Bills should prioritize tight end over center
In building our Buffalo Rumblings Community Needs List - in which we prioritize all of the Buffalo Bills' biggest positional needs heading into the off-season - one of the more interesting debates to be held, at least offensively, is whether the Bills should make acquiring a tight end more of a priority than acquiring a new center. Good arguments can be made in both camps. So, in the spirit of sparking some debate this morning, I'd like to make formal my belief that acquiring a game-changing tight end would be the best move for Buffalo's offense this off-season.
I'm going to try my best to sway some opinions here at Rumblings this morning, but first, let me clarify something before you all get up in arms here: the Bills need to add player(s) at both of these positions. This is not what I'm debating. I'm simply stating my opinions on which position should receive priority this off-season.
Once I've stated my case, you are, of course, encouraged to state (or re-state) yours. We'll put it to a vote, and the community will decide which position will top our offensive needs list before we start breaking down the defense.
Teams go as QBs go
Again, let me re-iterate: the Bills should add a center and a tight end this off-season. Don't get me wrong; Buffalo should feature the running game as the centerpiece of their offense, and a road-grading center alone could allow the Bills to become dominant in that area.
But I view it like this: if an offense were a human body, the running game would be the heart. That makes the quarterback the brain. The body can't live without the heart, but it can't function without the brain. That's why NFL teams generally get as far as their quarterbacks can take them.
If the Bills want to make a playoff push in 2009, then providing weapons to speed up the development of QB Trent Edwards has to be the Bills' top priority this off-season. 2008 proved that the Bills can't get far even with a pretty solid running game (Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson did rush for 1,607 yards and 11 touchdowns, after all). The team went as far as Edwards went - when he was hot, the Bills were hot; when he was cold, the Bills found ways to lose.
I'm not saying that a center wouldn't help Edwards; clearly, improved pass protection is a must. I'm just saying a receiving tight end helps Edwards develop faster than a center.
Tight ends and power running
Take a look at some of today's best NFL tight ends. Names like Crumpler, Heap, Winslow, Witten, Clark, Gonzalez, Gates and Cooley are most often associated with good tight end play these days. Of that group, the majority of those players are (or have been) featured receivers for teams who featured power rushing attacks offensively. If a rushing attack is a young quarterback's best friend, then a difference-making tight end makes that best friend much more attractive.
Right now, Buffalo's trio of mediocrity - Robert Royal, Derek Fine and Derek Schouman - clearly aren't getting the job done at the position. The three tight ends combined for just 58 receptions and 3 scores last season, and none of them are guys that can take attention away from Buffalo's more explosive offensive weapons. We've already identified Royal as a possible expendable player, while we've labeled Fine and Schouman as guys that can contribute, but not as featured players.
A good tight end is more beneficial to an offense that features the power running game than a center. How? A receiving threat at the position makes the play-action passing game deadly. One of Buffalo's favorite plays this past season was a play-action rollout to the tight end, particularly at the end of games. It got them in serious trouble in the Meadowlands, but that's beside the point. A factor tight end makes that play work far more often than Schouman does.
Centers vs Tight Ends in March and April
Receiving tight ends are difficult to find. Solid athletes at the position are so rare that tight ends often go far higher than they probably should in the draft; it's the reason that guys like Winslow and Vernon Davis were Top-10 picks. Finding a center is a far easier task than finding an impact tight end, and there's very little to debate on that fact.
This off-season, that trend continues. There are several veteran centers - headlined by Minnesota's Matt Birk and Indy's Jeff Saturday - that could potentially hit the market as unrestricted free agents. The 2009 Draft also features one of the deepest center classes in recent memory, headed up by everyone's favorite draft prospect, Cal's Alex Mack. Options are far more limited at tight end, with Houston's Owen Daniels not likely to hit free agency and only two to three tight ends considered legitimate first-year receiving threats in this year's draft.
Defining "Priority"
When I claim - correctly, in my view - that the Bills should make finding a tight end a higher priority than finding a center, it's with two asterisks next to the claim. First of all, I'm not claiming it's going to be easy. Just take a look at my last point - elite tight ends don't turn up often. Fortunately for Buffalo, there are one or two names available this year that, if the chips fall correctly, could land Buffalo their first impact player there since Pete Metzelaars.
Obviously, since finding a center will be far easier than finding a tight end, the Bills could - and probably will - end up filling their need at center first. This is the second asterisk. That's fine, and ultimately, that's probably the preferred route. One of these two spots should be filled with a veteran; the team can't repeat their 2008 off-season move of "filling their need at wide receiver" with rookie James Hardy.
When I say "receive priority", I simply mean that the Bills should focus more time, attention and cap dollars on finding a tight end. The center position is clearly important, and I'm not advocating ignoring it by any stretch of the imagination. I'm simply saying that there is an opportunity to land a tight end that can help Edwards mature and diversify Buffalo's offense this off-season, and if landing one means filling the need at center with a mid-priced veteran and a mid-round draft pick to groom, the Bills should absolutely pull the trigger. Good centers are stumbled upon far more often than good tight ends.
I'm sure some of you are seething and ready to rip my argument to shreds. Have at it. Just don't expect my viewpoint to change! Don't forget to vote in the poll on this topic, and once a winner is decided, we'll re-prioritize our complete offensive needs list and finalize it before moving on to defensive reviews. Oh, and OU's Jermaine Gresham is awesome. (I almost went the whole post without mentioning his name!)
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TE
but if they don’t draft or acquire a talented C, they failed. I would draft the big kid from Oklahoma whom i will be watching closely on Thursday, and they should then either trade back in the first or early second, or just wait for their place and take the best C available who might still be Mack. Nothing wrong with developing a rookie C and I also think almost anyone is an upgrade over what we have so instead of grabbing a FA for a ridiculous amount of $, they should just draft someone.
I still don’t understand why people don’t value a C higher than they do.
The Bills CAN win every game
by killascript on
Jan 7, 2009 9:16 AM EST
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TE
I understand where your coming from Brian. As far as
When I say “receive priority”, I simply mean that the Bills should focus more time, attention and cap dollars on finding a tight end.
I don’t like any of the TE’s in FA. Bringing in a rookie TE, is tough, because the learning curve is pretty steep. But the one thing I like about rookie TE’s that are pass-catchers, is that they aren’t asked to reinvent the wheel. They are asked to use their basketball frames and get open, especially in the red zone. John Carlson, went to a Seattle team without Hasselbeck most of the year and had 55 catches, 627 yds, 5 TD’s. Dustin Keller had 48 grabs, 538 yds, 3 TD’s. Greg Olsen had 39 catches, 391 yds, 2 TD’s in his rookie campaign. Zach Miller had 44 catches, 444 yds, 2 TD’s in friggn Oakland in his rookie year and 56 catches, 768 yds, 4 TD’s in his 2nd year.
What I’m saying is if you find the right guy, even in an offensive challenged set up like we have in Buffalo, the guy can still come in and grab an average of 40 balls, 10 yds a catch and a 2-5 TD’s. That was what we had hoped from Hardy. Imagine, now you draft Gresham if he is available, add that kind of threat to Buffalo’s passing game, and imagine what it would do to Evans, Reed, St. Johnson, and maybe even James Hardy?
I still contend that drafting a TE at #11, one as good as Gresham will have the biggest single impact that any pick at #11 could have. I know DE help is crucial, but signing a vet, and grabbing a guy in Round 2 would still allow us production.
The Center position has numerous options and adding a veteran of the caliber of Matt Birk, who I know very well here in Minnesota, who is a class A character guy, would really shore up that OLine. Center is crucial, but in no way should we use a 1st round pick and prolly not even a 2nd round pick on a center when there are so many other options out there. Sure we can take a TE in rounds 3-5 as well, but the skill level and natural atheltic ability won’t be even close to a guy like Gresham
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 9:19 AM EST
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Once again Marv, I don't think Birk or Saturday even sniff FA
Both teams know that they need these guys.
As for ignoring C in the draft till late, I think is foolish, the top 3 guys there will all be available in 1st 2 rounds, and I think we need to tab one of them. We need someone who is young and will be here a long time, not some rent a body, we already tried that with Fowler.
Now if only this gopher could play DE, we would be doing better, I mean, who couldn't play better than the corpse brothers Kelsay and Denney?
by WABillsfan on
Jan 7, 2009 7:17 PM EST
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Go With Center
I disagree, especially with a draft that is very deep in tight ends this year. They can get Mack or Luigs in second round. To dispute your claim, the Bills had Kent Hull and no superior TE during Super Bowl run. The Giants, Panthers, Arizona, etc., do not have exceptional tight ends.
You mention the following: Take a look at some of today’s best NFL tight ends. Names like Crumpler, Heap, Winslow, Witten, Clark, Gonzalez, Gates and Cooley are most often associated with good tight end play <> Of those, Crumpler is aging TE, Winslow was hurt most of the season, Gates was also injured all year. And those teams also have exceptionally good offensive lines.
Grisham, Pettigrew, Coffman, Cook will all go in first 1-2 rounds.
But there are other good Tight Ends available in 3-5 rounds:
James Casey, Dennis Pitta, Ed Dickson, Shawn Nelson, and Bear Pascoe from Fresno State who is a good darkhorse pick.
by BuffaloWhiner on
Jan 7, 2009 9:25 AM EST
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The same argument you make about the TE draft class can be made better about the center draft class, only it’ll be easier to draft one of those guys.
We did too have a good TE during the Super Bowl run – Pete Metzelaars. Was he great? No, but unlike our current crop of tight ends, he could hit a seam and stretch defenses vertically.
I wasn’t saying all of those tight ends I listed were good last year, just that they’re considered the top guys in the game, and most of them play very crucial roles in the passing game for teams that feature the run game.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:31 AM EST
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Actually, no we didn't.
Metz didn’t become a target until the fourth (well I guess actually the 3.5) year. Keith McKellar was the starter for the first three and was basically Robert Royal.
by twoeightnine on
Jan 7, 2009 10:02 AM EST
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McKeller still caught 78 passes and 8 TDs in those first two Super Bowl years. And should we have expected more considering that we had all-time greats like Kelly, Thomas and Reed to get the ball to? Find me those guys on this roster, and I’ll change my opinion that we can get by without an impact tight end.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 10:11 AM EST
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Right
McKeller was a stellar athlete and former B-ball player as I remember and is why Metz, who we “discovered” his receiving talent later on and was an awesome blocker, was able to sit in passing situations. So therefore, we need a threat at the position and if we don’t go with TE early, our scouting dept. better have an answer
The Bills CAN win every game
by killascript on
Jan 7, 2009 10:16 AM EST
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i must say Brian
you must have exceptional skills in swaying opinion because I can not believe what I am seeing in this poll.
