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my thoughts and a little film study

The first thing that needs to be discussed is how terrible Langston Walker was.  He was awful.  I think both of Trent's sacks were on him and for every pass play that he didn't screw up, there was one he did.  He gave up a little early on a handful of plays, got beat by speed rushers, inside moves, bull rushes, a stunt and anything the D decided to throw his way.  I don't think I can describe how bad he was without actually putting the tape up and making people rewatch each play.  I'm hoping Ron will do a play by play OL review like he usually does.  I actually thought the OL as a whole was pretty solid, but Walker was just dreadful.

So I did a little film study on the Bills' pass rush hoping I could track QB pressures.  I won't be able to tally them up over the course of a season and I'm not ambitious enough to attempt to grade players, but I'll do a little play by play of Cutler's pass attempts.  He threw the ball 10 times.

Pass one - No real pressure, but the front four as a group gave Cutler a small pocket to work with and Cutler settled for a short completion to Hester.  McGee was covering.

Pass two - Both DEs got great pressure ..... but it was a screen pass.

Pass three - At first I thought this was a blown assignment.  Schobel lined up way outside the TE, blew by the OL unblocked and an RB went low on him.  Cutler had to get a throw out and it was the short 3rd down attempt to Hester where Hester never really made a play on the ball and McKelvin broke it up.

Pass four - Zero pressure.  Completion to Hester, McKelvin was covering, but there wasn't much he could do.

pass five - Kelsay lines up outside the TE, isn't blocked by an offensive lineman, an RB goes low and Cutler gets the ball out quick.  This was the play where Cutler overthrew a perfectly covered Hester down the sideline.  McGee covered and Whitner would have been there in time too had the ball not been (intentionally?) overthrown.

pass six - No pressure, but the DL shrunk the pocket in every direction and Cutler forced that ugly throw to Hester which lead to the gorgeous INT by McKelvin.

pass seven - Poor pass rush, Corner drops the INT.

pass eight - Good bull rush by Schobel as the DL doesn't pose a real threat to sack the QB, but doesn't give Cutler any space to work with.  Cutler had a great completion to Desmond Clark after Harris passed him off in zone coverage to a nowhere to be found Ko Simpson.

pass nine - George Wilson essentially lines up as a defensive lineman over the TE.  Chris Ellis is lined up way outside the TE and again, nobody on the OL blocks the player coming from that spot.  Buggs blitzes up the middle and is easily picked up.  Chicago was in a two back set and both went low on Ellis whose presence still provided enough pressure to force a quick out to Earl Bennet.

pass ten - Buffalo was going to blitz heavily, but Chicago called a last second timeout.  Somebody from the right defensive end position (looked like number 95, but didn't look like Kyle Williams, I'm guessing C. Bryan) came in unblocked as an RB predictably went low, but Bryan/mystery defender still provided enough pressure for Cutler to force a throw to the back of the end zone.  This was the play where Harris got a hand on it, Florence was in place to maybe break up the pass and Ko Simpson laughibly came in two or three seconds after the ball would have arrived and tackled his own teammate.

Overall, Buffalo provided very little pass rush when Chicago chose to block them with their offensive line.  I thought Schobel looked quick and healthy, but wasn't much of a factor.  It was interesting watching Buffalo line up a DE outside of the TE and Chicago consistently give that rusher a free pass by the OT.

Other thoughts:

Buffalo only blitzed once and would have blitzed twice if it weren't for the time out.  I think Buffalo blitzed too often and too predictably last year.  Kawika Mitchell (who now has an awesome mustache by the way) is a player that needs to be used as a blitzer.  It's probably his best asset as a player (aside from the fact that he could play a Mexican drug dealer in a movie now).  But Buffalo rushed five far too often last year.  I'd like to see them blitz 20% of the time (down from 32%) or less this year, but rush 6 or 7 way more often than they have under DJ.

