Bills must get back to basics in 2009
After starting the 2008 NFL regular season on a 5-1 tear, the Buffalo Bills subsequently lost 8 of their next 10 to finish 7-9 for a third consecutive season. The collapse nearly led to the dismissal of head coach Dick Jauron, and now that he's been retained for a fourth season despite the team's struggles, Buffalo's fan base has rarely been lower on their organization.
Believe me when I say that I don't expect this article to go over well in an ornery fan base. So if you feel the need to rip me as a homer, label me the eternal optimist or simply complain some more, feel free. It won't change one simple fact:
The Bills disappointed in finishing 7-9 in 2008 because they didn't play Dick Jauron football.
(That sound you hear? It's either heads exploding or folks shifting in their chairs, readying their tirades at their fingertips.) Allow me to expand, if you will...
"Dick Jauron Football"
First, allow me to speak philosophically: when things are going good for a football team, a certain person's characteristics are generally lauded. When things are going poorly for a football team, those same characteristics are generally despised. That's just how it goes.
Right now, "Dick Jauron football" is generally associated with a favorite cliche, "playing not to lose". Yet in 2006, when the Bills were surprisingly competitive with a roster devoid of talent and J.P. Losman at quarterback, Jauron's style was often described as "smart" because it "kept the Bills in games".
Jauron's philosophy is hardly ground-breaking: win with defense; protect the football; run first, pass second (or, in the current climate, "play not to lose"); make enough plays to win. Say what you want about that philosophy, but it's pretty straightforward, and Jauron is certainly not the only NFL head coach to employ said philosophy. The philosophy allowed the Bills to overachieve to 7-9 records in '06 and '07. The Bills got away from that philosophy this year, and in finishing 7-9 again, they underachieved. (Or, if you will, they regressed. Same difference.)
Overachieving versus Underachieving
There's little doubt that considering the ease of their schedule, the Tom Brady injury in New England and the hot start, the Bills should have finished at least 2-3 games better than 7-9 this season. Why didn't they? Simple: they couldn't protect the football or force turnovers.
In 2006, Jauron's first season in Buffalo, the Bills ended the year with a -5 turnover differential (forced 24 turnovers, committed 29). Buffalo's opponents were a whopping 147-109 record-wise that season; the .574 winning percentage meant that Buffalo played the most difficult schedule in the league that season. All things considered, -5 isn't terrible, and the 7-9 record that year was a surprise. The Bills were not great in one-touchdown games that season, either, finishing 3-6 in games decided by 8 points or less.
2007 was better. The Bills ended the season +9 in turnover differential, forcing 30 turnovers and committing just 21 themselves. The Bills improved in one-touchdown games, going 4-4 in those contests. Their schedule? Middle of the pack, but still pretty tough; Buffalo's opponents had a .516 winning percentage in '07. The positive turnover differential was substantial enough that it allowed the Bills to win more games than they should have, considering their offense - which scored 20 touchdowns all season - was terrible. In other words, they overachieved.
Things changed dramatically this past season. Turnover differential plummeted to -8 (a paltry 22 forced to 30 committed), and even though the Bills were still .500 (3-3) in one-score games, the turnover differential killed them in others, particularly in division games (-11 differential). With a first-year starter in Trent Edwards, a dip in turnover differential is hardly surprising, but the 17-turnover turnaround from '07 to '08 is, in my view, the chief reason the Bills underachieved in 2008. The worst part? Buffalo's terrible turnover margin came against the league's second easiest schedule (opponents had a .453 winning percentage).
What needs to change in '09
How can the Bills get back on the winning track in 2009? Clearly, that can't be answered with one response. Edwards is going to need to make substantial improvement. The defense has got to find a way to pressure opposing quarterbacks and make more plays. And, yes, Jauron needs to do a better job managing the flow of the game on Sundays. This isn't an acquittal of his coaching errors, which are well-documented. He needs to improve, too, and I'm confident he'd be the first person to admit it.
I am a firm believer that far too much responsibility for Buffalo's slide is being laid at Jauron's feet. Again, he's very obviously not blameless, but if I'm blaming anyone, I'm blaming the players' inability to adhere to Jauron's strictest principle: protect the ball. Minus-eleven in turnovers against your three most hated rivals is disgusting, and it wasn't Jauron turning the ball over. The most Buffalo lost any of those games by was 13 points in the season finale; those scores are closer and the games far more winnable if the Bills simply protect the ball. It obviously wouldn't hurt to force a turnover here and there, either.
