Keys to Victory: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
The Buffalo Bills sit at 1-4 as they head to the Meadowlands to face the New York Jets this Sunday. If they have any plans of even contending for a playoff berth the final two months of the season, this is an absolute must win. We all know that it'll take more than a miracle for this season to turn around, but this is a game that the Bills can win if they come ready to play. The Jets are coming off back-to-back losses to the Saints and Dolphins, the latter running all over them last Monday night. If the Bills can channel some of that Miami success against the Jets this week, we could be in for a surprise, at least in the sense that they can compete with the Jets. Check out the following keys to a Bills victory:
Don't get abused along the Offensive Line: The Bills will be starting rookie Jamon Meredith, who was added off of the Packers' practice squad a few weeks ago, at right tackle this weekend. That's not exactly a recipe for success against an aggressive, complicated scheme that we'll see Rex Ryan's defense running. Look for the Bills to give as much help to Meredith as they can, and look for the Jets to really bring the heat against him. The Bills have to find a way to stabilize that side of the line this week. It doesn't get any easier for the interior of the OL with Kris Jenkins anchoring the Jets defensive line. Last season, the Bills, with Duke Preston at Center, did a nice job against Jenkins in the second meeting, rushing for 187 yards. It'll be imperative to open some holes early and pick up yardage on the ground if the Bills are to play well enough offensively to win. Demetrius Bell and Meredith will need to play extraordinarily with help from the TE's and RB's, and give Trent Edwards some time to throw.
Time for Edwards to put up, or sit down: Well, almost. Edwards has looked terrible, to be kind, of late. His struggles date back to the second half of last year and he shows no signs of snapping out of it. It'll be hard to win this week, or any week for that matter, with a QB playing with so little confidence and guts. There comes a time when a player playing so poorly needs to just say "screw it" and just let it all hang out. This is that time for Edwards. It's time for him to stop overanalyzing and overthinking every pass and start letting it rip. I expect him to take some shots downfield to Terrell Owens and Lee Evans this week, but he needs to do that more than once or twice. He has to get the ball downfield and start throwing it over the middle. If he continues to show he is incapable of doing that, we might see Ryan Fitzpatrick soon (*shudders*).
Ride Lynch and Jackson: One way to take pressure off of Edwards is to really base the offense around the running backs. It may be a good idea to hand it off 40 times this week, assuming the game can stay within reach, and take the ball completely out of Edwards' hands. The Jets have a middle of the road run defense so far this season, so they can be run on. If the OL can play solid football against the Jets 3-4 defense, the Bills might be able to move the chains and maybe find the end zone again.
Limit the mistakes: I'm looking at the offensive line here. A team simply cannot have 9 false start penalties and expect to win. This offense has lacked discipline and has made far too many mistakes, as we all know. It's time for the young guys to step up and cut the mistakes. There's no excuse for all these mental errors. Maybe the change from the no-huddle offense will settle some of these guys down.
Force Sanchez to win the game: The Jets will try to run all over the Bills' bottom feeding run defense. They should have plenty of success in that area this week, but if the Bills can slow their run game down some and force Mark Sanchez to make plays, they'll have a much better chance of springing the upset. If the Jets are able to grind out yards five at a time, and open up the play action passing game for Sanchez, the Bills are in trouble. The defense needs to force the Jets into 2nd and 3rd and longs, putting the ball in Sanchez's hands. With Jerricho Cotchery, and maybe Brad Smith, out this week, there won't be as many receiving options for him. I said something similar when the Bills were getting ready to face Miami and Chad Henne. It obviously didn't happen with the Dolphins running all over the Bills. Let's hope for something different this time.
Match the Jets' toughness: The Jets play physical, aggressive and tough football. The Bills routinely don't. It's time for the Bills to match or exceed their opponents toughness for once. It would be excellent if they were able to stick it to Ryan and his Jets. If the Bills come out flat, like they usually do, the Jets will ram the ball down their throats and control the game the whole day.
Watch out for Washington: Leon Washington seems to make a lot of big plays against the Bills. He has become a bigger part of the Jets offense this year, getting roughly 12-15 touches a game. With his big play ability, the Bills need to keep an eye on him and be ready for anything. I expect the Jets to utilize Washington on screen passes, draws and maybe even the occasional reverse or misdirection. Paul Posluszny and the Bills front seven needs to be ready for all of this when Washington is in the game.
Play better on Special Teams: Piggybacking on the previous key, the Bills absolutely must clamp down on Washington in the return game. Of course, this is assuming the Bills will actually be kicking off more than once, so we'll see if they even have to worry about him there. Besides kick coverage, it'd be nice if the Bills return units finally made a play. Roscoe Parrish is averaging 6 yards per punt return and 23 yards per kick return, which is pretty bad, especially compared to the Bills' return units of recent memory. If Parrish can hit a big one in the return game, it may just be the boost the Bills offense needs to get going. Or at the very least, put them in field goal range without them having to do anything!
Play with some urgency for once: I say this all the time. This team just shows no passion out there, and just looks resigned to their fate. They play defeated before they actually are defeated. I know this is unlikely to change until the entire culture is changed with this franchise, but the players can come out and play with their playoff lives (and jobs) on the line, right? If you're going to lose, fine, at least go down fighting.
