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Keys to Victory: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans

The Buffalo Bills head down to Tennessee to face the Titans in a Week 10 matchup of teams trying to stay in the periphery of the playoff race. The Bills are coming off their bye week, while the Titans are coming off a nice road victory in San Francisco.

These two teams have some similarities, mainly poor defenses and quarterback deficiencies, though the Titans are showing signs of life that the Bills have yet to show this season. Tennessee features the NFL's leading rusher in second year RB Chris Johnson, and possesses many of the same pieces of a team that racked up 13 wins last year. The Bills, meanwhile, continue to struggle on both sides of the ball, but will see the return of quarterback Trent Edwards this weekend. It may not be a big factor in this game, but Edwards' return could provide a momentary jolt of energy in the lifeless Bills' offense.

As always, it won't be easy for the Bills, but this is a very winnable game if they can key on a few important aspects against the Titans.

Star-divide

Protect Edwards: The last thing the Bills offense wants or needs is to let Edwards get beat up, again. The offensive line will be as healthy as its been since Week 3, and are coming off a much needed bye week.  With some fine tuning, we might actually see some improvement from this unit.  Where it matters most is keeping Edwards upright and giving him time to succeed. Most of us believe Edwards will be playing out the string as the Bills starting quarterback over the final half of the season, but a strong finish could prove to the new regime that he is worth keeping around.  I'd like to see him at least get the chance to put it together over the final 8 games instead of constantly running for his life.  Let's at least see some excitement out of the passing game, or maybe just the chance that that could happen.  Edwards also needs to let it rip and play a completely different brand of football from what he's used to.  Maybe some protection will give him the confidence to do that.  We can hope, can't we?

Get the ground game going: The Titans run defense has really struggled lately, allowing 162.5 yards per game, 9.0 yards per carry and 3 touchdowns in their past two games.  Again, the offensive line could be in for a slight improvement in this area, which could open up things for Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson more than usual. The Bills need to keep Chris Johnson off the field. The best way to do that is by controlling the ball and moving the chains.  We saw an improvement in the Bills rushing offense over the second half of the season, last year, so let's hope for a nice repeat.

Utilize the RB's in the passing game again: In the three games that Trent Edwards was out (I'm including the Jets game), Lynch and Jackson combined for just six catches, all by Lynch.  Prior to that, they combined for 31 receptions in five games, even with Lynch missing three games.  Since it's been a struggle to run the ball, getting these guys the ball on the outside with more room to run could help the team move the chains much better than they have been.  Jackson, in particular, needs to be integrated into the offensive gameplan more than he has recently.

Slow the speedy Johnson: That's what she said. It's going to be a chore for the Bills to even keep Chris Johnson under 150 yards this week.  Buffalo's run defense is dead last in the league, allowing 173.6 yards per game and 5.1 yards per carry.  Johnson is averaging 120 yards per game, and a stunning 6.7 yards per carry.  This matchup looks as lopsided as they get.  The Bills aren't going to shut Johnson down, but they can slow him and limit the big plays.  If they can avoid allowing the 50+ yarders that Johnson is known for, and keep him relatively in check, they'll have a good chance in this game.  But if Johnson has another monster game (think 200+ yards and 2+ TD's), I'm not sure the Bills can win this game.

Force Vince Young to make plays: I mean with his arm. Young has completed 27 of 37 passes for 297 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions.  That's a pretty solid game. Oh, that's over two games.  It's obvious that the Titans have taken the pressure off of Young by running the ball so well with Johnson.  Young hasn't needed to make many tough throws or pressure packed passes since he rejoined the starting lineup.  That needs to change this week. Over the years, Young has proven to be a well below average passer, as evident by his career 69.5 QB rating.  Forcing him to beat the Bills through the air is much easier said than done, but would go a long way towards picking up a road W this week.

Keep Young in the pocket: In addition to forcing Young to make plays, it'll be imperative to keep him in the pocket.  His best attribute might be his ability to improvise and makes things happen with his legs. Young has hurt the Bills with his legs in the past, so this will definitely be one are the defense is keying on.  He has completed just 57% of his passes during his career.  Keeping him in the pocket and forcing him to throw instead of run favors the Bills, heavily.  Plus, this will give Jairus Byrd more opportunities to extend his streak of multiple interception games!

