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Bills vs. Bears: Notes From The O-Line, Week 9

The week that Chris Brown at BuffaloBills.com puts up an article about the improvement in Buffalo's running game, the Bills put up a meager 46 yards on the ground - and nine of those came on a scramble by Ryan Fitzpatrick. While the Bears have a good rushing defense, I was curious to see why Buffalo did such a poor job on the ground. On Buffalo's 18 run plays, would you be surprised to find that at least one lineman had a bad play on five (27.8%) of them? When you shoot yourself in the foot a quarter of the time, well, you can't expect good things to happen.

I have grumbled about the yo-yo approach Chan Gailey had adopted with various offensive linemen during the season. He stated that he intended to swap out Cordaro Howard and Mansfield Wrotto at right tackle. I immediately had visions of seemingly random substitutions - Wrotto for the third and fifth drive, for example. I almost fell over when Wrotto was indeed on the field for the third and fifth drives. But then Wrotto stayed on the field for the rest of the game. It was almost, but not quite, a case of giving one guy the first half and the other the second half. That makes more sense to me - each guy had time to settle in and get accustomed to playing alongside the starters.

Star-divide

As you can see below, Wrotto led (so to speak) the team with three bad run plays and two killed run plays. That's not an auspicious start to his Buffalo career, and Wrotto takes some of the blame for Buffalo's failed two point conversion attempt. Howard didn't have any bad run plays, but then he was only on the field for four of them.

Individual Run Grades - Week 9
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Grade
Bell, D. 1 16 1 0 75.0%
Levitre, A. 4 13 1 1 78.3%
Hangartner, G. 3 15 0 0 78.3%
Wood, E. 5 12 1 1 79.4%
Wrotto, M. 0 11 3 2 70.7%
Howard, C. 0 4 0 0 75.0%
Individual Run Grades - 2010 season-to-date
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Grade
Bell, D. 12 136 16 3 74.5%
Levitre, A. 35 101 11 3 78.3%
Hangartner, G. 16 145 10 1 75.7%
Wood, E. 38 116 12 3 78.1%
Wrotto, M. 0 11 3 2 70.7%
Howard, C. 6 82 7 3 74.8%

As you can see, Wrotto grades out significantly below Howard on run plays but slightly better on passing downs. Keep in mind, however, that Wrotto has only played in roughly a half, while Howard has quite a few more snaps under his belt. It will take a while before we will know if there's really any difference between Gailey's Georgia Tech scrubs.

Run Direction Success, Week 9
Gap Att Yds YPA
Left C 6 6 1.0
Left B 1 0 0.0
A 2 5 2.5
Right B 2 3 1.5
Right C 7 22 3.1
Run Direction Success, 2010 season-to-date
Gap Att Yds YPA
Left C 48 206 4.3
Left B 14 54 3.9
A 45 155 3.4
Right B 22 74 3.7
Right C 44 167 3.8

The Bears were able to defeat Buffalo's run game by loading the box on 7 of 18 rushes (38.9%), but there was more to it than that. Indeed, Chicago tended to load the box when the Bills were in third and short or on the goal line. Buffalo generally didn't ask the linemen to handle the defensive tackles without any help. Instead, the lineman responsible for a DT could more often depend on another offensive linemen to chuck his guy. That second lineman was then expected to get to the second level and engage a linebacker. This didn't work out very well; chucking a DT slowed the linemen down enough to prevent them from catching one of the linebackers. The linebackers then were free to run down the ball carrier.

Something to point out on the chart below is that, for the first time this season, Demetrius Bell received help on a significant portion of passing downs - 14 of 54 (25.9%), to be exact. Wrotto was helped on five plays, three of which were plays on which Bell was helped as well. Even then, the tackles combined for 10 bad plays and three killed plays. Julius Peppers has showed up to play this year, and Gailey took him seriously.

