Three Buffalo Bills poised for breakout years
The Buffalo Bills, as far as we can tell to this point, have been built the right way. When head coach Dick Jauron was hired and Buffalo's front office came under the leadership of Marv Levy (and later the Brandon/Modrak/Guy trio), the team-builders chose to add young talent to its defense and to let its offense mature at its own pace. The results to date haven't yielded great results, but promise remains.
As such, the Bills - despite entering the third year of Jauron and company's building phase - remain one of the NFL's youngest outfits. That means that if the team is to approach its lofty expectations of ending its nearly decade-long playoff drought, some of Buffalo's younger players will need to become household names. There are certainly more than just three Bills players with the potential to break out in 2008, but here are the three names we believe are most likely to have stellar seasons in what is expected to be a strong playoff push year for Buffalo.
WR Lee Evans - No, I'm not exactly going out on a limb here, because Evans is already one of Buffalo's team captains and its most lethal offensive threat. What Evans isn't, however - at least at this point in time - is an elite receiver in the league. The 27-year old, entering his fifth NFL season, has enjoyed a productive start to his career, scoring 29 touchdowns over his first four years. We're all aware, however, that his production slipped dramatically after a 2006 season in which his 82 receptions, 1,292 yards and eight scores nearly landed him in the Pro Bowl.
Things are different for Evans this year, however. For the first time in his career, Evans will be working in an offense that is both competent and plays to his strengths. Turk Schonert has found ways to get Evans open throughout the pre-season, and that will continue in the regular season. Evans' route-running is on the verge of perfect, and he's smart with the ball in his hands, so he'll stay healthy. If his quarterback stays healthy - and admittedly, that's a big "if" at this point - Evans is on his way to becoming one of the better receivers in the league. Don't forget it's his contract year, either - he hasn't signed that rumored extension yet, so for now, he's still playing for that big deal.
DT Kyle Williams - No one will benefit more from playing defense with new DT Marcus Stroud than his running mate, Williams. Lots of folks - including yours truly - have underestimated Williams' athleticism in the past. The truth is, Williams is an excellent athlete made better by his insatiably thirsty motor. We just haven't noticed yet because Williams spent his first two seasons manning the nose tackle position in Buffalo's Tampa 2 scheme.
With Stroud on board, Williams will now spend most of his time at the 3-technique tackle position, where he'll be asked to do more penetrating and more pass rushing. Williams recorded the first two sacks of his career in 2007, a number he should easily surpass this season. He's been one of Buffalo's most productive defensive lineman since setting foot here as a fifth-round draft pick in '06, and with less pressure and more opportunity, Williams has a shot to open a lot of eyes.
SS Donte Whitner - The man behind this year's Bills playoff guarantee, Whitner enters his third season in the league poised to assert himself as one of the league's best safeties. He's been solid, yet largely unspectacular, in his first two NFL seasons - while he's amassed 194 total tackles and has emerged as the leader of not just the defense, but perhaps the entire team, his big-play impact has been minimal. Whitner recorded an interception in his first NFL game (off of Tom Brady, no less), but has only nabbed one more since the '06 season opener.
If Buffalo's defense is going to take its expected giant leap forward in 2008 - as they're in their third year together and in the system, it's not an unreasonable expectation - you can bet Whitner, as a playmaker, will be the centerpiece. He's healthy, he's supremely confident, and he's got the talent in front of him to finally have the big-play impact that made him the eighth overall pick in the draft. This is a huge year for Buffalo's strong safety.
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I guess depending on your definition of “Break-Out” you could add Freddie Jackson to that list. After a nice showing last year, he should get more touches per game then ever before. Catching the ball out of the back field as well as spelling Lynch for some carries here and there, F-Jack should set career highs in yards, catches, touches, and dare I hope touchdowns.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on Sep 4, 2008 7:54 AM EDT 0 recs
True. Fred could do well.
Since you mentioned it, I’ll define “break out”, at least in terms of how I used it in this piece: I think these three guys are set to become household names around the league and its fan bases.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 4, 2008 8:50 AM EDT
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Wow that's setting the bar pretty high
but it would make my month if these three guys went to Hawaii. We are definitely definitely seeking lofty things when we start fantasizing about that stuff.
If you set the bar just a little lower, I think you could include guys like Poz, Crowell, Roscoe and Brad Butler. All young, all with plenty of upside, all have an opportunity this year if the team does well.