That Edwards strike to Evans down the sideline was a thing of beauty.  Rookie safety Al Afalava was starting at SS and was creeping up into the box.  Trent read that Kevin Payne was going to back in a cover 1 playcall, stared down Derek Schouman forcing Payne to leave Evans one on one with Nathan Vasher.  Vasher's a good CB, but that isn't a battle many CBs are going to win.  It was easily the most encouraging play of the night.  Great decision, poise and throw by Edwards.

Trent only made two throws that weren't great passes.  He had a short throw to Fine that was low and while he caught it, Fine didn't have a chance to do anything afterwards.  There was also one play where Urlacher (who I thought had a great game) showed blitz and backed into coverage.  It was the slant to Evans and Urlacher read Trent, broke on the route and came pretty close to getting a hand on the ball or even picking it off.  It was a no harm, no foul play and it wasn't a bad decision to throw by Trent, altough it was a bit of a close call.  When those are the only not great plays your QB made, then he had a great, great night.  Trent was forced to check down a lot, but I didn't think any were due to him hesitating or something like that.  Walker and the Bears pass rushers forced the ball out of Trent's hands a few times.

That bootleg was an awesome playcall.  Any chance we go from being really worried about Schonert a year ago, to a great no huddle offense, good playcalling and an offensive coordinator that we start viewing as a prefect hire by DJ?  Maybe it's time we gave the coaching a break, or at least we gave the coordinators a break.

Some quick hitters:

Spencer Johnson had nice night.

Ko Simpson didn't have a nice night and is firmly on the bubble.  After tonight, he may be on the outside looking in, I thought George Wilson was a better defender and if that's the case then Simpson is a goner.

I thought those 2nd team LBs looked really quick.  They read and reacted to run plays very quickly, especially Buggs.  They make our starting LBs look really, really slow.  Ellison is probably still our third best LB, but we can't get him off the field quick enough.

Fred Jackson doesn't have much of a burst.  I can see why he wasn't drafted and took a couple training camps to catch on.  It's incredible how elusive and strong of a runner he is despite such average athletic tools.  It makes me like him even more.

Dominic Rhodes is a reliable, versatile player.  He's also not better than Lynch or Jackson at pretty much anything.  With McIntyre not being a complete disaster tonight, will Rhodes be active once Lynch comes back?

Buffalo had 6 different RBs with 5+ carries.  None of them had a run longer than McIntyre's 7 yard adventure and none of them averaged more than Lynch's 3.2 yards per attempt.  It's time to officially put the run game on the list of things to be concerned about.

One positive thing about the run game is that after being shut down by a Haynesworth-less Titans D last week, Tampa Bay got shut down by that D too.  Derrick Ward and Earnest Graham combined for 10 yards on 8 carries.  So maybe Buffalo's run struggles are just the result of great run defenses.  Chicago gave up the third fewest ypc in the league last year at 3.4. ypc.

On the flip side, what I thought was a poor TB run defense had a better performance than we did against Johnson and White.  Chris Johnson had just 7 yards on 7 carries and White had 6 yards on 3 carries.  I've now got my eye on those two for the rest of the preseason for fantasy purposes.

This FanPost was written by a registered user of Buffalo Rumblings. Its views do not necessarily reflect the views of Rumblings' editorial staff, but are just as valued as our own.

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Well, I got a lot of the same impressions that you did after re-watching the game. Langston Walker really had an abysmal outing and it just seemed like he got out of bed by the wrong foot, because he was the evident weakness of the O-line last year, at least the way I saw it. However, I will say that I’m not too worried about Lang, as he’s a gritty veteran, who works at it and who’ll learn from this just like the rest of our line.

One of the many positives I took from last nights mistake-prone game was our QB’s and how they – with the exception of Gibran’s interception pass that was way too high for the WR to catch – really prevailed against a very good defense. Trent obviously had a very strong game and seemed sharp. The only real mistake he made was on the two sacks, where he should have gotten rid of the football, but again it’s so easy to point fingers at the QB, when the LT is getting utterly torched.
Shawn Nelson’s highly-athletic touchdown grab in the endzone was another positive story to add in terms of last night’s game, as he showcased his undeniable athleticism. If he continues to learn, particularly about blocking more effectively, he could be a bigger factor this year than people generally assume.

