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Bills Fantasy Friday: Week 14 Start 'Em/Sit 'Em

The Buffalo Bills return to the field this Sunday as they travel to Arrowhead to face the 3-9 Kansas City Chiefs.  It's safe to say, this won't be one of the marquee games this weekend.  There also aren't many fantasy options available either.  Coming off a rotten performance in Toronto against the New York Jets, the Bills are looking for a rebound performance against a team that just got waxed at home by the Denver Broncos, 44-13.  Knowing how bad these two teams are, this could be an ugly one.  Are there any players worth starting from this game as many of you are beginning your fantasy playoffs this week?  Let's find out.

Star-divide

Quarterbacks
Ryan Fitzpatrick
- After a stunningly decent two week stretch, Fitzpatrick came crashing back to Earth with his horrendous 98-yard performance against the Jets.  He completed just 9 of 23 passes at 4.3 yards a pop.  It was ugly and the only positive was he rushed for 32 yards!  After facing the NFL's top ranked pass defense last week, he'll get a bit of a respite as the Bills will be going up against the 28th ranked passing defense.  The Chiefs have allowed 250.8 yard per game, 8.0 yards per attempt and 21 touchdowns thus far.  Looks appetizing, right? Well, it's Ryan Fitzpatrick we're talking about here.  Don't even consider starting him unless your league starts four QB's per team. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Matt Cassel - Cassel has been a major bust for the Chiefs so far.  The $63 million man has played so poorly that even Trent Edwards has a higher quarterback ranking.  He's completed just 53.9% of his passes at 5.7 yards per attempt.  Like Fitzpatrick, don't even think about rolling with Cassel. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Running Backs
Fred Jackson
-
After an excellent game against the Dolphins, Jackson struggled against the Jets last week.  He finished with 13 rushes for 31 yards and added 24 yards on 3 receptions.  But the Chiefs defense isn't the Jets defense.  Expect Jackson to have a nice bounce back game this week.  This late in the season, sometimes the best fantasy players arrive as the result of great fantasy matchups.  This could be one of those arrivals.  If Jackson gets the majority of the touches, or at least a solid 60/40 ratio, don't be surprised if he has one of the better games of his career.  He's a great flex play and makes for a pretty solid RB2 play this week. Verdict: Start 'Em

Marshawn Lynch - Lynch had a nice performance last week with six rushes for 60 yards and a touchdown.  It was probably the best he's ran all season, but he only had those six rushes.  He'll likely get more carries this week, but Jackson seems like the better play and first option.  I wouldn't be surprised by a very good performance out of Lynch, but at this point it's much more likely he'll end up with another 10 carry, 30 yard performance.  He could be a nice flex option, especially if he gets any red zone carries, but I wouldn't even consider him in a two running back league. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Jamaal Charles - Charles has been one of the biggest fantasy surprises over the past month.  The Chiefs have finally given him the majority of the touches and he's rewarding them with back-to-back-to-back-to-back nice games, including at least one touchdown in each of the past four games. He's averaged over 75 rushing yards per game in that stretch, continues to return kicks (including one for a TD against the Steelers) and is a big play RB in the passing game.  The Chiefs will rely on him early and often.  He should get 20+ touches and could reward fantasy owners with RB2 or even borderline RB1 numbers.  For leagues awarding points for return yardage, Charles is an even better option.  Verdict: Start 'Em in all leagues

Wide Receivers
Terrell Owens
- Like Fitzpatrick, Owens was coming off back-to-back good games, and just like the big-headed QB, he struggled to put up numbers against the Jets.  He should put up better numbers again this week, though it's hard to predict big numbers out of anyone in this passing game.  I think the Bills will look to continue getting the ball to him downfield, so if they can hit on a big play, Owens might put up those big numbers here.  This will be the last time I'm recommending a Bills' WR all season.  Love it. Savor it. Cherish it. Verdict: Start 'Em