It’s this kind of article that gets me thinking this team might finally have something going this year. The stars are aligning in the universe, Fewell will allow the corners to bump and run, and Schnizzle has changed his brand of chew. It’s all coming together.
by Defensewinsgames on
Sep 4, 2008 9:01 AM EDT
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So much
. . . for Crowell’s breakout year. doesn’t sound like Jauron’s too happy with him.
by Ono on
Sep 4, 2008 2:44 PM EDT
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Lynch?
Did Lynch have his breakout year last year? If not, he should be in the top 3. Lynch should benefit from Turk’s new offense calling less predictable running plays. And if Edwards succeeds in the passing game, Lynch will see less 8 man fronts, paving the way for longer runs and the occasional homerun. Lynch (if he can stay health for all 16 games) should have a good shot at the rushing title and/or the ProBowl.
by Joe P. on Sep 4, 2008 10:17 AM EDT 0 recs
Welcome back, Joe. Hope all is well.
I consider Lynch a household name already, because if an “expert” (read: ESPN) is talking about the Bills, they’re bound to mention Lynch.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 4, 2008 12:51 PM EDT
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Thanks Brian and poz
I still have a lot going on. I will be a while before I am at full speed.
by Joe P. on
Sep 4, 2008 5:00 PM EDT
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Welcome back Joe
good to see you back and hope things are well.
~K
by Kurupt on
Sep 4, 2008 5:53 PM EDT
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good to have you back Joe
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 4, 2008 12:51 PM EDT
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Shouldn’t we all say that Evans already had his breakout season? He needs to return to that form, instead of breaking out again. I guess he could break out in terms of number of catches if used correctly.
Regarding Williams, I’m struggling trying to think of any plays he’s made in the past. I’d love to see him start getting some tackles in the backfield or a few sacks, as it appears to me that all he’s really done is tackle RB’s on their way through the hole.
With Whitner, I’ll need to see it before I can believe it. There’s a lot of talk there, but not a whole lot of plays being made.
Brian, you really think these 3 are going to be household names throughout the country? Yeah, I’m going to have to disagree with you there. Evans could potentially, but definitely not the other two. NOBODY cares about the Bills outside of Bills fans and a DT and S aren’t going to turn heads around the country unless they are playing in the Super Bowl. I’m not sure how you expect these guys to be household names. It’d be nice, but it is about as likely as me playing for the Bills this year.
~K
by Kurupt on Sep 4, 2008 10:39 AM EDT 0 recs
Williams
I’ll be interested to see how Kyle does without all the double teams he’s had to take on the last couple of years. We may actually see what it was that the Bills saw when they drafted him. If he’s a secret outside of Western NY, that’s fine with me.
My candidate for breakout season would be Lynch, with the new offense we have. “Beast Mode” will run anybody over, even his own QB! ;)
I’ll also be keeping an eye on Poz, who was racking up an impressive number of tackles last season before the injury. How will he do with a reinforced D-line in front of him? I’m thinking bad things are going to happen to opposing RB’s, bad things, man…
Get the Bills back to the big game!
by Blitz on
Sep 4, 2008 11:07 AM EDT
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I pretty much agree here.
For one, I think Evans already is a household name. His 2006 season was filled with Sportscenter type plays and everybody plays fantasy football now. K is right, Evans already broke out and now we just need to see that on a consistent basis.
Kyle Williams will never be a standout player, he just doesn’t have the athletic ability to ever be a household name. While he may look better this year and his numbers should improve, Stroud doesn’t actually make him a better player. We all know who Kyle Williams is and that is a really nice, solid rotational DT that you don’t mind seeing in there for a lot of the game and in all situations.
I think Whitner has been a really solid player, just not spectacular. When you draft a safety that high you expect some big plays and Donte hasn’t provided too many. I think he may be poised to break out though and considering his draft status and the fact that he went to Ohio St. he is a perfect candidate to become a playmaker and household name over the next couple of seasons.
by kaisertown on
Sep 4, 2008 11:18 AM EDT
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Whitner
Having 194 total tackles in two years doesn’t necessarily mean that Whitner is a great player. In some sense, that many tackles is like a golf score; the higher it goes might not be a good thing even though you might have made some great shots along the way. As stated, the 5’ 10" Whitner has not really made the great plays that are hoped for or has had the impact with someone taken 8th overall in the draft.
by LGB on
Sep 4, 2008 1:15 PM EDT
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Well I said that Whitner was a “really solid player” and i agree that he hasn’t been great by any means. Donte has been an average safety on a bad defense at a very young age (he turned 23 in July) and while you can’t really be too excited about Whitner’s play, we certainly havn’t seen the best from him yet.