2009 must be a "get back to basics" year for Buffalo. Let's be honest - the team overachieved in reaching 7-9 its first two seasons under Jauron. (I'm still flabbergasted we could finish that well with Losman at the helm.) They very much underachieved this year; there's very little doubt to that as well. Buffalo has a tough schedule in 2009, playing the league's best division (NFC South) and the AFC's two best divisions (ours and the AFC South). It won't be brutal, however, if the Bills play Dick Jauron football.
Protect the ball and force turnovers, folks. The Bills didn't do enough of either in 2008, and those two facts are the chief reasons we're talking about the off-season on January 2. Again.
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Comments
They should learn to tackle too. That’d be a good place to start for the defense. I just can’t believe how bad some of these guys looked this year trying to make open field tackles, most notably Mr. Top Ten Draft Pick.
Do teams ever win playing Dick Jauron football? I don’t mean the run first, protect the ball, play solid D portion which most teams attempt to do anyhow. I mean the questionable playcalls, soft zone D’s, inability to fix the lines, getting outcoached every week and so on and so forth.
I think we kind of overachieved this year as well. This team is NOT very good and it would have been more evident had we played a tougher schedule. 7 wins with the players and coaches we have is pretty amazing, but such a soft schedule will do that. Wait, maybe that’s not overachieving. It’s more like ‘confusing/angering your fanbase’…
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 2, 2009 1:41 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Agreed on the Tackling
It has been brought up before that one reason for poor tackling is that in practice, they are just “almost tackling”. Trying to avoid the injury in practice and saving it for game day makes sense, but it may be the cause. I did, however, see another reason for poor tackling.
It seemed on every play, the defenders were trying to strip the football instead of tying up their man. More times than not, the opponent ran for more yards then they should have or just got away. If they worried more about just bringing the opponent down, then they would put the other team into more punting situations.
Making them go 3 and out seems almost as good as getting the turnover. Either way, they didn’t score and the offense gets the ball back and the defense gets off the field. Also, with more punting chances, Roscoe gets another shot at returning one back to where the turnover may have occured or better yet…score a TD.
I know forcing turnovers is stressed and part of the game, but maybe they need to concentrate on making the tackles first and the turnovers will come when the other team has to try and force the ball down the field.
by JTM1023 on Jan 2, 2009 2:14 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Tampa 2
Out of curiosity, what teams have been good running the Tampa 2, besides Tampa? I feel like the defense is playing it safe and letting extraordinary players make extraordinary plays. (Brooks, Barber, Lynch, Sapp, Rice, etc.) The problem seems like that we don’t have extraordinary players, so it’s just playing it safe and hoping the other team makes a mistake and has to punt…Now add in the fact that the team struggled tackling all too often, and we see why this defense was so frustrating. Now I recognize that the defense, at 14th overall, wasn’t all that bad. But if we knew that our offense wouldn’t be a worldbeater, and, seeing as we only really added James Hardy (and barely him at that), we should’ve known that, shouldn’t we have concluded that we needed a defense that would make plays and force turnovers, not just “bend not break?”
I’ve gone a bit off topic, but it seems back to the basics would include playing a defense that suits your players, which in this case i think would be using the scheme to put pressure on your opponents, not hoping your players make extraordinary plays on their own…
food for thought.
by JPH on Jan 2, 2009 2:43 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
In a lot of ways
It looks like they’re trying to master the patented BBDB defense (bend but don’t break) which can work- but they just don’t have the pieces in place for it. At some point it becomes an issue of sticking to a system or using the players you have in the best way possible. I hope Jauron can find a way to do both, but this season has me worried- especially if Jauronball is run-first-pass-second, and we can’t get the ball to Beast Mode, that means we’ve got philosophical problems between the top and the OC. If everyone gets on the same page, we could surprise people next year. And yes, this optimism is what keeps me a Bills fan.
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Jan 2, 2009 2:51 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The main problem with the BBDB
Is that our defense tends to be on the field much longer and they get tired. Then they are much less susceptible of creating turnovers!
