10 Biggest Reasons Not to Draft Maybin
Title is very self explanatory... here we go:
10: Listed as Sporting News' #2 player to most likely bust in the NFL.
9: Last year Chris Ellis was considered under sized as a 4-3 defensive end. He is 6'5 267, which is 1-inch and roughly 20 pounds heavier than Maybin who we all think could put his hand down in a 4-3? If experts think Orakpo and Brown would be better fits in a 3-4 what makes you think the smallest one of the bunch could play as an end?
8: "...scouts are certain that this third-year sophomore is too small to play defensive end in the NFL, so he must make the move to outside linebacker in a team's 3-4 alignment. Maybin is already focused on a high-protein diet and workouts that will help him add bulk and agility." USA TODAY (post weight gain).
7: "The knock against Maybin is that he struggled against big athletic linemen. In the four games that Maybin failed to record a sack, the right tackles that he faced averaged a whopping 6'5" and 313.5 pounds. Furthermore, three of those four teams were ranked in the top 25 at the end of the season; a clear indication that he'll need to improve against NFL talent." Bleacher Report
6: Drafting Aaron Maybin at 11th overall would say, "Last year's 3rd round pick was a waste." When they drafted Chris Ellis in the 3rd round, they knew he would not contribute right away. When speaking of James Hardy, 90% of Bills fans (including myself) will say that he has a ton of potential and will be a very good player in a few years. Why is this different for Chris Ellis?
5: We have 4 defensive ends under contract. Aaron Schobel signed a 7-year 50.5 million dollar contract in 2007 (3.5 Mill in 2009),Chris Kelsay signed a 4-year 23 million dollar contract in 2007 (3 Mill in 2009), Ryan Denney is set to make 2.4 Mill in 2009 (last year of contract) and Chris Ellis signed a 4-year deal in 2008. Last years 11th pick happened to be Leodis McKelvin who signed a 5-year 20 million dollar deal last summer. Another DE in the first would be a lot of money tied up at one position wouldn't it?
4: There are much bigger needs than DE. Would you rather have Chris Kelsay or Keith Ellison on the field? For those who just said Keith Ellison, I am assuming you didn't watch too many of their games last year. We have a true hole at LG (we only have 2 guards under contract), and Tight-end (If Royal is a step above Fine/Schouman than we are in trouble). We also have a hole at outside linebacker where Angelo Crowell played prior to his departure. Addressing defensive end this year in the first round would be nothing less of a luxury pick and in my oppinnion would step our franchise back. If the Bills really wanted to see a pass rush they would switch there schemes from there dumb Tampa-2 defense which clearly doesn't work. If you still don't believe me than go back on nfl.com/videos and find Aaron Schobel's post game interview where he gets angry at people asking him about the lack of sacks by the Bills. "Doing our jobs doesn't always result in sacks" - Schobel
3: Sporting News, Scout.com, CBS Sports, Mike Mayock from NFL.com, Charles David from NFL.com, and Steve Wyche of NFL.com all have Maybin as the 4th or worse DE in the draft. He usually ranks behind Orakpo, Brown, Jackson and sometimes Ayers. A little bit of a reach?
2: He had only started for one season at Penn St. and has ELITE potential to be a one year wonder.
1: And finally.... the number 1 biggest reason we should not draft Aaron Maybin at 11th overall is because after the season/after the combine no one was that high on the guy. He was too small to play as a 4-3 end so he bulked up 30 pounds. At the combine he ran a 4.88 40 and only put up 22 reps on the bench. There is no way in the span of a month he kept the same weight but shed his 40 time down to a 4.6 (hand timed by the way). Anyways this stuff happens every year where teams BS to increase or decrease a players stock for no apparent reason, and I feel that it's been happening lately with Aaron Maybin.
I'm sour to the idea of drafting a DE at 11th, but if we can get away with Brian Orakpo or Everette Brown I'd be more than okay with it. Sorry Brian, I know he's your boy.
