Bills/Rams Film Review: Bills Offense
There's plenty to be excited about in Buffalo with the Buffalo Bills off to a 4-0 start for the first time since 1992. Yet despite four straight wins to open the 2008 regular season, Bills fans seem increasingly negative about the team's play, specifically in the last two weeks. I'm here to quell some of that pessimism - because what I saw in tape in reviewing the Bills' 31-14 victory over the Rams was quite encouraging. The tape never lies.
For the third time in four games, the Bills started off slowly offensively. The penalties, missed assignments and general first-half woes that our (still very young) offense has displayed are the most-referenced low points when Bills fans are staying cautious about the team's prospects. Caution is a great thing to have - in fact, caution is the preferable route at this point when laying out expectations for this team - but we're a lot closer to having a great game offensively than many realize.
Miscues and brand new schemes
Much of the early-game lack of success that the Bills have displayed stems from what defenses are doing. The Rams - who got absolutely blitzed by the Eagles, Giants and Seahawks in their first three games - came out and did a lot of overloading and stunting in their blitz packages defensively, something they hadn't done in their first three losses. The result was some blown assignments in pass protection, which was largely responsible for the Bills' offensive woes early in this particular game.
The other culprit? Mistakes - and those likely stemmed from a couple of factors. First, I thought that offensive coordinator Turk Schonert was a bit too urgent in this game. The Bills didn't really try to establish their rushing game - not until the third quarter, at least - and most of the passes they threw were throws down the field. That's uncharacteristic of a Schonert offense (at least the one we've seen to date), and it kept the Bills in several third-and-unmanageable situations. Stemming from that sense of urgency on Schonert's part was offensive personnel that seemed to be pushing - in fact, borderline desperate - as well. That led to some of the penalties (though the early holding call on Jason Peters, which negated a long Marshawn Lynch run, was, in fact, garbage).
Buffalo needs to tighten up the screws early in the game, there's no doubt about it. They're seeing exotic looks and they're shooting themselves in the foot. They're going to have to deal with the looks, because those will keep coming. If they eliminate the mistakes, however, and remain true to their offensive identity, they can be much more effective in the first half. In particular, they need to deal with the early blitz better, because Trent Edwards took too many big hits in this one. Better play-calling will take care of it.
Blocking scheme changes
While the Bills were struggling to run the ball in the first half, the team spent a lot of time running in-tackle, and Peters pulled to the right on a lot of those plays. The results, as you all are aware, were less than impressive - though if there aren't two penalties negating long runs (I said the Peters hold was garbage, which it was, but the trip on Melvin Fowler was a good call), we're not complaining about Buffalo's rushing effort in this game.
Buffalo clearly made a concerted effort to re-establish their running game in the third quarter, and they did it with a slightly adjusted blocking scheme. They mixed in plenty of off-tackle runs, which led to some of Marshawn Lynch's longer runs of the game. Fred Jackson had success off the edge as well. Rather than pulling Peters in the second half, it was Langston Walker doing most of the pulling. Man, is it fun to watch that guy sprint full-out. Walker wasn't laying a lot of lumber on these plays, but a man that size doesn't have to - he creates space because he's so big. The Bills' diversity in their run game play-calling, with a dash of determination, was what led to success - and it's what created a hole straight up the middle for Jackson on his first career touchdown rush.
Lee Evans: key to Buffalo's offense
The Bills did a smart thing getting Lee Evans involved early - his 49-yard reception on the first play of the game was a thing of beauty - but they need to find ways to spread his production out through an entire game. Evans' second and final reception came in the fourth quarter, the 39-yard touchdown grab that put the game on ice. He needs to be more of a factor in the middle quarters; I'm confident he would have been had Edwards had more time to throw.
Some fun stats for any stragglers out there who think Evans doesn't deserve a lucrative contract extension from the Bills: over two seasons, Trent Edwards is 9-4 as an NFL starting quarterback. In those thirteen games, Evans has had at least 50 receiving yards nine times - all wins. He's had less than 50 receiving yards four times - all losses. Take that further - in the 20 games the Bills have played since the start of the 2007 season, Evans has notched at least 50 receiving yards in 11 of those games. That's right, folks - over the past two years, the Bills are 11-0 in games where Evans nabs 50 receiving yards, and 0-9 when he doesn't. Getting him involved is quite obviously the key to success for Buffalo's offense, and it's a pretty inarguable point.
Reviews of the defense and special teams are coming your way later today. Stay tuned...
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Comments
nice read galliford. those are some pretty interesting stat lines on evans. way to dig it up!
by BillsFan119 on Sep 30, 2008 9:30 AM EDT 0 recs
Good stuff Brian
I would argue that throwing the ball early was a good idea, even though it didn’t work out. One of the biggest complaints about Fairchild was how predictable the offense was. The problem in the first 2 series was not the play selection; it was the fact that Hardy could not catch the ball. I am not trying to rip the guy. He is a rookie and some of the passes were not on target, but they were still thrown his way and he couldn’t catch them.
