In respect to the amazing amount of discussions about Jason Peters, I have one question to ask. Have we extremely overestimated his trade value?
The consesus seams to run like this.
1) The Bills will try to work out a new deal with him over the next couple of weeks, or possibly until draft day.
2) At the point, they feel there is a stalemate they will try to cut bait and trade him.
3) The most likely target is the Eagles for a couple of reasons; one they do not have a pick early enough to convince them they can get a starting left tackle for this year, and two, they have multiple picks, so surrendering one (or more) would not decimate their ability to draft.
4) The Bills will trade Peters for at least a first round pick, maybe two, maybe a first rounder plus, etc.
I cannot think of a draft day (or near draft day trade) for a player that has yielded a 1st round pick. I can think of a couple quarterbacks (Rob Johnson) whom have been traded for first round picks, or 1st round picks traded for future 1st round picks (JP Losman), but that is all I can come up with.
A couple of recent draft day trades to review:
2007 - Randy Moss from the Raiders to the Patriots, Raiders recieved a 4th round pick (110th overall)
2007 - Darrell Jackson from 49ers to Seahawks, 49ers received a 4th round pick (124th overall)
2006 - Javon Walker from Packers to Broncos, Broncos received a 2nd round pick.
2005 - Phillip Buchanon from the Texans to Raiders, Raiders received a 2nd round pick.
These are some pretty decent players, some better (Moss/Walker), and some worse (Jackson/Buchanon) then Jason Peters in my mind. NONE of them received higher than one second round pick in return. Add to that, that Peters reportedly wants to be the highest paid tackle in the NFL, has last years history on his record, and has a limited market (Philly, plus?). Do you still think we are going to get a 1st rounder for Peters?
I am open to hear a rationale as to why the Eagles (or anyone for that matter) would be willing to part with more than a 2nd round pick for him. Let me hear it.