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Ten Bills to Decide 2009, No. 10: RB Marshawn Lynch

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More photos » by David Duprey - AP

One month from today, folks, the Buffalo Bills will open 2009 training camp at St. John Fisher College in Pittsford, NY.  One month.  Hang in there.  Until that glorious day, however, we'll continue to give you plenty to ponder - not just in relation to the fantastic historical content that the staff has been pumping out recently, but in terms of the Bills team we have yet to watch, the 2009 version.

This is the start of a series in which we will examine the ten most important Bills players heading into the season.  The idea is a simple one: single out ten players that will have the most impact in deciding whether or not Buffalo can end their nine-year playoff drought this season.  We'll end the exposition here and dive right into the list.  First up - RB Marshawn Lynch.

What happens post-suspension?
Lynch, as I'm sure y'all are well aware, has been suspended by the NFL for the first three games of the season due to his gun-related off-season arrest.  Marshawn appealed the suspension on May 14, but all indications are that league commissioner Roger Goodell is leaning toward upholding Lynch's suspension.  Expect Lynch to miss the first three games of the season; it'll be surprising if that number is reduced.

Despite the suspension - and despite Buffalo's excellent depth at running back, which includes fan favorite Fred Jackson and recently signed veteran Dominic Rhodes - Lynch remains one of Buffalo's most vital offensive cogs.

Star-divide

Don't let the presence of Jackson and the signing of Rhodes delude you; Lynch is still the workhorse in Buffalo.  He'll only play 13 games next season if he stays healthy, but he'll still approach 300 touches.  Why? He alone among Bills backs has the ability to break a game open based on skill alone.

Any player touching the ball roughly 300 times per season is clearly going to be important to your offense.  What increases Lynch's value to the team is his nose for the end zone; the third-year running back has scored 16 touchdowns in his first two seasons.  For perspective: no other non-quarterback on Buffalo's roster has more than 8 scores in that same time frame (WR Lee Evans).  Marshawn is our finisher.

Still, there is untapped potential with Lynch - and it is essential that the Bills find a way to tap into that unexplored talent, as Lynch is by far the most talented back on the roster, and is the lone home run threat among the group.  On an offense starved for playmakers, Lynch has stood alone in his first two seasons as the one player that can be relied upon on a week-to-week basis.  He's been our workhorse, but Buffalo needs to find a way to turn him into more than that.  He can be a game-breaker.  With enviable depth at the position, the Bills have a chance to put Lynch in better situations to make big plays - that's something they need to take advantage of.

It's tough not to put a player as consistent, reliable and talented as Lynch higher up on this list.  The truth of the matter is that while Lynch is tremendously important to the team's success, he's just a running back.  Teams win games with average running back play all the time.  Add in the aforementioned depth, and Lynch's value (and perhaps even his overall touches) decreases.  Lynch makes this list, however, because Buffalo's offense - like any good offense - needs a finisher.  A closer to get the ball in the paint.  That's Lynch's job, and if the shiny new offensive addition(s) pays off, Lynch should do a lot more finishing in 2009.

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He needs touches. When he returns, we have to give him his 20 or so touches. He’s our best runner and seems poised for a pretty big season. There’s also something about him that makes me believe he’s got so much more in him. I think he has yet to come close to his potential and that’s very intriguing.

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Jun 25, 2009 12:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Too bad Lynch can break away from suspension the way he breaks away from tacklers.

He’s definitely a workhorse but I don’t know if he’ll ever be a gamebreaker. The weird thing about Lynch is he doesn’t seem to be very fluid without the ball in his hands. Even then, he has more of a "herky-jerky "running style. Don’t get me wrong, it works for him, but he doesn’t strike me as the receiving threat he was tagged with coming out of college. He drops (easy)passes and rarely(never) gets open downfield. When people used to say we can line him up out wide to stretch defenses, it sounded like a viable option. Now, it sounds more like a joke.

The bottom line is that, in the NFL, Lynch is a hardnosed runner with an uncanny ability to pick up yards after contact. He can pick up a blitz well and he has average receiving skills for a running back. He’ll be a borderline Pro Bowler for many years and the Bills are fortunate to have him on their team.

