Buffalo Rumblings: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Sean Keeley's Week 12 College Football Buffet

Bills/Jaguars: What to Watch For

Thebestteameverred_medium      Jax_medium
Buffalo Bills (1-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)
Sunday, 1:00 PM ET (CBS)

The Buffalo Bills, in just under two days' time, will play their most highly-anticipated regular season game in recent memory when they travel to Jacksonville to take on a tough Jaguars team.  There's no need to bring up just how big a win in Jacksonville would be to this franchise; I believe that every Bills fan out there has subconsciously felt that importance ever since the team's 34-10 opening day win over Seattle.  A win would be huge, to be certain, but it's also important to realize that a loss isn't the end of the world - and this game will almost assuredly be a battle.

This is a very winnable game for the Bills.  The Jags are reeling a bit after dropping a 17-10 decision to the Tennessee Titans on opening day, and their injury woes on the offensive line are well-documented.  But this is the NFL.  The Jags may be weakened, but they'll be ready.  The Bills will be ready too.  Here's what Buffalo needs to do to emerge from Jacksonville with an unblemished record...

Third downs will be key: Buffalo got lucky in this area against Seattle.  Poor weather and great defense - on both sides of the ball - led to both the Bills and Seahawks' poor third down conversion rates; the Seahawks converted just 3 of 16 third downs into firsts, while the Bills weren't much better at 4 of 16.  The Bills' defense will be looking for a repeat performance in this category in Jacksonville, but if the offense can't improve on that number, they'll be in serious trouble.  It's going to be a hot one, and the team with the most rested defense will have a huge advantage.  Sustaining drives is an absolute must.

Run. The. Ball.: I don't care how it gets done.  They can pass to set up the run, they can run to set up the pass; the only thing that matters is that the Bills have a consistent rushing attack in this game.  They didn't have that against Seattle - they had a few big runs by Marshawn Lynch and a mediocre attack beyond those carries.  O-Line coach Sean Kugler needs to start making a concerted effort in getting his massive offensive line (average weight: 332) blocking well in the running game.  They weren't particularly effective against Seattle, and they've got some big bodies to move around in Jacksonville.  They'll need to be on their game - Jason Peters or no Jason Peters.

Utilize the screen pass offensively: If we know anything about Jags defensive coordinator Gregg Williams, it's that he likes to employ an aggressive defense.  He'll blitz, he'll stunt, he'll mix it up - he'll do anything it takes to keep the Bills off-balance.  The only way that the Bills can re-gain that balance is to keep the Jags on their toes, and that's achieved by the screen pass.  The Bills were dangerously close to having some considerably large gains on screens against Seattle, but the passes couldn't be completed.  That play, while not completely imperative to beating the Jaguars, would go a long way toward making Williams re-think his aggressive ways.

Eliminate explosive Jags runs: To be honest, I'm not overly concerned about Jacksonville's dynamic rushing duo of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew.  I have a lot of confidence in this Bills defense, particularly against Jacksonville's weakened offensive front.  I don't think the Jags will be able to run the ball consistently no matter how they try it.  With backs as talented as Taylor and MoJo, however, one run is all you need to have a big day.  The Bills can't allow either of these backs to explode in this game for a long play, especially a scoring play - it would render all of their run stuffs pretty worthless.

Contain QB David Garrard: It's no secret that Garrard is a threat when running - just take a look at his game-clinching jaunt in Jacksonville's playoff win over Pittsburgh last season.  It's also no secret that Jacksonville's wide receivers - boosted by the return to health of Jerry Porter - have a very large size advantage over Buffalo's competitive but diminutive corners.  Pass rush Garrard all you want, but don't let him escape the pocket, whatever you do, Buffalo.  Garrard is dangerous on the move, and coverages generally break down when quarterbacks run - which will emphasize that size advantage in the receiving corps.  Keeping Garrard contained is absolutely essential when the Jags are throwing - and the team's two best defenders last Sunday, Marcus Stroud and Kawika Mitchell, need to be the erasers.