I much prefer an aggressive 4-3 approach like Philly or NYG. I found that Poz looked bad mostly when he dropped back and then the play would happen in front of him, he looked slow. I like him when he’s attacking the line of scrimmage, that’s where he excels! It’s the BBDB that seems to make him less of an impact player.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 9:58 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not if you have a complimentary offense that is able to mount drives itself. I do agree that some of our personnel is more suited to an aggressive scheme. Truth be told though, Fewell has been aggressive with his blitzes at times (see the end of the Denver game for example).
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 12:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The D rests if your offense can run a sustained drive
And Poz played the BBDB (or as it’s known in the blogosphere, the BBDS- Bend but don’t suck) in college. Penn State is a leader in BBDB technology.
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Jan 2, 2009 1:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Penn State played a cover 3 against USC. Their DB’s played further off the line than we do and USC shredded them seemingly all game. From a pass D perspective Penn State got thoroughly creamed. As the Rose Bowl wore on I was thinking that their pass D looked a lot like ours. They didn’t get much pressure on Sanchez either.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on Jan 3, 2009 10:42 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Turn Overs
You are correct about this fact Brian. The turnovers, especially after the San Diego game were just brutal. Consistenly Edwards looked like JP Losman instead of what Edwards was known for “game manager, smart, good decision maker and accurate.” The one statement that I’ll add is that the Bills don’t do any one thing on either side of the ball exceptionally well. They need to have more of an identity. The stat I would love to see, is how many games the Bills actually had the lead in, at halftime or beyond? Because Dick Jauron football only works with a lead against good teams. Sure you can come back against the Oakland’s and St. Louis teams. But Jauron’s defense is predicated on forcing teams into situations they don’t want to be in and then hoping they make a mistake, or someone on defense makes a play.
If we do three things in 2009:
1) Get leads in the second half
2) get personnel so we can rush the passer
3) Win the turnover battle
Then we will play into Dick Jauron’s formula. Edwards protects the ball, run the ball effectively with that Ginormous but pansy a** OL, and get a lead so our newly acquired Pass Rushing Toys can get to the QB. That would be my plan in 2009
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 9:29 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
You know the biggest way to eliminate turnovers for an offense?
Scoring QUICKLY……yeah….Im a firm believer in that if you can find ways to score in say oh? 1-3 plays……you as a team are much less likely to turn the ball the ball over than a team that needs 8-10-12 plays to score every time…..thats just me though.
Lets get some explosiveness in the O and some pass rush on D……and I would be willing to bet that our turnover margin will magically improve……
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 2, 2009 9:30 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I disagree
That was exactly Schonert’s problem, he wanted everything quick and had no patience! He is not patient enough to stick with the run in order to get it going. Establishing the run is the most important thing in 2009. We have powerful backs that can force opposing teams to stack the box which will open up downfield opportunities. Abandoning the run like we did this year basically took the deep plays away from us and kept us passing short all the time. Much less risk of turnovers when you hand the ball off to your workhorses.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 10:05 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I never said abandon the running the game.......
you can score quickly running the ball as well. It is however hard to bust long runs up the gut all the time……so some more off tackle or tosses should be in order…..I am not saying every drive has to been 3 plays or less…however when you get a short field (good special teams play or turnover) being able to strike quickly will help you out in the long run. I dont believe I saw much “quick striking” out of the Bills this year…..I know there were plenty times in games where a PA bomb would have been an appropriate call..yet it was just a boring dive or shotgun quick hitch…..
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 2, 2009 10:45 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No Huddle
How about using a No Huddle offense? Of course, using such an offense might still require 8 to 10 plays to score, but No Huddle does reduce the amount of time the defense sets plays against our offense, and it becomes more of a pure atheletic/talent battle at the line of scrimmage. I think our OL is better suited that way. But if players have slippery hands, then there’s nothing the scheme can do for you.
Bills fan half way around the world
by moncheri on Jan 2, 2009 11:02 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I’ve been wondering all year why they never incorporated some no-huddle in to keep defenses off balance. I still remember how effectively Trent ran it against the Ravens in his rookie season. Not as a primary offense you understand, but every now and then when favorable matchups dictate it.
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 12:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Schonert's offense
seems like a pass first offense, but I would not call it an aggressive pass offense at all. Its a short to medium passing game based on timing.
