Draft Order: Week 13 (Bills pick 7th)

by MattRichWarren on Dec 7, 2009 12:00 PM EST

The NFL draft order is first determined by the Super Bowl contestants who pick 32 and 31. The playoff teams are then slotted by record from 21-30 (which is a change from past years). The other 20 teams are slotted by record. The first tie breaker in the draft is strength of schedule followed by conference win-loss.

If the NFL draft were held today, the top half of the NFL draft would be as follows:

1*. Browns (1-11, 56% opponent winning percentage)
1*. Buccaneers (1-11, 56% opponent winning percentage)
3. Rams (1-11, 58% opponent winning percentage)
4. Lions (2-10, 47% opponent winning percentage)
5. Redskins (3-9, 46% opponent winning percentage)
6. Chiefs (3-9, 55% opponent winning percentage)
7. Bills (4-8, 46% opponent winning percentage)
8. Raiders (4-8, 57% opponent winning percentage)
9. Broncos from Bears (5-7, 48% opponent winning percentage) [Jay Cutler]
10. 49ers from Panthers (5-7, 51% opponent winning percentage) [Everette Brown]
11. Seahawks (5-7, 54% opponent winning percentage, 4-6 in NFC)
12. 49ers (5-7, 54% opponent winning percentage, 4-4 in NFC)
13. Titans (5-7, 57% opponent winning percentage, 3-7 in AFC)
14. Texans (5-7, 55% opponent winning percentage, 4-6 in AFC)

[Note: Broncos first round pick belongs to Seahawks.]

* - Order would be determined by a coin flip since they are not in the same conference according to the NFL Tie-Breaking Procedures

Note : Opponent winning percentages could change slightly based on the game tonight but the Bills will still pick 7th so I published anyways.

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Comments

I will be rooting for the Skins and Chiefs the rest of the season, except when the Bills play the Chiefs of course :-)

"The Bills have no playoff aspirations" – Dan Dierdorf

by Joe P. on Dec 7, 2009 12:58 PM EST reply actions

If the Bills and Redskins end at, say, 4-12 both, who would be drafting fifth?

by BillsfanfromDenmark on Dec 7, 2009 1:00 PM EST reply actions

im sure the percentages will change based on the final 4 weeks of opponents.

7 games and counting!!!

by Rudy916 on Dec 7, 2009 1:16 PM EST up reply actions

Yeah it will depend on the oppnent records. If they are the same I believe it would go to a coin flip sine they are in different conferences.

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 7, 2009 2:33 PM EST up reply actions

Wouldn’t the Bills get the draft pick ahead of them, if their opponents’ combined winning % were lower?

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by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 7, 2009 3:57 PM EST up reply actions

Yeah but right now they’re both at 46%.

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 7, 2009 3:58 PM EST up reply actions

I know, this is going to be tough. Jason Campbell is a much better QB than Fitz, so there’s a chance they win a few games.

With Indy saying they’ll rest Manning once things are locked up (mistake: they lost to Pitt the year they did this), I think the Bills become favorites to win their last game. This may also be true of the Atlanta game, if that team can’t get their stars healthy.

I know this (fantasy related): Jamaal Charles, Lawrence Maroney, and Michael Turner/Jason Snelling are going to annihilate the Bills. Indy’s small too, I think the Bills will match up better.

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by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 7, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions

I would love to pick top 5

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 7, 2009 2:28 PM EST reply actions

If you said that before the season, I would consider you a full-time nutter, but under the current circumstances, I agree with you wholeheartedly, because that’s probably the only way we’d be able to draft Jake Locker.

by BillsfanfromDenmark on Dec 7, 2009 2:29 PM EST up reply actions

I, on the other hand, would not.

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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Dec 7, 2009 4:12 PM EST up reply actions

is that because you want the team to win some games before the end of the year?

Or because you dont want to have to pay top 5 money to a draft pick?

You know there is a problem with the education system when you realize that out of the 3 R's only one begins with an R. - Dennis Miller

by norcaliangelsfan on Dec 7, 2009 6:11 PM EST up reply actions

Mostly the latter. Add in the depth of this draft class, and picking top five is not anywhere near imperative.

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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Dec 7, 2009 8:43 PM EST up reply actions

wait til you see locker in the NFL

time will tell who was right and i’m betting I am.

There's not a wide receiver who is fast enough, that J.P. Losman can't overthrow him on a fly pattern.

by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 8, 2009 4:21 AM EST up reply actions

I haven't lost.

A bet like this yet.

I haven’t felt this good about a qb prospect,

since I felt Peyton Manning was a superior choice to Ryan Leaf.

Am I right?

Time will tell.

There's not a wide receiver who is fast enough, that J.P. Losman can't overthrow him on a fly pattern.

by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 8, 2009 4:22 AM EST up reply actions

What? I like Locker.

It’s pretty obvious that you posted those two comments at fricking 4:30 in the morning.

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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Dec 8, 2009 5:10 AM EST up reply actions

yep.

I work 2nd shift, so you’ll find I post most things late night, sometimes early morning, when I can’t sleep.

It seemed to me you didn’t like the idea of Locker as a junior. I definately don’t see him to be a first year impact player through the air, but with those wheels, he might be on the ground. I like his mechanics, and his elusiveness, and his arm. I think he is a good fit for us. He could be a great one if his passing keeps improving, If he declares, he put the exclamation point on his college career demolishing California both through the air and on the ground.