Individual Pass Grades, Week 9
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Sack Help Grade
Bell, D. 2 48 4 2 0 14 74.3%
Levitre, A. 1 53 0 0 0 0 75.4%
Hangartner, G. 0 52 2 1 0 0 74.3%
Wood, E. 0 48 6 1 0 0 72.8%
Wrotto, M. 0 32 4 1 0 5 72.8%
Howard, C. 2 14 2 0 0 0 75.0%
Individual Pass Grades, 2010 season-to-date
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Sack Help Grade
Bell, D. 5 286 24 7.5 3.5 26 73.8%
Levitre, A. 7 288 13 5 0 0 74.6%
Hangartner, G. 5 321 10 5 2 0 74.7%
Wood, E. 9 288 16 5 0 0 74.6%
Wrotto, M. 0 32 4 1 0 5 72.8%
Howard, C. 2 149 26 4.5 2.5 3 72.3%

Eric Wood didn't have a good game on passing downs. His six bad pass plays led the team, and some of them were just embarrassing. How else can you describe being juked by a 300+ pound defensive tackle? On several snaps, Wood proved to be susceptible to swim moves that forced Fitzpatrick to roll out. Andy Levitre was bull rushed on a couple of occasions, once so violently that he and the DT blew right past Fitzpatrick.

At some point, the Bills are going to have to retire the naked bootleg pass play. No one is falling for it, and even when Fitzpatrick has somewhere to go with the ball the gain is minimal. I believe that we did see an in-game adjustment. On pass 24, Fitzpatrick had nowhere to go with the ball and threw it away before being sacked. On pass 28, the tight end immediately blocked the defensive end to keep him from running after the QB. As a result Fitzpatrick had time to get the ball to Roscoe Parrish for a five-yard gain.

Gailey again sprinkled in pass plays that looked an awful lot like run plays. The Bills pulled a guard and at other times blocked as if it really were a run. Discounting the dropped passes (which would have been nice gains), the Bills netted 49 yards on five of those pass plays. Had the dropped passes been caught, we'd be looking at something like 13 yards per pass. That wrinkle really does work. The Bears' linebackers were bailing out late after reading pass, which allowed receivers to make receptions underneath the defensive backs.

You can see that the interior linemen have performed quite a bit better overall than the tackles. (I even separated out Howard's snaps at guard.) Not only is there a real drop in the scores, but the tackles (Bell, Cornell Green, Jamon Meredith, Howard, Wrotto) have almost as many bad run plays (34 to 37), more killed run plays (9 to 7), almost double the number of bad pass plays (87 to 43), about as many killed pass plays (17 to 15), and quadruple the number of sacks surrendered (8 to 2) as the interior linemen (Levitre, Geoff Hangartner, Wood, Howard, Kraig Urbik). To be fair, Bell grades out a full point (sometimes two full points) ahead of the other tackles, but that still puts him a point or more behind the interior linemen.

Season Run Grades: Interior vs Tackles
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Grade
Interior 92 388 37 7 77.1%
Tackles 23 288 34 9 73.6%
Season Pass Grades: Interior vs Tackles
Player Good Decent Bad Killed Sack Help Grade
Interior 21 938 43 15 2 0 74.6%
Tackles 8 573 87 17 8 41 72.6%

Fitzpatrick was blitzed on a dozen pass plays. He responded with eight completions for 74 yards and three first downs. He had a drop, a bad pass and an INT to go along with those eight completions. The Bears got pressure even without blitzing. Having 18 individual bad pass plays (on 16 total pass plays) didn't help matters any. For the season thus far, Fitzpatrick has been blitzed 86 times. He has 460 yards (5.4 yards per blitz), 24 first downs (27.9% of blitzes), six TDs, seven drops, three sacks, three throw aways, one defensive penalty, two offensive penalties, 15 bad passes, five scrambles and four INTs against those blitzes.