Whitner’s tackle numbers were actually very pedestrian for a starting SS last season, especially considering that the Bills defense was on the field for the fifth most plays of any team. There isn’t much of a correlation between who has the most tackles and who is the best strong safety anyways.
I do believe that the talent is there for a breakout and that is what gets me excited about Whitner. I don’t think he will ever be an elite SS like Sanders or Polamalu, but he can be one of the top 5 or so strong safeties in the league and that is the kind of threat in the secondary that could push this defense into top 10 status.
by kaisertown on
Sep 4, 2008 2:01 PM EDT
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Whitner reminds me of Henry Jones. competent and safe, but not necessarily pro-bowl worthy.
by Ono on
Sep 4, 2008 2:47 PM EDT
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Henry Jones was a lot better than Whitner is now
… Whitner should get better and have more opportunities this year.
by MrFurious1 on
Sep 4, 2008 4:47 PM EDT
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Brian, you really think these 3 are going to be household names throughout the country?
Well if I didn’t, it’d be a pretty lame article, wouldn’t it? :)
I think Evans becomes a guy that’s mentioned among the elite receivers this year – along the level of Andre Johnson. Your points about a DT and a S not getting much pub are valid, but I’ll counter it with the fact that there are safeties – Ed Reed, Bob Sanders, etc. – that are considered elite players. I think that’s where Whitner is headed.
by Brian Galliford on
Sep 4, 2008 12:53 PM EDT
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didnt we get ripped
for not taking Huff over Whitner. He’s still an average player in Oakland while Donte is already a good safety, going on great
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 4, 2008 2:43 PM EDT
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Huff was off the board. The Raiders took him at 7 and we took Donte at 8. The Bills got ripped a little bit for taking a safety when their problem was run defense and Haloti Ngata was on the board. And in hindsight, it was deserved.
by kaisertown on
Sep 4, 2008 5:52 PM EDT
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thats right
thanks for the correction kaiser. I remember that draft now. I actually was furious that year because I had hopes the Bills would take Leinart. I hated our QB situation so much that when Leinart fell to us I couldnt contain my anger that we didnt take him. In hindsight, I’m glad we didnt grab him.
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 5, 2008 2:24 AM EDT
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I actually was hoping
we’d go Cutler if we went QB. I hate Matt Leinart and never wanted his noodle arm anywhere near Buffalo, except to throw INT’s for the opposition.
~K
by Kurupt on
Sep 5, 2008 10:32 AM EDT
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haha
a JP Losman/Matt Leinart QB competition is a paradox. its a battle that can’t be won!
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 5, 2008 1:55 PM EDT
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brian
these articles start to get my juices flowing more and more for the season as it is only now 3 days away! I am so pumped! Finally some real football.
I see Evans as potential for a big 75+ catch season if Turk gets the ball into his hands on a lot of quick passes like I think Evans should be utilized with his elusiveness and speed.
But Whitner is really poised for a break out season. He is only 23 years old! Crazy. I think he is so confident with Stroud/Johnson/Mitchell additions opening up his ability to blitz more and take more chances to break up plays.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Sep 4, 2008 10:56 AM EDT 0 recs
Royal
Can I dream? Maybe, possibly, he’ll do what he did against Pittsburgh every week? Then, he will be that Breakout player.
by labill on Sep 4, 2008 12:26 PM EDT 0 recs
i actually agree with Royal
Call me crazy but if the Edwards-Royal connection continues I think Royal could emerge as a known TE option in this league. Is 500 yards and 5 TDs really that hard to imagine?
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 4, 2008 12:54 PM EDT
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parish
ok if we are hoping for break out seasons, I hope it’s parish. that would mean the bills are spreading the ball out and giving evans some help.
by jimkutica on Sep 4, 2008 2:05 PM EDT 0 recs
alright, 2 for 2 down here
right on. Parrish and Royal would be my two biggest hopefuls for break out years. I think we all expect Evans to bounce back and I believe he’s already a household name. Roscoe Parrish has so much potential to be the best 3rd receiver in the game. He’s so fast , so quick, and so dangerous with the ball in his hands. I really hope he can break out and eventually turn into one of those 500-800 yard/3-6 TD guys. That in tandem with Royal would be amazing. If Royal and Parrish emerge and Evans bounces back all we need is Josh Reed to keep picking up 1st downs and Hardy to catch the ball in the endzone and we have an offense.
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 4, 2008 2:21 PM EDT
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yes indeed
hopefully he’s guaranteed to have a nice year right??
McKelvin and Hardy - rookies of the year
by poz on
Sep 4, 2008 2:41 PM EDT
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