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6: Drafting Aaron Maybin at 11th overall would say, “Last year’s 3rd round pick was a waste.” When they drafted Chris Ellis in the 3rd round, they knew he would not contribute right away. When speaking of James Hardy, 90% of Bills fans (including myself) will say that he has a ton of potential and will be a very good player in a few years. Why is this different for Chris Ellis?
that’s an argument I can never get behind. If you draft a player that shows no signs, then your damn right you draft another player to fill his spot. Competition breeds success or forces guys to quit. We don’t need quitters, we need production.
MARVelous - "I went from America's team to North America's Team" Terrell Owens
by MARVelous on Mar 24, 2009 2:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Quitter? He was a rookie last year…. give the guy a change? Not all rookies are pro-bowl or bust. Did any one really expect him to start?
by J.D on Mar 24, 2009 2:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
WOW, if I had time right now, I would refute every single one of those opinions.
I will say, you list our current DE’s, one in the last year of his contract, one who is terrible, one that is definitely on the downside of his career and one that has proven absolutely nothing at the NFL level. Three of them are 30+ and none of them provide a pass rush threat. Look at the big picture.
~K
"I’m Kurupt with Buffalo Rumblings. I am worth hundreds!"
by Kurupt on Mar 24, 2009 2:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
you can never have too many defensive lineman
right now the Bills have too many guys taking up space. in this case strength is not in numbers. our line, specifically the DE’s are not good. they need to be upgraded. the tampa 2 is predicated on getting pressure on the CB. if no pressure is applied then the defense gives up yardage. aside from Schobel, and even he is a question mark at this point, we have no pass rushers, none.
by gatornation on Mar 24, 2009 2:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Our 4 DE's blow
if thats not a reason to upgrade then I don’t know what is
We got no food, no jobs... our PET'S HEADS ARE FALLING OFF!"
by J2 on Mar 24, 2009 2:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
#7 is Interesting
I am not a huge Maybin fan, I think he is a boom or bust player and that is risky business for the 11th pick. Also, even if he is boom it will take 2-3 years and the bills do not have the luxury of waiting. As for the list, I do not agree with them all, but #7 really stood out to me. Hard to argue those results. I just think when picking in the first round, especially in the top half you have to attempt to get players with the lowest floor more than the highest ceiling.
by billsfan69 on Mar 24, 2009 3:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I htink you mean highest floor...
As in the least sucky….
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are correct
and your way of saying does not sound as good though
by billsfan69 on Mar 24, 2009 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would argue that the Tampa 2 does work...
If the Bills really wanted to see a pass rush they would switch there schemes from there dumb Tampa-2 defense which clearly doesn’t work.
I think without it we would have been blown out by the Cowboys on MNF and a bunch of other teams. The Tampa 2 defense has won more Super Bowls in the last 15 years than any other defensive scheme. Tampa Bay, Colts, Bears have all used it to get to the Super Bowl.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 3:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Seriously?
The Tampa 2 defense has won more Super Bowls in the last 15 years than any other defensive scheme.
Bears didn’t win anything.
The 3-4, perhaps?
Pittsburgh twice
New England thrice
Did Baltimore run it when they won it?
Did Dallas?
~K
"I’m Kurupt with Buffalo Rumblings. I am worth hundreds!"
by Kurupt on Mar 24, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
they had a Super Bowl appearance...
13 years in Tampa, 7 in Indy, 5 in Chicago, 3 each in Minny, KC, Detroit and Buffalo. 37 seasons of Tampa 2 defense in the NFL. What did those seasons bring.
2 Superbowl Titles, 3 SB appearances, 18 playoff appearances, 18 top 8 scoring Ds, 28 scoring Ds in the top half of the league and only 4 bottom 8 scoring Ds (3 of them belonging to the Lions)
The Tampa 2 is not a bad defense. Otherwise it would have produced far worse results.
