Keys to Victory: Bills vs Patriots

Monday, September 14, 2009; 7 PM ET, Gillette Stadium
The off-season is mercifully coming to a close and real football is finally back in our lives. This is the game we've been looking forward to since early January (or I suppose late November) and I couldn't be more excited. Unfortunately, we have maybe our worst possible matchup in Week 1. The Buffalo Bills roll in to Foxboro to face the New England Patriots and Tom Brady's new bionic knee on Monday Night Football. It's going to be a tough game for the Bills, but it's a new season, so there is new hope that this could be the year we finally top the Patriots. Here's how the Bills can surprise the league and knock off the Patriots this week... after the jump.
Play with confidence, toughness: I've been hoping the Bills would finally show some toughness against the Pats for some time now. They always seem to play tentatively and hardly look like an NFL team against New England, and that needs to end if they want to pull off the upset. There is no reason to be intimidated and not come ready to play this week. It's the season opener and on Monday night for crying out loud! Let's smash New England in the mouth for once! If we don't, this will be a long game.
Push the tempo: After a pre-season of poor offensive play, it's time the tempo is stepped up in the no-huddle. Dick Jauron fired Turk Schonert in part due to the offense's lack of rhythm and inability to push the envelope. He wants the offense to be "more attacking," which means they need to keep the Pats' D on their toes and try to hit more big plays. This offense has been too reactive, instead of proactive, for too long. If we're going to change that at all this year, we need to dictate the tempo of the no-huddle and really push, push push! The time to talk about it is done, now it's time we see it on the field.
Score, score, score: If the Bills are going to beat the Patriots this week, we're going to have to put a lot of points on the board, or hope the Pats somehow self-destruct. The first two keys will be a big part of this; let's hope it comes to fruition.
Get it to T.O. - The Bills brought in Terrell Owens to improve on their lack of big plays and to put more points on the board. He's only going to do that if they get him the ball. There were signs that good things were to come when the opening drive against Tennessee in the Hall of Fame Game was very T.O-centric. We need to see a continuation of that tonight. I really expect Trent Edwards to be looking his way early and often, and it's the right move. We need to get the ball to our best offensive playmaker. Owens has excelled at the slant route and deeper crosses throughout his career. We need the big plays this week, and we need them badly. Trent-to-T.O. should be the perfect recipe for that.
Pressure Brady early, and pressure him often: How many times have we watched Brady simply sit back in the pocket and have all day to carve up our secondary? We can't just rush our front four and expect to have success. Perry Fewell needs to get creative with his stunts and blitz packages. Last year, it seemed far too often his blitzes were too simplistic and lacked creativity. To get to Brady, we have to free up rushers, whether that's through defensive line stunts or creative blitzes. It's possible that Brady is still a little tentative with his re-built knee, and the more we hit him, the more chances we have to force him into mistakes. The Giants had the blueprint in Super Bowl XLII; we need to do what we can to come close to replicating that. The pressure is on. Hopefully there will be some on Brady.
Limit Randy Moss: Randy Moss and Tom Brady is a combination that destroyed the Bills in 2007 to the tune of a pair of 100-yard receiving days and 6 touchdowns. Last year, the Bills did a pretty good job of shutting Moss down. We need a repeat of the latter, and badly. If Wes Welker doesn't play, it will be imperative to really key on Moss. I'd have much more confidence in a Bills victory if Brady is trying to beat us by throwing to Joey Galloway, Sam Aiken (!) and his tight ends. It's definitely easier said that done, but the Bills simply cannot let Moss beat them like he did in 2007.
Win the Special Teams battle: As they will in most games, the Bills will have the advantage when it comes to Special Teams. They need to take advantage of that. A big Leodis McKelvin or Roscoe Parrish return would be big for a struggling offense and could be the jolt this team needs to win this game.
Don't shoot yourselves in the foot: In the six games Dick Jauron's Bills have faced off against New England, they've allowed 12 sacks and turned the ball over 14 times. That simply cannot continue if the Bills are going to have a successful evening on Monday. They've also commited 32 penalties for 226 yards in those six games. The pre-season saw a bunch of turnovers and penalties out of our offensive unit. They need to have that cleaned up by 7PM.
Ride the Fred-Express: Lame, I know. But it's the truth. With Marshawn Lynch playing video games for three games, Fred Jackson will have to shoulder the load in his absence. He had good success in last year's finale against the Patriots, and we'll need him to produce again on Monday. Controlling the clock and keeping Brady on the sidelines may be the best way to earn a victory. Of course, we need to punch it in the end zone (which didn't happen in last season's finale), but we need to be able to run the ball. The re-shuffled and young offensive line needs to gel quickly and open the holes for Jackson. It'd be nice to have an offense that can effectively utilize play action as a result, too.