The defense created turnovers, and turnovers define the outcome of the majority of NFL-games as we all know, which is why you’ve to be encouraged by how our young guys on defense (Leo, Reggie, Ellis and Lydell) are getting their hands on balls quite frequently. I know it’s preseason, and that you therefore as starting-point shouldn’t pay too much attention to what happens, but I’m still intrigued by how we have made six picks in the first two preseason games.
Nic Harris had another very good game and the more I watch him, the more I grow to like him as a draftpick (just consider how he was an unspectacular fifth rounder). When the season ends, I’m more than willing to bet that he’s our starting OLB over Keith Ellison.

by BillsfanfromDenmark on Aug 16, 2009 5:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

There were definite issues with the line. On the 7 running plays broadcast the starting linemen had a combined 9 screw ups. Walker had 1 (run 7), Levitre 2 (6 and 14), Hang 2 (8 and 12), Wood had 4 (6, 7, 13, 14) and Butler had none….which was nice to see, though Butler was also the only guy not to have a good run play as well.

I have walker down for a pair of bad pass plays (4 and 12). I don’t blame Walker for that first sack, but Edwards. Walkers assignment was clearly 96. Responsibility for a corner blitz falls to Edwards. He just didn’t recognize it, though Schouman set himself up as Edwards’ hot read the second he saw the CB slant in towards the QB. Walker was responsible for the second sack. He also could have been called for a hold, which is pretty sad—how do you let a guy you’re holding get to the QB? He killed that play and gave up the sack.

Walker wasn’t terrible on every play.
Pass 3 he did an okay job on 96
Pass 4 he pushed 96 into the pile—the sack is on Edwards
Pass 5 wasn’t pretty as he didn’t shift from 96 to 95
Pass 6 he helped Levitre with 71 instead of just standing there when 96 dropped into coverage
Pass 7 he stopped 96
Pass 8 he actually beat 96 to the corner
Pass 9 97 got around the edge but Walker sent him too wide to disrupt the play
Pass 10 he shut down 97
Pass 11 he beat 97 to the corner
Pass 12 he allowed the sack and looked like he was holding as well

Of course we could make things more challenging, Lisa, but then the stupider students would be in here complaining, furrowing their brows in a vain attempt to understand the situation--Seymour Skinner

by Ron From NM on Aug 16, 2009 10:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

think they can get this thing together as far as a solid group? Not spectacular – but solid enough to not be a major weakness?

What are your thoughts of the interior? Chance to be much better than last years?

I am so clever that sometimes I don’t understand a single word of what I am saying

by J2 on Aug 16, 2009 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Edwards won’t survive if the line doesn’t do a better job…and if Edwards goes down so does any chance of Buffalo doing well this year. The interior should be better. Levitre had a better outing and Hang, while he wasn’t great, wasn’t a complete liability either.

Of course we could make things more challenging, Lisa, but then the stupider students would be in here complaining, furrowing their brows in a vain attempt to understand the situation--Seymour Skinner

by Ron From NM on Aug 16, 2009 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is Walker unhappy?

All of this jibes with my impression that Edwards was under more pressure than he should have been last night. He compensated for it with a lot of quick passes off three step drops (in a few cases two steps), but defenses can adjust for that if it is the only option he has.

As for Walker, I wonder where he is mentally. Moving to LT would seem to be a promotion, but he knows that Bell is going to replace him there before too long. His “natural” spot is RT, but now Butler seems slated to take over there. If you were Walker, wouldn’t you be worried that the Bills were setting you up for an early release that will screw up your career? And that shouldn’t happen — with his size and power he is a much better RT than Butler will ever be.