Lee Evans - Evans continues playing the Invisible Man in the Bills' offense. The team just can't get him the ball and I refuse to believe it's solely on the QB and play calling. At some point, Evans needs to play consistently right?  Don't bother with him, although as typical with Evans, just as you write him off he responds with a monster game before fading into the sunset once again.  If you have the stomach, roll the dice.  Since you likely have better options, go with them. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Dwayne Bowe - In case you haven't been keeping up with the Chiefs this year, Bowe will be missing his fourth consecutive game for violating the league's substance abuse policy.  Don't say I've never looked out for your best interest, Bills friends. Verdict: Duh

Chris Chambers - From the abyss, Chris Chambers has been surprisingly good since joining the Chiefs after being cut by the Chargers. Prior to last week's 11-yard stinker, Chambers racked up 17 receptions for 319 yards and 3 touchdowns in four games.  I think last week is a lot closer to what Chambers will be doing the rest of the season.  If you are stuck, I'd go with Chambers over Evans (for example), but don't in expecting much against the league's 4th best pass defense. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Tight Ends
Shawn Nelson
, Sean Ryan
- I'm lumping them together because even though they have the same pronunciation for differently spelled named, they will probably put up the same stats for different teams.  Verdict: Sit 'Em

Kickers
Rian Lindell
- Lindell had two field goals against the Jets last week and continues to be consistently okay as a fantasy kicker.  However, okay isn't what you should be looking for.  As always, go with a kicker for a better offense. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Ryan Succop - Yeah, I forgot who their kicker was and had to look it up.  I suggest you treat him the same way and disregard him totally.  Verdict: Sit 'Em

Defense/Special Teams
Buffalo D/ST
- The Bills make for a sneaky play this week against a poor Chiefs offense.  The Chiefs OL and QB's have been a part of 40 sacks this year, 2nd most in the NFL.  However, surprisingly enough, they've only turned it over 15 times thus far.  If the Bills can get after Cassel, look for a decent number of sacks and the potential for some turnovers.  Maybe they'll even get another pick six in Arrowhead again!  Unless you have a quality D/ST with a bad matchup (i.e. Denver against the Colts, Cincinnati against the Vikings, Arizona against the 49ers on the road), you'll probably steer clear of the Bills. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Chiefs D/ST - Even against the Bills, I wouldn't consider starting the Chiefs D/ST. Verdict: Sit 'Em

Sleepers
Buffalo D/ST
-
See above

Chris Chambers - Even though I could never imagine starting him, Chambers has indeed become the Chiefs go-to receiver.  If Cassel can get the passing game going, Chambers could be in line for some good numbers this week.

**********

In what might be the last game any Bills player might have a relevant fantasy performance, let's hope we see some offensive production this week.  Another ugly season can't end soon enough, but one more quality performance will at least give us a positive for this team heading into the Holidays!  Good luck to any of you (except Brian) who may be taking part in your league's fantasy playoffs this week.  Go Bills!

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Anyone have an opinion on Brady this week?

I know he is always listed as something but this week he has a few “ailments” and I don’t want to start a benched QB in the playoffs.

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 11, 2009 8:53 AM EST reply actions  

Wait until Sunday morning

I’m sure Brady will play and be ok, but NE might actually run more than normal…

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 11, 2009 9:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Well my other option is Gerrard...

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 11, 2009 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Meh

He could be decent against Miami though I’d still rather have a dinged up Brady.

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 11, 2009 2:37 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

im a little worried about it. I think i’m going to start flacco instead.

by quantumuprising on Dec 11, 2009 9:34 AM EST up reply actions  

didn’t see your whole post, its not yet the playoffs for me, so that didn’t factor into my decision

by quantumuprising on Dec 11, 2009 9:35 AM EST up reply actions  

they need this win though anf their run game is average

my other option is gerrard

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 11, 2009 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

If you have Brady, you don’t sit him. An injured Brady is better than a healthy Flacco.

Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 11, 2009 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Yuck

I think I saw on MNF that Flacco has 3 TD paases since week 7….no thank you!

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 11, 2009 2:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I’ve been waiting for this column all week K. I shoulda just asked you for it sooner.