Much more on this game tomorrow and on game day, when we'll cover the event live with our usual Open Game Thread.  We're hearing some things about personnel and game situations that we'll pass your way tomorrow as well (though, at this time, none of it is confirmed).  Stay tuned!

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Very nice post Brian

I pretty much agree across the board there.

I totally forgot about 3rd downs when I was thinking of keys to the game. We absolutely HAVE to be better there offensively. 25% conversion rate just isn’t going to cut it, especially this week. Picking up 3rd downs offensively, will help our D just as much. If they can get their rest and we can keep them off the field, imagine how fresh they’ll be in the 2nd half?

The screen pass is something our O should really excel in. With huge linemen that can also run pretty well, and two RB’s with good hands and shiftiness, we should be running 4-5 of these every game. I’m surprised we didn’t see Jackson involved in the passing game at all last week, but I expect that to change this week. I love screens to the RB’s, even when they aren’t successful, you usually still pick up 4-5 yards unless it’s completely disrupted.

~K

by Kurupt on Sep 12, 2008 4:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I pretty much agree across the board there.

I’m 99.9% certain that’s a first. :)

by Brian Galliford on Sep 12, 2008 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that is true

throw in the phrases “pass rush” or “dick jauron” and it’s probably a different story

~K

by Kurupt on Sep 12, 2008 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jacksonville on "O"

The Bills must pay special attention to the Jags screen passes to the RB’s. They tried to use it against the Titans when the run game wasn’t working.

by the Skycap on Sep 12, 2008 4:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Special Teams

The Specials simply have to outplay the opponents STs for the Bills to beat a team of this calibur on the road. It has been mentioned that the last time these two teams met, the Bills were still in the game up until the 4th quarter. The score may have been close, but the game was anything but. The Bills got outplayed in every facet of the game last time including special teams.

MJD averaged more yards per return last time (26.5) than McGee’s longest return of the day was (26). Adam Podlesh only had one punt, a 51 yarder that Parrish took back 12 yards, while Moorman struggled and averaged under 40 yards a punt, while only pinning Jax inside their own 20 once. The Bills will have to do better than that to win on Sunday.

by kaisertown on Sep 12, 2008 5:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

All about 3rd down

If our offense is going to improve this year, we need consistent third down conversions. The winner of that battle, most likely wins this game

The Bills CAN win every game

by killascript on Sep 12, 2008 5:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

How is their secondary?

I know the front seven of the Jaguars is scary as hell but how is their secondary. Do they have a legitimate corner to line up against Evans, is this a secondary that we can beat deep. Hitting Evans or Parrish long would really help our run game as we would be stretching the field.

"Where else would you rather be than right here, right now?"

by ArenZimm on Sep 12, 2008 6:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Rashean Mathis is pretty good, he made the Pro Bowl in ’06

~K

by Kurupt on Sep 12, 2008 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A) I wouldn’t classify the Jags’ front seven as “scary as hell”, more just “very, very good”
B) They’re deep, but beyond Mathis and maybe safety Reggie Nelson, they’re pretty average in my mind. If the Bills can find ways to get Evans off of Mathis – as they found ways to get him off of Trufant last week – then the passing attack shouldn’t be too bad.

by Brian Galliford on Sep 12, 2008 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Mathis is a borderline stud. He is a true number 1 CB who does everything well. It will be interesting to see how Buffalo handles him and will give us another way to try and judge how conservative Juaron and Schonert are/aren’t. Mathis is a gambler who goes for interceptions and plays so physical that he gets called for big pass interference penalties with some regularity. The Bills should try and go deep on him early, but I would be wary throwing slants, curls and outs his way.

I loved Reggie Nelson coming out of college. He is a phenominal athlete for his size and the position he plays and can really deliver a hit, without being a liability in the secondary.

Drayton Florence was discussed as a possible FA that the Bills should/could look at. I wasn’t a huge fan of the move as I view him as just an average corner. He would’ve been an upgrade over Greer, but I wouldn’t be afraid to throw at him all day.