*****
It's hard to get up for a game like this knowing the season is basically shot and it'll be difficult for the Bills to win. No matter what, we're all going to watch and we're all going to root for the team to do well. Maybe they'll surprise us this week, and I suppose that's all we can really hope for at this point. Enjoy the game Bills fans!
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Comments
Two Things: Toughness and Urgency
Our team has only shown it twice against teams with winning records in the past 2 years that I have seen… both of them ended badly in losses (Cowboys Monday night game last year and the Pats game this year) because of awful mistakes at the end of each game. Why our team can’t match the urgency and toughness week after week is beyond me. I believe a lot of it is coaching and lack of leadership on our team. Sure the players say we have leadership, but it doesn’t seem like it or at least they don’t show it on the field.
Divisional games are the most important in football and we should treat them like they are the superbowl. Winning the division is the surest way to the playoffs. It is our only way to get there this year. We go 0-3 in the division after tomorrow, we have certainly lost any hope for this year. IT IS DO OR DIE for the Bills this week.
by dabillsr1 on Oct 17, 2009 9:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We are progressing
From a “must win” game last week to an “absolute must win” game this week.
I think limiting the mistakes is probably the master key. And it’s not just the penalties (although those will be enough to do us in if we continue to take as many as we have). Fumbles/muffs right at the end of the game have already burned us on two occasions. We don’t have enough margin for error to keep screwing up like that.
Even if we did play mistake-free, this one is a longshot.
by Applsoss on Oct 17, 2009 9:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Match the Jets’ toughness
This is how Miami won last week.
The Dick Jauron version of the K-Gun...the Squirt Gun.
by ChipShot on Oct 17, 2009 9:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hope the Jets don't show up.
That is the key. Otherwise we are screwed.
Founding member of the Dick Jauron Fan Club.
by taskersd on Oct 17, 2009 1:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not a key to a W but
we need to throw the ball 12-15 times to T.O. make this his audition for other teams to trade and get him. Ravens are rumored to be looking for a WR, be a nice little trade for a 2nd round pick.
Starting a movement to draft Jimmy Clausen in april, he'll be the 2nd coming of Kelly, the saviour of the Bills
by J. Mackin on Oct 17, 2009 1:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Don't get abused on the oline?
the members of our oline fall under 2 catagorys, there either not good enough to be nfl starters or they will be good with experience. normaily when you start rookies on the oline the have vets who’ve been in the system and can help them out. Bell, Wood and Levetrie have had no help and still at times have been our best oline men. hopefully this won’t stun there growth/confidence. i don’t think drafting a tackle is the answer the more i think about it. you’ll have a rookie tackle looking to 2nd year guys as veteran support. maybe a FA is the way to go to solidify the line
Starting a movement to draft Jimmy Clausen in april, he'll be the 2nd coming of Kelly, the saviour of the Bills
by J. Mackin on Oct 17, 2009 2:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
the members of our oline fall under 2 catagorys, there either not good enough to be nfl starters or they will be good with experience.
Ron, correct me if I’m wrong but Hang has been playing pretty well outside of the low snaps during one half of football.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 18, 2009 8:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The only chance we have is if we run back the opening kick for a TD and the game is then cancelled because of the worst blizzard in Buffalo history. ZERO chance we stay within 13 this week.
by bflobob8 on Oct 17, 2009 3:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Then we're screwed
Since the game is in NJ and all
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Oct 17, 2009 3:54 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Don’t let those type of details get in the way. : )
by Der Jaeger on Oct 17, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's right!
We are playing in Joisey therefore we won’t stay within 20. I can remember the days when I actually cared enough to remember where we were playing from week to week.
by bflobob8 on Oct 17, 2009 5:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I feel like you could just save these Keys to Victory and just repost them every week......
Hell the bloggers on this team might as well start mailing it in if the players are.
"In every adversity there lies the seed of an equivalent advantage. In every defeat is a lesson showing you how to win the victory next time." (Robert Collier)
by norcaliangelsfan on Oct 17, 2009 5:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You haven’t noticed? The morning links are the same every weekeday as they were last week. :-P
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 18, 2009 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love how we post keys to victory yet on the countdown clock it is counting down til the next bills loss. This team will not play with a sense of urgency or toughness or any of that because none of the coaching staff or front office has any backbone. Until things change from top to bottom then all these cliches we all throw around are meaningless and just a bunch of words with no real meaning behind them.
Where else would you rather be than right here right now - Marv Levy
by ajred12 on Oct 17, 2009 9:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I didn't notice that "Countdown to next loss" before
I am disgusted as the next guy, but I would rather the countdown to the next game clock didn’t say that. Might as well put up the Countdown to the Draft clock up instead.
Poor ball security leads to very painful outcomes
by Joe P. on Oct 17, 2009 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I suppose I'll stop writing these meaningless posts for you
Next week, I’ll do the keys to a loss!
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Oct 17, 2009 10:14 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
The countdown clock was a joke. [insert awkward chuckle]
Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott
by Brian Galliford on Oct 18, 2009 9:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I see you finally changed it. LOL It was a Michael Scott joke apparently. :-)
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 18, 2009 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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