Bills/Rams: Three Key Matchups
The 2008 Buffalo Bills are 3-0. Not much has gone wrong to this point for the young up-and-coming team - Trent Edwards is showing glimpses of being the team's quarterback of the future; the team's defense is ranked fifth overall in the league; explosive special teams plays have had a big impact in two of the three wins. As of this moment, all is well in Buffalo.
The 2008 St. Louis Rams are 0-3. The team's quarterback and captain, Marc Bulger, has been benched - and may be refusing to play for his coach, Scott Linehan, in the future. Steven Jackson, the face of the franchise, is publicly questioning team moves. The team's defense ranks dead last in the league, surrendering 456.7 yards per game, and the team is losing games by an average score of 38-10.
So yes - despite declarations that the Bills aren't taking the still-talented Rams lightly, this is a game that the Bills should win, probably with ease. Nothing can be taken for granted in the NFL, however, especially when the team favored is on the road. We'll talk more about keys to victory (with Kurupt once again leading the charge); today, it's all about the matchups. Here are three key matchups that the Bills will need to exploit for victory on Sunday:
Lee Evans vs Ron Bartell and O.J. Atogwe
Despite the fact that Evans is averaging over 20 yards on his 12 receptions this season, the Bills haven't gotten Evans deep as often as they'd like to. If there's a game in which the Bills will be able to routinely make plays down the field, this one is it, as the Rams secondary has given up plenty of big gainers through their first three games. Making big plays down the field is a must-do for the Bills; the team has been content to control tempo with short throws underneath, but in the last two games, that approach has kept the Jaguars and Raiders in the game. The Bills need to get out to a quick and commanding lead early in this one, and the best way to do that is to get Evans involved early and deep. Evans is a step or two better than both Bartell and Atogwe, so the ability to get deep will be there.
Terrence McGee vs Donnie Avery
St. Louis' brash rookie wide receiver, who has guaranteed he'll be unveiling his touchdown dance this Sunday, will be the most dangerous Rams receiver to take the field on Sunday simply because he's faster than the man he'll be lining up with, Torry Holt. The Bills had a pretty easy go of it defending Javon Walker last week; Johnnie Lee Higgins was a different story. McGee, the starting defense's best pure tackler, will draw the assignment of covering Avery on Sunday, and with good reason - he's easily the most technically sound of Buffalo's corners and won't give up the big play. He also has the hitting ability to make the rookie wideout pay for his brash guarantee.
Leodis McKelvin vs Donnie Jones
Remember how Bills punter Brian Moorman got so good? He played on some awful Bills teams early in his career, punted enough to somehow elevate his status to "fan favorite", and honed his craft. St. Louis' Donnie Jones is currently doing the same thing - he leads the league with a whopping 51.9-yard punting average and is fifth in net average (42.2) on a league-high 20 punts. What's more, he won't have to punt to Roscoe Parrish this weekend - likely a load off of his mind. Jones has a big leg, which as Moorman has showcased can actually hurt a punt coverage unit. If Jones gets too much leg on a punt and out-kicks his coverage, the rookie McKelvin - returning punts for the first time in the NFL - has to find a way to make him pay.
Much more on this game tomorrow.
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Comments
McGee is the best tackler?
Of the DBs I would have though that Youboty would have gotten the nod. I can’t recall him missing a tackle this season. I do recall him stopping guys dead in their tracks as soon as he makes contact…
by Ron From NM on Sep 27, 2008 10:39 AM EDT 0 recs
I'd have to agree with Ron.
With Youboty this year it has been first contact is the only contact, no matter where on the field the play is being made.
by twoeightnine on
Sep 27, 2008 11:51 AM EDT
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I also agree that Youboty is the best tackler, which is why I said that McGee is the best tackler of the STARTING defense.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 27, 2008 12:27 PM EDT
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leodis
is gonna have a BIG day returning kicks, mark my words, i can smell it the western new york air.
by BillsFan119 on Sep 27, 2008 11:10 AM EDT 0 recs
All the way from St.Louis? Thats one good sniffer you’ve got there.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Sep 27, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
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hopefully on punts only. It would be wonderful if he only had a chance to return one or two kickoffs……
~K
by Kurupt on
Sep 28, 2008 1:15 AM EDT
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Brian...