All of this makes me wonder about Sean Kugler’s capacity for personnel management (which is especially vital for an o-line coach).

by Macktruck on Aug 16, 2009 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which makes an interview with Kugler such an intriguing possibility.

And I’d love to see somebody at ESPN, Monday Night Football, or even Thurman Thomas take on this challenge. Sure, interviewing an offensive line coach isn’t going to make your overnight Neilson ratings jump, but there is a heck of a lot on Kugler’s plate. And as Ron so accurately points out, if the line (read Kugler’s proteges) doesn’t do a better job, Trent won’t survive. And if Edwards goes down, so do the Bills’ chance of doing well this year.

What is this guy all about? How much influence did he wield in reformulating the entire O-line in the off-season? How does he think about each of the starters? Does he envision Bell replacing Walker, or is Walker his guy? I could spend an hour in a room with Kugler and not exhaust all the unanswered questions out there that clearly land in his lap.

One thing’s for sure – if this experiment actually starts to work, he is on somebody’s short list for Coordinator in the years to come. If it fails, he’ll be writing from a new mailing address next year, along with about a dozen other Bills coaches.

by Defensewinsgames on Aug 16, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That would make an interesting interview, although I’m not sure that Kugler would be any more forthcoming than Jauron is about giving complete answers. The striking thing about Kugler is how little coaching experience he actually has. Check his bio on the Bills website and you will see that he spent a year as o-line coach at Boise State, one year as an assistant coach under McNally (not that much time to learn from McNally) and then last year was the main o-line coach of the Bills (not exactly a great year for the o-line). And yet, as you say, he seems to be making the key decisions that will determine the team’s fate for the all-important 2009 season. Perhaps Jauron has insisted on being part of the process, but his normal habit is to let his staff handle things themselves.

Incidentally, my comment is based on a piece Mark Gaughn had in the Buffalo News a few weeks ago reporting that Walker seemed resigned to the shift to LT but was not excited about it. Walker was quoted as saying in effect “I’ll do it if those are my orders.”

You are right that Kugler may yet prove he is a coaching genius, or he may be the Bills’ ruin this year and for several years to come. As I like to say, “In 2009, it’s all on the line.”

by Macktruck on Aug 16, 2009 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A little competition is a good thing...

The old saying is that QB’s and OL can be made; everyone else was born for their position. It wasn’t too long ago that QB’s spent their first few years carrying clipboards. Same with the OL. Unless the team was terrible, young and talented OL developed their technique for a year or two behind the starters. Think Glenn Parker, John Fina, etc. It won’t hurt Bell to continue to develop.

If Walker is worrying more about Bell replacing him than his blocking assignment, then he isn’t fit to start. That said, I’m sure it’s not the case.

Kugler did learn from McNally, so he ought to be decent.

by Der Jaeger on Aug 16, 2009 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My point was not that Walker may be worried specifically about Bell replacing him, but rather he may be upset that he was moved out of his RT job where he was doing so well. If that is indeed what he is thinking, he probably assumes it was done to cut him in another year and save his $5 million annual salary. If he is focusing on that rather than his blocking assignment I’m not sure I for one would blame him.

by Macktruck on Aug 16, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's true that Walker was less than enthusistic when interviewed by CB earlier.

During OTA’s, it was basically, ``If this is what the team wants me to do, I guess I’ll do it.‘’ In his defense, he’s taking on a huge challenge, facing the best pass rushers in the league every Sunday at an unfamiliar position. The thing is, we need Walker (or if not him, then his replacement), to be an absolute rock over there. If he doesn’t have Trent’s back, we’re certainly looking at another possible concussion, with several weeks out of the lineup.

Kugler’s NFL experience does go back a bit farther. He coached under Jauron with the Lions. And he did help the Boise State Broncos to a national championship with over 200 yards rushing per game. That has to count for something.