Just because we may be better off getting a good center and a great tight end as opposed to getting a great center and a good tight end doesn’t mean tight end should be a higher priority then center. That is absolutely blasphemous after what we saw in the interior of the line this year.
Our teams first priority MUST be an upgrade at center. In fact, our entire off-season strategy should revolve around it. If we can get Gresham in the first AFTER taking into account that we can sign Birk or that our favorite center is in the second round then fine. But in no way should tight end be a higher priority then center. After all the arguing about building a team from the lines out, it is almost amazing that all of a sudden, based on the poll, we want to put center behind tight end.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 12:45 PM EST
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Like I said – just because tight end is a higher priority in this community doesn’t mean that we can’t get a center in here first. My biggest point was that it’s going to be a heck of a lot easier to get a center here than it will be to get a tight end, thus the Bills should try harder to get impact at that position.
Oh, and the last time I checked, tight ends do play on the line. ;)
Again, I re-iterate: both must be addressed. I’m just saying the Bills would be better served killing themselves trying to find a tight end as opposed to wasting a time picking between centers this off-season. Thus, higher priority.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:53 PM EST
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but
there is a difference between arguing for taking Gresham in the first round and arguing that tight end is a higher priority. I could likely be persuaded to take Gresham in the first, in fact, I kind of like the idea. But that does not mean center isn’t a higher priority.
Yes tight ends do play on the line but they play on the periphery and our problem has been the interior.
I have a question? What happens if we do make tight end our first priority and both Birk and Saturday are re-signed. Based on the fact that there are no great FA tight ends, by prioritizing tight end that means we are taking Gresham with the first pick. There appears to be consensus that Alex Mack is a rare talent, one of those once in a decade type players at this position, a guy who will come in and start immediately, and probably perform at a high level. What happens if Luigis and Unger can’t? Are we already forgetting what a setback our team took this year when we placed the fate of a HUGE need at wide receiver in the hands of James Hardy? This community is already asking what could have been if we had taken Eddie Royal or DeSean Jackson. I don’t want to be in the same position next year.
Coffman is a major receiving threat and he will be available later but even if he doesn’t pan out it doesn’t mean out offense will sputter without a top tier tight end. The same CAN NOT be said if we fail to effectively plug the enormous hole in the hull which is the center position on this offense. We will sputter again if we do not fix this problem; hence, Center is a higher priority then Tight End.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:05 PM EST
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A) I’m not arguing for targeting specific players at tight end (though obviously I like Gresham). I’m saying spend more time and resources in finding a tight end than in finding a center. Again, I’m not saying “find a tight end first!”
B) Again, Birk and Saturday aren’t the end-all of the free agent talent available at center.
C) I disagree completely that there is “consensus” that Mack is a rare talent. He’s a very good talent. But there are scouts up and down on him all over the place; some even have Unger or Luigs or Woods rated higher from place to place.
D) Counting on rookies is inherently risky simply because they’re rookies. That’s why one of these additions needs to be a veteran, and the other might even be a vet as well. Honestly, I’d rather have a vet center than even Alex Mack. I like the idea of having young skill position players to grow along with Trent; plus, if we can sign a vet C, we can draft his eventual replacement in the later rounds as well. (Let’s face it, we need two centers.)
E) I’m not exactly sure where you’re going with the whole “counting on rookies” thing. You say counting on rookies is sketchy, but are still a proponent of drafting Mack. True, Mack is considered an “immediate starter”, but playing center isn’t exactly easy, particularly in the AFC East.
F) I tend to think that the offense will sputter if we don’t get a center AND a tight end. Both need to be addressed. I hate comparing the two positions the way you did because, as I’ve said repeatedly, we need help in both areas. What good will a solid center be if Edwards still has no one getting open for him and creating mismatches in the secondary? What good will a tight end do if our center play is still crappy? If we want a truly cohesive offense, we need both. Which takes us back to my original argument: finding a tight end is far more difficult than finding a center. So plug your center hole and then work as hard as possible to get Trent his difference-maker.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:18 PM EST
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i know this is short
but you wrote a lot and have some good points so I will take some time to respond but in the meantime:
So plug your center hole and then work as hard as possible to get Trent his difference-maker.
Aren’t you thereby implying with that quote that center is a priority over tight end?
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:25 PM EST
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LOL no! :) You’re missing my main point: finding a center is easier than finding a tight end. I’m sorry, it just is. Great tight ends are SO rare in this league. I’m saying talk to Birk, talk to Saturday, talk to Meester; just get that need taken care of as quickly as possible with anybody that’s not Duke Preston because you’ve got bigger, more important fish to fry at tight end.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:29 PM EST
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but
just because centers are easier to find doesn’t make it less of a priority! Again, what happens if Meester or Birk or Saturday or Brown either do not hit the market or do not want to play in Buffalo (which we all know is a distinct possibility)? Are you still comfortable placing TE higher on the needs list then center heading into the draft?
The attitude of centers are easier to find is what landed us with Fowler in the first place! Look, I think we are on the same page here on one thing. Take care of center and move on. But that is what makes center priority number 1. Without taking care of center we can not move on. If we enter the draft without taking care of a center we’d better be more concerned with upgrading there then tight end.
Even if we trade up to get two first rounders, I’d still say our two main options then become are taking center and tight end or center and defensive end.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:35 PM EST
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Are you still comfortable placing TE higher on the needs list then center heading into the draft?
Short answer: yes. Everyone wants a world-beater at center; I’d take any fat guy who moves back in measure of inches against nose tackles rather than in measure of yards. Would it be great to have a great center? Of course it would. But I still believe that a tight end does more for this team’s development – i.e. Trent Edwards’ development – than a shiny new center does.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:37 PM EST
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Trent Edwards is still developing. Marshawn Lynch is ready to deliver now! Give the man, and his sidekick Freddy, the holes they need to punish teams on the ground! Look at the Panthers and Giants. Run run run run, pass, run run run run, pass. They both employ two backs. How many times have we seen Brandon Jacobs wear down defenses for three quarters before the G-Men throw in a fresh legged Derrick Ward to slice up an exhausted front 7? We should be doing the same thing with Lynch and Jackson but need a center.
Everyone wants a world-beater at center
No, I don’t think we do. I’d love one but I want somebody who will be a noticeable upgrade over Preston and Fowler and who can sit those guys on the bench. There is a very very good chance that Woods, Luigs or Unger get taken in the second or third and then can not beat out Preston in training camp. Jauron has shown a propensity for not putting rookies, even ones that are better then their veteran competition, on the field. That means we want someone who is clearly and indisputably better then Preston to keep that man off the field. By all accounts Alex Mack is that man for this job.
A center who can open up holes and who can give us third and inches with consistency will do just as much for Edwards development as a world class TE. And it will allow us to control the clock and wear teams down. How many times did our defense have to be on the field for possession after possession because Turk was throwing the ball, obviously not believing in our running game?
To me it seems like your argument is that you would rather have Turk continue not to believe in running the ball but have a serious weapon to utilize in the passing game as opposed to delivering Turk a center who can open running lanes and call out defensive formations thereby allowing our beloved OC to hammer the ball.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:48 PM EST
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In my view, the biggest problem with our offense wasn’t that we couldn’t run – again, we very clearly could, with 1607 yards and 11 TDs from our backs – it’s that we couldn’t capitalize on the establishment of the run.
My argument has nothing to do with Turk Schonert and everything to do with Trent Edwards. Again, I’M SAYING GET BOTH TE AND C. Then you have the line solidified and the run game solidified, BUT you also have a “world class” (your words) tight end to develop your quarterback. This team is only going as far as its quarterback takes them, poz.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:53 PM EST
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Again, I’M SAYING GET BOTH TE AND C.
I completely agree, I don’t think anyone is arguing that those are both positions of need but I do believe we are debating priority here, correct? My point is that if we can not get a free agent center prior to the draft, going into the draft with tight end as a higher priority greatly diminishes our ability to get Preston off the field next year. And that has to be priority numero uno right?
I am 100% on board getting a great TE, maybe more than you think, but not at the expense of sacrificing a major upgrade at center.
It seems we disagree on whether or not we can find starting talent centers outside of Mack in the draft if we fail to get a center in FA
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 2:06 PM EST
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I’m not sure getting Preston off the field is any higher a priority than getting Royal off the field in my mind.
Our difference of opinion centers on the significance of the upgrade at center. I’m okay with signing a guy like Meester to man the job as an upgrade, but that’s not significant enough for you. That’s really where the fundamental difference lies.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:08 PM EST
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I would actually be quite satisfied with Meester and then a later draft choice.Where I am concerned is that if we fail to sign a FA center such as Meester, which is not outside the realm of possibility, you still appear intent on drafting a TE before a C
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 2:11 PM EST
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I would probably have to re-assess my opinion if the worst-case scenario you propose unfolded. I doubt it will, though, so I’m sticking to my guns for now.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:21 PM EST
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Jauron has shown a propensity for not putting rookies, even ones that are better then their veteran competition, on the field. That means we want someone who is clearly and indisputably better then Preston to keep that man off the field. By all accounts Alex Mack is that man for this job.
That makes sense. To be fair we did have a run pass ratio of pretty much 50% on the nose.
But:
To me it seems like your argument is that you would rather have Turk continue not to believe in running the ball but have a serious weapon to utilize in the passing game as opposed to delivering Turk a center who can open running lanes and call out defensive formations thereby allowing our beloved OC to hammer the ball.
I don’t agree with. Our pass protection with Trent well above average being he only got sacked like 26 times. The key though to quicker routes opening up, is having the safeties have to guard the middle of the field. If you have a pass catching TE there beating LB’s and Safeties and making DB"s have to tackle a big time TE, it will do wonders to EVERY SINGLE OTHER SKILL POSITION PLAYER ON OFFENSE
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 1:54 PM EST
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If you have a pass catching TE there beating LB’s and Safeties and making DB"s have to tackle a big time TE, it will do wonders to EVERY SINGLE OTHER SKILL POSITION PLAYER ON OFFENSE
Agreed, I just want to get a much better center first and then do that.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 2:10 PM EST
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I actually disagree that Jauron has not put rookies on the field when they are better than the vets. I guess it took Steve Johnson awhile to pass Parrish on the depth chart, but Fine came in a took a huge chunk of playing time away almost immediately despite his injury forcing him to miss valuable learning time. It took Trent Edwards a couple of starts to pass the injured JP Losman on the depth chart and that is somthing that a lot of head coaches wouldn’t have done. Brad Butler won a job as a rookie. Kyle Williams earned a substantial role as a rookie. When has Jauron ever left a better player on the bench?
