Keys to Victory: Bills vs Dolphins
Coming off a disappointing performance against New Orleans, the Buffalo Bills will be looking to even up their record in Miami on Sunday. The Dolphins may be 0-3, but they are a better team than that record indicates. They can run the ball, they can stop the run and they are well-coached, so this isn't exactly an easy game in the South Florida heat. The Bills will have to overcome a number of injuries and a pair of backup tackles protecting Trent Edwards, while trying to get their offense back on track.
What do the Bills have to do to come away victorious this weekend? You just need to head on in after the jump to find out.
Protect Edwards: The Bills will be starting Jonathan Scott at left tackle and Kirk Chambers at right tackle against the Dolphins. This isn't exactly a pair of bookends that you don't have to worry about. The Dolphins will likely be bringing plenty of pressure in hopes of hitting Edwards often and forcing him to make mistakes. It's very likely they will focus on taking advantage of the Bills' tackles. Alex Van Pelt and Sean Kugler will have to be sure the tackles receive any help they may need to help keep Edwards upright, whether that's with TE help or a RB chip. If the OL can't hold up for Edwards, he won't be able to hold up, either.
Take advantage of the Dolphins' secondary: Miami's defense has done a rather poor job of defending the pass so far this season. They are giving up 265 yards per game, have allowed 4 passing touchdowns, haven't registered an interception and opposing quarterbacks have posted a 103.3 QB rating. They've also been extremely susceptible to the big play, having allowed 11 passes of 20+ yards and 5 passes of 40+ yards. If Edwards is given time, he absolutely has to take shots downfield. This includes the intermediate routes, as well as deep routes. We've been talking about this all season, and this game is the perfect opportunity to silence us critics. Please Trent, throw with confidence and take your chances!
Involve the Wide Receivers: Even Dick Jauron thinks the team needs to get Terrell Owens and Lee Evans more involved. He mentioned getting T.O. the ball no matter how the defense is lining up. Well, how can that be done? T.O.'s bread and butter has always been over the middle where he can take passes in stride and pick up yards after the catch. I'd like to see more slants, especially if the DBs are playing off the ball. Another way to get him the ball if the DBs are off the ball is to simply throw it out to him as soon as the ball is snapped. I think giving T.O. the chance to make a quick move and get upfield against a defender would be a major advantage for the offense. Evans has been just as frustrated as Owens. It'd be nice to see him get some chances besides the occasional deep ball.
Utilize the RBs to their fullest extent: Marshawn Lynch returns from his three-game suspension to join Fred Jackson in the backfield to form one of the best 1-2 combos in the league. Alex Van Pelt needs to get creative to take advantage of this duo. Line them up together, use one as a decoy, throw them passes, shove the Wildcat down Miami's throat and so on. There are things the offense can do with both of these guys available that couldn't be done before. Van Pelt has talked about taking advantage of his players' strengths; now is the time to do that with the RBs.
Avoid the costly mistakes: We've seen the Bills commit way too many penalties so far this season. The team is leading the league in penalties and penalty yards, which just isn't typical of a Dick Jauron team. Those need to stop, especially when they take away first downs. Beyond the penalties, the offense needs to protect the ball. In last season's matchup in Miami, the Bills turned it over 4 times. Going up against a first-time starter, the last thing the team needs to do is give him short fields and easier scoring opportunities.
Confuse Henne: With Chad Henne making his first NFL start in this game, the Bills' defense will have very little tape to study. That isn't a bad thing, though. Last week, Henne looked quite poor against the Chargers, who mixed up coverages and blitzes to really confuse him. He was inaccurate and didn't do much to make anyone believe he'll be lighting it up any time soon. There's no reason the Bills should let him sit back and get comfortable in the pocket. I wouldn't mind seeing the return of "the creep" in this game as a way to confuse Henne at the line of scrimmage. No matter what Perry Fewell has designed for this game, it better include getting pressure on Henne. Mistakes will be made; the Bills just need to do a good job of forcing them.
Key on the run: I'm guessing the Dolphins will try to relieve as much pressure as possible on Henne. Having a strong running game will be a big part of that. Miami ranks third in the NFL in rushing yards per game with 161.3 so far this season. The Bills allowed 222 yards rushing last week against the Saints, so the Dolphins must be licking their chops. As they did against the Colts, look for Miami to try to grind out yards and the clock, in order to reduce the pressure Henne is sure to face. If the Bills can keep Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams in check, they will have a great chance to win this game going away.