We don’t really have a stretch the field capability. The best we can hope for with Edwards arm is an efficient finesse passing offense. Either that or improve the run game and shove it down opponents throats every game all game and just ask Edwards to keep the d’s honest by chucking out an effective ball every now and then.
by oompaloompa on Jan 3, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
But it’s not so much because I think that Edwards can’t do it as much as we really don’t have a very talented receiving or TE corp.
What we do have is an exceptional backfield and a cold, windy, grimmy place to play – So we should be focussed on POWER-RUNNING
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 4, 2009 5:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree mostly
I do agree that the team needs to be able occasionally to score quickly, but I think the clock-chewing drives the Bills O had were a big factor in how well the defense did, because they had so much rest. If the D had to be on the field even more than they were, it would have been a much worse season.
I simply think playcalling and execution in the red zone (falls on everyone: the players, the coaching, and the FO for acquiring the right personnel) is one of the biggest improvements that need to be made.
by thefourwinds on Jan 2, 2009 12:11 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you are correct sir
The age old saying that football games are won on BIG PLAYS & TURNOVERS, will never be wrong. Having some POTENCY is key. The defense has to be CONCERNED about your BIG PLAY ability. We definitely don’t scare any defense with our WR’s or DE’s
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 9:50 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
That is the part of Dicks formula that works,
unfortunately his formula also includes:
1. Letting your coordinators call the game without giving them some helpful advice when they are making obvious errors. Like not using press coverage or getting pass happy at the wrong time.
2. Assuming you are going to see the exact same thing from your opponent as they did in their last game, resulting in coaches and players being unprepared for the game.
3. Keep your offensive play calling so obvious that the other teams, as well as the fan base and announcers, know the play by the formation.
These are things a good veteran head coach should already know.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 10:05 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Let it go Joe!
I agree with you that he’s a crappy head coach but we are stuck with him. I hope that Wilson sent a strong message that we need to focus our offense around Lynch/Jackson next year. Judging from the comments he made, I can only hope that that’s what happenned and I am hopeful that next year our offensive identity will be more of a power run team as opposed to the crappy “west coast” stuff that we did this year.
Did you see how well Alex Mack played last Saturday? I really hope they find a way to draft him, he could be huge for us, especially if we want to establish ourselves as a power-run team.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 10:13 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know how to make myself believe that Jauron will be a better coach, but I know
that one article from Brian about the “Jauron Football” is not enough. I will not be bringing him up out of the blue, but after all this article was about Jauron’s coaching style.
I did see Mack and loved what I saw. It is hard to know what to hope for about Mack’s status. Do we think OBD would take Mack at #11 if he rose high enough up the draft charts? If not, we almost have to wish he has a bad combine and falls. Mack will never be there when we pick in the 2nd round.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 10:48 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
OBD is NOT afraid to trade picks in order to move up.......
if they find someone they like…..so who says they have to wait till the second round?
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 2, 2009 10:52 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
could happen.....I would love to see it!!!!!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 10:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
First of all who the heck is OBD ?
Second: Our front office sucks! I agree with you that they have shown in the past few years a propensity to move up come draft day and I absolutely hate it!! I would love to see them learn how to move down a few spots instead. We are a young team with a lot of holes everywhere and we need more picks not less!
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 11:27 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
One Bills Drive
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:29 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
They moved up to take McCargo
If he had not busted, it would of been a good move. Do you really think Mack will be a bust?
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:30 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No, but the cost of moving back up is too high
I prefer moving down to the 17-20 range.
Unless a sure bet like Curry or Maualuga are available at 11, then take the LB and trade back up for Mack.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 11:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It is high, but could be worth it if Mack is the only great center this year.
If Luigs can prove he is in Mack’s area code, it could change things.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I’ve seen reports that have Luigs as good if not better then Mack. I don’t think that that means there isn’t any other good center in the draft. Guys like Luigs, Unger, Wood, and even Shipley could be later round gems, and I would put all of them ahead of the 2 dopes that are the Bills current centers.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on Jan 2, 2009 12:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
ha ha
so one article won’t convince you! None of us will be truly convinced unless they win. We just have to hope they win 11 games or 5 games. Either he is completely gone or we get to the playoffs. I say we just live with the Jauron era and just spend our off-season focusing on needs and new personnel. If we keep talking about Jauron, our quaity of life will continue to suffer. At least with personnel it gives us hope and is a fun discussional topic that everyone loves
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 10:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed Marv
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 10:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I second that!