Get the young player more playing time: Steve Johnson, James Hardy, Shawn Nelson, Nic Harris and even Chris Ellis and Ellis Lankster would all benefit greatly from increased playing time as the season continues.  With the team hanging on for dear life in the playoff race, the time is pretty much there to start preparing for next year, even if this staff won't be here.  Let's hope they understand the importance of playing these guys instead of wasting them on the sidelines. 

Improve, improve, improve: Coming off the bye week, there is no reason this team shouldn't come out prepared and better than the last time we saw them.  They're healthier, they were able to get much needed practice reps and they were able to gameplan for two weeks for this game.  This has to be the game where the offense shows some signs of life, right?  If not, I doubt we see much more from that unit this year....

*******

The Bills face the tough task of shutting down Chris Johnson while getting their own offense going this week.  It's another winnable game that the Bills must find ways to make plays.  An entire team effort will be required in this one.  Let's go Buffalo, and enjoy all the games this weekend!

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EDWARDS

I think Trent needs to take his bra off an start getting that ball downfield. Get 3-4 receivers out of the box and down to at least mid-field. We need more players downfield willing to make a play instead of staying the box protecting Edwards.

by PJ63 on Nov 14, 2009 8:20 AM EST reply actions  

The road to victory

runs through the O line. To accompish the above requires strong pass blocking as well as a decent run game to keep the Titans “honest”. Both mean the O line has to get it done. Conversely, if they don’t, you cannot send everyone out and expect Edwards to make reads, deliver the ball and sip coffee back there. It ain’t gonna happen. What likely would happen, is another bell ringing and we come full circle back to Fitz. It’s the Bills’ version of the movie “Groundhog Day”

by fansince60 on Nov 14, 2009 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

Excited to see the young kids play not only tomorrow but over the next 8 weeks. Definately important to get them on the field.

This weekends going to be tough, on the road, lots of important injuries, and the Titans are playing good. But we can still win this game. LETS GO BUFFALO

"I don't know how to explain it but we seem to find eachother on the ice and make things happen... Yeah. Pass, shoot, score... Yeah. Pass.. Shoot.. And score."

by bflo on Nov 14, 2009 8:43 AM EST reply actions  

Don’t let Chris Brown set the single-game rushing record.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008.
"Matt’s pretty valuable to y’all. Cherish him." - BG

by MattRichWarren on Nov 14, 2009 9:13 AM EST reply actions  

lets not get hasty

He is on my fantasy team, so that would be OK. He can break all the records and still have the Bills on top on the scoreboard.

by JTM1023 on Nov 14, 2009 9:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Chris Brown plays for Oklahoma. Chris Brown plays for Houston. Chris Brown is the lead journalist at BuffaloBills.com. Chris Brown beat the living hell out of Rihanna.

Am I forgetting any?

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Nov 14, 2009 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

I think not. Sorry. Just did the morning links and read his name a bunch of times.

I meant Chris Johnson, of course.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008.
"Matt’s pretty valuable to y’all. Cherish him." - BG

by MattRichWarren on Nov 14, 2009 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Been a while since you've done that

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Nov 14, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Ruffalo Bumblings!

by jj24 on Nov 14, 2009 9:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Kris Brown is the kicker for the Texans

"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Nov 14, 2009 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

… what team is chasing Johnson in that picture? I dont think I’ve ever seen those jerseys before.

"I don't know how to explain it but we seem to find eachother on the ice and make things happen... Yeah. Pass, shoot, score... Yeah. Pass.. Shoot.. And score."

by bflo on Nov 14, 2009 9:15 AM EST reply actions  

Nope, it’s the Jaguars.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Nov 14, 2009 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Wow really? haha I dont think I’ve seen them in those jerseys before. Thanks

"I don't know how to explain it but we seem to find eachother on the ice and make things happen... Yeah. Pass, shoot, score... Yeah. Pass.. Shoot.. And score."

by bflo on Nov 14, 2009 9:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah. They switched them this year. Less teal, but still kinda blech.

Official ledge-talker-offer of the Buffalo Bills.

by WhyBillsWhy on Nov 14, 2009 10:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Two teams trying to stay in the periphery of the playoff race

This is very diplomatically expressed. Both teams will likely be successful. I think they will both stay in the periphery of the playoff race, as opposed to actually being in the playoff race, for the rest of the year.