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 2:54 PM EST
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Hard to say that Brian
Finding a great center who can handle a 4-3 front IS easy, afterall, rarely is that C dealing with a 320+ man over the top of him smacking him in the head as soon as the ball is snapped.
Finding a center who can handle a 3-4 NT is ALOT harder! THATs where this arguement for TE or C is bunk for me. We play all 3-4s in our division, with the corpses of Fowler and Preston on the field this year, we went 0-6 in our division! We CANNOT allow that to happen, so finding a C who CAN handle a NT to me is more important than a TE.
Now if only this gopher could play DE, we would be doing better, I mean, who couldn't play better than the corpse brothers Kelsay and Denney?
by WABillsfan on
Jan 7, 2009 7:24 PM EST
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here here
Thanks for backin’ me up WABills!
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 7:34 PM EST
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You know what? I can’t pigeon-hole an 0-6 record on one position on the football field. That just makes zero sense to me.
I get the 3-4 thing, and it’s a valid point, but I’ll re-iterate: I consider Pittsburgh’s Justin Hartwig to be a run-of-the-mill, journeyman, average center – he’s in his first season in Pittsburgh, and he signed a very basic 2-year, $4 million deal this past March – and the Steelers are doing just fine against him and the 3-4 defenses of Baltimore and Cleveland. So… my opinion hasn’t changed.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:23 PM EST
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Well said poz
I just can’t get behind TE with our #1 pick at this time. If we fill our needs at Center, DE, and DT via FA, then maybe. This coaching staff would not know what to do with a vertical threat TE. They want someone to mostly block and catch short passes. We don’t need to use our first pick on a weapon that does not fit our offensive philosophy.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 1:19 PM EST
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exactly
I haven’t even gone into defensive end yet but that is another HUGE hole. I believe Brian was writing about our offensive needs but if we are talking about our whole team I would also find it extremely difficult to place tight end, which I think you accurately stated is a position our offense wouldn’t know what do with if got Gresham or even Coffman as has been demonstrated by the love affair with Schouman/Fine type, above defensive end. I’d say that our weakness at DE has held back the ENTIRE defense for entirely too long
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:28 PM EST
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totally disagree
Our offense would indeed know what to do with, because Trent is a hashmark to hashmark type QB. He Loves the middle of the field. That’s where his best throws are. Remember games 1-6? He delivered strikes on seams and in routes to Evans, Reed and even (GASP) Robert Royal. The throw to set up the FG in the Cle game was a bullet into Royal. Edwards desperately needs a big, athletic pass-catcher
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 1:42 PM EST
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They want someone to mostly block and catch short passes.
That’s not their philosophy. Their philosophy is that unless you have a truly gifted athlete, then the objectives you described are the best fit for that position.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:30 PM EST
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The Bills are not the Raiders
If they want to be a “throw it deep” type offense, then Edwards is probably the wrong QB for the Bills. Short accurate passes, with occasional shots down the field, are what Edwards likes to do and why the Bills like Edwards We simply would not use a vertical threat TE’s talent as much as that of a gifted Center. This is the reason Lee was on the JP bandwagon as long as he was. Lee loves the bomb.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 3:22 PM EST
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What exactly do you have in mind when you say vertical threat at TE? There isn’t a TE in the league who goes deep. When we say vertical threat, we are talking about a guy with the athletic ability to get open 15-20 yards downfield. Tony Gonzalez averaged 11 yards per catch this year. Jason Witten and Owen Daniels averaged 12. Kellen Winslow averaged 10 and Shockey averaged less than that.
A good TE is exactly the kind of player who does fit into what Trent Edwards excels at and what the Bills are trying to do on offense.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:31 PM EST
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You’re mis-interpreting me. I’m not saying the Bills are the Greatest Show on Turf.
All I’m saying is that the Bills could use a tight end that can take care of the middle of the field 10-20 yards down the field. Robert Royal was in that area all the time, but he sucks. So the following statement is patently false:
We simply would not use a vertical threat TE’s talent as much as that of a gifted Center.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:32 PM EST
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priority
I think the word “priority” is screwing this all up. I maintain that a pass-catching TE would have the biggest IMPACT on this offense if we get a top-tier threat like Gresham, or even to a lesser degree Pettigrew, Cook or Coffman.
Center is a huge need. WE are not disagreeing on that. The piont I am trying to make is that the upgrade at Center is much more attainable and easier to fix. However, a pass-catching TE is a tough prospect to find, thus we should use our resources to address this position as best we can which IMO is in Round 1 or 2 of the 2009 NFL Draft
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 1:40 PM EST
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no arguement on that at all
I’m all for taking a world class TE in round 1 IF we address center in FA. I’m also for taking a guy like Coffman in round 2 or 3 IF we address center in FA or the first round. All I’m saying is that this makes center a higher priority then tight end. It is a need that must be addressed first
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:51 PM EST
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One big problem with a TE
Actually – there are few… First I think it’s harder to find that “Game-Changing” TE like a Gates, or Gonzalez (and I don’t think there is one in this draft) and two we play half our games in Buffalo… Why do you think we had so much success with Kent Hull, because it snows, drops to -10 degrees, and we could run up the middle… We need both positions, but I’d rather have a pro-bowl monster center than a TE who would have the potential to let his ego turn him into Jeremy Shockey.
by D.C. Fan on
Jan 7, 2009 9:28 AM EST
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For every Jeremy Shockey, there’s a Dallas Clark.
I repeat: a “Pro Bowl monster center” will have a far smaller impact on this team, this offense and Trent Edwards’ development than a good tight end, even if that tight end has the ego of two Shockeys.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:32 AM EST
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If you control the line of scrimmige you control the game, no matter who your skill players are.
by Harris on
Jan 7, 2009 11:14 AM EST
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No argument here. I just think we’re MUCH closer to controlling the line of scrimmage than we are of taking advantage of said control once it’s established. An average center gives us scrimmage control. A second-round tight end doesn’t let us capitalize on it.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 11:16 AM EST
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we need a center
The game is won and lost on the offensive line. And whether its in the pass game of the run game the center is the leader of the offensive line, makes calls, last second decisions on the line and i dont think duke preston or any other average or below average center is good enough. All great teams have above average centers.
I totally agree that we need a very large upgrade at tight end, however i would rather have a dominating offensive line. I also understand that tigh ends are a part of the line, but most teams now have 2 tight ends anyway, 1 for receiving, and 1 for blocking. We already have efficient blocking tight ends. The days of seeing tight ends who are dominating in both the running game and passing game are over.
Having a constant edge every game at the center position is very important
by rcrumpley44 on
Jan 7, 2009 1:19 PM EST
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Again, no argument from me on “the game is won and lost on the lines” argument. I would argue your idea that “all great teams have above average centers”, because I would consider guys like Carolina’s Ryan Kalil, Pittsburgh’s Justin Hartwig, Arizona’s Lyle Sendlein or Atlanta’s Todd McClure anything more than slightly above average centers, and they all anchored the lines of playoff teams this season.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:26 PM EST
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I will go even further and call Sendlein a disaster of a player on the same level of ineptitude as Fowler and Preston. Kalil is a very solid player. Hartwig and McClure are average at best.
Green Bay made the playoffs last year with an average center in Scott Wells. Seattle was a pretty good team for almost a decade with mediocre center play. Tampa Bay was awful at center last year and still had a good season.
If I ever get around to writing up all my thoughts in a fanpost, I will probably touch on why I think center is the least important of the 9 offensive and defensive line starters. So well games are won and lost in the trenches (and with QB play), centers don’t actually win and lose games.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 2:34 PM EST
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Center on a team that plays 4-3 defenses is probably the least important on the line
A C who faces 3-4 Defenses ALL the time is one of THE most important positions. Its just a simple situation of what type of D they are playing. With a NT headed upfield all the time at your QB, a C becomes much more important than a guy who is usually helping a G or heading upfield at a LBer. Big difference in opponent leads to shifting value of the C position.
Now if only this gopher could play DE, we would be doing better, I mean, who couldn't play better than the corpse brothers Kelsay and Denney?
by WABillsfan on
Jan 7, 2009 7:33 PM EST
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Do we really face huge nose tackles all the time? Sure we play NE and NY twice a year, but if the Jets hire a 4-3 guy like Spagnuolo then you can throw them out the window. Let’s also not forget that the Bills had great success running between the tackles against Vince Wilfork and the Pats despite Marshawn being injured and NE knowing that the team was going to run every down. Miami currently has a 305 pound NT. Not exactly a big immovable object for our centers who weighed more than he did. If those centers were any better we would have run the ball just fine (which we actually did the first time we played them).
The Bills also only have one game out of the division next year against a 3-4 team and that is Cleveland who we ran all over last year too. I think the argument that we have to be built to run against 3-4s is pretty overblown considering that the Bills had most of their best rushing performances against 3-4s last year.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 8:11 PM EST
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trent
had ample times were he had a ton of time. And he held onto the ball forever. Time is not the issue. We need an upgrade a Center but anyone would be an upgrade over Fowler/Preston.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 11:17 AM EST
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That he did. How many times did we say Trent “looked scared” against Cleveland when he was standing back for 14 seconds at a time, waiting for a receiver to miraculously get open?
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 11:21 AM EST
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He also got sacked many time or was forced to throw the ball short because
he couldn’t wait for the deep balls to open up. If you are going to make this argument, don’t pretend that Edwards had all day with no pressure.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 11:53 AM EST
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All quarterbacks deal with pressure, Joe. Trent only got sacked 23 times. In general, Edwards had more than enough time to throw, particularly as the season wore on and the line got used to its new coach and its new blocking scheme.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 11:54 AM EST
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Be fair and add JPs sacks in or pro-rate it over 16 games.
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 11:57 AM EST
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true
center undoubtedly will greatly help this offense. All I’m saying is that there are more of a variety of ways to upgrade at center, and undoubtedly easier to fill with a veteran FA. There are 0 veteran TE’s I would want to sign. Center is really important, i agree, and especially for the running game vs the 3-4 defenses, but if we want to be able to score points and get big chunks of yardage a pass-catching TE that can come in and grab 40 balls is a must
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 12:07 PM EST
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OK, fine. 30 sacks in a 16-game season, less than 2 per game. You’re saying we can’t deal with 2 sacks per game if we get an “average” center and a guy who makes Edwards a more efficient passer? If you are, I whole-heartedly disagree with you.