Be ready for Wildcat wrinkles: I've mentioned it a few times already, but I think this is the week the Dolphins get crazy with the Wildcat. I really wouldn't be surprised to see a Ronnie Brown pass or two, or Pat White getting a good chunk of the snaps. Maybe we'll see some sort of reverse. Whatever it is, I don't think the Dolphins will be going with the same exact Wildcat package they've been running all year. Returning to Henne, this is another way Miami can take some pressure off of him. I'd hate to see the Bills not be ready for any new wrinkles to the Wildcat.
Avoid injuries: This isn't exactly something that any team can plan for, but wouldn't it be nice if the Bills could exit this game as healthy as they were entering the game?
Play with a sense of urgency: I'm sure Miami will be. One thing I've really been critical of with Dick Jauron teams is how they rarely seem to play with any sense of urgency. We've seen them come out flat routinely when the season seems to be on the line. Well, they'd better be ready to play this week, because a 1-3 overall and 0-2 in the division is not exactly the way to start the season. If this team is to have any playoff hopes this year, they need to win this game. I just hope they play like this game means the season to them.
*****
This one isn't going to be easy, obviously. Heading down to Florida and playing in the heat with a shorthanded roster makes it even tougher. The Bills really need to limit the mistakes this week, as a result. Play with some fire, play with heart and let's go get a victory. Go Bills!
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This game is so so big
We need this confidence; we need to win a Divisional game.
There is not a doubt in my mind we will go deep more this game, i just hope they connect.
The Wildcat will be in full force on Sunday and i hope the front 7 are ready. Williams better be 100%
You are right about the Fins pass rush. It will be consistent and heavy attacking the tackles. I really hope Porter stays on the side lines.
A win here and a win at home against the Browns will go a long way for this teams’ moral.
good write up.
"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-
I actually like this matchup for the Bills
After watching Miami the other week, their defense is not really all that good, and their offense has been heavily biased towards the run, which Buffalo has been pretty good at stopping the first three games of the season.
Finish the Game and Use Stevie
I would add one more essential ingredient for victory: if the Bills get a lead, they have to keep playing with urgency for all 60 minutes. I remember a number of games down in Miami in recent years that were stolen from us in the last quarter.
They also need to have Steve Johnson active and use him over the middle. Not taking advantage of such a potentially valuable weapon so far this season has been something of a scandal. Sit McIntyre if necessary, but get Stevie out on the field. He’s another Fred Jackson waiting to happen.
With 5 guys out for Sunday wouldn’t he kind of have to get the start?
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 3, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions
Be active not start....
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 3, 2009 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions
Dear Buffalo Bills,
Please stop getting drive killing penalties and you will win.
With Love,
norcaliangelsfan.
"In every adversity there lies the seed of an equivalent advantage. In every defeat is a lesson showing you how to win the victory next time." (Robert Collier)
by norcaliangelsfan on Oct 3, 2009 11:15 AM EDT reply actions
It certainly would be nice to avoid another major injury. I mean I count 7 starters out (Poz, Whitner, Scott, Schoman, Bell, Butler, McKelvin).
The O-line will be the key one way or another to the overall success of this game. The best way to help the o-line is to have a good running game and stick with it. Lynch and Jackson should split 30 carries, this will open up Evans and TO. Last week we abandoned the run to early.
You said it best…play with urgency. I think we will get Poz back after the Jets game and I would be very happy being 3-3 at that point. If you don’t win this week it puts a lot of pressure to win 2 in a row to save a season and I think we have a better chance against Miami than NY.
A lot has been made to get the ball to TO and Evans but I think it is important that Trent does not force it to him. He tried to force it to TO on the 3rd down play in NO territory that got tipped and picked. It cost us a fg and the chance to tie the game. I agree we need to throw the ball to those guys but don’t force it. Let it come natural and that is by opening it up throught the run.
Good write up K....a couple of small points
Coming off a disappointing performance against New Orleans
I would have said Offensive performance. I think the D played well enough.
take passes in stride and pick up yards after the catch
Unfortunately, this type of pass ranks right behind the deep ball on Edwards list of passes he doesn’t like to throw.
Poor ball security leads to very painful outcomes
Cannot stress the penalty issue enough.
Also – put T.O. in motion. We’ve seen very little motion from Buffalo’s offense this season. Get T.O. moving pre-snap, motion him inside against slot corners, and watch him play like Owens circa 2000.
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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott
by Brian Galliford on Oct 3, 2009 11:48 AM EDT reply actions
I hope your right, but putting him in motion didn't help him much last year.
Poor ball security leads to very painful outcomes
It was much better than just keeping him stagnant on the LOS this year...
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Oct 3, 2009 12:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
So if TO is going to be matched up with slot corners that mean TO is our slot WR now.....who is our #2?
Poor ball security leads to very painful outcomes
Pick your poison, Joe.