I was mistaken in the Super Bowl comment. What it should have said is that Tampa 2 teams have statistically been in the top half of the league in defense at a higher rate percentage wise than other defensive fronts. If you take out the Lions figures it gets even better.
A Tampa-2 defense would be expected to be in the top half of the league, half of the time. The defenses were in the top half 28 of 37 seasons. Just over 75% of the time.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is that supposed to be a good stat? Top half of the league 75% of the time? I’m pretty underwhelmed by that one!
~K
"I’m Kurupt with Buffalo Rumblings. I am worth hundreds!"
by Kurupt on Mar 24, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well considering the number of teams that run it is a lot lower than 10, it actually makes sense.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 25, 2009 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Finally....
i have been waiting for someone to come out and say it. while i and everyone who has watched our version of the tampa two get picked apart again and again, because we couldn’t even get a hand in the face of an opposing qb, knows, we need pash rushing help. However, maybin is not our guy. while i dont agree with alot of what you said, like chris ellis being a bust. (one year? and your already throwing him under the bus?). maybin is small..(a lot of the problem in my opinion of our current stable of de’s. I know the cover two typically relies on smaller ends, but i digress.) Maybin had one, count them one good year of starting. i dont trust that. He was, and correct me if im wrong, only roughly 245 ish at the combine. Thats not much bigger then Mitchell or Poz and they play three yards deeper. So he went and bulked up…at what expence? he hasnt played football at this weight. i just believe that that there are safer options and that we shouldnt gamble so much in the first round..My alternatives? Cushing, trade down get pettigrew ( assuming we plugged our left tackle hole. if not, trade down get next best availablr lineman, Unger, Mack d. Robinson. Then look for pass rush help in round two, Connor Barwin has attracted my attention latley.
by Stabby Mcshank on Mar 24, 2009 3:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hey guys - personally
I think Maybin doesn’t go until the SECOND ROUND. I think he is overrated, young and definately a boom or bust player. Maybin has a quick first step and he is a very athletic prospect with tons of upside but I don’t see him as a first round guy. Just like Poz two years ago.
The time to deliver is now and if you fail to do so you will no doubt witness the consequences first hand.
by Cutter3636 on Mar 24, 2009 4:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don’t see him as a first round guy. Just like Poz two years ago.
You forgot one of the golden rules of the NFL Draft, though – defensive ends ALWAYS go higher than expected, and linebackers ALWAYS go lower than expected. You can’t really compare the two situations. Maybin is a sure-fire first round pick.
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by Brian Galliford on Mar 24, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Question for Brian
Have you seen any game tape on Maybin? I’m really curious as to why you like him so much. Do you just like the fact that he has good stats and played for penn state? I’m not trying to offend you i’m just trying to figure out your logic. Because for someone to say that Maybin is better than Brown seems a bit ridiculous to me considering the youtube i’ve seen on both players. I know youtube isn’t the definitive answer or anything.
by buffaloboy90 on Mar 24, 2009 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t want to speak for Brian, but I can ensure you that playing at Penn St. Isn’t really a factor for the Maybin supporters on this site.
The two main reasons to like him are production (which you mentioned) and how explosive he is off the snap.
by kaisertown on Mar 24, 2009 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
:)
I’m pretty sure I’ve answered this for you before. I watched probably four Penn State games this year in full. I also got to see Brown play, albeit for less than two full games (FSU ball just isn’t as interesting to me). Maybe I’m a little biased, but I loved what I saw out of Maybin. And that’s not to say I don’t like Brown, because I think he’d be an excellent selection too.
People cite Maybin’s size as an issue, but even at 227 last year, he was surprisingly stout in the box. Can he get stronger? Sure, but he’s got solid functional play strength. Combine that with his superior burst and better play-making ability, and I’ve got Maybin ahead of Brown by a hair. Tangibly, they’re pretty much equal.