Levitre and Bell combined to kill the first drive while Hangartner and Wood teamed up to ruin the second. Fitzpatrick killed the third, and the fourth ended in the promised land. Fred Jackson killed the drive to start the second half with a fumble. The sixth and seventh drives were touchdowns. Fitzpatrick killed the eighth drive with an ugly INT, the ninth with inaccurate passes and the tenth with another INT. For the season, the quarterbacks have killed 25 drives, the backs 8.5, the tight ends 1.5, the receivers 9, the tackles 15, and the interior linemen 9. Crap calls by the refs killed two (yeah, that's all), and the end of the half or game killed five more.

Don't read too much into the fact that the QBs kill a lot of drives. They handle the ball on every snap, so that means they've got more chances to screw the pooch than anyone else. As it relates to the tackle situation, Bell and Green killed five each, the departed Meredith 0.5, and Howard 4.5. The LT position has been responsible for about five killed drives, while the RT position has ruined ten others. Would it be too obvious to point out that manning a position with free agent retreads and scrubs isn't the best of ideas?

Comment 24 comments  |  7 recs  | 

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Wow, bad game for Wood

From a Pass blocking point of course !

Great job as always Ron.

3 AM Monday morning games all 2010 - that's just dandy !

by Will G on Nov 8, 2010 8:18 AM EST reply actions  

Good analysis... D. Bell didn't look good and often let's pass rushers right on by...

including the last play of the game when Fitz had to hurry the throw to Donald Jones. The back-up that came in for Peppers ran right by Bell and put a hard hit on Fitz. Bell basically whiffed at the guy.

by dabillsr1 on Nov 8, 2010 8:21 AM EST reply actions  

thanks Ron

proof positive that bad teams “not only shoot themselves in the foot”, they usually “kill” themselves in “Groundhog Day”-like fashion.

What we call our despair is often only the painful eagerness of unfed hope.

by fansince60 on Nov 8, 2010 8:55 AM EST reply actions  

Exactly

It seems like one or two huge errors kill the whole game. At least the last three weeks.

by Gr8fulnfa on Nov 8, 2010 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

rec'd Ron

amazing that you got this done so fast!

I actually thought that the oline and turnovers are what lost us the game. the oline seemed to be handled with ease and the turnovers are just killing us. we’re not a team that can overcome 3 turnovers.

on a side note – i thought our run defense was pretty darn good save for Cutler runs

Gailey again sprinkled in pass plays that looked an awful lot like run plays

I was driving around on Sunday morning just thinking and I almost, or still may, wrote a fanpost on how the short passing game are essentailly run plays. I know the Colts and Pats do this a lot and so does Gailey it seems. not a bad thing – just noteworthy.

too bad our oline had an awful game

by J2 on Nov 8, 2010 9:02 AM EST reply actions  

too bad our oline had an awful game

whoops

too bad our oline had an awful game because the Bears are not a good team and Cutler is very erratic. If i was in the stock market for the NFL i’d drop the Bears.

by J2 on Nov 8, 2010 9:03 AM EST up reply actions  

The last two games

no improvement, that is worry some. The season is wearing on and there is no running game to speak of an Fitz is getting pressured more freguently. Good teams make a move in November and we are not one of them. Yet we have more problems on defense IMO.

YOU ARE OUT of you kuku fufu mine craker laker Flaber baber FUNKI chunki brain. WE want to winn every year -- abayarde

by VanScottM on Nov 8, 2010 9:02 AM EST reply actions  

Yet we have more problems on defense IMO

I thought the run defense did well this game – except Cutler killed us.

by J2 on Nov 8, 2010 9:04 AM EST up reply actions  

3 drives killed by turnovers killed Buffalo. Has anyone seen Fitz throw the ball 40+ yards in the air? His first INT sure looked like it was due to lack of arm strength.

