FanPost

Draft Order: Week 16 (Bills pick 8th)

The NFL draft order is first determined by the Super Bowl contestants who pick 32 and 31. The playoff teams are then slotted by record from 21-30 (which is a change from past years). The other 20 teams are slotted by record. The first tie breaker in the draft is strength of schedule followed by conference win-loss. (Check out kaiser's fanpost for more on that.)

If the NFL draft were held today, the top half of the NFL draft would be as follows: (+ clinched a spot picking ahead of the Bills)


1. Rams+ (1-14, 52.5% opponent winning percentage)
2. Lions+ (2-13, 51.7% opponent winning percentage)
3. Chiefs+ (3-12, 52.1% opponent winning percentage)
4. Buccaneers+ (3-12, 55.8% opponent winning percentage)
5. Redskins (4-11, 50.0% opponent winning percentage)
6. Browns+ (4-11, 50.4% opponent winning percentage)
7. Seahawks (5-10, 47.5% opponent winning percentage)
8. Bills (5-10, 51.7% opponent winning percentage)
9. Raiders (5-10, 52.1% opponent winning percentage)
10. Broncos from Bears (6-9, 49.2% opponent winning percentage) [Jay Cutler]

Because the strength of schedule shifts when the Bills encounter the Colts this week the Bills can only pick 7-10 in very specific events:

- To pick 7th the Bills lose and the Seahawks and Raiders both win.
- To pick 8th the Bills lose and either the Seahawks and Raiders lose.
- To pick 9th the Bills lose and both Seahawks and Raiders lose.
- To pick 10th the Bills win and Bears lose.

Bills host the Colts at 1 PM
Seahawks host Titans at 4:15 PM
Raiders host Ravens at 4:15 PM
Bears go to Lions at 1:00 PM

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So I took the time to look at the strength of schedule possibilities and the Bills could end up picking 6th. Here's how:

If the AFC East all loses (Bills SOS gain one win thanks to Colts beating Bills), NFC South plays each other (two automatic wins), the Chiefs lose, AFC South loses (one automatic win as Browns play Jags, one win as Texans beat Patriots) we gain 5 wins on our SOS. That puts the Bills at 129 overall wins.

The Redskins would then have to gain at least nine opponent wins. The Eagles and Cowboys play each other which is an automatic two wins. Minnesota loses to the Giants giving the Redskins two more wins. The Skins played the AFC West so Oakland beats Baltimore gives them one and Denver beating the Chiefs gives them one (remember we need the Chiefs to lose). They also played the NFC West and San Fran and St. Louis go this week giving the Skins an automatic win. Seattle beating Tenn. gives them one more and then the Cardinals knock off Green Bay giving the Skins yet another win. If Detroit, another Skins opponent, beats the Bears it’s another and since we played Tampa we want them to beat the Falcons to give the Redskins another win. That adds up to eleven to put the Redskins at 131 overall wins.

So if virtually every single game goes the Bills way they can end with a worse SOS than the Redskins.

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.