If you want to take it further, if Edwards had played all 16 games in his rookie year, he would have been sacked 20 times, which is a pretty spectacular stat.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:28 PM EST
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Oh, and also – there is nothing “fair” to an assessment of an offensive line about adding JP Losman’s sacks taken into a statistic.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:29 PM EST
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Well, some of that problem can be attributed to our WRs and TEs as well Brian
Outisde of Reed and occassionaly Johnson, did we see ANY other TE or WR break routes off, come back to Trent or do anything than just run their prescribed route? Lee likes to stand and wave his arms alot for a barn burner WR, and part of it is that he stinks at coming back and trying to find soft spots in the zone. Reed is far superior at that, and I think thats rubbing off on Johnson. But we need more of that from all of them.
Now if only this gopher could play DE, we would be doing better, I mean, who couldn't play better than the corpse brothers Kelsay and Denney?
by WABillsfan on
Jan 7, 2009 7:35 PM EST
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That’s exactly my point, WA. We don’t have a receiver that can exploit zones, which is what tight ends are generally great at.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:24 PM EST
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Brian...I agree with your logic.
If the Bills chose to fill these positions through the draft, my priority would be TE, DE and then C. With that said, I’d go with the best available player among those three areas as the top pick. I’d hate to see the Bills reach for the top TE if he’s not special.
I contend that this team will need to be thinking about playoffs two years from now and should plan accordingly. Not to say that the team can’t be improved in 2009, but a 9-7, 8-8 or even 7-9 record against improved competition—they will have a significantly difficult schedule next year—would be a step forward. This means that whomever they draft should make a contribution when it matters most. I suspect (and hope) the Bills fill one of these positions through free agency, leaving the other two for the 2009 draft.
"They're Killin' Me Whitey. They're Killin' Me" -- Lou Saban
by NJBill on
Jan 7, 2009 9:40 AM EST
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correct
I’ve been researching TE’s taken in mid-rounds the last few years, and I just see a dramatic drop off after the top 2-3 pass catchers. We don’t need another Derek Schouman or Derek Fine. Fine has turned out to be an exceptional blocker, smart, hard working player that will hopefully only get better. We can FIND blocking TE’s, but what people fail to realize is that our WR corps is just not cutting it. We don’t have the playmakers we need.
There are ways to get another Center. The draft is deep this year at Center. Free Agency will determine what are first 3 rounds positional wise will have to be. Matt Birk is a guy I would love to see in a Bills uniform. While he isn’t as dominant as he once was, he would bring veteran leadership and productivity to the Center position. Then you can also draft a guy to groom in the later rounds.
Look, there are no FA TE’s. We can trade away valuable draft picks. We can’t continue with Robert Royal and the Derek’s. We can’t count on James Hardy for anything next year. We desperately need help for Trent. We have to use a 1st or 2nd round pick on a TE IMO
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 9:42 AM EST
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I think that is the best pro TE argument you have made so far. If you go down the list of which TEs had the most catches or yards last year, it is pretty incredible that the top 15 guys are almost all first day picks. I think the only exceptions were the undrafted freak Antonio Gates and HB Chris Cooley who waas undersized and went to Utah St, but still went in the fourth round. Almost all of the elite TEs in the NFL are 1st and 2nd round picks and you can’t say that about center, or many other positions for that matter.
I think I am now officially on the TE as our second priority bandwagon, under the assumption that the Bills think they can find an elite guy (or atleast a really good one) with the pick. I would hate to pass on Unger or Luigs in the second round only to see them get swooped up right before Buffalo picks in the third (how great does trading down look now), and have Buffalo draft a guy like Chase Coffman who I don’t think will be a special player at the next level.
The logic I was using earlier to debate that DE was the bigger need was that adding an elite DE and an average C would have MUCH more impact on this team than adding an elite C and average DE would. I think that same logic works for TE, but I still think I would rather see this team add an above average C (A Brad Meester type) and an average TE (like Anthony Fasano or LJ Smith) MORE then an average center (Chris Spencer type) and an above average TE (A Donald Lee or even John Carlson calibur player). Does that make sense? Have I been asking if my comments make sense too much lately?
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 10:46 AM EST
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sense?
yes that makes sense. Again this will all depend on FA. If we nab a veteran Center then we won’t be taking one in the first day of the draft. I don’t like Chase Coffman. Sure he had 90 catches but Martin Rucker had 84 and he did nothing in the NFL this year. THat offense is so pass happy I trust a guy coming out of there. In this draft its gresham and then Pettigrew who I’m not sure about his “character/work ethic” issues, then Chase Coffman and Jared Cook. The only guy I love is Gresham. Plays with a top 5 pick in Bradford, and has unreal athletic ability. IMO, you either take the top TE, or you wait and hope to find a gem later on. Cuz taking a 2nd round TE that is 50/50 on panning out is not affordable when we definitely have to get 2 impact players out this draft.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 11:02 AM EST
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I would happily take the next Marcedes Lewis (little worse blocker, little better receiver) in Brandon Pettigrew in the second round. He could be a top 5 blocking TE amongst NFL starters and a solid average receiver over the middle and in the red zone.
James Casey is another TE I would be happy with in the second round. He is undersized and will never be a great blocker. More of an HB type, but I think he could be a special player for Buffalo lining up in different spots and having Trent check down to him out of the back field or hit him on little 5 yard curls and really move the chains. He seems like a heady Buffalo type of player too.
What do you like about Jared Cook? His average size and average production don’t really stand out to me.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 11:25 AM EST
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Cook
at 6’5", 240 he has the athleticism to really be a great receiving threat in the pros. He runs like Gresham, with that fluidity of a WR. His productino wasn’t great, only 37 catches this year, but he has “potential.” I want a guy that is a pass-catcher first and can’t stretch the field. That’s why i’m looking at the premier top TE’s. Pettigrew reminds me of Martellius Bennet some? If that makes sense. I really want a top flight pass-catching TE. With Hardy’s disappointment, and ACL injury he cannot be counted on in 2009. Thus making adding another weapon to the receiving corps so much more important
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 11:40 AM EST
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There is all most always a dramatic drop off after the best 2-3 at almost every position
The odds are good we will not get Birk, Brown, or Saturday in FA. So how many of these guys do you really think can start on day one?
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 11:56 AM EST
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TE's?
Well it depends what we want from the TE position. There are only 3-4 pass-catching TE’s that can come in RIGHT away and contribute, and only one, that is NFL ready right now, and that’s Gresham. However, there are some raw pass-catchers like Jared Cook that could be developed
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 12:11 PM EST
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Maybe not, but the odds are better that we could sign a guy like Meester, who can start for us from day one.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:32 PM EST
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We can trade away valuable draft picks
We CANT trade away valuable draft picks….i meant
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 9:44 AM EST
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We need both
So what is the best strategy for that? Best player available within the positions of need. If the best plaer available is DE, I want that. I want impact, and if our guys in charge (ugh!) have a plan, then we could get it all.
The Bills CAN win every game
by killascript on
Jan 7, 2009 10:19 AM EST
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TE vs C
I think the argument could be made that getting the type of TE we need will cost more money and a higher draft pick then an upgrade at center. Good centers can be found later in the draft. Jamey Richards was a 7th round pick by the Colts and when Jeff Saturday was hurt he was starting for the Colts. Not saying hee was as good as Saturday but he was starting for a play-off team as a 7th rounder. There are plenty of centers that can be had in this draft as 2nd day picks, all of whom are probably better then Dookie right now. Elite pass catching TEs… not so much.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Jan 7, 2009 10:53 AM EST
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Center First
I believe we need a playmaking TE, but I think the C is far more important. In order to have any kind of running game, everyone up front needs to hold their own. When NT’s in the 3-4 defense (especially) are busting plays up in the backfield it screws us two ways. 1st, our running game suffers (as it did early in the year), and secondly you can’t have a play action game without running the ball. I believe when the running game is working, the TE doesn’t have to be a stud. I think if we could pull Birk to play C for us, it would solidify our OL and it would mean that we would have options for upgrading our TE.
by NCbillzfan55 on
Jan 7, 2009 10:55 AM EST
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In order to have any kind of running game, everyone up front needs to hold their own.
I think the fact that Lynch and Jackson combined for 1607 yards and 11 TDs with our crap-fest at center refutes that argument pretty handily. I’m not saying our run game was great, but it was clearly very good, even without good center play.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 10:58 AM EST
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Also
and secondly you can’t have a play action game without running the ball.
How many times did the Bills actually run play action? I’m not sure I even saw one all year. The running game was working pretty good at times and it would have been easy to run some play-action, but if they actually did it I missed it.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Jan 7, 2009 11:02 AM EST
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To that end, an elite tight end prospect like Gresham would make it virtually impossible for Schonert to ignore the play-action game as much as he did.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 11:05 AM EST
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Nothing is impossible for Schonert to ignore
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 1:23 PM EST
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Yeah, but Schonert might only be here for one more year as it is. Do we want to build a team for a coaching staff that might be around for a year, or do we want to build the best team possible?
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:29 PM EST
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If you don't believe in your staff, then you should fire them NOW!!!!!
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 3:28 PM EST
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Completely different argument.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:33 PM EST
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How about this then,
It is completely disfunctional to draft a player with the idea that the current coach MIGHT be fired and the new coach MIGHT be better able to utilize his talent.
The best team argument? Isn’t that what we are talking about anyway?
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 11:02 PM EST
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How many times did the Bills actually run play action? I’m not sure I even saw one all year.
Then you must not have been paying attention to the games. The Bills ran a play action pass almost every other game!
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 11:26 AM EST
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I didn't catch as many as I would have liked to
But I didn’t see that play-action nearly as much as it should have been used.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Jan 7, 2009 11:39 AM EST
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and you wonder why our blocking schemes didn't work well.
Could it be because we were compensating for something?
"The Bills have no playoff aspirations"
by Joe P. on
Jan 7, 2009 12:00 PM EST
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Who says our blocking schemes didn’t work well? I only ever said there was a transition when McNally left and Kugler took over. New system, new blocking scheme, new coach. Did you not expect a rough period while we transitioned? The Peters holdout complicated the issue as well.
Yeah, we’ve had to compensate for our center issue, but again, I’m not saying it doesn’t need to be addressed. It does. I just think a playmaker does far more for this offense and this quarterback than a center does.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:34 PM EST
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I don’t feel like the transition was all that distract as far as the systems and the scheme. I’m sure there was some change, but Kugler learned under McNally and implemented McNally’s system.
I would chalk the problems more to: 1. Peters holdout, and 2. Injuries and inconsistency in the starting lineup. Not only was there the Peters situation, but shuffled players at center and RG this year. The same five started 15 of the 16 games last year (Peters missed one)- that can make a big difference.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 1:13 PM EST
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No, Kugler definitely did NOT implement McNally’s system. They changed blocking schemes. Plus, Kugler only spent one year under McNally, so “learning from him” isn’t exactly a sound argument, either. The scheme change was Schonert’s idea, by the way; he tweaked the blocking to better fit his change in offensive philosophy.
