....Good answer
But I think of politicians as jumping back and forth over the fence, telling both sides they will made their grass greener. I was looking for…get piles (fences used to be made of stone). Splinters in their a$$ would have also been an acceptable answer.
Division Games
Because Division record is the most important tie breaker, you’d have to logically go with the Pats. If the Pats win, the Jets will not be 2-0 in the division; the Pats will only be 1-0. We want the other division teams to beat each other up in the intra-division games — so, the Jets having beaten the Fins, you want them to lose, because at 2-0 in the division (with only 2 games left to play, outside of the two games with us), the Jets will have a pretty lead over us at 0-0.
What you say makes sense
but I have a hard time rooting the Pats on, man. I just hate that team.
They’ll still find a way to be a good team even without Brady. Ol’ Billy will pull out all his smoke and mirrors tricks to help his team out. Bank on it.
Get the Bills back to the big game!
It's still the Pats division
I don’t care what just happened, it’s the Pats division to lose. Until they are proven to be a poor team, I’ll view them as the team to beat.
It’s not like this team was a one-man wonder. They still have Pro Bowlers galore, a great coaching staff, a good OL, and a defensive front 7 that will give teams fit. If Randy Moss is focused, their WR’s are as good as anyone’s. If Matt Cassel is solid enough, and doesn’t make many mistakes, I could still see them winning 12-13 games with the easy schedule.
We have to take care of business on our end before worrying about the division foes. Sure, we’ll root for them to lose their out of division games, but it’s week 2, we shouldn’t worry about them that much at this point. Once the season plays itself out a bit, say by week 9-10, we’ll have a better idea of who we’ll be rooting for in our division and the rest of the AFC.
But if I did have to root for one this weekend, I’d root for a Brett Favre complete meltdown and boo fest from the New Jersey fans. Something like 5 INT’s and a 40% completion percentage with maybe a TD. We’ll probably want the Pats to win since I still see them as a playoff team. We’re better than the Jets, so any losses than can get should help out later on. They also have the much easier schedule getting Cincinnati and Tennessee instead of Cleveland and Jacksonville. At least they have to go to SD and Seattle.
We have to keep winning games, especially the very winnable games, like this Sunday. Don’t let up (you hear me Fewell and Jauron??) and go out and win games.
~K
kurupt
Nice post…
I agree.. Bill’s fans should just worry about their team and the rest will fall into place. I hope the Pats do as well as you envision.
This season will be very interesting for a Pats fan and fans of football in general.
by newenglandfootballfan on Sep 10, 2008 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm with you
I honestly think that the injury shouldn’t mean that the Pats will struggle, but just that they aren’t the invincible juggernaut they were last year. They’re still probably the best team, but beating them is at least in the realm of possibility now. drinks kool-aid
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Sep 10, 2008 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Favre
I think it gets lost but the Jets are 1 hit away from being the Patriots with less talent. throw in the fact that Favre is almost 40 years old and the odds are fairly high that he could be injured sometime this year. Buffalo is much better positioned to weather the storm if that were to happen to them.
I don’t care who wins the Pats/Jets game, I’m worried about the Bills taking care of their business and let everything else fall where they may.
I like the way you think
Bills need to take care of business first, then look up at the league scoreboard after they close out Jacksonville.
By the way, that Jets win – that 4th down TD to Stucki was classic Favre – that is a signature play – it could have gone either way. When he wins the game, Favre wins it big. When he loses the game, he loses it big. Its why I’m deeply skeptical about the Jets. Cardiac Kids.
After that beat down of Seattle, on the other hand, I am cautiosly optimistic about the Bills.
interesting take
Nick Bakay at NFL.COM wrote this
“And just like that, you see a red K.C. jersey lunging low at knee level (the same hit, by the way, that the Pats deployed to knock J.P. Losman out a year ago – Karma? Hmmm…).”
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
Hmmm, I didn't see an elbow thrown this time.
by twoeightnine on Sep 10, 2008 8:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Top 5 Teams Bills fans can't route for in order:
1. Cowboys – Two SB losses to a team of a$$holes. They are the Yankees of the NFL.
2. Dolphins – We took to many beatings from them in the 70s & 80s. I was raised hating them. Plus the perfect season thing is annoying.
3. Patriots – Have been jealous of the team for the past 10 years, and they have the most cocky, bandwagon jumping, arrogant fans in the NFL.
4. Jets – In the AFC East so we must route against them, but I actually like the moves they have made.
5. Titians – “Music City Mugging”…enough said!
1. Cowboys – Had to last week, because the Browns represent a possible wild card team in our way.
and the rest, I can only say that if they are playing a team that we need to lose, i will root for them, and i have no problems with that. However, you are right in all other cases
The Bills CAN win every game
I would add one more...
The Colts, for old-time AFC East’s sake
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Sep 10, 2008 10:33 PM EDT up reply actions
BG
Well written… nice job.
The AFC is wide open but, who will step through the door… that is the question.
The Bills must be good – look at last week. Tell me this – were the Bills that good or was Seattle just awful??
The Patriots are wounded and I doubt that Matt Cassel can be the TB of 2001 but, I’m not giving up the division yet. I’m pretty sure the Dolphins will continue to suck, we’ll learn more about the Jets this Sunday and that leaves the Bills. I hate to say it but I think Buffalo may be the team to beat.
by newenglandfootballfan on Sep 10, 2008 6:11 PM EDT reply actions
Glad you think so, but I can’t convince myself of the same thing.
by Brian Galliford on Sep 10, 2008 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions
I think when the Dolphins play the Jets next time, it could very easily be the other way around, as I see both teams as mediocre. Both have gotten better, but neither has what it takes down the stretch adn their weaknesses may be exploited. Also, i think Pennington adds as much to the Dolphins as Favre to the Jets in terms of what was lacking on either team.
Also, I am very concerned that the Bills beat p on a very shabby Seahawks team, and that this could end up like 2005, where we handled the Texans quite well, but then got our butts kicked the following few weeks in Tampa and New Orleans. However, in all honesty, we are much better than then, and the Seahawks D is much better than that putrid Texans team we faced in JPs first start when he threw the TD to Jason Peters. Weird saying that
The Bills CAN win every game
killa
So… the Seahawks are pretty much terrible ?? I thought they might be decent this year.
by newenglandfootballfan on Sep 11, 2008 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions

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