I think we need to start a letter-writing campaign for someone to interview Kugler. Don’t let him off with vague Jauronesque (sic) -isms where he doesn’t answer the question. Where does he see this line going?

by Defensewinsgames on Aug 17, 2009 8:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again, my hunch is that Walker may be less unhappy about being put at LT than he is about Butler going to RT. If the arrangement was for him to help the team out at LT for a year I’m sure he would do it with a good attitude — he’s that kind of guy — but if he will not be able to go back afterward to RT because he is being replaced there by someone who is not better than he is but rather less expensive that could upset him (it would upset me). After all, he has really lived up to his contract with the Bills and given them an exceptional performance at RT, in addition to being willing to help them out at LT when they needed it. And what does he get for that? A year at a position where he is unsuited in terms of his skills and then perhaps a sudden goodbye. Bills fans may say that he simply has to suck it up and do his best, but there’s a human side to this game as well. These guys are not automatons.

On Kugler, he did spend five years with the Lions but at very low-level coaching positions. He was below the grade of assistant o-line coach, for instance, and spent most of his time with the TE’s, I believe. And yes his line did well at Boise State, but when he arrived there (he was only there one year) he found Ryan Clady and one other future NFL starter heading into their senior year. By all accounts he did a good job, but he was inheriting a great situation and in any event college is not the NFL. It does seem to me that he has very thin credentials. That doesn’t necessarily mean that he is making bad decisions now, but given the way the coaching staff has functioned under Jauron there is reason to wonder.

by Macktruck on Aug 17, 2009 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kugler is a gamble. This line is an even bigger one. But that's what makes this season exciting.

Huge changes since last year. Two rookies. One journeyman turned starter. Two vets changing positions. A completely different offense. It doesn’t get more jumbled than this. But maybe shaking up the line is exactly what was called for. And maybe a relatively inexperienced coach (he does have several years in the league) is the guy to make it happen. He knows this is his shot; screw it up and he could well be out of the league, no less out of a job in WNY.

Just for a minute imagine if this line starts playing with some confidence and really starts to work together.

It’s one of the reasons I’m excited about this season.

by Defensewinsgames on Aug 17, 2009 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You’re right — it’s a huge roll of the dice for both Kugler and the Bills. I sometimes think most Bills fans don’t appreciate how big a gamble the o-line shake-up is and as a result are missing the biggest drama of the season. Those who say they are confident that everything will work out are missing something very intriguing. The fact is that the evidence that will lead to the final answer is still slowly becoming available. We are probably two months away from knowing the answer for sure. Kugler’s plan doesn’t make rational sense to me, but I’ll be the first to cheer if he turns out to be right.

by Macktruck on Aug 18, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You wouldn't blame him for not focusing on his blocking assignment?

I would. The guy gets paid to block. The end.

We’d all get fired if we failed in our responsibilities because we were thinking about internal organization moves. And his salary far out paces our own.

by Der Jaeger on Aug 18, 2009 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He does?
he knows that Bell is going to replace him there before too long.

This whole “Bell is on the fast track to replacing him” is very premature.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.

by MattRichWarren on Aug 17, 2009 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Based on what we have seen of him this preseason, I would say that there is a high probability that Bell will be the starting LT next year.

by Macktruck on Aug 17, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What we have seen is him start at RT in place of Butler. We have seen him at LT with the second team. We have seen nothing from Bell that should lead you to think he will be starting next year. You can hope, sure. But there is nothing on the field that has shown me in practice or in the games that he is the answer at LT – at least not yet.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Fear can hold you prisoner. Hope can set you free.

by MattRichWarren on Aug 18, 2009 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He really needs experience

I mean the kid only has how many years experience playing football? If Walker/Butler perform adequetly then I don’t mind holding off on Bell for another year

by Ghetts on Aug 18, 2009 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry I never got a chance to respond to the responses here. After re-watching the game today, I think we disagree on Walker largely over the results. He didn’t have many plays that lead to anything bad, but it’s just that he didn’t look good. Like K said, “it didn’t look easy for him at all”. I thought he really struggled.

