Was Walker's Regression Expected?
The release of Walker based on his apparent regression got me thinking if that's something you would expect out of tackles.
It's obviously tough to measure how well tackles play objectively, but by looking at the ages of the starting tackles in the NFL you can perhaps get a feel for when players start to regress.
So what I did was to take the depth charts at ESPN.com and list each of the starting LTs and RTs and their ages (not sure if this is 100% accurate, but it was the easiest way to put this together quickly).
Here's a list of the tackles and ages, by team:
Team LT Age
Ariz Gandy 30
Atl Baker 24
Balt Gaither 23
Buff D Bell 25
Car Gross 29
Chic Pace 33
Cin Whitworth 27
Cle Thomas 24
Dal Adams 34
Den Clady 23
Det Backus 31
GB Clifton 33
Hou Brown 24
Ind Johnson 25
Jac Monroe 22
KC Albert 24
Mia Long 24
Min Mckinnie 29
NE Light 31
NO Brown 28
NYG Diehl 28
NYJ Ferguson 25
Oak Henderson 24
Phi Peters 27
Pit Starks 27
SD McNeill 25
Sea Locklear 28
SF Staley 25
StL Barron 26
TB Penn 26
Ten Roos 26
Was Samuels 32
Ave 26.9
Team RT Age
Ariz Brown 25
Atl Clabo 27
Balt Oher 23
Buff Butler 25
Car Otah 23
Chic Williams 24
Cin Collins 23
Cle St Clair 32
Dal Columbo 30
Den Harris 24
Det Cherilus 25
GB Barbre 25
Hou Winston 25
Ind Diem 30
Jac Britton 21
KC Ndukwe 27
Mia Carey 28
Min Loadholt 23
NE Kaczur 30
NO Stinchcomb 30
NYG McKenzie 30
NYJ Woody 31
Oak Green 33
Phi Andrews 28
Pit Colon 26
SD Clary 25
Sea Willis 27
SF Synder 27
StL Goldberg 29
TB Trueblood 26
Ten Stewart 27
Was Heyer 25
Ave 26.7
The average age for LTs and RTs is almost identical, so I'm not sure there's much difference, although there seems to be a few more younger LTs, which makes some sense as LT is more of an athletic position and RT is more of a size/strength position.
Taking each of the 64 ages it distributes like this:
21 1
22 1
23 6
24 8
25 12
26 5
27 8
28 5
29 3
30 6 (5 are RTs)
31 3
32 2
33 3
34 1
This seems to indicate that the most players are 25 with the major range being from 23-28. This is definitely lower than I would have guessed.
Walker just recently turned 30, so it's not a lock by any means that he would regress as there's still many 30 year old tackles and older (15 of 64). However, of the 6 OTs that are 30, 5 of them are RTs so that might be an indication that more athletic players are remaining at LT when they're 30+. Walker is also an unusually large man, so it's also possible that he would be likely to regress quicker than a normal OT because of that.
I don't think this is definitely conclusive one way or the other, but I don't think that Walker's regression should have come as as much of a shock that it did.
This FanPost was written by a registered user of Buffalo Rumblings. Its views do not necessarily reflect the views of Rumblings' editorial staff, but are just as valued as our own.
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8 comments
Comments
Let's face it. Walker's "regression" started the day they told him he'd be
playing Left Tackle. He was plenty competent last year at RT and he and Butler were better than average on that side. Our problem last year was at the Center position mostly. The Bills decided to blow up the entire interior of our OL then not resign Peters, now cut Walker to ultimately save money. Good article in the Buffalo news today talking about how “cheap” the Bills have been with their money. I think it is more like how “unsmart” they have been with their money.
I am just waiting to see what the next “surprise announcement” the Bills will be making this season?
Russ Brandon Promotion and Extention for selling so many tickets?
A few more DB’s added to our roster?
Extension for Chris Kelsay?
by dabillsr1 on Sep 9, 2009 9:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The regression came from the fact that he couldn’t keep up with the no huddle offense. whether he started or backed up Bell if he was in the game he wouldn’t be effective. you can’t have a liability like that protecting your qb’s blindside. Like G said in his post, the $3MM savings is icing on the cake.
by gatornation on Sep 10, 2009 8:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Peters was under contract and they offered him 9M a year in an extension… If he had played under his contract we wouldn’t even be having this discussion.
You can trash Brandon all you want but he has done one heck of a job marketing this team.
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Sep 10, 2009 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too bad his marketing prowress doesn’t extend to their choice of main uniform. Seriously. With all the changes, it’s a perfect opportunity!
Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Sep 10, 2009 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
“prowess”
Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Sep 10, 2009 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No kidding.
But they can make more money by selling two jerseys instead of one! Now three if you include the away throwbacks…
Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.
by MattRichWarren on Sep 10, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently
Paul Hamilton stated this morning that Walker didn’t want to be in Buffalo. It was mentioned that other players said the same thing about him and Kugler didn’t want to talk about him at one point during training camp.
So it appears the “regression” may have been due to his unwillingness to play LT. Smells very familiar with the way Peters carried himself last year here.
He’s gone. It looks to be the right move, and i recind my feelings on the matter before giving it time to mature. It was the wrong move to expect him to play LT, and now I only fault the organization for even thinking it was a smart move; a good move…the only move at the time.
Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Sep 10, 2009 8:57 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
wow, tough day
“rescind”
Twitter: helping to make anti-social people anti-socially social.
by TheAfghanTwilight on Sep 10, 2009 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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