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 11:28 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Really? I thought the article was about turnover margin and playing smarter in 2009. :)
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on Jan 2, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
… and if we’d stuck to the part of Jauron’s formula that works, it would have largely rendered all of this much more irrelevant, because we’d be talking about a 9-7 or 10-6 season, the Dolphins probably wouldn’t be in the playoffs (neither would we), and nobody would be as upset over this decision.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on Jan 2, 2009 10:47 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Amen.....
rec’d
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 2, 2009 10:48 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If you remember,
K and I (maybe others) saw the warning signs early on. Remember when we were winning those close games vs bad teams? I remember you saying how good the Rams were. What do you think now? I am off topic.
The point I wanted to make was Jauron is all of the things both of us listed. You are assuming that after Jauron’s near death experience, we will change. Why now? This is not his first time on the hot seat. Can you point to any part of Jauron’s coaching style that has changed since he first became a head coach? I hope change does come, but I wouldn’t bet a wooden nickel on it!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 10:58 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
joe
don’t depress me…..I’m trying to turn a new leaf in 2009. quit smoking, only drink 6 nights instead of 7….and forget about Jauron…..you aren’t helping!
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 11:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
OK Marv, anything I can do to help you stop smoking :-)
As far as the drinking…..well, the Bills season is over so that should help!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:02 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You need to set attainable goals!
You can’t have it both ways… If you really want to forget about how bad Jauron is, you will need to continue drinking 7 nights a week, heck on Sundays you might need to start drinking in the morning!
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on Jan 2, 2009 11:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Start putting vodka in an eye dropper and throwing a few drops in the eye. You’ll be drunk in no time and wont’ have to “drink” to get there!!! Although your eyes will probably deteriorate….
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 3, 2009 1:41 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
My point in this article was two-fold:
One – point out that Jauron isn’t the whole issue. I’m sick of him being the lone scapegoat for the on-field issues. It’s ridiculous.
Two – point out that if the Bills had played smarter football last season, they’d have won more games, and half (or less) of the people who currently have a problem with Jauron wouldn’t had they played smarter.
That’s it.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on Jan 2, 2009 12:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yep
completely valid points. We all need to move. The “JAURON WATCH” was way more intense than “PANDA WATCH.” Any WATCH we have had has not ended up the way we wanted. But we need to just get over it, and use this forum to discuss off-season and what they CAN DO with what they have which is what Brian tried to do with this article today. -9 TO margin is not getting done, and we all know had the team not turned the ball over in games like CLE, MIA #1, SF, and others this team with the personnel and Jauron at the helm could have won 10-11 games. So let’s spread the blame around
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 1:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lone scapegoat?
What scapegoat? Nothing has changed, so I don’t see there’s been any scapegoat so far! And he’s the lead criticism taker because of his role/position. He deserves all the criticism he’s received….
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 3, 2009 1:42 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of the Dolphins, it seems to me that they used precisely that formula to win the division (although they obviously executed that plan significantly better).
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 12:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
so
this Alex Mack has become the enamoration of Rumblers here. I wonder if OBD really feels like Center is a high area of need? I mean they did nothing to address it last off-season so I guess by seeing what they do with Duke Preston contract wise will be a good indicator. I just don’t see a C as the pick at #11. Now, getting a DE or LB at #11 and then trading back up to get Mack in the late 1st round. That might make some sense
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 10:23 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
My thing is center wouldnt be as big of an area as need if our offense didnt insist on running straight up the middle so much....
Perhaps people wouldnt have been so critical of Preston then…..how bout some running behind our big overpaid “stud” linemen?
12/19/08 - Thank you KLJ for coming into my life.
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 2, 2009 10:47 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Our Linemen
are currently suited to run up the gut. Our OL is one of the biggest in the league, while their sizes are good at (relatively speaking) preventing people getting at the QB, it also means they are not very mobile. They are not quick enough to do effective draws or pulling guards to seal the ends of the defense. Thus our Linemen usually play straight up during run plays, and hope for Marshawn or Freddy to find holes themselves. With this style of blocking, the Center becomes the most critical piece of the line. All the more reason we need to get a really good Center during this offseason.