Don't embarrass yourselves: Honestly, this game has all the makings of an embarrassing night in front of a national television audience. With all the turmoil of the past week, the poor pre-season performance, the return of Brady, the hostile environment and the large Monday night audience, it wouldn't shock anyone if the Bills roll over and get steamrolled. In fact, I bet many outside of Buffalo are expecting exactly that to happen. The team needs to play with an "us against the world" mentality and prove to everyone that they will not be pushed around by New England once again. It would be a wonderful story if the Bills could pull off the stunner!
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Comments
we need to dictate the tempo of the no-huddle and really push, push push!
Push it real good! – Anyone else watch Glee this week?
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Sep 14, 2009 8:07 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
guilty as charged! How dare you touch my copier! EXPULSION!
by XtrmeCarnage82 on Sep 14, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lee Evans anyone?
I think T.O will be T.O 6-8 catches 100 yds but isn’t it time for Lee Evans to really step it up this year now that he will have someone opposite of him to command double teams…I personally think he needs to start earning that big contract he received a year ago….a one dimensional receiver, hopefully that changes starting tonight
Jim Kelly, Thurman Thomas, Bruce Smith and Andre Reed aren't walking through that door with there helmets and jerseys anymore, so lets get over are past and build a new tradition.
by Moe_frm_B_ on Sep 14, 2009 8:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree that Evans needs to step up this year with TO pulling coverage his way. However, I wouldn’t expect to see it tonight, NE seems to always have his number… Hope I’m wrong though.
by Sluss88 on Sep 14, 2009 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree. Lee needs to get his hands on the football in the short-intermediate passing game. I feel that too many times it’s Evans deep on every play. They gotta get him involved short, long and in between. He needs to make plays all over the field to make himself known as a premier reciever, much in the way the TO does.
"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"
by willgarr15 on Sep 14, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Welker
If Wes Welker doesn’t play, it will be imperative to really key on Moss.
I will respectfully disagree here. Welker and Moss are vastly different weapons for Brady – Welker for the checkdowns and underneath routes and Moss for the long ball. You will almost never see Moss running Welker-type routes and vice versa. Without Welker, I’d keep an eye on RB Kevin Faulk and our newest tight end, Chris Baker. That’s where Brady is most likely to go for shorter, move-the-chains yardage.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on Sep 14, 2009 8:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You missed the point. If Brady is throwing to Baker as opposed to Welker our chances of success increase dramatically. Welker can catch a ball 1 yard past the line of scrimmage and turn it into a first down, frequently. I have no fear that Baker is capable of that.
Taking away Moss and forcing Chris Baker to beat us makes it sound like we have a chance.
Any inside info on whether Welker is playing?
"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy
by TEMSON on Sep 14, 2009 8:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Missed the point?
You missed the point.
Not really. Putting Moss and Welker in the same sentence is a misunderstanding of their roles. Taking away Moss doesn’t necessarily mean Brady will go to Baker or Welker, if he plays. Take away Moss and Brady is very likely to go to Aiken or Galloway, his longer ball options. Neither one of those two are significant threats, but I’ve seen the Patriots use guys like Aiken for those 10-15 yard plays when Moss was buried in multiple coverage. The Bills will need to take away the entire downfield before Brady checks down unless, of course, the checkdown was his first look anyway.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on Sep 14, 2009 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Welker
Very little insider info on Welker. The Patriots are super tight lipped – extremely frustrating.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on Sep 14, 2009 8:40 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I see what you’re saying – and not necessarily disagreeing – but you’re still missing the point. Fact: Moss is your best downfield threat, by far. Fact: Welker is your best short option threat, by far. Therefore, conclusion: if Welker doesn’t play and we can shut down Moss your best options are taken away.
It’s no different then the post on PatsPulpit where you guys mentioned taking away TO and forcing our backup RB to beat you guys. Sure, taking away TO means there are still other receivers – but no way does Steve Johnson scare you the way TO does.
In summation, I guarantee you that Brian doesn’t think Welker and Moss are the same type of threat and thus I am fairly sure what he meant was simply taking away your most dangerous threats should be our top priority. I think the reason he mentioned Welker not playing was simply that it means we can afford to double cover Moss more, since if Welker were playing he would also command double coverage. Chris Baker and Joey Galloway don’t command double coverage.
"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy
by TEMSON on Sep 14, 2009 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also, Brian even mentions both Aiken and Galloway.