And the other thing was that I was watching the Bills’ DEs and comparing our guys to Alex Brown is going to make who is standing across from Brown look pretty bad.

by kaisertown on Aug 21, 2009 1:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You have heard this before.

The Pittsburg preseason game should be a good measuring stick for us. Preseason or not, they are the defending champs, the game falls during the time when defenses start stunting on a normal basis. Rosters start to thin out and the pencil needs to be alot sharper. Trent is our man, there is no question about it. I think we are not giving R. Fitz enough credit though. It is still early, but if anyone has shown huge progress since the start of camp he has to rank up there with them.

by VanScottM on Aug 16, 2009 11:46 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

wow

i didnt think walker was “terrible” and from rons comments, neither did he. yea hes no pro bowler, but he held his own. he gave up one sack, thats about how much peters used to give up a game. the o line is doing better everyday, and lynch ran for 3.2 yds a carry. after lynch the starting o was out. 3.2 aint pretty but it isnt abysmal either. lynch is a second half runner anyways. i dont think there is THAT much to going wrong that we have to call it terrible!

Bills make me wanna SHOUT!

by silverstreak3k on Aug 16, 2009 4:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

kaiser, just got around to reading all of this. Excellent work. I rec’d it when it was posted just for the effort you put in; if I could rec it again, I would.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"Our style is simple but not that easy. Roll up your sleeves and play good, solid football." -- Marv Levy

by Brian Galliford on Aug 17, 2009 3:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gottcha covered

Rec it again, cause when Brian’s right he’s right, great job.

Well we tried the no offense huddle, why not give the no huddle offense a go?!!

by mavadjdj on Aug 17, 2009 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks guys.

The one thing we disagreed on was McKelvin’s INT and whether the pass rush was a factor. I rewatched it and I think Cutler would have made that throw either way. He stared down Hester, saw the single coverage (Whitner was supposed to help, but didn’t get there in time) and let it fly. I was going more for a recording hurries where the DL plays a factor, but I definitely should have noted that if Cutler sees McKelvin has Hester covered and tries to look elsewhere, then Denney sacks him. It was a solid rush by Denney, I just didn’t feel that he hurried the throw.

by kaisertown on Aug 21, 2009 1:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really agree with that assessment of Walker. I’m watching it on DVR right now for the first time, and he looked terrible. He looked slow, unathletic and totally winded. He held a couple of times that weren’t called and just looked like he was struggling to keep Trent from getting killed. It didn’t look easy for him at all, and that’s a major concern. This is exactly what I feared when he was moved there. I still don’t think he can handle the position for the entire season and have the success we need. From what I’ve seen in the first two preseason games, I’m even more concerned. I think he’s going to get totally abused when he starts facing some of the top pass rushers.

The run blocking was also extremely poor. Some of the lack of success can be attributed to simple runs up the gut, but the line is getting absolutely no push. That is another major concern and there is still a ton of work to be done to get them to a point where they are even average in run blocking. There’s still time, but we can’t have blocking like that come week 1.

I was encouraged by the rush that Ellis and Bryan provided, but I have to agree that the first team D didn’t really generate much of a rush. The pocket was smaller, but the edge rushers really didn’t do much…surprise surprise. Bryan looks a lot better, and a lot quicker off the edge than he was before. He might actually have a chance to win a job after all. Unfortunately for him and/or Ellis, Maybin’s going to take up a roster spot even though it’s unlikely he’ll be ready to contribute any time soon.

Drayton Florence is really good at bumping WR’s at the LOS. I really like his physical play. It really stinks that he is hurt now.

Finally, it was nice to see the O looking pretty efficient and crisp, but it was still the dink and dunk, settle for a FG garbage that we’ve been seeing for years. That just isn’t going to cut it. I don’t care how sharp the O looks (well I do, obviously) if they can’t get it into the endzone. Hopefully, TO is back soon because I’d like to see the O really get a chance to show if they can get it done this year. It’s a good start, but that performance still had much of last year’s stink lingering in the area….

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Aug 19, 2009 12:47 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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