Bills fan half way around the world
by moncheri on Jan 2, 2009 11:33 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think
that maybe their philosohpy with that big ol OL, is that since they are so hugenormous, that allowing them to just move forward is the best way. That too much zone blocking or pulling isn’t what they can do. I don’t know. We should be running more OT for sure
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 10:59 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Dick Jauron football
http://www.buffalorumblings.com/story/2007/10/9/85355/4176
I remember reading the above article on Buffalo Rumblings early in 2007; it’s amazing how well it still applies here in 2009. This man had a .438 winning percentage as the coach of the Bears after five seasons and has amazingly repeated that magical number down to the decimal in each of his three seasons as coach of the Bills. Jauron’s players have been playing “Dick Jauron football” to the point where it’s basically a science for them by now- bad quarterback play, weak coordinators, shakey game management, soft coverage, attempt to stay close by “protecting the ball”…if that’s what you like, so be it, but I don’t think you can argue that we haven’t seen what Dick Jauron is really trying do yet when everything to this point has mirrored Jauron’s track record so closely.
by Benjamin Salem on Jan 2, 2009 11:00 AM EST reply actions 4 recs
Put down the cigs Marv!!!!!!!
Well said Ben. Reced.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:05 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i have
been a week already, and I’m doing fine. I told myself if I expect more out of my favorite NFL franchise, I should expect more out of myself. Only problem is I don’t think they care about me. But oh well, its tricking myself that will make it work! Thanks Joe!
I think we have to have our hope in
a) Edwards gets much better
b) Turk and Trent get better
c) Jauron gets better
d) front office does a great job this off season
and most importantly the pressure of PLAYOFFS or BUST, makes every man on the 53 man roster better
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 11:09 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good for you Marv
Just keep telling yourself that if you keep smoking, you will never live long enough to see the Bills win a Super Bowl :-)
Good list of points to hope for.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
A non-smoker, non-drinker that lives to Ralph’s age probably won’t live long enough to see that SB title! ARRRRRRRRRRRGH
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 3, 2009 1:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Dick Jauron. Good ol' 7 and 9. Good boy.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on Jan 3, 2009 10:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
that article
is so depressing.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 11:04 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Win with Defense
I agree with some of the statements, but if Bills are to win with defense like the Ravens, Titans, Giants, etc., then they need to start drafting linemen. Titans G.M. Jim Schwartz say’s the key to an organizations sucess is having 8 stellar lineman on defense. Haynesworth went out and rookie backup had 4 sacks against Pittsburgh. Bills did draft McCargo, a bust, so it comes down to scouting. Years ago they drafted Donte Whitner over Ngata, the run stuffing Nose Tackle for the Ravens.
It seems like Edwards has had a lot of problems against 3-4 defenses, so he better get better in this area.
This offseason will determine how next season goes, since they have a brutal schedule. I am not optimistic unless they address all the needs they have, namely getting a better pass rush, a center, tight end, and another receiver, as well as a backup QB.
by BuffaloWhiner on Jan 2, 2009 11:13 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
I wonder if Edwards can find a mentor outside of the Bills’ O this offseason.
by thefourwinds on Jan 2, 2009 12:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
right on
is true. Jauron wants that dominant DEFENSE. We don’t have it. But that’s what we need. And I agree our DL is the real problem. Fortunately McKelvin is a PLAYMAKER that they drafted. That’s why I’m leaning towards a LB in the draft. Drafting a PLAYMAKING LB, might be the spark that this defense needs.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on Jan 2, 2009 11:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Best defense, is a good offense...
Yes folks.. I said it last year, and I’ll say it again…
Look, we all agree we need a pass rush, heck, it’s no wonder our DBs play off 8 yds… If we got pressure, they could play more bump and run…
But… No matter how good a defense is (and 14th is a big stride forward), it ain’t gonna do any good if our offense goes 3 and out…
So then, I would argue that our biggest needs this offseason are…(in no particular order)
Pass rusher (Ellis maybe?? No FA excite me…Draft???)
and resign Crowell (he should return to playmaker form)
CENTER!!!!!
Pass catching TE!!!!
- WR (Hardy or Johnson? FA?)
A mass “Healing” for our coaching staff….
by Cinga on Jan 2, 2009 11:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Your close Cinga....
Screw the “healing”, send their soft butts to boot camp!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
As a former Marine...
I would like to volunteer to run that camp!!!!
by Cinga on Jan 2, 2009 12:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You get my vote
If you need anyone to help fire live ammo over their heads while they crawl through the mud, I promise I will not shoot any of them……really!!!!!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
By the way,
congrats to your Dawgs!!!!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I've been thinking about the player evalution angle...
and, if Whitner was a stud of a S, why would they have toyed with moving him around? Shouldn’t he have excelled enough not to warrent the change?
