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Bills will have a job unbalancing Tampa on Sunday

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More photos » by Brian Blanco - AP

Prior to the start of the NFL's regular season, the Buffalo Bills were one of three teams to fire their offensive coordinator.  Buffalo's opponent this week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, was one of the other teams to make this move, relieving Jeff Jagodzinski of his duties and promoting Greg Olson to the position of Offensive Coordinator/Quarterbacks.  If Buffalo's offense scored a mild surprise with 276 yards, 17 points and relative efficiency in their Week 1 loss, then Tampa Bay's 450-yard, 21-point outburst was nothing short of shocking.

Blessed with one of the better young offensive lines in the league, a deep stable of running backs, and talent at tight end and receiver (when healthy), QB Byron Leftwich - a temporary starter until first-round pick Josh Freeman is ready to assume command of the offense - has found himself unexpectedly rich with surrounding talent.  Considering Buffalo's mediocre second-half defensive performance in New England, defensive coordinator Perry Fewell has a large task in front of him trying to slow down Tampa's surprising offense.

Examining the Bucs' O-Line
At first blush, essentially the entirety of Tampa's starting offensive line - Donald Penn, Jeremy Zuttah, Sean Mahan, Davin Joseph and Jeremy Trueblood - well, let's just say these aren't names that jump off the page at you.  Joseph, a 2006 first-round pick, is probably the best player of the group, and likely the most recognizable name as well.  This line didn't come together in a traditional manner, but boy, are they talented.

Star-divide

Penn is one of the more athletic tackles in the league; the former 2006 undrafted free agent was a pinch starter under Jon Gruden and hasn't looked back.  He's an outstanding pass protector, and while he isn't dominant against the run, the Bucs have clearly procured themselves a diamond-in-the-rough left tackle (something the Bills are currently trying to emulate for a second time).  Zuttah ('08, third round), Joseph ('06, first round) and Trueblood ('06, second round) all represent significant draft pick investments in the line, and they've paid off.

The weak area, for now, is center, where starter Jeff Faine is missing with a triceps injury.  Mahan - himself a 2003 fifth-round pick by the Bucs - was re-signed after Faine went down, and spoke earlier this week as if he'd start in Faine's stead.  If he doesn't, rookie Jonathan Compas will get the call.

Even factoring in the change at center, Tampa's offensive line routinely flashes dominance.  They weren't perfect in 2008, allowing 32 sacks and finishing a rather average No. 15 in the NFL in rush offense, but that looks to change this season.  With two "new" runners in Cadillac Williams and Derrick Ward, the Bucs gouged a usually stout Cowboys defense on the ground to the tune of 160 yards and two scores on 26 carries.  Yes, folks, that's over six yards per carry.  To say that the running game is the lifeblood of Tampa's offense is a severe understatement.

Balance is crucial to Tampa's attack
With that running game leading the way, Leftwich's job was simple in Week 1: manage the game.  He did it relatively well, getting passes to ten different receivers.  The play-action pass, obviously, is a weapon for the Bucs when their run game is clicking, and Leftwich has a huge arm; it's quite enough to keep defenses honest.

The fact that the Bucs have two athletic, productive tight ends - Kellen Winslow, Jr. and Jerramy Stevens - doesn't make the job any easier for the Bills.  Both of these players have size and can stretch a defense vertically.  They'll play an even more important role on Sunday, as top receiver Antonio Bryant is expected to sit out with an ailing knee.  You don't need me to tell you that the Bills struggled to defend tight ends in New England.

This offense still has a lot to prove - one game does not an offensive juggernaut make - but let's not pretend that they're going to be easy for the Bills to contain.  It would help them tremendously, first and foremost, to get off the field; going up against a pretty solid Pats offense last week, Buffalo gave the Patriots too many chances to make plays by allowing conversions on 10 of 16 third-down situations.  That's not going to cut it.

Beat Tampa at their own game?
An early lead is crucial, as is containing - note the lack of the term "stopping" - the run and limiting allowed third-down conversions defensively.  Tampa's defense is extremely vulnerable, so the Bills would do well to try beating the Bucs at their own game - running the ball, taking shots down field, and controlling the clock.

Those are the easiest ways to force the ball into Leftwich's hands more often.  That theory, by leaps and bounds, represents Buffalo's best chance at scoring a victory in their home opener.  If they can't find a way to take balance out of the equation, however, this is a Bucs offense that could really put the hurt on Fewell's unit.  Buffalo needs to be careful, and they'll need to stay sharp offensively if things don't go well in this area.