Is he a home run threat? Certainly not in the way Chris Johnson or Adrian Peterson are. He’s not an explosive “ankle breaker” like the real home run guys are. When Lynch makes a guy miss badly, it’s usually at the cost of his own momentum, and it allows the other defenders to track him down. Lynch also doesn’t seem to have the greatest vision while running in the second level of a defense. His cuts aren’t decisive enough and he tends to rely on his ability to drag corners and safeties around like they’re accessories on his uniform.

Anyway, this should(hopefully) be his breakout year. Of course, alot of that has to do with how well the line plays. Thurman Thomas averaged like 4.2.ypc his first two years in the league and then cranked it up 4.9 for the next three years, easily three of his most productive seasons. Then again, we had one of the best offesnsive lines, and offenses in general, in the league at the time. It’s too bad Marshawn won’t be averaging any ypc the first three games of this season.

It's just a game.

by jj24 on Jun 25, 2009 12:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

oops

can’t break away

It's just a game.

by jj24 on Jun 25, 2009 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree...

The way he was scouted, I felt the Bills had just drated someone with the potential of a Marshall Faulk.

"It's not delivery, it's DiGiorgio!"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Jun 25, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

HA!

I think Marshawn is the one person who might actually make a worse commentator than Faulk.

by thejimbo on Jun 25, 2009 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Steve McNair or Vince Young come to mind.

"It's not delivery, it's DiGiorgio!"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Jun 26, 2009 7:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You beat me to it.

"I know I'm a true receiver..." Roscoe Parrish, Buffalo Bills - May 2009
"In my heart, I know I'm funny." Lt Steven Hauk, Good Morning Vietnam - 1987

by thefourwinds on Jun 26, 2009 8:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With proper blocking

Lynch and co. will really be able to show their stuff. It appeared to me that most of the shuffling on the o-line could be deemed “Operation Second Level”. The objective is to get Marshawn and the boys holes big enough to get through to the secondary on a consistent basis. Our o-lines this decade were average or better at pass blocking, but wildly inconsistent and somewhat passive at run blocking. I believe the net result of our o-line shifting will be about the same in the pass-blocking (except at center position, where we should have a much better pocket than last year) and much more consistent and effective in run-blocking, possibly with some “meanness”.

Better, more aggressive run-blocking will get us more home runs, and maybe even a couple runs where all the defenders are blocked out of the play. We haven’t seen that in years, except from the special teams.

Certainly not in the way Chris Johnson or Adrian Peterson are.
he tends to rely on his ability to drag corners and safeties around like they’re accessories on his uniform.

That is an ability that Lynch possesses that Peterson and Johnson do not. Anyways all of the dragging guys around is a byproduct of poor blocking both at the line of scrimmage and downfield. With some hustle from the linemen, we should see a marked improvement in Lynch.

by syrbillsfan on Jun 25, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Peterson doesn’t need to drag guys around because he runs them over. Johnson’s just too fast for most guys to cover him up.

"It's not delivery, it's DiGiorgio!"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Jun 25, 2009 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe the net result of our o-line shifting will be about the same in the pass-blocking (except at center position, where we should have a much better pocket than last year) and much more consistent and effective in run-blocking, possibly with some "meanness".

I’d like to remind everydody that we haven’t seen anything from our o-line, yet. Almost everyone(myself included) assumes that the is going to be better this year. Let’s not anoint them anything before they’re all standing on the same field with pads on.

It’s also a tough reality that we are very inexperienced up front. Walker is moving to LT. Butler is moving to RT. The rest of our OL had a combined 15 starts in the NFL last season.(Hangartner-8, Chambers-4, McKinney-3). We’re really rolling the dice on the OL being improved. It was probably a gamble worth taking. Like Brian says, “we can’t get much worse”, but we also may not be a whole lot better this year. i sure hope we are.

It's just a game.

by jj24 on Jun 25, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Worse – what happens when one of those starters gets injured? I don’t want to think what happens if Walker get hurt. I believe he’s the single most important piece to many players’ successes this coming year.