Perhaps i’m uninformed on the intracacies of his position, but i’d rather have a player hugely successful at his drafted position, than one who’s servicable in multiple similar ones.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 11:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I agree. And that is the difference between Mack and Unger
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on Jan 2, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm all for drafting Mack, and doing so early...
IF this organization makes a commitment to running the ball. I don’t know how many more games I can take watching them coach as though they’re playing a damned video game.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 12:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Good point
IF we refuse to run it, what good is a dominant center?
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 3, 2009 1:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Fumbles
I just looked at our turnover stats from last year and this and here’s the numbers:
2007: 20 fumbles, 7 lost
2008: 33 fumbles, 15 lost
Interceptions remained about the same (14 to 15).
Teaching some ball security anyone?
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 1:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I’d be interested in a player breakdown of those fumbles in both categories. Edwards had his fair share, but I’d bet Losman had way too many, too. And he only played in, like, 3 games.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on Jan 2, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I recall a number of reporters feeling confident going into the season...
with Losman as the backup to Edwards. They felt his experience was an asset. It turns out it was his greatest undoing.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 1:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Y’know, I thought he’d be ok. Even during the season I knew he wasn’t playing well, but it really hit while looking at the stats how poorly. He dropped back to pass 119 times and ran 12 times. On those plays he fumbles 8 times (losing 4), was picked off 5 times and sacked 15 times.
So thats 24 negative plays (not including fumbles we recovered) on 131 touches. Thats 18.3% of the time something awful happened when he dropped back to pass. Not all his faut admittedly, but for comparison Trent Edwards:
433 dropbacks (374 attempts, 23 sacks, 36 rushes). He fumbled 9 times losing 5, threw 10 picks, and was sacked 23 times.
Thats 38 negative plays out of 433 drop backs, or 8.7%.
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 2:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I still cannot believe that had him drop back to pass 119 times in 3 games! Almost 40 times a game we relied on him making a positive imact for this team. Wow.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 3:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I was on the trade JP bandwagon last off season!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 2:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
who wasn’t joe? i think everyone here was. get some value out of him and trade him. now we get zip. was a no brainer really and they blew that. just like kelsay, royal etc….
Maybe now you'll never slime a guy with a positron collider
by J2 on Jan 2, 2009 3:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Just like everything more than marginally important to this franchise’s success the past decade. Ridiculous, imo.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Unfortunately, many thought he was the best option at backup QB
I could be confusing some of the battles I had at RF365 though.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh RF365. I’ll refrain from making comments on that site.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 3:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
too bad the rest of the league wasn't too
~K
by Kurupt on Jan 3, 2009 1:51 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, its mostly at the QB position
Edwards: 9 fumbles, 5 lost
Losman: 8 fumbles, 4 lost (which is absurd for 119 dropbacks and 12 rushes).
Lynch: 2 fumbles, 1 lost
Jackson: 3 fumbles, 1 lost
Evans: 2 fumbles, 1 lost
Parrish: 2 fumbles, 1 lost
Royal: 2 fumbles, 2 lost
Schouman: 1 fumble, 0 lost
McKelvin: 1 fumble, 0 lost
I’m not sure where the other three are (Barnes?).
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 1:50 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I’d be curious to know exactly how many of those QB fumbles were as a direct result of Jason Peters whiffing on his block. I can think of 4 off the top of my head (against Jax, Oak, StL and NYJ2), and I only saw about half of the games this year.
by thefourwinds on Jan 2, 2009 2:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
maybe thats a new pro bowl criteria for tackles – sacks giving up – the higher the number the better. no wonder he made it in ;)
Maybe now you'll never slime a guy with a positron collider
by J2 on Jan 2, 2009 3:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently that and bizarre looking helmets.
by PozDispenser on Jan 2, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Royal only lost 2? Wow, I can’t believe it.
Sweet home Orchard Park.
by thurman on Jan 2, 2009 3:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
thurman you have to catch it first…..lol
Maybe now you'll never slime a guy with a positron collider
by J2 on Jan 2, 2009 3:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
good point
still, was I seeing things this year? Didn’t the fumble three times in two games in a row?