Brian Williams has been a cornerback his whole career and was moved to SS this season. He obviously has good coverage skills for the position and while he is a sound tackler, he can be a liability in run support.

I am not particularly afraid of their D-Line. Henderson is obviously a stud talent, but Rob Meier is overrated due to his 4 sack season last year. He started 9 games and played an important role in the other 7 games and only had 2 tackles for a loss on run plays. With John Henderson pushing lines around, that is pretty poor production. Chris Johnson ran all over them a week ago and I think their D-Line is a little overrated vs. the run.

They are super deep at defensive end with Derrick Harvey, Paul Spicer, Reggie Hayward and Quintin Groves. Personally, I am not afraid of any of them. The return of Peters and Walker back on the right side lead me to believe that the OT vs. DE battle will be a positive for the Bills. Lets just hope that Peters and Walker hold up against a true rotation in the heat. Things cuold get sloppy in the 4th quarter if the Bills defense is too good and the offense spends a lot of time on the field (it’s funny to think about it that way).

Jacksonville’s linebackers are the best unit of the defense. Mike Peterson is a great MLB. He has 1,226 career tackles and had 190 in 2005 and 116 in 10 games last year. Get ready to hear his name over and over again on sunday. Daryl Smith is a converted MLB who has a great size/speed combo and has a nose for the ball. I think he is one of the more underrated players in the league. Justin Durant is a speedy linebacker who played well last season despite making the jump from DII Hampton. The team is expecting a nice bump up in production from last year. This is one of the better linebacker trios in the league.

by kaisertown on Sep 12, 2008 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cliche time!

Trite, but this game will turn on the battles in the trenches. Hot day, big guys. Who has more desire, who wants it more in the 4th qtr?
I can’t see the Jags with their injuries being consistent enough on O. Not enough to sustain drives, and wear the Buffalo D down. Prevent a big play and Buffalo is in good shape.
I think Schonert will do the opposite of what is expected, and pass to set up the draws and screens. He showed an approach of being aggressive and unpredictable against Seattle, and I expect that to continue. Gregg will go all out after Edwards, and I see delays and traps after the Jags d-ends are upfield.
Bills 20 – Jags 10

by LeClaireBill on Sep 12, 2008 6:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

this is a great test

for this Bills offense. I think defensively we can win those battles and Special Teams will probably be a draw, so this will be a great challenge for Trent and the O cuz we ain’t getting 14 special teams TD’s this week. Got to take our shots down the field, have to run the ball and hopefully we can hit one or two big plays

MARVelous

by MARVelous on Sep 12, 2008 9:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the bills

they said the bills will win the divition becouse tom braedys injury

by buffalo on Sep 14, 2008 2:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

we finaly have a good team

its about time we are in the spot light

by buffalo on Sep 14, 2008 2:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

SB Nation's home for daily Buffalo Bills coverage.

Community Guidelines

Start posting about the Bills »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Best Future Coach...
Billsjaguars_small
On Mike Shanahan and Gary Kubiak
Hamstergolfhd4_small
3 Things We Need to Know: Weeks 5-10
Dib_small
Bills fans, I'm coming for you...
Bills_small
Release of Hamdan
Picture_2_small
Two possible father/son combos
Images_small
The Remaining Games
Sst1_small
Jacksonville weekend
Bills_small
Strong Kudos to Ralph Wilson
Bills_small
Reflecting On the Edwards Era

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Latest NFL Headlines from SB Nation

Mobile Live
Garrett Wolfe Out For the Year (Updated)
Mobile Live
Friday Notes: Lions Place Stephen Peterman on IR, Sign Eric Fowler
Mobile Live
Well, Isn't That Special (Teams)?

Editor-in-Chief

Ronswanson_small Brian Galliford

Editors

Sucks_small Kurupt

Mrsinister03_small sireric

Billsjaguars_small MattRichWarren

Authors

Dynamics_small Ron From NM

Slide1_small Der Jaeger

Nfl-toronto_small kaisertown