It can always get worse. Let me tell you how.

by Ron From NM on Nov 8, 2010 9:16 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I was gonna say the same thing

Fitz has a lot of things going for him as a QB – a strong arm is not one of them. If we had a dominant defense and run game I’d be sold on pursuing other positions with the 1st round pick but as it stands we need a franchise QB along with another OT and a pass-rushing LB.

by Renegade23 on Nov 8, 2010 9:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Haha

If we had a dominant defense and run game, then the position we’d more likely go after with the first pick is QB…

by stetzwebs on Nov 8, 2010 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Fitz appears capable of everything but 4th-quarter, game-winning TD drives. he has 8 games left to show the team he knows how to produce them.

I love that he’s able to make things happen in spite of offensive line woes. I love that he recognizes a QB is supposed to throw the ball beyond the LOS. I love that he has a beard. I don’t love that, so far, he’s been unable to overcome the rest of his teammates’ deficiencies and produce a win. That’s all I need. He could go 7 of 20 for 98 yards, no TDs, and 2 INTs, but if he made the throws that got the offense down to the goalline and they were able to run it in…he’s sticking for a bit as starting QB. (Sound like anyone else in the AFC East last year? Perhaps “The Dirty One”?)

"Give back some of that money you ain't [expletive] earned!" - Eric Wood

Current song recommendation: Sam Roberts "Them Kids"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Nov 8, 2010 10:06 AM EST up reply actions  

ya the 3 turnovers are what doomed us. we can’t have those. we cannot over come those throws.

you might be right about fitzy and his arm strength. one thing he does do is keep the games interesting – but he’s just not a “winner” if you will – as

by J2 on Nov 8, 2010 9:25 AM EST up reply actions  

the bears ran 26 times for 66 yards for about 2.5 yards per carry – pretty good run D.

cutler though – ran 5 times for 39 yards – so he killed us. other than that our run D was the best that it’s been all year

by J2 on Nov 8, 2010 9:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Love this stuff, Ron.

There’s more content here than any other Bills (perhaps football-related) site i’ve come across on the web.

Just think how fun this exercise could get should the injury bug bite the o-line!

"Give back some of that money you ain't [expletive] earned!" - Eric Wood

Current song recommendation: Sam Roberts "Them Kids"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Nov 8, 2010 9:08 AM EST reply actions  

Am I the only one that still cannot figure out why we rotate our lineman??? I doubt any other team in the league does this…

by Posluszny Pollocks on Nov 8, 2010 9:53 AM EST reply actions  

At least we’re only rotating at RT now. I think Gailey is hoping to find a scrub who doesn’t suck.

It can always get worse. Let me tell you how.

by Ron From NM on Nov 8, 2010 10:35 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

This says it all

“The Bears got pressure even without blitzing.”

We are not holding the line, much less controlling it.

by Applsoss on Nov 8, 2010 9:54 AM EST reply actions  

your analsyis rocks

it would be interesting to see this on a few teams with good olines to understand how far we have to go

by wab2 on Nov 8, 2010 10:14 AM EST reply actions  

Wood also looked like one of the players blown up on the blocked xpat. It could be the rotation of the guy on his right messed him up.

I don’t really have a problem rotating in these RTs. Gailey is trying to figure out if one is better than the other and to keep them fresh. Yes, its true, good teams don’t rotate their lineman very often. But good teams are not as desperate at the tackle position as we are, so they don’t have to.

by greysquirrel on Nov 8, 2010 11:29 AM EST reply actions  

I don’t grade special teams plays so I don’t know if Wood was at fault on the PAT or not.

It can always get worse. Let me tell you how.

by Ron From NM on Nov 8, 2010 12:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

It was. They showed it on the replay. Somehow he was under siege from like 3 guys.

Official ledge-talker-offer of the Buffalo Bills.

by WhyBillsWhy on Nov 8, 2010 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Rec’d. We have been spoiled with your Oline analyses, Ron. Great work.

2010 Bills' truth in advertising: "Look out Cleveland, this year we score 6!" - bluecollarbuffalo

by thefourwinds on Nov 8, 2010 7:02 PM EST reply actions  

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