Good breakdown. I’m actually hopeful we may be able to do some of these things this week. Edwards does know he’s playing for his job, right?

by Applsoss on Nov 14, 2009 10:46 AM EST reply actions  

My bet is that our o-line is going to start to come together (at last) and as a result Trent will have at least a decent game. I’m also expecting that our run defense will do a better job against Chris Johnson than many expect thanks to the return of Bryan Scott and (one hopes) Donte Whitner. But we are going to find it impossible to contain Vince Young on the ground. It seems as if he has certain pathways specially reserved for him to run through our defense, and he will likely make full use of them this Sunday. We may be coming off a bye week, but he is coming off a year and a half bye, which means his legs are very fresh and even more ready to elude tacklers than usual. Perry Fewell defenses have always been among his favorites to shred, and I can’t think of any reason why that won’t continue.

by Macktruck on Nov 14, 2009 11:00 AM EST reply actions  

Just like Mike Vick’s legs? We’ll see on Sunday.

Official ledge-talker-offer of the Buffalo Bills.

by WhyBillsWhy on Nov 14, 2009 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Same ole song and dance.........

A for Effort though K……I honestly dont know how you can keep churning out quality things without sounding like you’re repeating yourself each week. LOL.

Kudos though my man.

Pass the chocolate cake!

by norcaliangelsfan on Nov 14, 2009 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed, though I would change the order a bit

IMO, the #1 key to winning this game is to slow down Johnson. Protecting Edwards is important, especially if he is going to last the rest of the season, but the Bills haven’t been able to protect him all year and we still have won a few games.

  1. - Byrd must get at least 2 picks. Trouble is having Byrd on the field more also means he will have to tackle Johnson more…..scary, I know.
  1. - O-line must stop killing drives. Dumb penalties at critical times have hurt us.
  1. - Disciplined pass rush. The front 7 needs to get pressure, but have to stay disciplined to avoid getting burned by Johnson cutting back or Young getting outside the pocket. Our DEs can’t try getting to the QB using just the outside speed rush all day long.
  1. - Special Teams – Any chance we have of scoring TDs will most likely come from the ST unit scoring them or giving the offense a short field. They are our best unit and must play well for the Bills to win.
  1. - Protect Edwards – This really is as high as this one should be on the list. Edwards really doesn’t need that much protection to win this game. He just needs the O-line to not let the defense have a free run at him. Edwards can beat the blitz if he gets 2 secs to set his feet. Granted it will be a checkdown throw, but if he could deliver it on time, maybe Evans could do the rest? Or maybe even a redzone jump ball to Hardy????

"Are the Bills better than we think, or do they just suck the life out of most teams they play and drag them down to their level? - oompaloompa

by Joe P. on Nov 14, 2009 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

hmmmmm...... let's just pretend it says 1-6 :-)

"Are the Bills better than we think, or do they just suck the life out of most teams they play and drag them down to their level? - oompaloompa

by Joe P. on Nov 14, 2009 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Don’t worry, there’s no order to these. I usually start with the Bills’ O or whatever pops into my head and eventually move towards the other side of the ball.

Nice call on the cutbacks by johnson, Joe. Dead on that the DE’s need to avoid overpursuit for once. I didn’t even think of that, but I totally agree.

The protect Edwards thang was more a this game and moving forward type issue.

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Nov 14, 2009 11:09 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

haha

“Without sounding like I repeat myself”. Implies I do repeat things, but change the wording. Oh you sleuth-y left coaster!

Funny thing is, I usually write these at 1am Friday night, usually buzzed on red vino. I’m surpried I don’t repeat entire sections.

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Nov 14, 2009 11:12 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Heh. Don’t take it personally. I think he meant that generally, our Bills make the same mistakes over and over again and it would be easy to do a cut and paste job, but it doesn’t appear that you do that. It’s a compliment to you, just not the Bills.

Official ledge-talker-offer of the Buffalo Bills.

by WhyBillsWhy on Nov 15, 2009 12:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Didn't take it personally, at all

I thought I conveyed that, but I guess not!

The Bills are a broken record, while I try not to be too often!

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Nov 15, 2009 11:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Passing to set up the run...

Establishing a lead in this game will be key. It will force Young to pass it, keep the ball out of Johnson’s hands, and allow the defense (schobel/maybin/byrd) to pin their ears back and do what they do.

Jackson was great in the screen game too and we have all said that he needs to be more involved. Spread ’em out, run ’em around, and then whack ’em with Lynch later in the game!

by dav630 on Nov 14, 2009 4:03 PM EST reply actions  

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