Last season, he caught 69 passes for 1,052 yards and 10 TD.
This season, he’s on pace for 27 catches, 523 yards and 5 TD.
Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott
by Brian Galliford on Oct 3, 2009 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions
What is his "pace" if you don't include his stellar performance last week?
I get why he is more effective in motion, but why would they use a slot corner on him? Who is our #2 WR? I thought TO was supposed to help free up Evans by providing a deep threat?
Poor ball security leads to very painful outcomes
Our options may be limited with TO
until TE learns to hit him in stride. Trent has no trouble hitting Reed in stride, but he still has major timing issues with TO. If memory serves me, all four passes to TO last week missed, and in all 4 cases, Trent led him too much. Trent has said that Owens’s speed is a factor he must adjust to— well, last week he overcompensated on the two out routes and the one across the middle. He said that TO prefers long balls on the inside — well, his long throw to TO last week was WAY inside. Until Trent learns to just hit TO without thiking and compensating, he really can’t go there often because of the low odds. But I’m totally with you wanting to see more quick throws to TO any way possible, even it it’s behind the LOS.
by Sixteenthback on Oct 3, 2009 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions
Because the Bills were so effective at running the wildcat against us last year.
shove the Wildcat down Miami’s throat and so on.
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
The Bills had one direct snap to Lynch (granted it got stuffed for no gain) in the games we played Miami. Not really an indicator that it wouldn’t work if we tried it on Sunday. And according to the NFL.com gamelogs from last year, the Dolphins gained 33 yards on 11 plays out of the wildcat against the Bills. So Miami’s wasn’t exactly effective either.
I signed up for Second Life about a year ago. Back then my life was so great that I literally wanted a second one. In my Second Life I was also a paper salesman and I was also named Dwight. Absolutely everything was the same. Except I could fly. - Dwight Schrute
Should be a good game, Edwards has to take shots down field, with the way the fins secondary has played so far this year. Edwards has to take some shots, we have arguably one of the best WR, and RB tandems in the league, we should be a force to be reckoned with. Hopefully he will put up another 4 TD game vs. the fins. It will be interesting to see how the line holds up and how much the TE’s and RB’s will have to do in terms of helping the line protect. Lets even the record. Stay safe Bills, no more injuries.
by Hassanali181 on Oct 3, 2009 1:18 PM EDT reply actions
this may well be the end of the jauron era. will he last if Buffalo gets blown out? I expect The Bills to win if they don’t it is because they do not care. That does happen with some teams. Tampa has heard nothing except how bad they are, so why would they have pride. Buffalo still has the most loyal fans in the league, but they are not stupid. come on team show the pride we have in you.
i remember Buffalo, but 30 years ago. It was great, now not so much
One thing this team has never done is quit on Jauron. Last year they were out of it and rose up to beat the Broncos in week 16 when they were playing for a playoff spot.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 4, 2009 8:42 AM EDT up reply actions
I expect The Bills to win if they don’t it is because they do not care.
That makes less than zero sense.
Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott
by Brian Galliford on Oct 4, 2009 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Well thank you
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
Does the interior line have enough gumption in them to stave off the anticipated weak tackle play? Should Trent wear a Kelso bubble on his helmet this week?
Is this a Marcus Buggs breakout game? I can’t imagine them playing a lot of nickel. Or, is this a Nic Harris debut? Which one of these guys plays more?
Does the interior line have enough gumption in them to stave off the anticipated weak tackle play?
Will it matter? If Miami loads up on the outside blitzes or gets pressure with Taylor, Wake, Anderson and Porter if he plays, does it really matter how well the interior plays?
I’m scared Buggs will continue to get dominated. In fact, it’s probably going to happen. We’re definitely going to see more 3-LB sets this week, due to the Dolphins running a lot, and because we don’t exactly have the ability to go with our usual 3 safety lineup. Buggs, and potentially Harris, really need to step it up this week. BIG time.
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
Missing Bryan Scott is going to hurt. Having him creep up in the nickel to be a borderline third LB was nice. Maybe Harris can do that. We’ll have to see what the Bills plan is.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Oct 4, 2009 8:42 AM EDT up reply actions
Another key
Now that I see that the temperature is going to be in the upper 80’s/low 90’s, the Bills D needs to get off the field earlier in drives. They cannot allow the Dolphins to sustain drives and wear down the front 7. We will only have 7 DL available, so it’ll be important to keep the Dolphins in 2nd/3rd and long, so they can’t simply continue running it down our throats. The best way to stay fresh into the 4th Q is to stay off the field as much as possible early on.
This also means our Offense needs to sustain drives to keep the D off the field.
The heat is definitely going to be a factor today, especially for our shorthanded Bills.
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

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