The second quarter is where I think the play calling needed to change. Turk should have had enough time to realize that we could not handle the blitzes we were seeing. Maybe he could not change the blocking scheme until half time, but he could have called more of the plays we saw in the second half of the game in the second quarter.
Lastly, if Peters had one bad play or penalty, we would not be giving him this much heat. The fact is that he killed at least 2 drives (Ron?) through penalties at critical times and got beat like a boy named Sue on several occasions, which almost got Edwards killed. He needs to improve quickly, no more excuses!!!
by Joe P. on Sep 30, 2008 10:01 AM EDT 0 recs
Agreed - Nice Read
Way to go Brian – Evans is certainly a player other teams need to game plan against. Not sure AZ’s corners and safeties can take him away this week either.
I do think we went at the Rams using the Pass to set up the run. This made us vulnerable to blitzes and pressure in 1st half. When we came out in 2nd half we ran from the spread and had more success.
With Roscoe out our strength is in the 2 headed monster of Beast Mode / Play Action Jackson – and we should try to keep both players on the field on early downs to avoid 3rd and long. Running an end around to either back from a split position will prevent some of the run blitzes and backside pursuit we saw this past Sunday.
Look at the highlight of TD and 1st play toss to Lee. I formation, play action, 8 in the box trying to stop the run – and we called the right play to Lee with single coverage. It bears noting that TE audibled away from pass on 3rd and 5 before TD to Lee that resulted in Lynch’s 11 yd 1st down scamper. The game gets simpler when one can run on pass looks and throw on run looks.
To preserve Trent would like to see more Max Protect out of I formation look and also roll him out more on short to intermediate routes.
by freddyjj on Sep 30, 2008 10:03 AM EDT 0 recs
Hardy's Non-Catches
In rewatching the game did Hardy’s non-catches look more like he didn’t pull the ball in or it was exceptional coverage by a young secondary. The few times they threw to him he looked covered but he had his chance.
Great post.
by Frank L on Sep 30, 2008 10:28 AM EDT 0 recs
He just played passively. He’s not attacking the ball at its highest point, like a 6’5" receiver should. And when he does, he’s lucky if it doesn’t bounce off his hands. He’s going to get better; I’m just not convinced it will happen quickly.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 30, 2008 12:26 PM EDT
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As is the case with most rookie WR’s.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Sep 30, 2008 12:28 PM EDT
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nice stuff
I think the simple answer revolves around the play of the OL. Once again, they were quite poor in the first half, and our major struggles occurred then. If they can up their game and play more consistently, we’ll see run game improvements and Trent will be getting hit less.
I don’t think saying other teams are throwing different schemes at us is a good way to explain the struggles. They are the reason we start slow, maybe, but at some point the team has to learn to beat different schemes earlier in games. We’re going to see different looks all year and can’t continue playing poorly for a half before turning it around. Well maybe we can, but it’s not what I want to see or a good way to keep winning. I know you said that we’re going to continue seeing them, this is up to Schonert devising different schemes/blocking and the players (mostly OL) playing MUCH better. I also think Trent has looked a lot less comfortable in the first half of games. Whether that’s due to the increased pressure that has gotten to him or something else, we need him to play a little more consistently earlier. Of course, if he’s going to play well in games, I’ll take the 2nd half each time.
I think we need to run off-tackle so much more than we have. All offseason we talked about getting the ball to Lynch and Jackson in more space, we can do that in the run game by running outside more. HOpefully with some success. I’d like to see us run a few plays like the Rams, designed cutbacks. They seem to run a few plays where they hand it to Jackson looking to go left, but he immediately cuts it right. The RT takes the DE outside, while the majority of the flow is on the left side, generating a decent hole for the RB. I’d like to see something similar. Play to our strengths in the run game Turk! Off tackle!
Good stats on Evans. That’s part of the reason I want to see us get him involved early. Just off the top of my head, his biggest games are the ones where he sees the ball early and often. I know it’s easier said than done, but it’d be a wise idea to devise ways to get it to him early. Quick slants, bubble screens, hitches, etc… I want to go the TO, Randy Moss route and get him the ball early to keep him involved. I think it just helps open up the rest of the offense if our top WR is involved in the action early. And obviously in Evans’ case, often enough to get him 50 yards!! I guess that’s not a huge surprise since the games we lost last year, our O seemed to be overmatched for most of them….
I personally want to see Evans get more touches. The 88 yards against STL was fine, but only 2 catches just isn’t enough. Come on Turk, find a way!