But you’re also right in that the Peters holdout and the injuries to Butler and pretty much every other guard on the roster save Dockery were devastating as well.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:21 PM EST
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I definitely not saying that they didn’t make changes, but I find it hard to believe that they made wholesale changes. Didn’t Schonert for example keep the terminology from Fairchild largely intact to make the transition easier? Thats all I meant. I could be wrong. Fair point on the only one year under McNally.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 1:25 PM EST
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The terminology rollover was in play-calls, and was only beneficial to Edwards and the rest of the quarterbacks. The line had entirely new calls for each play.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:31 PM EST
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I believe you, but I’d like more informational as well. My assumption was that the specific line calls/techniques used were ‘encoded’ into the play calls the same way formation, route combinations, etc… are. So they’re not? Or are you saying the terminology involved has been adjusted in this specific instance?
Sorry to be a pain in the a$$, but on this website to learn as much as argue, and sometimes I have to argue to learn.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 1:46 PM EST
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Are protections only set up at the line of scrimmage for example? Or are only adjustments made?
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 1:49 PM EST
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Both! :)
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:53 PM EST
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You’re not being a pain in the arse by any stretch of the imagination. That’s all on Kurupt. :)
Play calls are play calls, and they come directly from the coordinator. Line calls come after the huddle is broken, when the line sees the formation that the defense is coming out with – where potential blitzers are, etc etc. Ever see a linebacker walk up to his D-Line pre-snap and tap a guy on either side of the butt, telling him to shift? There’s a chess match going on there between lines getting properly lined up to execute. The same thing goes on with quarterbacks and coverages.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:50 PM EST
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Ah! I assumed that the whole tapping thing was more to because the D-lineman wasn’t lining up with the proper technique for the defensive call. Probably its a little bit of both. Makes sense though. I suppose that makes the C position all the more important then.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 2:12 PM EST
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Centers generally make the calls, yes. But Preston’s actually quite adept at that – he’s a pretty smart guy. His issue is that he just simply can’t block.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:21 PM EST
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That's just a tiny bit of an issue.
by twoeightnine on
Jan 7, 2009 3:31 PM EST
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Ha, yeah, pretty eensy.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:33 PM EST
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If only this were the 70s and he could hide metal plates in his extremely taped forearms. Those were the days…
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 4:07 PM EST
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Our running game was anemic when we played early in the season. The reason our running game picked up later in the year was because we were playing against teams who had plenty of injuries on the DL.
by NCbillzfan55 on
Jan 7, 2009 4:49 PM EST
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in
the KC and Denver games we ran play action a ton. That was when we ran the ball effectively as well. That’s Trent’s ideal game plan. Start off running short passing game, and open it up to play action, screens etc as the game goes on. He does so much better when he is in play action compared to straight 5-7 step drops and fire. So yes, improve Center, but more importantly, get a difference maker at TE, so when we do run PA, it is much easier for Trent
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 11:04 AM EST
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I couldn’t disagree more on this argument. You build a winning team starting with the trenches, offensive and defensive lines. It has been painfully obvious the center position has been our achilles heel along the offensive line for a number of years. There are so many reasons it’s a must for the Bills to solidify this position, I’m praying it’s through the draft and not overpaying for some free agent who is entering their declining years of their career.
What’s the point of having a pass-catching TE when you cannot establish a running game and DT’s are consistently blowing up plays?
by Harris on
Jan 7, 2009 11:11 AM EST
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Again – I’m not saying address TE and leave C alone. I tried very hard to make that painfully clear. BOTH must be addressed.
Where is the proof that we can’t establish a running game? We ran the ball very effectively over the second half of the season. Again, Lynch and Jackson: 1607 yards, 11 TDs. With Duke Preston as our starting center. Brad Freakin’ Meester makes them an 1800-yard, 15-TD duo at a minimum. A tight end threat increases those numbers even more.
I get the trenches argument, and agree with it, but in my view, we have 80% of a dominant offensive line already in place. We have 0% of a difference-maker at tight end.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 11:20 AM EST
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gotta agree ...
… with Brian on this one.
The Colts last year took 3, count ‘em 3 centers in the draft. Granted, they picked a couple players who ended up shifting positions, but still, if they can pick 3 in the later rounds and find one that’s servicable, we can too (without going to that extreme).
I’ve yet to see (or perhaps I’ve missed) someone show me the draft round of ever Center in the NFL. Unless it’s clear that taking a Center with the #1 pick is the obvious thing to do, I’d rather wait. Plus, as I’ve mentioned before, if Dummy Donahoe picked Brown (who was taken 2, count ‘em, 2 players later) instead of Dung Preston, then we wouldn’t be in this mess. What round were they taken? The 4th … Jeff Saturday and Matt Birk? Undrafted and 6th round.
If the Bills had half a brain, instead of drafting Omon, they would have used that pick or another one for a Center who could be versatile and play other positions too, thus getting a cheaper, and probably a better option than Fowler as a backup and someone who would push Dookie Preston during the year.
I’d rather us take a pass-catching TE if the one is available early, ESPECIALLY with the offensive pedigree that he has playing in a pass-happy offense at OU, then focus on OL and front 7 the rest of the draft, and also adding other pieces via free agency.
by sabre74kkn on
Jan 7, 2009 12:01 PM EST
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The Colts draft of 3 centers is a good example of the difference between a great center (Saturday) and the other three. If they keep Saturday we’ll know what they think of their 3 average centers.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on
Jan 7, 2009 1:35 PM EST
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I wrote it below and I’ll say it again here: I don’t think Saturday is that great of a center.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:38 PM EST
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The Colts didn’t actually draft 3 centers though. They drafted 2 centers in the 7th round and a LG who played center in college. Indy has already come out and said that Pollack will not be moved to center if Staturday leaves via FA or when he retires. If you drafted a QB to play quarterback in the 7th round and a QB to switch to WR in the second round, did you really go out of your way to address the QB position?
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 2:38 PM EST
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trenches
yes, but we have many ways to address the center position. FA and the rounds 2-4 of the draft. Whereas TE, you can only address that in the 1-2 round of the draft. No one respects our passing game because all they do is double Lee and stack the box and dare us to run. We still ran the ball fine with Preston the last 6 games of the year. TE is more of a PRIORITY as Brian stated. Look at the cold weather teams. Pitt has Heath Miller and Spaeth, Balt has Heap, NYG have Boss, NYJ have Keller, look what Carlson did in Seattle, what Winslow does in Cle, Scheffler in Denver. We have no resemblance of a pass-catching TE. With a) our WR corps so bad and b) the Way Trent Edwards plays QB we must significantly improve the TE position if we are to improve as an offense.
No one is saying we don’t need to address the Center but there are a variety of ways to address C, while there are only the 1-2 rounds of the NFL draft to address TE
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 11:22 AM EST
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TE
Well, actually I tend to agree with you Brian, although as you pointed clearly, we still need to address the center-position as well. I think a guy like Matt Birk would be the perfect center for us to get in FA. He’s tremendously intelligent, has been to the Pro Bowl, can hold his own against big cloggers and is a true veteran, who can anchor an O-line. As far as TE’s go, then we would need to trade back in to the first round of the draft, because DE is – and there’s no discussion in my opinion about this – going to be the first round pick. Maybin would be the perfect fit, although I don’t know if he’s going to skip his last year at Penn State to come out early. Otherwise, Brian Orakpo (who remains my favorite) and Everette Brown are the two other DE’s, who at this deserve to be mentioned in the early part of the first round, in which we are drafting. Orakpo would give you the by far biggest talent, though Brown has more experience at DE and is perhaps not as raw as Orakpo.
My ideal Off season would have this look:
1. Resign Crowell
2. Sign Matt Birk
3. Draft Brian Orakpo
4. Trade up and get Jermaine Gresham
5. Sign Reggie Williams from the Jaguars (has tremendous potential, is a phenomenal blocker and is a terrific red zone target)
6. Re-sign Jason Peters and Fred Jackson to long term deals
by BillsfanfromDenmark on
Jan 7, 2009 11:51 AM EST
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i would go along
with all of that.
My view is OBD will take a DE. So we hope to get a Vet Center via FA.
Either way LB, DE, C, TE will all be the first positions addressed via FA and the draft. Hopefully grabbing two in FA and 2 in the first 2 rounds of the draft
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 12:15 PM EST
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Meh, I’d rather sign 4 vets then draft BPA. What? That’ll never happen? Damn. If only I was captain of this ship.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 12:36 PM EST
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You are the captian of this ship. Just not the one that we all want to steer.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on
Jan 7, 2009 12:53 PM EST
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realistically
there is no reason they can’t bring in a vet C, DE, LB. But that would make too much sense
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 12:48 PM EST
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of what caliber? If we want an impact DE, it will cost us. The best vet centers will cost us. Most of the good vet LBs will cost us. I’m not an expert on NFL economics, but until I see some proof of that statement I’m going to be quite skeptical.
Priorities are hard. If we have the option to get either a pro-bowl C or a pro-bowl TE, I’d be happy with either. However, I think there are better C options available this year. Birk is expected to hit FA, and Mack shows a lot of promise, while Unger and company make this a deep draft class. At TE, there’s depth in the draft, but very little on the FA market.
by Hopefulcynic on
Jan 7, 2009 12:52 PM EST
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I think once (if) Suggs, Peppers and Berry all get resigned, OBD will have a great reason why they didn’t sign a free agent DE and that is because Demetric Evans is the best one left.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 2:40 PM EST
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Centers by Draft Round
I am only listing the Active Roster players from NFL.com. I also forgot the current team and drafting team (which differs for several of them), but here’s an idea of who is out there now and where they came from:
(I may try to do TEs later … I’d never get any work done trying that now!)
