Worries and Non-Worries
With two moves, the Bills have confused the hell out of their fanbase. For months, every indication was that the team wanted to win now. They have a coach who clearly must win this year or he's fired. They signed Terrell Owens. They drafted guys who they thought could play right away.
For a while, it certainly felt like they were doing everything they could to let Trent Edwards take this team to the playoffs this year.
Then, within the last week, we got some serious mixed signals. They fired the architect of their new, exciting No-pointsHuddle offense just days before the first game of the season. Then a few days later, they cut their only real veteran on the offensive line, a guy many felt was the best performer on the unit a year before. In his stead they stuck a 7th-rounder from a year ago. Demetrius Bell has not only never taken an NFL snap, the last meaningful game he played was in the Southland Conference. And we haven't even addressed the fact that he never played high school football.
This has been taken by many to be discouraging, a proverbial white flag. I've come up with a few reasons (after the jump), why these are good signs for the year ahead.
1. Could the Offensive Line be worse?
This team won 7 games last year. I don't think there was a single moment during the season where any of us thought, "Gosh, we have a heck of an offensive line." I mean, come on, these guys stunk! Can we honestly say we think the line will be worse this year?
RT. Obviously the Bills believe that Brad Butler is the superior RT, or else they would not have released Langston Walker.
G. I bet Wood will be as good as Butler was last year, but he'll improve as the year goes on, and again, if they thought it would've been better, they'd have moved Butler to RG and Walker to RT and benched Wood or Levitre. But they didn't, and because DJ is coaching for his life, I think we can safely assume that he did what he gave him the best possible offensive line this year, not in the future.
C. I think Hang will be better than Preston or Fowler, because you couldn't be worse than Preston or Fowler.
G. Dock got cut. He was horrible. Levitre has struggled but played much better of late, and it'd be tough for him to be less effective than Dock.
LT. Bell is worse than Jason Peters. I feel pretty confident about this. But let's not forget that we didn't have athletic bulldozer probowl Jason Peters on this team last year. We had out of shape sleep walking Jason Peters. I think Bell can be as good as that Jason Peters at some point this season.
Even if Bell does not get to the point Peters was at last year, can we really say the offensive line will be worse? Yes the release of Walker was weird, but Jauron is the one at practice everyday, and if he thinks that Bell is a better player right now, then he probably is. Let's not forget, Jauron can't afford to wave the white flag. He's trying to win now, and believes Bell gives him a better chance to do this. He has no ulterior motive. Maybe he's wrong, but if he is, then releasing Langston Walker is the least of our worries.
2. Could the Offensive Playcalling be worse?
Does anyone else remember the game where the Bills didn't call a single play-action pass? Does anyone remember that they were the only team in the entire league to do that, even just once, the entire season? I also vaguely remember someone pulling out the stat that the bills threw the ball virtually every time out of the gun, and ran it virtually every time Trent was under center? This is before we get to the fact that they still haven't figured out a way to use a guy with Roscoe Parrish's skills effectively even once a game on offense. The reality, in my opinion, was that Schonert was as unimaginative a playcaller as I've ever seen. I've heard him described as the architect of the offense. If we take that metaphor one of more level, if Schonert is the architect, then this is the offense he built.
Is Alex Van Pelt inexperienced? Obviously, he doesn't even have a preseason game's worth of experience. But does that mean he'll be worse than Turk Schonert at calling plays? I highly doubt it.
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So while the timing of the two moves has not been ideal, the question is, do they really make the Bills worse than they were last year? I don't think they do.
I think the reality is that these moves are bursting bubbles. It's not that we're upset about them releasing Langston Walker, we're upset because it turns out that Langston Walker is not a competent Left Tackle. We're not upset that they fired Schonert, we're upset to find out that Turk Schonert was probably really bad at his job.
That being said, I do still think it's conceivable that this team can be good. We released a guy who wasn't good enough to start on the offensive line, and gave the playcalling duties to another coach. These things happen. They don't matter all that much. Neither affects the longterm of the team negatively (Was Langston Walker really going to be on the next Bills playoff team?), and neither one makes us appreciably worse than we were last year.
Just some thoughts.
Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.
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Excellent commentary!
I appreciate this well-conceived commentary, and fully agree with what you said. From my point of view, the sooner we get on with the future, the better! Since the coaches believed Bell was destined to have the LT position, why not get him that game experience now? As for Schonert, he was horrible as a player and as the offensive coordinator. I was surprised he made it through the winter still employed by the team. Alex Van Pelt has football smarts and was capable in running the no-huddle as Jim Kelly’s backup. He has some excellent offensive skill players to use in and I think he will find the way to use them much more effectively than did Schonert. One more thing- I truly hope that Dick Jauron is able to turn this team into a playoff team. Everything I have read about him as a man, and it is all good, makes me wish for his success in leading the Bills.
One has to wonder...
how will a very green OL handle the no-huddle? Has it even been implemented without guys that have played years together at the position?
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by TheAfghanTwilight on Sep 10, 2009 9:40 AM EDT reply actions
No Worries Here
I have no Worries only because of this bills help them self this year having faster O-line man i know they will do good this year. Edwards is going to have a great year also you will all see when he goes 19-25 with 254 Yrds and 2 Tds.