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by Brian Galliford on Mar 24, 2009 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I respect your opinion. I wish I could just see some tape so i could agree with you. Even the highlights I have seen have just been free rushes to the QB or RB. I mean Maurice Evans had similar stats so it could just be the position.
by buffaloboy90 on Mar 25, 2009 12:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
With the weight he put on and this 40 time
there is no way in hell Maybin drops into round 2!!!
Don’t sweat the petty things. Don’t pet the sweaty things.
by Joe P. on Mar 24, 2009 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybin is a sure-fire first round pick.
Just hopefully not ours
by Stabby Mcshank on Mar 24, 2009 4:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I’m not too sure he is stabby. I’ve seen him in the second round a couple times in some mocks.
by buffaloboy90 on Mar 24, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Where?
and when?
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 8:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Walterfootball.com
This site had Maybin going to the Bills in the second round as of a week ago. Right now they have him at #9. Interesting how a play can jump 33 slots in one week.
by buffaloboy90 on Mar 25, 2009 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think that was before his Pro Day????
Don’t sweat the petty things. Don’t pet the sweaty things.
by Joe P. on Mar 25, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're right...
they had Maybin at 42 before… Holy cow.
I’ve never had Aaron Maybin higher than No. 23 in any of my 2009 NFL Mock Drafts. I’ve had my reasons – he was too small, too raw… his 40 was too slow… he was a one-year wonder…
Well, Maybin blew away scouts and general managers at Penn State’s Pro Day. Maybin continued to put on weight – he measured in at 253 – and he managed to run a 4.59, which was 0.3 faster than his time at the Combine. Maybin also had a 40.5-inch vertical and a 10-10 broad jump.
Maybin’s improved numbers may have the Packers convinced that he could start right away, but his upside is really ridiculous. Maybin is turning 21 in April, so he’s only going to get quicker and stronger.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 25, 2009 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just to say it. Again.
He only started one year at Penn St. because of what was ahead of him on the depth chart- Mo Evans had a career year in ‘07, not exactly something that you beat out in camp. What’s worth noting is that when Evans got suspended at the beginning of this year, he never got his job back. That should tell you something. Yes, he probably should have stuck around for another year, but I don’t think that diminishes what he could be. And seriously, I think he’s an upgrade over any of our current DE’s…and I think that position will have a bigger impact than a TE- not to mention, if you get a TE in the 3rd round, it’d be a much better player than a DE at that point in time.
I guess I don’t get the complete aversion to drafting him- try finding some game film and watching him, it might help.
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Mar 24, 2009 4:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
fair enough.
To assume that someone who disagrees with you just simply hasen’t done his homework is a bit arrogant. i have watched his game film (albiet what i could find on youtube and others places, perhaps maybe you have a better source?) and while i thing he is a good player (good motor, great first step), i am not convinced he provides the bills the best choice at eleven….(i hope we trade down). you cant argue to me that staying put and taking someone we have liked as an organization has worked out so well. ( i mean whitner before you go the marshawn route.) while what you say is true, he prolly would be an upgrade over what we have, i think that the gaping hole at left tackle, linebacker and te need more of the first round attention. like i mentioned earlier, we can look to supplement our line in round two.
by Stabby Mcshank on Mar 24, 2009 4:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If you’re replying to me, I didn’t mean to come across as arrogant- I just know a lot of people haven’t watched a lot of his game film and are basing assumptions off of the measurables, which I don’t feel gives you a fair impression of him. I’m not saying he’s the only guy we should consider taking, I’m just saying that I don’t understand why some are acting like drafting him would be a huge mistake.