Commendable job… I see you really had to dig to come up with these “key matchups” this week…
But then again, this is the NFL, and any given Sunday still applies….
by Cinga on Sep 27, 2008 4:35 PM EDT 0 recs
I wouldn’t call Jones vs. McKelvin a matchup. I would call it a golden oppurtunity. Donnie Jones is an average punter who just boots the ball as hard and far as he can. Only 1 of his 20 punts has been fair caught this year and he only has 37 FCs his whole career. Moorman had 36 in just his last 2 seasons. DeSean Jackson averaged 12 yards a return against Jones in week 1 and Doemink Hixon averaged 19 yards a return in week 2. The only reason Jones’ net average is in the 40s is that Micheal Bumpus (who wouldn’t make another team’s roster) only averaged 5 yards a return in week 3. STL has already given up 2 punt returns of over 50 yards this season. Even in the preseason Jones and the coverage unit got lit up. Mediocre returner Craig “Buster” Davis took a return back 36 yards in their first preseason game. Chris Carr averaged 13 yards a return in the second. Former Bill Jim Leonhard had a 41 yard PR in the third game and BJ Sams had a 34 yard return in their final preseason game. If McKelvin doesn’t make a big play on a punt return, it will be a dissapointment.
Are we actually worried about Donnie Avery? I would have to go 10+ matchups deep before I got to our secondary vs. Avery as an important matchup. He was a reach of a draft pick, has looked lost and confused all through OTAs and training camp, was barely noticeble in preseason and is now starting only out of necessity. Dane Looker can’t be much for competition. Avery will always be a threat to beat you over the top due to his track speed, but between the preseaon and regular season he has only caught one ball that actually traveled 10 or more yards in the air.
I would say Peters vs. Chris Long as a key matchup. Peters has looked pretty shaky in his first two games back and Long has all the tools to beat Peters in a number of ways.
Dante Hall vs. the coverage units is a big one too. The Bills should win this game easily. It will become much less easy if their current coverage units can’t improve. Hall isn’t the player he was 5 years ago, but he is still a solid returner and a big play could keep the game close.
by kaisertown on Sep 27, 2008 4:50 PM EDT 0 recs
Peters has looked pretty shaky in his first two games back
Yes, because he’s got a bum ankle and he’s only been back for (pushing) 3 weeks. I don’t think he’ll have trouble with Long at all.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 27, 2008 5:21 PM EDT
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Sure you can blame last week’s struggles on the ankle, but he has still only been practicing with the team for a few weeks. I don’t know how we can assume that Chris Long won’t make an impact. He racked up 7 tackles last week against Walter Jones and beat David Diehl for a great sack two weeks ago. Long went second overall because he is a stud. He will make some plays on Sunday and we should be hoping that Peters can prevent the big ones. It is one of the few matchups I am not overly confident about. While I’m not worried about Long leading the Rams to victory, I am worried about a big sack and forced fumble keeping this game close for far longer than it should be.
by kaisertown on
Sep 27, 2008 9:48 PM EDT
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Let me try that again
Jason Peters at his very best vs. Chris Long would still be one of the couple most important matchups for Buffalo. He is already one of the Rams best defenders and he is essentially their only pass rush. Beating Long is a key for the offensive unit as a whole and if Jason Peters can handle that on his own, it would be a huge advantage for Buffalo.
by kaisertown on
Sep 27, 2008 9:55 PM EDT
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I wouldn't be surprised if Peters gets as much or more help than Walker
Look for RBs and TEs to chip Long on their way into pass patterns. It only takes a 1/2 second and can really help out a struggling lineman.
by Ron From NM on
Sep 27, 2008 11:10 PM EDT
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