Matt Birk – 6th Round, 11th Year
Jason Brown – 4th Round, 4th Year
Junius Coston – 5th Round, 4th Year
Jeff Faine – 1st Round, 6th Year
Melvin Fowler – 3rd Round, 7th Year
Hank Fraley – Undrafted, 9th Year
Eric Ghiaciuc – 4th Round, 4th Year
Jonathan Goodwin – 5th Round, 7th Year
Jake Grove – 2nd Round, 5th Year
Andre Gurode – 2nd Round, 7th Year
Geoff Hangartner – 5th Round, 4th Year
Nick Hardwick – 3rd Round, 5th Year
Leroy Harris – 4th Round, 2nd Year
Justin Hartwig – 6th Round, 7th Year
Eric Heitmann – 7th Round, 7th Year
Jamaal Jackson – Undrafted, 5th Year
Al Johnson – 2nd Round, 6th Year
Steve Justice – 6th Round, Rookie
Ryan Kalil – 2nd Round, 2nd Season
Dan Koppen – 5th Round, 6th Season
Olin Kreutz – 3rd Round, 11th Season
Nick Mangold – 1st Round, 3rd Season
Kevin Mawae – 2nd Round, 15th Season
Todd McClure – 7th Round, 10th Season
Andy McCollum – Undrafted, 15th Season
Brad Meester – 2nd Round, 9th Season
Drew Miller – Undrafted, Rookie
Chris Morris – 7th Round, 3rd Year
Scott Mruczkowski – 7th Round, 4th Year
Chris Myers – 6th Round, 4th Year
Jeremy Newberry – 2nd Round, 11th Year
Rudy Niswanger – Undrafted, 3rd Year
Shaun O’Hara – Undrafted, 9th Year
Dung Preston – 4th Round, 4th Year
Casey Rabach – 3rd Round, 8th Year
Dominic Raiola – 2nd Round, 8th Year
Jamey Richard – 7th Round, Rookie
Brett Romberg – Undrafted, 5th Year
Pat Ross – Undrafted, 1st Year
Samson Satele – 2nd Round, 2nd Year
Jeff Saturday – Undrafted, 10th Year
Lyle Sendlein – Undrafted, 2nd Year
John Sullivan – 6th Round, Rookie
Steve Vallos – 7th Round, 2nd Year
John Wade – 5th Round, 11th Year
Cody Wallace – 4th Round, Rookie
Scott Wells – 7th Round, 5th Year
Chris White – Undrafted, 4th Year
Casey Wiegmann – Undrafted, 13th Year
Ben Wilkerson – Undrafted, 3rd Year
Cory Withrow – Undrafted, 9th Year
Avg round drafted = 5.27
- Undrafted players on active rosters = 14 / 51 = 27.45%
- 1st Round draft picks on active rosters = 2 / 51 = 3.92 %
- 2nd Round draft picks on active rosters = 9 / 51 = 17.65 %
- 3rd Round = 5
- 4th Round = 5
- 5th Round = 5
- 6th Round = 5
- 7th Round = 6
If the C position is deep this year in the draft, why waste an early pick on a C when we can address either TE, LB, or DE, in the first round (or more)?
by sabre74kkn on
Jan 7, 2009 1:14 PM EST
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because average isnt good enough
I dont care what position we go with first, but average is no longer good enough. We sign average players, average coaches, and pick up average players of free agency, and it directly reflects with our AVERAGE RECORD at 7-9 for the last 3 years. we need to sign above average players starting on the offensive line because thats where games are won and lost
by rcrumpley44 on
Jan 7, 2009 1:22 PM EST
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Honestly, I disagree with that completely. I tend to think of Jeff Saturday as a pretty average center – did you see him get absolutely destroyed by Jamal Williams in San Diego, a guy that Preston handled pretty well? – that has a great rep because of the offense he plays in.
Average players look better when they’re surrounded by great players. A great center isn’t going to turn Robert Royal into Tony Gonzalez, but Peyton Manning can make Jeff Saturday and his linemates look pretty fantastic.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:33 PM EST
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I disagree. I specifically remember the game-winning touchdown against the Patriots in the AFC Championship game a few years ago. Saturday absolutely manhandled Vince Wilfork into the end zone to provide the lane for Addai to score. I’ve seen him do that plenty. Not to mention Saturday sets a lot of the protections for that O-line.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 1:49 PM EST
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Being an average center isn’t the equivalent of being a bad center. Indy’s biggest problem this year, particularly in its playoff loss, was its inability to run the ball. Are you telling me that Saturday wasn’t part of the problem?
Saturday is a good player, but he’s only solid in Indy because of the situation. I really don’t think he’d do well in many other places.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:55 PM EST
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I’m not denying that he’s both a) on the downside of his career, and b) that he would be an all pro in any situation. He definitely has had some crappy games this year. But he’s also consistently been clutch in key situations, and he has underrated power, especially for his size. Again, you can’t underestimate the value of getting his linemates into the best possible protection. I still think he would be a solid talent now in quite a few places and an elite player a few years ago (maybe only one) in several more.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 4:01 PM EST
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I should clarify: just because I don’t think Saturday is all that great doesn’t mean I wouldn’t love to see him in Buffalo. He’d obviously be a huge upgrade. :)
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 4:08 PM EST
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yea but
just because centers are usually not special enough to go in the first or second doesn’t mean we should pass up one that everybody is saying is special enough to go first or second. In fact, it would almost imply that we should jump on this chance considering the state of our interior line.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 1:38 PM EST
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TE or Center
There is a good Center from the Ravens who is going to be a free agent. Sign him. Then in the draft we go DE TE LB
by copman on
Jan 7, 2009 1:23 PM EST
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Yeah, he’s scheduled to be a UFA, but the latest is that the Ravens are working hard to re-sign him, and I don’t blame them. Well, maybe I do… they’ve got some serious UFAs defensively to work on in Ray Lewis, Bart Scott and Terrell Suggs. Ouch.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:34 PM EST
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Birk
all ive heard here in MPLS is that Birk will not be resigned. With all the big money they spent last off-season on Jared Allen, Berrian, and Madieu Wiliams they won’t be throwing money around again. Birk loves MPLS as he grew up here, but he will go for one last payday. If we outbid other teams we will get him. He’ll be 33 next July, and can easily play for 2-3 more years.
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 1:48 PM EST
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0 - 6
In my opinion, the AFC East dictates our answer… Divisional foes all play 3 – 4 defenses, against which the Bills did not play well. Proof? 0 – 6! The Bills need a potentially dominant center to deal consistently with monster NT’s like Wilfork and Jenkins.
How far down the seam will a TE get if Wilfork is throwing elbows at our QB’s knees?
If the TE has to stay at home blocking because the G has to help the C does it matter how fast he is or how good his hands are?
And if Mt. Jenkins can clog up the whole interior of the line by himself, the TE is just gonna be running into extra coverage anyways.
The Bills need an excellent – very good C if they want to be competitive in the division!
Gresham is a beast, and has looked spectacular when I’ve seen him this season. I’ll be keeping a close eye on him when he plays my Gator’s this Thursday. That being said, he’s a luxury I don’t think the Bills can afford. If he is drafted 1st Rd, a C must be chosen 2nd… and where does that leave the pass-rush?
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 1:53 PM EST
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The Bills need a potentially dominant center to deal consistently with monster NT’s like Wilfork and Jenkins.
Well, Samson Satele did OK in Miami, and I don’t view him as a dominant player. Is he good? Yes. But seriously folks, we don’t need to shoot for the moon with this center need.
And if Mt. Jenkins can clog up the whole interior of the line by himself, the TE is just gonna be running into extra coverage anyways.
Everyone seems to forget that we ran for 187 yards against “Mount Jenkins” in Week 15…
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 1:58 PM EST
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Jenkins was well documented as having entered the game quite banged up and hurting if I recall
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 2:00 PM EST
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And we ran for 30 yards against him in week 9
When he wasn’t banged up.
by twoeightnine on
Jan 7, 2009 2:01 PM EST
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(hey Brian, consistency comment was supposed to go here…oops!)
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 2:03 PM EST
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Let’s not forget that we also ran all over New England week 17 in a game they had to win, with Marshawn Lynch out of the lineup and in weather where the defense knew we were going to run the ball every play. Even when playing a 3-4, center is probably the least important run blocker on the OL.
I will also point out that Jason Ferguson is more of a crafty vet at this point and is very undersized to play NT (305 lbs). He isn’t some huge space eater anymore. So the Bills have 5 games next year against those huge DTs (NY and NE twice and Cleveland who we ran all over too) and 11 games against 4-3s and Miami.
Was it just me or did we struggle to throw the ball against 3-4s more than run the ball? Maybe the answer to a better division record is adding a player who will make big plays, pick up key 3rd downs, give Trent a dumpoff option when teams blitz and a guy who can bowl over guys to pick up yardage on check downs against 8 man coverages.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:08 PM EST
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The key word though is “consistency”. That’s only going to come with a very good C.
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 2:01 PM EST
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Agree to disagree, I guess. I still maintain that we can get by with your average, run-of-the-mill, not-Duke-Preston center, and be perfectly satisfied with the acquisition.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:09 PM EST
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What did you eat this morning? Lol. I wouldn’t be satisfied watching the rest of the AFC East consistently beat up the interior of the OL… One could argue that Preston was an average C. The problem is average players make good backups in this league, not starters.
If a TE is drafted in the 1st, when you propose looking at Centers?
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 2:21 PM EST
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The problem is average players make good backups in this league, not starters.
That’s an entirely different topic, and I happen to disagree with you there, too. There are OODLES of “average” starters in the NFL, and a lot of them play for good teams.
My plan of attack would be sign a veteran center, find a tight end – could be a first-round pick, but might also be a trade, or anything, really – and then draft a guy to groom as the vet center’s heir apparent.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:23 PM EST
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One could argue that Preston was an average C
No they can’t. Preston was easily one of the 5 worst starters at center in the league.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:09 PM EST
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I think he means that he is an average PLAYER overall
not an average starter.
by MattRichWarren on
Jan 7, 2009 3:14 PM EST
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Well if that is the case, then I doubt Brian meant that the Bills could survive with your average player at center. I think Brian means the Bills can find their Todd McClure and be all set.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:17 PM EST
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Precisely what I meant.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:17 PM EST
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You sure do know how to stir up a hornet’s nest Brian. This is a lively debate and I wanted to do some research before weighing in.
The center position is deep but falls off after the first three (Mack, Unger and Luigs). If I am reading you correctly you want a TE in the 3rd. No later. I agree. C and DE should command the top 2 picks. Before you control the passing game you must control the line of scrimmage. I do think Trent likes the TE more than our coaches. I will use Fine as an example. His number is called as the #1 or #2 receiver in one game and the next game he all but disappears. Turk does not usually call for the TE to be 1st or 2nd choice in the pass plays. Yet Fine has shown good receiving skills. So if we are to emphasize the TE more our coaches have to call his number more as a primary receiver.
If you count the TE as a lineman then there are 6 linemen. If one bad apple spoils the barrel (as we have seen) then one out of only 6 has a greater impact on OL suckitude. I watched Marshawn time after time slide along the line looking for a hole because the primary hole was plugged. Because we play in Buffalo we MUST emphasize the running game first (which our coaches have not learned yet). In that regard the center is more important.
In free agency I would not go for a 33 year old. Unless his asking price is really low which I doubt. Indy will probably keep Saturday. Both of those men have had great careers and will be looking for their 3rd and final contract. I’d much rather spend money on an up and comer/starter. Meester is also over 30. If we go for a FA the price better be right. If we do not land Mack, either Unger or Luigs will need time before starting. That would be the only reson to take a vet over 30.