Jackson and Lynch i really don’t have to say anything about them expect Power Runner. Evans and Owens Come on DO i Really. And the Defence they will do good this year i really dont see them loseing the Divison this year. Bills win 24-21
GO BUFFALO
LT
Let’s not be too quick to say that Bell will be worse than Peters. Thus far, Peters has stunk up the City of Brotherly Love, to the point of one paper saying the Eagles got fleeced when they threw millions at him.
We are better off without him.
The Dick Jauron version of the K-Gun...the Squirt Gun.
EXACTLY
This is exactly what i’ve been trying to convey the last week. These changes, though shocking, do not make this team any worse. Worse case scenario, Bell plays as bad as Walker, and AVP calls plays like Schonert. But that is just a lateral move. This is a low-risk, high-reward move on both parts. Bell can only get better, while Walker was only getting worse. And the same goes with Schonert. Well put
"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"
exactly….
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Sep 10, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions
Sounds more like the blindly faithful leading the blindly faithful
Worse case scenario, Bell plays as bad as Walker,
No….worse case scenario is Bell is worse. Remember, the same people who thought that is was a good idea to put Walker at LT now have Bell starting one full year (see Geronimo’s post) before the coaches thought he would be ready this preseason. Bell is completely unproven in real game action.
AVP calls plays like Schonert
Again No…..AVP could be the second coming of Fairchild. Remember when Turk was Turksizzle??? While I hope AVP is the 2nd coming of Ted Marchibroda, we simply don’t know how good or bad he will be.
Bell can only get better, while Walker was only getting worse.
Why can’t Bell get worse? Is it likely, no, but again with the blind faith??? Walker got worse because the Bills in their infinite wisdom decided to move Walker to LT, a position he had no business playing and many of us amateurs called it from day one. Walker knew it to, and if his attitude changed, then I pin that on the coaches too. How would you feel if you were put into a situation you knew you were not capable of handling by your boss?
And the same goes with Schonert
I am no fan of Turk, but he did not make the poor throws, give up on routes, etc. Was the confusion Turk caused part of the problem? Yes, but we can’t say Turk’s play calling was regressing. It was the vanilla preseason offense remember? Turk’s coaching of the no huddle might not have been what Jauron or most of us wanted, but if you were one of the people who said the preseason struggles of the offense didn’t matter, then you can’t burn Turk’s play calling for that now.
This is a low-risk, high-reward move
There is nothing low risk about these moves. Jauron just went “ALL IN” with a pair of bullets!
Teflon Jauron…..Nothing sticks to Dick
These are not low risk moves, I agree, except that we have a pretty clear sense from the preseason how good Bell is right now. I remember asking Ron after one of the games (I think it was vs. Green Bay but I’m not sure) who was the best o-lineman the Bills had on the field in the first period (the only part of the game he analyzed) and he said it was Bell (though Eric Wood was almost tied with him). In general, Bell acquited himself capably whenever he was put in. That’s why the coaches want him now as a starter. They were studying the tape and saw that he was handling the job as well or better than the other starters. Yes, it’s a risk handing him the job given the fact he has never played in a regular game, but there’s enough evidence available to lead one to believe he will at least be decent, and the possibility exists that he will be much better than that as the year progresses.
Don't get me wrong, I hope Bell is a stud from game one, but
what Bell saw in the preseason from teams is far from what he will seen in the regular season. No doubt he has the physical tools, but is he going to be able to handle the mental part of the game? Remember how new he is to football in general. Again, I hope he does well, but to be supremely confident that Bell is going to be better than Walker right off the bat is a stretch.
All this Walker should have been cut talk is crap….cutting Walker was a mistake. If Walker couldn’t handle the no huddle for more than a drive, then sub in Bell. How can a player who was not injured and was a solid RT less than 6 months ago go from being good enough to be moved to LT to being cut? Why was Walker not in shape? Isn’t that part of the coaches responsibilities. They knew they wanted to run the no huddle and what would be expected physically from their lineman. What was it Lombardi said…..bad plan?
Teflon Jauron…..Nothing sticks to Dick
First of all, your whole “they could be worse” argument sounds more like semantics then anything. Yes, of course they could be worse. Bell could be worse then Walker, AVP then Turk, and Brady could be worse then Edwards this season. Obviously that last one isn’t very likely – which is where the rest of us are coming from. Sure, these moves COULD make us worse – in all likelihood they won’t.
Secondly, how is it the coaches fault if they told Walker he’d be moved to LT and he responded by losing no weight all summer? I’m not saying it was a fair position to put him in but I think I’d have a very different perspective if he came to camp 20 or 30 pounds lighter and showed he was really trying his best. My take on the situation is that did not happen. If he wasn’t so highly paid they probably would have kept him as a backup, but why would you keep an unmotivated backup if he costs more then any of the starters? I really liked Walker and was sad to see him go but if your boss asks you to do something you should at least give it your best shot – it seemed more like Walker was just going through the motions (which is why it’s unlikely that Bell will be any worse then his oversized and unmotivated predecessor).
I’m not saying the coaches handled these situations (Walker and Turk) perfectly – but I think you’re in the drastic minority if you really believe they didn’t get the final outcome right. In the end both of these moves look to be lateral with high upside types of moves. The likelihood that they cause drastic regression seems pretty low – unless you’re determined to give no credit to the Bills and maintain a no hope attitude at all costs, in which case – have at it! The sky is falling! :)
"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy

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