John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...
by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Mar 24, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No bad blood at all, K. i agree that just looking at measurables doesnt do a player justice. Also, I will never claim to be a decent judge of nfl talent off of films i see on myspace either. im just not that good. my one point is this, i think the bills have a great oppurtunity to trade and pick up more quality picks, and if they choose not to i will be dissapointed.
by Stabby Mcshank on Mar 24, 2009 5:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Stabby-
If you hit reply to the comment you are replying to it threads the comments nicely so people know you are responding to them and not someone else.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
thanx
i am but a humble newbie and will prolly make many rookie mistakes for awhile. thanks for straightening me out.
by Stabby Mcshank on Mar 25, 2009 2:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
I think Maybin is the most overrated player in the entire draft. Here are my reasons:
1. He gets pushed around like a rag doll on tape.
2. Most of the plays he makes he is untouched or facing a terrible lineman (rarely does he actually beat someone)
3. Just because he played at Penn State people are praising him. It doesn’t exactly matter where they play, it’s how they play.
I have absolutely no idea how people rate Maybin ahead of Brown or Orakpo. The comparison is not even close in my opinion. Furthermore, I think Lawrence Sidbury from Richmond is a better player than Maybin.
I wouldn’t totally give up on Ellis quite yet, he still could be a good player. The thing with ellis, he didn’t produce that much in college. Maybin produced, but he rarely beat anyone like I said before. Look at Everette Brown on youtube and then tell me Maybin is better. You won’t be able to because it’s not even close. Maybin should not even be 1st rounder.
by buffaloboy90 on Mar 24, 2009 6:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nobody is giving up on Ellis.
There are two DEs on every team. Schobel, Kelsay, and Denney are all on the down-slide of their careers. We should have two up and comers to take over for them and add some youth at the position.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.
by MattRichWarren on Mar 24, 2009 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is a pretty rediculous list/topic...
Every single one of the reasons listed has been noted by NFL GMs eons ago. He will still be a 1st round pick because the author of this piece doesn’t list his strengths. Some scouting nerd could easily put together a top 10 reasons why Maybin will be a value pick in the first round.
If I, or any other intelligent person, is going to list their biggest busts, then you pick one of the 1st round QBs every time. The QB position is simply the hardest to gage.
by TrentEdwardsHoF2018 on Mar 24, 2009 8:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why isn't the "rec" system used more?
I come from BlazersEdge where it is used all the time to highlight good posts. It makes it very easy to read the essential stuff quickly.
by TrentEdwardsHoF2018 on Mar 24, 2009 10:40 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
That is one function that Brian would like us all to use more.
The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.
by sireric on Mar 26, 2009 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I couldnt agree more
maybin would be an absolutley horrible pick for OUR defense. I am still stuck on Micheal Johnson. But he is as big of a reach @ 11 as say, Pettigrew. As much as I want Johnson, I think we draft OL, in anticipation of the Peters situation gonig bad. I think Orakpo would make an awesome 4-3 OLB. He may not be too big on the idea, but its my opinion.
by BuffaloChip on Mar 25, 2009 3:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Finally.......
Another Michael Johnson fan. I am very very high on this guy as I posted a few weeks ago. I think Johnson will have a better NFL career than Maybin when all is said and done. This kid can also drop back into coverage and to have a 6’ 7" guy doing that really helps scramble the field vision of the qb in the area he has dropped into. I know Johnson wont go in round one…Although I truly feel he is a first round talent when some will think it would be a reach.
"If winning isn't everything, why do they keep score?"
~Vince Lombardi~
by Hambone on Mar 25, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree as well…. I loved Michael Johnson going into the 2008 season (same as Calais Campbell going into the 2007 season). Both had bad seasons but I can see both of them becoming top DE’s in the next few years.
by J.D on Mar 25, 2009 4:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Johnson is a much safer reach than maybin.
I would have no problem if we drafted him @ 11. I could definatley see us moving up and grabing him if he slips to RD2. Thing is, most GMs and scouts are rarely on the same page as draft gurus and bloggers. I bet he doesnt last out of the teens. I can dream, but reality is an SOB most of the time.
by BuffaloChip on Mar 25, 2009 5:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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