If the priority is to take a C in the first 2 rounds then we will land one of the three good ones. I also want a GOOD one, not a serviceable one.
If we go TE in the third, we could land a good one. I agree the best TE’s go in the first. I take the long view here and am looking at 2-3yrs down the line. No way we make the playoffs next year, so think ahead. Take a look at the forest and not just the trees. That said, and addressing the lines this year, I would take the best available TE in the 3rd this year and hope he pans out. If he does, great for us. If not, I would take the best TE we can with our #1 pick in 2010. That’s where we could land a true impact player.
Possibly available TE’s in the third this year include James Casey, Rice (he’s rising up the boards. Very versatile, plays hard and already above average blocker. My favorite. 6-4, 240-245, 4.66. And Shawn Nelson, Southern Miss 6-5, 242, 4.60. Beckum will be there in the third too but he is light.
When we feel good about our lines we can then spend a top pick on a TE.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on
Jan 7, 2009 2:12 PM EST
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agreed
Solidify the lines 1st. No problem at all with a TE in the 3rd… but I was of the opinion Brian was looking at TE in the 1st round.
by BuffCrunch on
Jan 7, 2009 2:16 PM EST
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Gawd I hope not.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on
Jan 7, 2009 2:18 PM EST
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well said keuka
well thought out post. Agreed.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 2:21 PM EST
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I think you’re concentrating too much on the draft here. I’m not advocating drafting a tight end in the first round of the draft, I’m advocating that finding a great tight end and an acceptable center would be more advantageous to the offense, particularly Edwards, than an acceptable tight end and a great center.
Take a look at the forest and not just the trees.
I like to think that I am. Center is an immediate need for this team, and it’s a hole that must be plugged. But I’m of the mind that we need to be making moves that will develop Trent Edwards, because he’s the forest. We’re only going as far as he goes. He’s the man. We need to help him as much as possible. A threat at tight end helps him more than a sturdy center.
Wouldn’t it be great if we could just freakin’ get BOTH?
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 2:28 PM EST
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I wish they’d figure things out like we all seem to … and we’re not professionals … ugh.
by sabre74kkn on
Jan 7, 2009 2:33 PM EST
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yep
Upgrade at Center, but we don’t have to draft Alex Mack people. Centers like Birk and Meester are great not just because of their actual game skills, but because they have been in numerous NFL games and understand how to make line calls, and talk to teammates and get themselves and their linemates in the RIGHT AND CORRECT POSITION for blocking. A veteran center would be good for Trent. Asking a rookie to come in and do all of those things I think is asking a little much. Plus, look our team is super young already. We need more vets and veteran leadership anyhow. That is exactly what a Matt Birk, Saturday or meester would bring
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 2:42 PM EST
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It would be fantabulous if we could big time upgrade both! I see one difference between a serviceable center and a good one is leadership skills. Not everyone has that. Kent Hull had it. Realistically I think we are 2 starters away from a good O line. A center and a guard. Unless Dock upgrades his game.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on
Jan 7, 2009 3:22 PM EST
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The center position is deep but falls off after the first three (Mack, Unger and Luigs).
I would put Eric Wood from Luisville in there two and make it a foursome.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:13 PM EST
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Alabama’s Antoine Caldwell isn’t terrible, either.
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by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:18 PM EST
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I think he is more of a zone blocker though. He is quick and athletic, but would get pushed around by good DTs. He doesn’t fit what Buffalo does on offense and I wouldn’t even consider Caldwell until the fifth round or so. I guess it is important to note that Caldwell is a good center in other schemes though because he could get drafted as high as the second round by a pass happy or ZBS team. If he goes early, it could push a guy like Luigs, Unger or Wood down the draft a little and that is a great thing.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:38 PM EST
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Wood is rising and Caldwell is slipping. Must do more research! At one time Caldwell was rated third. This draft thing is so fluid. I’d still look at taking a TE in 2010 with our 1st pick though. Then mabye we’ll have an OC who appreciates the positon.
everything goes better with a BIG MACK
by keuka121 on
Jan 7, 2009 3:27 PM EST
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Just an FYI from Don Banks All-Disappointment Team
Center
Brad Meester, Jacksonville — Meester kind of takes the hit for the entire Jaguars offensive line, whose struggles this season contributed mightily to Jacksonville being one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. Meester started the season with a biceps injury, but he played poorly in the 10 games he did take part in, and the Jaguars vaunted running game never found its footing behind the offensive line.
by PozDispenser on
Jan 7, 2009 2:42 PM EST
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Those guys went through I don't know how many injuries
It’s amazing Garrard didn’t get killed.
by MattRichWarren on
Jan 7, 2009 3:15 PM EST
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This post is a godsend. Jermaine Gresham please!
by NJBillsfan on
Jan 7, 2009 2:54 PM EST
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BRIAN Your analysis is flawed!
I did not have time to read the other posts and I don’t have time to write my whole answer either. I looked at this on my lunch hour and it really bugged me that you position facts to suit your purpose Brian. Let me start by pointing out that you are implying that TE’s are hard to find which is totally false.
Sure a few good TE’s were chosen in the first round like Dallas Clark at #24 (2003) and K Winslow II at # 6 (2004) but al lot of great ones were also taken in later rounds like:
Crumpler Rnd2 #33 (2001)
Eric Johnson Rnd7 #224 (2001)
McMicheals Rnd4 #114 (2002)
Jason Witten Rnd3 #69 (2003)
Shiancoe Rnd3 #91 (2003)
Donald Lee Rnd5 #156 (2003)
Ben Troupe Rnd2 #40 (2004)
Chris Cooley Rnd3 #81 (2004)
Bo Scaiffe Rnd6 #179 (2005)
Fasano Rnd2 #53 (2006)
Klopfenstein Rnd2 #46 (2006)
Scheffler Rnd2 #61 (2006)
Owen Daniels Rnd5 #98 (2006)
Kevin Boss Rnd5 #153 (2007)
Another important fact is that there have been some busts over the past few years with TEs chosen high in the first round like Vernon Davis, Marcedes Lewis, Ben Watson, Daniel Graham, & Jerramy Stevens – all of whom are definitely not worthy of a round 1 pick. Guys that are not considered difference makers!
You talk about our 1600 rushing yards but what you fail to mention is how bad we were in red zone production. We were able to move the ball up to the redzone quite easily what we were not able to do is put it in once we got into the redzone. Now our idiot OC was much to blame for this but I suspect that our inability to move the ball effectively on the ground on med-short yardage situations was the main reason why he kept going to the shotgun in the redzone. I intend on looking into the breakdown of our med-short yardage situations and see how our production stacks up against a team with a REAL center. I know that our ave per carry in those situations is close to 3y whereas teams with dominant Centers are over 4y, which is huge in taking pressure off of a young QB. If we are not able to pound the ball in short yardage situations, there is very little opportunity for real play-action, which in my opinion is way more important for taking pressure off of our young QB.
When the only way a team can stop your running game is to commit 8 guys in the box, your young QB will look much better. Today, teams can stop our rushing attack with 3-4 guys while keeping 7-8 guys in coverage which is way more damaging for our young QB than not having a pass-catching TE.
More to come..
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 3:24 PM EST
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Judas Priest! I position facts to support my argument, but you don’t? The following tight ends you put on your list of “great” tight ends don’t even come close to being “great”… Johnson, McMichael, Shiancoe, Lee, Troupe, Scaife, Klopfenstein (seriously??) and Boss.
You make a good point about red zone production, but fail to mention how unbelievably beneficial a pass-catching tight end would be in that specific area.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 3:35 PM EST
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Funny how...
How you left out Cooley, Witten, Scheffler & Daniels ?
BTW, I agree that we need to upgrade the TE position but I really do not agree that it is a priority over the Center position. If we can get Saturday or Birk then fine I would be open to a TE but I am not certain that DE is not more important. If we do not pickup one of those two FAs then I remain on the Alex Mack Bandwagon!
Another important factor is that a #1 pick should be an impact player for many years and the shelf life of a TE is considerably shorter than that of a center. So once again, drafting a guy that is a slam dunk STUD at a position that is much less likely to produce a Bust and at a position that will be effective for over 10y, it seems the much more prudent choice!
I will give you more on the redzone stuff later tonight.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 4:40 PM EST
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Uh, I very clearly mentioned Cooley and Witten right in the article… :)
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 5:00 PM EST
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I meant in your response to my post!
You took the time to point out that I mentioned some that aren’t “great” but funny how you failed to acknowledge that there were quite of few of the “great” ones that were had in later rounds, like Cooley, Witten, Scheffler & Daniels!
Solid athletes at the position are so rare that tight ends often go far higher than they probably should in the draft; it’s the reason that guys like Winslow and Vernon Davis were Top-10 picks. Finding a center is a far easier task than finding an impact tight end, and there’s very little to debate on that fact.
I have a serious problem with this statement and that’s what I was trying to point out, you are trying to influence people into thinking that TE’S are a rare beast where in fact several of the great ones were found in the later rounds and even un-drafted like Antonio Gates in 2003!
I certainly do not want to get into a pissing contest with you, I just feel that you normally are even keel and on this subject you went off the deep end! I agree that if we were to get a guy like Birk or Saturday then obviously the smart move is to draft a guy in the later rounds and groom him but even in that case, I cannot agree with a TE over a guy like Orakpro or Johnson or Curry
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 6:52 PM EST
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Believe me, I haven’t gone off the deep end. I’m not so gung-ho on this subject that I’d piss and moan for a month if Alex Mack were our top pick; on the contrary, I’d be rather pleased. People make the mistake of thinking exactly that when I write posts like this; it’s not the case. I’m generally pretty easy to please.
I know for a fact that it is a belief of a prominent member of Buffalo’s scouting department that athletic tight ends are rare. Even some of the guys you mentioned – I’ll reference Witten – aren’t phenomenal athletes. I’m talking about athletically gifted tight ends like Gates, Winslow and Davis. Those tight ends are the ones that I’m calling rare, although guys like Witten are pretty rare, too.
even in that case, I cannot agree with a TE over a guy like Orakpro or Johnson or Curry
And that, my friend, is a topic for an entirely different day – if those guys are available at pick 11.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 7:02 PM EST
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I guess my issue is..
When you write articles that include Polls, then compile those polls and post the results as what the majority of our fine Bills community wants… It is very misleading because you article only shows what you want the reader to see and I would bet that your poll results would not be the same if you would write you articles with the complete picture instead.