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an early lead didnt seem crucial on Monday night

I think we were exposed a bit when New England started throwing most of the time. We might have a better shot if the Bucs keep it on the ground and its a closer game ironically

We got your back Leodis!

by poz on Sep 18, 2009 11:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You can’t compare the situations. NE’s strength is the ball-control passing game, and our lead – and more importantly, our defensive scheme – played right into Brady’s hands. If we get Leftwich in that offense early, we crush the Bucs. If it’s close and Cadillac/Ward are still a factor, it’s MUCH tougher to pull out a win.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Sep 18, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

fair enough

and maybe you cant compare the situations but i dont think it was ball control passing that beat us. I think it was third and long passing that beat us. We simply could not get off the field after two solid downs.

We got your back Leodis!

by poz on Sep 18, 2009 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, that’s just flat-out not true. The Pats had exactly ONE 3rd-and-6 or longer play in the second half on Monday night. The only faced 7 third (and fourth) down plays in the second half total. Buffalo lost because the Pats were ridiculously methodical taking underneath yardage from them. More proof: of Brady’s 25 completions in the second half, 22 of them were for 13 yards or less.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Sep 18, 2009 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Erp – 22 of 26* were for 12* yards or less.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Sep 18, 2009 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quick release Brady with Lightning fast Welker

is what beat us, Plus we gave Moss way too much of a cushion.

By the time Leftwich is finished his windup, the cows will have come home! This guy is lousy in the quick passing game, so stop the run and contain the deep and we’ll be fine, I see a few INTs in our future if we can force them into the short passing game.

Go Bills!!

Your ability to control the LOS is directly linked to your ability to win football games!
FEED the BEAST!

by keysh67 on Sep 18, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was thinking the exact same thing keysh67….

Furthermore, whether you think the bucs have a great line or not, I don’t think it compares to the Pats.

"You play to win the game, you don't play to just play it" - Herm Edwards

by Jason from OH-IO on Sep 18, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Boy, I do. I’d take Penn/Trueblood over Light/Kaczur any day of the week.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Sep 18, 2009 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Read!

This helps put things in perspective. I am sure we all tagged this game as a W when predicting our final W/L record. Still it is one that will have to be earned. My concerns going into this game is the obvious running game that the bucs bring. Add the fact that Schobel has a sore back, Kelsay a bruised knee, Poz a broken arm is out. McCargo, I am not even sure he seen the field last week, has me concerned. Even with a healthy front four on defense these guys will need to be rotated to stay fresh. When this rotation happens we are exposing our lack of experience against the run.

I would like to see us control the ball more offensively and win the TOP on offense. To do this we need to stop the run on 1st and 2nd downs. This will be easier said than done. Hopefully, the emotion from the home opener and some quick strikes to T.O. and L.E. will force the bucs hand thus allowing us to control the clock more with Freddy and some TE activitiy.

Excuses are a sign of weakness!!!!!!

by VanScottM on Sep 18, 2009 12:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cadillac will be some trouble

Without Poz, I think our effectiveness at stopping the run will dip some, and we will need some very good defensive playcalling to get Leftwich sling it around too much. Fewell needs to step up his game for the remainder of the season (no crap right?) and that starts now, because I don’t want to imagine what will happen next week if we don’t get our bearings straight

Jauron’s nuts must have dropped this year….Go Bills!

by killascript on Sep 18, 2009 12:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

...

Did you say they were talented at WR? With gimpy Bryant likely out, the Clayton, Stovall, and Stroughter might be this week’s weakest trio of receivers. I hope we key on KW2 and force Sandwich to try beating us with those guys.

The number one goal is shutting down the run game. if we make life rough on Caddy and Ward, we should be fine assuming the O doesn’t lay an egg…

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Sep 18, 2009 1:24 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I said they’re talented at receiver “when healthy,” and I’m including TE in the equation. Bryant, Clayton and Winslow are not un-formidable.

Buffalo Rumblings. On Twitter.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. --Wayne Grezky" --Michael Scott

by Brian Galliford on Sep 18, 2009 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nope Sorry

Bryant when healthy can be a beast, If clayton can hang on to the ball- he will be a fine reciever, You are under estimating Stroughter- he has some great awareness (shown in preseason). K2 will not get much looks- its not the way.

WHOO, LUKE! LUKE! LUKE!
ALSO! NOW THE HEAD OF THE PUFFY-ROD BANDWAGON.

by Some other guy who does not care on Sep 18, 2009 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh I know Bryant is a beast, I was excluding him. That catch he had against Carolina (?) Last season was the best I’ve seen in a while.

Stroughter is a small 7th rounder. He’s nothing the Bills should be overly worried about. Let’s seem him prove something first!

~K
"As the governor of Louisiana once said, the only way Chris Kelsay can lose his job is if he got caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy."

by Kurupt on Sep 18, 2009 5:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

We'll see

I say he has more potential than clayton- if it’s a fact of proving then this will be a fun ride.

WHOO, LUKE! LUKE! LUKE!
ALSO! NOW THE HEAD OF THE PUFFY-ROD BANDWAGON.

by Some other guy who does not care on Sep 18, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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