“I’d have much more confidence in a Bills victory if Brady is trying to beat us by throwing to Joey Galloway, Sam Aiken (!) and his tight ends.”
I don’t see what there is to disagree with there. Take two of the better receivers in the league away from any team and they’ll have a harder time winning. Seems like common sense.
"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy
by TEMSON on Sep 14, 2009 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Psst… it was actually K. :)
Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott
by Brian Galliford on Sep 14, 2009 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oops, my bad. Guess I was wrong after all!
"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy
by TEMSON on Sep 14, 2009 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Haha
Actually, you are missing my point. Not once did I say Moss would change roles. His role is set in stone, that’s obvious. I’m talking about if Welker doesn’t play, then the Bills will have one less threat to worry about. I think Brady would look for Moss a little bit more if Welker doesn’t play, and if the Bills could really blanket Moss, then the Pats will have to beat the Bills with guys like Galloway, Aiken and TE’s. That’s what I mentioned up above.
If Welker doesn’t play, and the Bills could somehow limit Moss, don’t you think Bills fans should have more confidence in slowing the Pats O? Of course, Brady would still very likely beat us with whomever, but I know I’d be happy with the Pats trying to beat us with very secondary weapons….
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Sep 14, 2009 9:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Attitude check
A lot of people are calling for this to be ugly. I hope we see some pride out there. Coming off a depressing pre-season, what is this team’s morale like? We’re going to find out.
Only area I’m really not hopeful about is riding the Fred express. I’d love to see us establish a running game, but I’m not optimistic.
by Applsoss on Sep 14, 2009 8:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Keys for tonight!!!
As “K” has mentioned we need to score. Let’s face it people we have zero firt team TD’s. We need to score TD’s. The key though is pressure on Brady. The all day and all night kind of pressure. We have to humanize this guy. I went to the Cleveland Browns Vs Buffalo Bills game back in 89. The Ronnie Harmon drop in the corner of the end zone. One of the most exciting games to attend. I couldn’t ask for a beer, I was afraid to go to the mens room. If I got the slightest bit excited I would get starred at with death eyes. For over three hours I sat there proud but feared. I succummed to the pressure of those looks, the fear of being blind sided. Never before have I felt this way. The best thing I could do was not make the situation worse for the people I traveled with. This wasn’t pansy fear, this was be proud, represent but keep quite kind of fear. The Giants illustrated this the last time Brady played. Brady has not played a game since that Giant game. He needs to remember that game like it was yesterday. All day and all night yesterday. Get to him early and remind him of what he missed out on.
Only Real Men Wear Red, White, and Blue.
by VanScottM on Sep 14, 2009 9:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
key to the game
Score more pts. then the other guy…if we do that…we might have a chance
Srsly tho…nice post k…
by tiimbitz4786 on Sep 14, 2009 9:42 AM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
I don’t see the Bills winning unless they get points from the defense and/or special teams, and are at least +2 on turnovers.
by Pistol on Sep 14, 2009 9:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
seriously guys?
We all owe it to ourselves to be realistic about tonight. Yes I’m as stoked at can be. But it’s going to be an ugly, depressing punch in the mouth. The jets yesterday played like we need to, physical, punch in the grill football. Let’s. Face it, the bills are unable to play that gwame with the identity Dick Jauron places on the team. I like Dick and root for him as he seems like a genuine and stand up man. But the fact is he’s straight up not a seccesfull head coach (take away 1 bears season where he fell into one of histories better d units). I am know to my friends as an endless Bills optimist. But my reign ends here. The team is just not an upper echelon unit mainly based on team brass absolutely refusing to hire a coaching staff with a proven and time tested blue print to win. I hope AVP is up to the challange but I’m expecting the worse. Everyone seems like they’ve been suckered into setting themselves up for a heartbreak again. Cheeres to the last 9 hourse here of hope!
by Jay Mayne on Sep 14, 2009 9:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
They won't win...
WITH THAT KIND OF ATTITUDE!!!! GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!
Every year, at least one team in the NFL surprises everyone. WHY CAN’T THAT BE THIS TEAM!!!!!!!!!!
"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"
by willgarr15 on Sep 14, 2009 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One more thing I forgot to add....
Keep Trent off his back….If Trent is constantly getting hit and knocked around, there will be no way to push the tempo with the no-huddle. He’ll be too busy scraping himself off the turf. It’s imperative, if we want to really push it on offense, that Trent is upright to conduct it….