Sweet home Orchard Park.
by thurman on Jan 2, 2009 3:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
didn’t theRoyal
Sweet home Orchard Park.
by thurman on Jan 2, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
One fumble was on Jauron. I saw him fumble the challenge flag once.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on Jan 3, 2009 10:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
2009 season
Well, as mentioned by some of you guys. The main problem is that we don’t play the type of football that Jauron wants us to. He wants us to have a very strong defense that makes plays and stops teams short of scoring a whole lot of points. The first problem is that we don’t have good enough players to run that scheme. Donte Whitner has frankly been a bust to this point. He nevers makes plays and is in my opinion overrated as a pass-defender; just watch the game against the Broncos, where he couldn’t anybody. The reason I mention Donte is because, when we drafted him at the 8th overall spot, we expected him to become a special player. Somebody, whom our defense could lean on to make the big plays, when we needed them. He has never been that player to this point.
The fact that we don’t have an extremely underachieving offense makes it even worse. Turk Schonert was a failure the first season in charge. He proved way too often to be pass-happy, which was as stupid as anything, since we had a second QB, WR’s who didn’t get open on a consistent enough basis and because the strength of this team was our two tremendous RB’s in Marshawn and Fred.
The following things need to happen, if we’re to make the playoffs, which I don’t expect:
1. Go out and acquire a true 2. WR (please don’t tell for one second that Josh Reed should be your 2. WR, because that’s not going to get the job done enough)
2. Get a sack-master like Brian Orakpo (he’s going to be something special)
3. Get a powerful center, who can actually run-block, which Duke Preston and Melvin Fowler don’t know how to. 320-pound Jason Brown would be interesting in FA, since he’s a very solid starting center, who can run-block adequately. Otherwise, Matt Birk or drafting Alex Mack (he is as good as advertised, I can assure you) would be good moves.
3. Get Keith ’I’m getting dominated all day long’ Ellison back to his role as a backup, and in other words either get Crowell back in the fold or pick up a guy in FA or via. the draft to start at OLB.
4. Get a TE in here, who can actually stretch the field. Derek Fine is a terrific blocker, and he would serve as a very solid 2. TE, but we need a guy like Jermaine Gresham, who can stretch the field and threaten a defense. I don’t see anybody worth of interest in FA as far as TE’s go.
5. Get another DT to the rotation. As the season went on, Kyle Williams and Marcus Stroud wore down. We need more than anything to have solid guys come of the bench, and having only Spencer Johnson as depth, I think we seriously need to take a long and hard look at guys like B.J. Raji (if he’s for some reason still on the board when we draft in the second round), Peria Jerry, Fili Moala (could right now be acquired in the third or fourth round).
6. Way more aggresisive approach from the coaches. What has three years proven? That, you aren’t going anywhere unless you play to win the game. Dick Jauron seems to play to lose games with his ’it’s okay our offense consists of field goal kicks’-mentality, and if we want to stand a chance winning more games than we did in 2008, then aggressive play-calling is a virtue.
by BillsfanfromDenmark on Jan 2, 2009 2:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Even if Raji got caught smoking weed,
we wouldn’t fall into the 2nd round. Other than that, good post!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on Jan 2, 2009 2:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He wants us to have a very strong defense that makes plays and stops teams short of scoring a whole lot of points.
lol – I bet there are 31 other coaches that want this same exact thing.
Get a sack-master like Brian Orakpo (he’s going to be something special)
he’s my #1 draft pick if he’s still there. kids a stud
Get a powerful center
couldn’t agree more – i’m thinking of grabbing Birk, then draft someone later to groom behind him
agree on the rest.
but i’d put a number 7 on there too – stop sucking.
Maybe now you'll never slime a guy with a positron collider
by J2 on Jan 2, 2009 3:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
IMO
Birk is at the tail end of his career, but the Bills would need to pay him like he wasn’t. He’s played 10 years and would not be a long-term solution. Jason Brown is 25.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 2, 2009 3:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The only way we make ANY headway at all next year is to feature a run game FIRST. Run first and pass second. If we stay with the same offensive philosophy as we had this year with the schedule we will have then next year will be brutal.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on Jan 3, 2009 11:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Edit
I mean to say that: “the fact that we have an extremely underachieving offense…”
by BillsfanfromDenmark on Jan 2, 2009 2:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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