"It's not delivery, it's DiGiorgio!"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Jun 26, 2009 7:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's a good reference to Thurman

Looking at a contemporary running back, Ronnie Brown. In the two years prior to 2007 he was averaging 4.3 ypc and then in 2007 it was at 5.1 before the injury. I left a comment on the AFC East RB rankings, that (in a long rambling way) which looks at Lynch’s performance in his first two years compared to other major running backs in our division in their first 2 years. It’s my belief that Marshawn, based on what he has shown us so far plus the potential from a year 3 jump like Thurman and Ronnie Brown, could be the best running back in the AFC East.

by MichiganBillsFan84 on Jun 26, 2009 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Beast of the AFC East

Get the Bills back to the big game!

by Blitz on Jun 29, 2009 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I want to see him and freddy lined up at the same time alot

put freddy in as the FB and just switch up who gets it

also have them both lined up on either side of the QB in certain situations

"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone"
-Marshawn Lynch-

by billsoferie on Jun 25, 2009 1:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I long for the Pro Form of the Thomas and Davis days. I really think we’ll see more and more of that this year.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Jun 25, 2009 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, presonally, with 3 very good RBs on the roster now, I want us to run the wishbone

That would be a lot of fun to see, but not very effective sadly at the Pro level…

(443): My mom came into my room and told me to flip off the tv. I gave it the middle finger. Note to self: STOP SMOKING THIS S#!T

-textsfromlastnight.com

by WABillsfan on Jun 25, 2009 2:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe if we have Owens on the SE, Fine next to the RT, and run a HB counter with Rhodes to the weak side. There’s also silly PA options too.

I’d like to see it tried once this season but I doubt it will be used… it would be the Bills “wildcat style” this season.

Delightfully Ignoring The Truth since 1995.

by NeverendingOptimism on Jun 25, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ha, maybe if the Bills still had Losman. No way they’d ever run anything like that with Edwards at QB.

"I know I'm a true receiver..." Roscoe Parrish, Buffalo Bills - May 2009
"In my heart, I know I'm funny." Lt Steven Hauk, Good Morning Vietnam - 1987

by thefourwinds on Jun 25, 2009 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think they called Tecmo Bowl plays when Losman was lined up behind center.

"It's not delivery, it's DiGiorgio!"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Jun 26, 2009 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Except he was no Bo Jackson

And the run off the screen to the left and show up on the other side doesn’t work here either….

(443): My mom came into my room and told me to flip off the tv. I gave it the middle finger. Note to self: STOP SMOKING THIS S#!T

-textsfromlastnight.com

by WABillsfan on Jun 27, 2009 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah Lynch needs the ball in his hands 25 times a game MIN..........

if not more……..

I dont care who else loses touches because of it….this kid needs to be fed early and often……

Godspeed Nick - RIP - 1986-2009

by norcaliangelsfan on Jun 26, 2009 2:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

this kid needs to be fed early and often……

weed does make you hungry.

The Prayer of Pass Rush - Hail Maybin, blessed with a quick first step, Bruce is with thee; most reverenced art thou among DEs in the AFC, and blessed be the fruit of thy pass rush. Holy Lord, Father of the swim move, we pray for our QB hurries to be numerous and our sacks to be plentiful. Be with us in Victory and at the hour of our Defeat. Amen.

by Joe P. on Jun 26, 2009 2:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff Joe...LMAO

Brian, I like the fact of how often you tend to emphasize that Lynch is CLEARLY our #1 RB, bar none, and is our true finisher on offense. I think alot of Bills fans have too much faith in Fred Jackson (and I love the guy). I really wish that DJ & Co. would get over the idea that they need to “save” Marshawn and only get him the ball 20-22 x’s a game. Get this man the rock early& often. Feed ’em DJ, feed him more!

Sadly, as we are all well aware of soooo much relies on the fatties upfront this…I can’t even begin to drean of what Lynch could be w/ better blocking upfront.

Aaron Maybe?

by MonStarr_716 on Jun 26, 2009 3:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The issue here is that DJ is playing ML like DJ will be here for the next 4 years

If we don’t get to the playoffs, DJ won’t be here for another 4 years, I think this year we see ML get the rock 20+ times a game on the ground, EASY.

(443): My mom came into my room and told me to flip off the tv. I gave it the middle finger. Note to self: STOP SMOKING THIS S#!T

-textsfromlastnight.com

by WABillsfan on Jun 27, 2009 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Marshawn's absense

is going to hurt like H-E-double hockey sticks when we play NE the first game of the season…

Keep your nose clean off the field, we need you, Beast Mode!

Get the Bills back to the big game!

by Blitz on Jun 26, 2009 11:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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