There's not a wide receiver who is fast enough, that J.P. Losman can't overthrow him on a fly pattern.

by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 8, 2009 7:00 AM EST up reply actions

I wouldn’t marry yourself to the idea of Locker. He’s good, but he’s not as good as you seem to think he is.

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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Dec 8, 2009 7:47 AM EST up reply actions

The only thing I don't know about him

That could change my mind.

Is what is his IQ or wunderlich.

If he’s got a double digit IQ, im sold.

There's not a wide receiver who is fast enough, that J.P. Losman can't overthrow him on a fly pattern.

by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 8, 2009 8:00 AM EST up reply actions

hehe

I mean better than double digit IQ :)

There's not a wide receiver who is fast enough, that J.P. Losman can't overthrow him on a fly pattern.

by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 8, 2009 8:01 AM EST up reply actions

Wow

modest much?

It’s not like you are the only person in the universe that thinks Locker can play in the NFL….

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Dec 8, 2009 1:50 PM EST up reply actions

i'm still a nutter

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone" -Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Dec 7, 2009 3:24 PM EST reply actions

Bills should pull "ahead" in this derby next Sunday.

If they can’t win at home against the Browns or Jets (ha, homefield), then I see a loss coming for them in Kansas City.

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by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 7, 2009 4:00 PM EST reply actions

Here’s to rooting for the chiefs sunday. come on matt you got us twice last year!

Trample the weak, hurdle the dead!

by fansince83 on Dec 8, 2009 7:36 AM EST via mobile reply actions

With a new GM/coach Buffalo might actually do the sane thing on draft day...

….and finally trade down!!! It’s pretty clear that Buffalo will pick somewhere between 5th and 10th in the draft. If Buffalo can’t get a franchise LT (possibly DT—nowhere near the need that LT is….but Buffalo can’t pass on another Ngata) I am hoping that sanity will prevail and that the team will bail out of the top half of the round, possibly picking up a 2nd or 3rd round pick in the process. Staying put at #11 has netted the Bills a pair of guys (McKelvin, Maybin) who may have all kinds of upside but little tangible production.

Of course we could make things more challenging, Lisa, but then the stupider students would be in here complaining, furrowing their brows in a vain attempt to understand the situation--Seymour Skinner

by Ron From NM on Dec 8, 2009 11:54 AM EST reply actions

In McKelvin’s deffence, he is on IR.

by CanadianBillsFan on Dec 8, 2009 2:36 PM EST up reply actions

little tangible production.

McKelvin had great special teams production his rookie year, one of the best in the league in fact.

"you just have to know there's always going to be adversity. None of these games are going to be easy. Nothing will be given to us" - Paul Posluszny

by poz on Dec 8, 2009 4:04 PM EST up reply actions

Best kick returner average in the NFL if I’m not mistaken.

by CanadianBillsFan on Dec 8, 2009 4:57 PM EST up reply actions

Yeah, that's just what you want with the #11 pick in the draft

Kick returning is a nice bonus with a high draft pick—not the reason for making the selection. To this point McKelvin hasn’t proven to be worth his draft position. Yeah, he’s young and so is Revis.

My point is that Buffalo hasn’t gotten much impact from recent high first round draft picks. That’s got to change if Buffalo is to improve.

by Ron From NM on Dec 8, 2009 9:44 PM EST up reply actions

Oh, well then I entirely agree. If your picking in the top 15 of any draft, you should be able to see significant improvement and return from any pick by the end of his second season, or stat of the third. So because of Leo’s injuries, I’m going to hold judgement on him off until the start of next season.

Although, for the record, i was hoping that we would draft Rogers-Cromartie that draft instead of MKelvin. I though that he had more potential to be a game changer. Early indications are showing that I might be right on that. No Matter, Leo’s who we have and he has done well for a player of his expirience in theNFL.

As forMaybin, I don’t think that he was given enough playing time when DJ was here for him to improv. Now that he’s seeing more snaps with Fewell, he’s showing faster improvment in each game. I don’t have any actualy stats to back that up, I’ve just been noticing him a lot more now that Fewell is HC, so it could just be that he’s playing better and I’m noticing him more, but I’m pretty sure that he’s been getting more snaps.

by CanadianBillsFan on Dec 8, 2009 11:27 PM EST up reply actions

Suh, McCoy or McCain

With the Bills so weak against the run and trying to stop it, currently 32nd against the rush statistically, they should address the defensive line. I would take Suh if he is there and if not, then Gerald McCoy from Oklahoma (think that is his last name), or Rolando McCain at ILB for Alabama. Otherwise, I would also like Okung at tackle. Build the line first. For years the Bills have been drafting players in the secondary or specialists in the first round. OBVIOUSLY – That does not work!!!!!!!!

by BuffaloWhiner on Dec 9, 2009 8:20 AM EST reply actions

I would never be against drafting Suh. Just wanted to make that point first.

The Bills problems on run defense are not between the guards. The Bills problems are off tackle runs and counters. It’s not the DTs that stink in Buffalo it’s the DEs and LBs not to mention the safeties in run support aren’t exactly stellar.

As to your point about drafting specialists, it would work if they drafted the right guys. Peyton Manning got killed behind a mediocre OL in his first year. You need those “specialists” as you refer to them, too.

"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.

by MattRichWarren on Dec 9, 2009 9:01 AM EST up reply actions

Ironically enough, the scouting staff has just started putting together preliminary final grades for the top prospects in the draft, and those three players you mention – Suh, McCoy and McClain – got my three highest grades. Top 3 on my board, but that might not be reflected once we put together our consensus board.

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by Brian Galliford on Dec 9, 2009 9:33 AM EST up reply actions