~K
by Kurupt on Sep 30, 2008 10:48 AM EDT 0 recs
Evans needs more touches?
Direct snap to him! It’s the Wild Bill formation!
You know, I was kidding, but I like how ‘Wild Bill formation’ sounds…
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on
Sep 30, 2008 12:12 PM EDT
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re: Schemes – why wouldn’t completely unforeseen defensive schemes be responsible for a slow offensive start? I don’t get you there. Schonert did make adjustments prior to halftime, but as I said, he was pushing the action, and it backfired on him. He’ll learn.
As for Edwards looking uncomfortable in the first half – again, I think the fact that he’s seeing coverages he’s never seen before has a lot to do with it. He’ll be fine, too, with more experience. He’s only now learning how to handle these situations.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 30, 2008 12:28 PM EDT
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Well we can’t come out every game slowly because of some different scheme we’re going against. There will be times that a fast start is absolutely necessary. Other teams face unforeseen schemes each week and are still able to have early success, why can’t we? Love the adjustments being made, but it’d be nice if our O was coming out and forcing the D to adjust. With a young QB and new OC, it’s not unexpected that we have early struggles, it’s just that we need to mitigate them and find ways to have stronger starts….
~K
by Kurupt on
Sep 30, 2008 12:41 PM EDT
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Other teams face unforeseen schemes each week and are still able to have early success, why can’t we?
We can. See Jacksonville. We just need to do it more often, and it’ll get easier as Schonert/Edwards get more experience. That’s all I’m trying to say.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 30, 2008 12:45 PM EDT
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Great Analysis Bryan
I am most concerned about Evan’s involvement. I am all for giving him the extension and keeping him here but they have to find a way to let him take over a game and we know he can. Hopefully as our other WR’s continue to develop things can open up for Lee.
I agree that key to this is protecting Edwards. He appeared in 10 games last year (started 9) and was sacked a total of 12 times. This year, in 4 games, he has been sacked 11 times. I would attribute this to our conservative approach last year (less sacks) but I am excited to see what this offense can do as they continue to improve this season.
by BuffaloWill on Sep 30, 2008 12:53 PM EDT 0 recs
Something else to consider here
According to Pat Kirwan of NFL.com, Edwards is second in the NFL with 8 dropped passes. Only Cutler and McNabb have more at 10. 8 may not seem like much but that could be the continuation of a drive or getting into field goal postion.
Also Trent is third in the leage in 4th quarter efficiency behind only Favre and Rivers. That is pretty good company.
http://www.nfl.com/news/story?id=09000d5d80b3a83f&template=with-video&confirm=true
by RabidBuffalo on Sep 30, 2008 2:31 PM EDT 0 recs
I would consider Trent 2nd in 4th quarter efficienty. Favre shouldn’t count since those starts are all ballooned based on the garbage time points against SD and Arizona…..
8 dropped passes? I can think of a few, mostly Hardy. Sure is a lot more than I can remember….
~K
by Kurupt on
Sep 30, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
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Anyone still think Edwards can't gun it downfield to Lee?
Thats been the biggest and happiest thing I’ve seen all year is those bombs to Lee. Agreed, we MUST do a better job as an O to get him the ball much earlier and much more often no matter how whether its downfield on a play action pass or screens, etc, just get him into it.
Hardy’s struggles will continue, he is a rookie who is raw playing in the NFL his first year, nothing else. He wasn’t known as a precise route runner in college nor a heady player as far as on the fly adjustments. I just wish McKlevin’s attack attack attack attitude would rub off on Hardy so he’ll use that big 6’5" frame to abuse DBs. But, I think he’ll come on near the end of the season, the time out in Training Camp probably hasn’t helped.
Teams are over pursuing our RBs and we need to run more misdirection and counter plays to take advantage of them. The reason is quite simple, while Turk is a much more capable OC than SFM ever was, he is still using some of the same tactics, lets run up the gut, lets run outside in a predictable manner. He needs to take a line from the Rams as K mentioned and start stealing the cut back lane concept, or go watch film of the Broncos from ‘95-’05 and get the big uglies up front moving guys off the ball that way, it may even make up for Fowler’s very poor run blocking to an extent.
Overall, I just think the O needs to adjust a little better in the first quarter (more audibles for Trent maybe?) and get Lee the ball more early. We also need to keep Trent upright and I don’t want to hear anymore crap about Trent’s lack of arm strength, kid is getting it done! We will see improvement after the Bye I think, and we should start pounding teams earlier in the game. I hope we go 5-0 but with the roller coaster ride of an O we have right now, I might get 5 ulcers instead!
Fear the mighty helmet wearing gopher, he is coming for your soul....
by WABillsfan on Sep 30, 2008 4:39 PM EDT 0 recs

