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Sep 14, 2009 9:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Someone tell Dick Jauron it’s “opposite day”.
by Zumone on Sep 14, 2009 10:00 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This has been a long time coming
I hope Maybin is in more than not tonight, he is our only chance to fluster Brady. Even if he is not sacking him he at least causes a disturbance with his quickness.
McCoverage needs to be solid tonight.
The tempo must be quick, but it must also be controlled.
Ill have a good time no matter what……..unless we get blown out
Go bills
"Hold ya chin up...nuh nuh nuh...gone"
-Marshawn Lynch-
by billsoferie on Sep 14, 2009 10:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Missed opportunity
It occurs to me that ownership missed a golden financial opportunity this year.
With all the national attention on the bills, courtesy of t.o., this was an opportune season to win new Bills fan nationwide (sell merchandise, help our players get endorsements, thus making buffalo a more attractive option for free agents in the future, etc). Had ownership only invested more in the team, instead of continuing its cheapskate ways.
You have to spend money to make money, and 6.5M for t.o. doesn’t cut it. It’s a shame. Bills, unfortunately, are going to come out of this year with pie all over the face, all the more so for the increased media coverage.
That said, Go Bills! Ugh
by beelove on Sep 14, 2009 10:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
What exactly did you want them to do? Overpay for mediocre free agents? We’ve been there and done that, and it wasn’t pretty. You have to spend money (wisely) to make money. You don’t need to just spend it to spend it.
~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."
by Kurupt on Sep 14, 2009 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
First and foremost, a new head coach. Secondly, a viable replacement for Peters.
Buffalo stays all too true to its small-market label. over the past decade, Bill Parcels was worked for every team in the AFC East except one. The reason? Well, I guess I don’t know, but money is among my first guesses. Point is that this year, more than most, the risk-reward scenario for any spending was skewed in reward’s favor, and we failed to take advantage. On the contrary, another losing season in the year of t.o will only further entrench buffalo’s rep as an irrelevant team — and that’s going to make it even harder to attract players (and coaches, for the love of god — coaches!) in the future. :(
by beelove on Sep 14, 2009 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
J2's Keys to the Game
Well I think there are only 2 keys to this game in order to keep it from a blow out.
1) Pressure on Brady – without this we do not pass go and we do not collect $200
2) Edwards CANNOT TURN THE FOOTBALL OVER and he needs to sustain drives that leads to points.
There are other things that we could talk about – but at the end of the day – these 2 are what really matters
I am so clever that sometimes I don’t understand a single word of what I am saying
by J2 on Sep 14, 2009 10:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with all, but I will simplify things
I agree with K’s list, but everything from #2 on down won’t matter if we do not…
Play with confidence, toughness
I too have grown weary of seeing the Bills just show up to get walloped by New England. We just seem willing to take whatever punishment they want to dole out. Punch them in the mouth early, on both sides of the ball. Our OL sure is better equipped to do this than what we’ve had in the past.
Secondly, and this is for our coaches. We damn well better be prepared tho throw some things at them that we haven’t seen for awhile.
The Dick Jauron version of the K-Gun...the Squirt Gun.
by ChipShot on Sep 14, 2009 11:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Pressure
I agree with J2. Brady has to be knocked down tonight early and often. Otherwise the Pats are going to score 50 again tonight. I’m hoping the Bills shock the world. The realist in me says ‘this thing will be over by halftime’. Pats 55-6.
by Greg in UT on Sep 14, 2009 11:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Tough play and pressure on the QB
These are the keys for me. If we are in Brady’s grill the whole game, and lay the lumber on the O-line and on defense, we have a chance here. If Brady and Moss are going to beat us, make them go home with some souvenirs compliments of the Bills defense. Regardless of whether our front 4 can get pressure, Perry needs to send the blitz and get pressure no matter what. I think McGee and Leodis and Corner can hang with these receivers 1 on 1 (for the most part, I do realize they have Randy Moss) and we can send the blitz at Brady. Let the defense feast. And let this young, athletic, nasty o-line feed on the Pats early with some tough running and screen plays. Let these boys play to their strengths and knock the stuffing out of the Pats weak a$$ defense. LET’S GO BUFFALO!!
Is it 7pm yet?
"Potential just means you haven’t done sh## yet"
by willgarr15 on Sep 14, 2009 12:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Bills and The Buffalo Gun
I have been a silent but avid “BILLS” fan since game one in 1960 and read the words of thoses that seem to know moe then I. Well tonite it will end BILLS 28 Them 17 go th new
BUFFALO GUN (a very powerful,accurate and deadly gun)
by White Lightnin on Sep 14, 2009 12:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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