For example out of the three names you just said, Gates, Winslow & Davis – Davis is far from being “great” or a difference maker (although he still might in time), both others are “REAL” difference makers and one was chosen 6th overall and the other went undrafted. I seriously doubt that one can conclude that this justifies taking a TE in the first round.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 7:23 PM EST
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Gates went undrafted because he didn’t play football in college. He is a rare case that shouldn’t really be included when talking about whether centers are that much easier to find than TEs in the middle and late rounds.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 7:57 PM EST
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I get it! You want a TE!!
But you can’t deny that very good TEs are available deeper in the draft, guys like Cooley/Scheffler/Witten & Daniels are certainly no slouches and would do fine in our offense.
I’ve never checked it but a lot of TE’s seem to be good only for a few years and then fizzle away. It seems that a TE’s career is way less than 10Y. I just think that trading down and getting more picks is a better option and guys like Mack don’t come around often. A center is a sure bet investment that will reap benefits for over 10y and the same cannot be said of a TE (unless his name is Tony G)
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 8:29 PM EST
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Personally, I think there is a grand canyon sized gap between how badly this team needs an upgrade(s) at DE and any other position.
Nobody is going to say that you can’t find a good TE in the middle rounds, but can’t you say that about every position? A discussion like this is all relative and more than most positions, TE gets tougher and tougher to find each round.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 8:38 PM EST
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Exactly! Every argument about being able to find players here or there or anywhere can be applied EVERYWHERE, and they’re largely moot points. I only added it to my thoughts in the original piece because I think that there’s a distinction between being able to find athletic tight ends and quality centers that is bigger than when you compare virtually any two other positions. It wasn’t ever intended to be the centerpiece of my logic, and shouldn’t be taken as such.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:33 PM EST
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Actually, I think your argument WAS a valid one because more of the better TEs are early round picks than maybe every position in the league. My point was, of course there are later round guys who have great success, but that is true at every position. It’s easy to list off a handfull of mid round and late round success stories, but to prove that it is harder to find one position later than another is tougher and this is the only way to do it:
Say you were to split up all the starters at center and tight end into 3 tiers of good, average and bad.
I’m completely guessing, but let’s assume that the top tier of centers is 40% 1st and 2nd rounders, 40% mid rounders and 20% late rounders. The second tier is similiar at 35% 1st and 2nd rounders, 35% mid rounders and 30% later rounders.
Again I’m guessing, but the top tier of TEs (other than Gates who I refuse to count since he didn’t actually play football in college) are 55% first and second rounders, 35% mid rounders and 10% late rounders and the second tier is 45% 1nd and 2nds and 35% mid rounders and 20% late rounders.
If that is about right, that IS a substantial difference.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 10:29 PM EST
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You want me to write articles that aren’t based on my opinion? This is a blog…
- I’ve stated repeatedly that TE and C are both needs and both need to be addressed.
- I’ve stated repeatedly that the Bills need to upgrade the center position, preferably with a veteran.
- I have just as much animosity for the anemic play of Duke Preston and Melvin Fowler as the rest of you.
- The same argument you’re making – good tight ends can be found amongst the scrap heat, which I reiterate I believe is false – can easily be flip-flopped and applied to centers, so the counter-argument you’re making isn’t exactly holding a ton of water.
- My point in this article was NEVER NEVER NEVER to take a tight end in the first round, which I have ALSO stated repeatedly. Just that finding one should be a bigger priority, for all the dozen-plus reasons that I don’t feel I need to repeat.
If you’re seriously of the opinion that this article brainwashed people out of their opinions, and that the slanted writings of an idiot fan like me sway community polls, I think there’s a community here that might beg to differ. People are allowed to formulate their own opinions. Isn’t it possible that the people who disagree with you actually believe what they’re voting in, rather than simply swallowing everything I write? I’m one dude with one opinion. That’s all.
Buffalo Rumblings - all you care to know about the Buffalo Bills and more
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 7, 2009 9:31 PM EST
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correct
on so many levels Brian.
1) Center is a need and we have to address it. There is just simply more ways to do that
2) TE’s of the caliber to be elite pass-catchers are tough to find outside of the early rounds. The same can be said for most positions. Obviously guys all the time make a name for themselves when they are drafted in the later rounds, but it is much harder to find those gems
3) No one is saying we have to take a TE in round 1. Just that a TE that is a significant pass-catching threat would do wonders for Edwards and this offense as a whole. It would make everyone better.
4) This is a blog
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 8, 2009 12:22 AM EST
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Let me start by pointing out that you are implying that TE’s are hard to find which is totally false.
They are harder to find then centers and good luck proving otherwise.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:39 PM EST
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Also I would NOT call Marcedes Lewis a bust. He is probably the best blocking TE in the league and is a decent receiver too.
Stevens was a really late first round pick and was more of an early second round prospect so I don’t see how that helps your argument.
Daniel Graham is more of a blocker too.
I would love to see how our short yardage did as opposed to other teams, but be sure to include teams with guards and running backs who are similiar in talent to Buffalo and use a range of talented centers. Obviously Minnesota will be a much better short yardage team they have Birk AND Hutchison AND a better RB. What about a team like Atlanta who has comparable guards and an average center? or a team like Carolina who has comparable guards and a slightly above average center? Do you think there will be a huge gap between between a team like Minnesota with a stud center and a team like Atlanta with an average center? What about a team like Green Bay or San Fran with an average center? or a team like Arizona with a bad center?
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 3:50 PM EST
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I will do my best to sample large enough to make it mean something
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 7:27 PM EST
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cool. I don’t think the sample size has to bee too big, I think the Bills as the team with a bad center, a team with a good center and one with an average center will prove your point. I think the teams you pick are the most important thing.
Couple questions:
Should you include teams who have huge feature running backs like NY or Atlanta? I feel like Todd McClure is a smaller center who is a pretty average player, but Atlanta has probably converted very well on short yardage because Michael Turner weighs 244. Brandon Jacobs weighs 264 pounds!
I’m assuming you are going to go through the play by play things that are with box scores. Most of those will even tell you if the team ran to the left, right or up the middle. Are you only going to count runs up the middle or any run on short yardage? I’m not sure if it matters, I guess it is just some food for thought.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 7:51 PM EST
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well
all those guys you mention made it but not many had the impact that a lot of the top tier TE’s have from day 1. You can say all you want about Vernon Davis but his numbers are pretty good. I just don’t understand how people don’t realize this team needs playmakers so badly. No one on the Bills is a real big time playmaker. Sure A dominant Center is nice, but that’s not going to solve everything. We just need to upgrade that. We need another weapon on offense, and it is perfectly obvious that TE is that huge gaping hole. Our WR’s are lackluster and rely too much on Lynch and Jackson. Adding a TE who can get open not just on downfield stuff but consistenly beat LB’s and Safeties on ins and curls and work the middle of the field would just be glorious!!!!! ESPECIALLY IN THE FRIGGN RED ZONE which is where the money counts. Come on your telling me you guys don’t want a big time playmaker at TE like Gresham and then an upgrade at Center??? Your kidding yourselves if you think running out Evans, Reed, Parrish, ACL’d-Hardy, Royal, Fine is going to get it done. Absolutely not going to cut it
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 7, 2009 3:33 PM EST
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priorities!!
I would rather end up with a good center and a good tight end then end up with a stud tight end and an average center.
We know we need playmakers and we want to go after them but to me there can be no denying the fact that first we have to have a plan which will fix the disaster in the middle of the o-line. If drafting Gresham means that our upgrade at center is minimal then we are going no where next year again. Pick up a veteran center and then we can go right ahead and draft Gresham but that is precisely why center is more important. If we do not get a free agent I dont see how we can justify drafting somebody who is going to have to learn behind Preston. Its a free agent or its Mack.
Kawika Mitchell is a leader. He will help this young team develop.
by poz on
Jan 7, 2009 3:37 PM EST
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That’s not what I am saying at all. If the Bills stay at 11 and draft Jermaine Gresham I will be very happy because this guy seems like a “real” impact player but so did Hardy and that didn’t work out so well but nonetheless, if they take Jermaine at 11 I won’t be disappointed.
My preferred choice would still be to trade down and get Mack, then get a DE in round 2, someone like Micheal Johnson or Matt Shaughnessy and then assuming we get another round 2 pick I take a big NT like Peria Jerry then pickup a TE in round 3 like Shawn Nelson or Travis Beckum. I also think that we could get a guy like Leonard Pope or Eric Johnson for quite cheap in the off season and they could easily be better that Royal. I like Fine as our main blocking TE.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 8:17 PM EST
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Pope is an RFA and Eric Johnson had one great season, an 82 catch year in 2004, but the rest of his career has been filled with injuries and mediocrity. He has missed three entire seasons due to injury (2003, 2005 and 2008) and has only gone for 378 yards or less in every year aside from 04.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 8:25 PM EST
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I doubt that ARI will tender Pope that high and I’ll grant you that Eric Johnson is quite fragile.
Nobody is talking about it but if the new GM in KC is more receptive to deal, there is still a remote chance that we could get Tony G in a Bills uniform.
BEAST MODE, During the week plan on it & on game day thrive on it!
GO BILLS!
Section 336 Row 13
by keysh67 on
Jan 7, 2009 8:36 PM EST
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Pope was drafted in the third round so even if/when they give him the lowest possible tender, it will still take a 3rd round pick in compensation to sign him.
by kaisertown on
Jan 7, 2009 8:41 PM EST
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I'd much rather see a stud C than a stud TE
Of course, I’d rather have both….but between the two I’m pretty much always going to default to the line position when it’s a question between a lineman or skill player. Besides, the TEs weren’t killing anywhere near as many drives as the Cs were.
by Ron From NM on
Jan 7, 2009 10:39 PM EST
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To continue the thought
If they can get their #1 TE and their #2 C (assuming OBD doesn’t see a big drop from their #1 to #2) in the second round then I suspect we’ll all be happy campers. Rumbers, I mean.
by Ron From NM on
Jan 7, 2009 10:43 PM EST
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true
but what do you think of a vet FA signing? Matt Birk, Saturday or Meester? Any of those make you happy?
And Ron, can you tell me how much better Preston is than Fowler at Center? Is it any kind of signifigance? I’m too lazy too search for your end of the year numbers right now
MARVelous
by MARVelous on
Jan 8, 2009 12:25 AM EST
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I feel like I can speak for Ron. I hang on every word that he writes (types) and it is obvious that Buffalo’s run game improved with Preston at center. But Preston was marginally better than Fowler was if he was better at all. Buffalo had one of the 5 worst center situations in the league regardless of which guy was starting.
by kaisertown on
Jan 8, 2009 12:42 AM EST
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Birk would make me happy
but only if they draft his eventual replacement in mid to late rounds.
by MattRichWarren on
Jan 8, 2009 9:32 AM EST
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