In my league that is, umm, important, I finished 2nd overall, and this is week is the start of the playoffs. I picked up Charles the minute LJ was released, and it’s paid off. Still, I just feel dirty rooting for him against the Bills this week. On to the dilemna…

I have to pick between Chambers and Evans. My Dad says go with Evans becuase he kind of thinks Buffalo’s pass defense isn’t all that bad, but I think he’s being a homer. With TO’s play of late, it’s kind of hard to pick Evans though. I get the feeling whatever decision I make will be the wrong one. I wonder if OBD ever feels like that?

Help!

by krytime on Dec 11, 2009 9:09 AM EST reply actions  

How did you finish in 2nd place then?!?!

I’d go with Chambers. I just cannot imagine using Evans. Of course, he’ll probably have a monster game, but to me Chambers is the much safer option….

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 11, 2009 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

I hadveAndre Johnson and Ocho ahead of the two aforementioned. Chris Johnson helped a lot too.

by krytime on Dec 11, 2009 6:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I was bummed when I saw that I had a bye week in both my leagues.

I’ve never had one before – it’s weird.

Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 11, 2009 9:41 AM EST reply actions  

Bye Week

Me Too! Two leagues. A bye week in one league and a good bye week(s) in the other. Good luck TAT.

Excuses are a sign of weakness!!!!!!

by VanScottM on Dec 11, 2009 9:50 AM EST up reply actions  

In my Yahoo league, it looks like my starting guys’ points are still being counted. Is this the case in FleaFlicker?

Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 11, 2009 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

How many got burned or saved by Robert Meachum last week.

My team played against Robert Meachum last week. My team had New Orleans Defense. After Sunday nights game I went to bed losing, woke up the next morning Monday winning, spent all day as winning and sole possesion of first place. Woke up Tuesday morning back into second place.

The play was his offensive fumble return for a touchdown after a Drew Breese interception.

Excuses are a sign of weakness!!!!!!

by VanScottM on Dec 11, 2009 9:54 AM EST reply actions  

I somehow won last week, despite getting nothing from 2 of my starting WRs, and sitting Holmes. It’s a good thing Miles Austin comes to play most weeks.

Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 11, 2009 10:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Even Meachem couldn’t save me, I needed a great game from the Ravens to even think about winning, and the Ravens couldn’t help.

Bills fan? In Colorado? It's more likely than you think.

by UZ on Dec 11, 2009 11:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Funny story, I’m being forced to start Fitzy because of how little depth that league has… and my opponent is starting Cassel. :D

Bills fan? In Colorado? It's more likely than you think.

by UZ on Dec 11, 2009 11:25 AM EST reply actions  

you are better off

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 11, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions  

With Mike Sims-Walker doubtful should I start Steve Smith on Carolina or Lee Evans? Or I could pick up a guy like Pierre Garcon off the waiver wire.

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 11, 2009 6:04 PM EST reply actions  

I’d say Evans just because he’s facing the Chiefs and Smith is against the Pats.

Bills fan? In Colorado? It's more likely than you think.

by UZ on Dec 11, 2009 8:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Delhomme is out, too.

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 11, 2009 8:53 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s not necessarily a bad thing for smith, I know.

Bills fan? In Colorado? It's more likely than you think.

by UZ on Dec 12, 2009 5:24 AM EST up reply actions  

I'd be hitting the waiver wire

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 13, 2009 2:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Steve Smith did well for me. Brandon Marshall as my other WR helps. :-)

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 14, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

TO & Bills D

I along with 3 others are fighting for the last playoff spot. I’m rolling with both TO & the Bills D this week ( I have one of those good D/bad match ups you listed. I think TO delivers with a big game against a bad D in his audition for his next job. I also think this is one of those games the D comes out fired up for no reason whatsoever & looks like world beaters. For some reason (maybe because they are due) I can see a kick/punt return going for a TD this week.

by billskk69 on Dec 12, 2009 5:30 AM EST reply actions  

Flex option ?

Marion Barber or Jeremy Maclin? Barber has been killing me. He’s not getting the ball enough in a 3 man rotation and does little with it when he has it. Although, I think he may be due for a decent game. I have McNabb at QB so if Maclin scores I get double points. Hmmm…

by billskk69 on Dec 12, 2009 5:34 AM EST reply actions  

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