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Bills 17, Dolphins 14: Jaeger Shots (Three Good, Three Bad)

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The Bad
The running game
. Last week, the Buffalo Bills imposed their will on a big and physical Cleveland defense. What a difference a week makes. Despite a concerted effort to run the ball on the Miami Dolphins (24 called runs, 29 called passes for Buffalo on the day), Miami was able to limit the Bills to less than three yards per carry. Their longest run was 12 yards by C.J. Spiller. Keep in mind that the run statistics are skewed by good yardage picked up on Ryan Fitzpatrick scrambles. Ron will have a better take on this than me, but it looked to me as if the more athletic Dolphins edge rushers (Cameron Wake, Koa Misi) were able to take advantage of average Buffalo offensive tackles, and squeeze the run game inside. Either way, Buffalo has got to develop a power run game to be a legitimate contender moving forward - and Chan Gailey knows it.

Defending Brandon Marshall. The big Miami receiver was the best player on the field all day. If not for four missed field goals by Dan Carpenter, Marshall's big day would've grabbed the headlines. Marshall routinely abused Drayton Florence and Leodis McKelvin, being mostly unfazed by either corner's physical play or athleticism.  With Buffalo worried about the potent Miami ground game, Marshall didn't see much bracket coverage or any other sort of combination coverage. If Buffalo's going to have a chance against Miami next year, they've got to deal with Marshall more effectively.

Star-divide

Intensity letdown. This is the first time we've mentioned this in a negative light. After Stevie Johnson's third quarter touchdown, Buffalo seemed to lower their intensity level a notch. The next three Buffalo drives: 13 plays, 36 yards, and three punts. The four Miami drives after the Johnson touchdown: 34 plays, 189 yards, one touchdown, two missed field goals, and a drive cut short by the clock at the end of the game. Three of the four Miami drives were sustained, with the best starting field position being at the Dolphins 23 yard line. If they don't miss either (or both) of the last two field goals, this is a different ball game. Buffalo is not good enough to take any score on the board for granted.

The Good
Arthur Moats
. The rookie is developing into an impact player on the defense. Credited with 1.5 sacks, one tackle for loss, two quarterback hits, and causing Jake Long to jump offsides, the youngster from James Madison is thisclose to ending the debate on whom the Bills' starting "Jack" linebacker will be next year. What a great draft choice. Moats is slowly becoming Buffalo's version of James Harrison: a short linebacker with good power and speed that creates havoc on the field.

Run defense. For whatever reason, the Dolphins only ran 19 times. While their average was under four yards per carry, the Dolphins are a team that continues to pound the ball throughout the course of a game. This game, Miami didn't focus on the run, allowing inconsistent Chad Henne to throw 45 times.  Maybe an improving Buffalo run defense was the reason behind that decision, or maybe Dan Henning called a bad game. Either way, any game where the Bills hold a good running team to 65 total yards with a long run of nine yards is a keeper.

Compressing the Miami offense. Buffalo's Tampa 2 defense was known as a bend-but-don't break defense (which often broke late in games at the worst possible time). The 3-4 defense under George Edwards was supposed to be a Bullough-Fairbanks defense that played physically, but wasn't a bending-type defense. That's what we saw on Sunday. For as good as Marshall was, his longest reception was 16 yards. The longest Miami play, and only play over 20 yards, was a 23-yard reception by Ricky Williams. Buffalo made Miami work for what they got and took away all big plays. The Bills kept them outside of the red zone and forced field goal attempts - and on this day, that was a very good thing.

Outlook
For once, Buffalo won a game it should have lost. If you believe in karma, this game is redemption for the Kansas City game. Good teams do that, but only on occasion. This should be a main point that Chan Gailey makes to his young team this week. Buffalo's next opponent, and the team that Buffalo needs to beat in future games to win future division titles, won't make mistakes like Miami did.

Next: A day-after-Christmas game in Ralph Wilson Stadium against a very 2004-looking Patriots team which isn't making mistakes, and is simply punishing opponents for their own gaffes. A win against the Pats would not only end the dreaded streak, but show that Buffalo has indeed made strides this season.

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Great write-up as always!

I just wanted to mention how lost the LBs looked trying to cover underneath routes. Poz was horrible in coverage and badly beaten by a Fullback. Moats also took a poor angle on the Wildcat touchdown. I think it’s obvious that LB is the D’s weakest link.

That said, all I want for Christmas is to beat the Pats!

"It’s like I’ve always said, don’t tell me about the labor pains, just show me the baby."
- Buddy Nix

by dnvrBillsfan on Dec 21, 2010 8:39 AM EST reply actions  

Moats also took a poor angle on the Wildcat touchdown.

Wasn’t about angle, it was about job responsibility. Moats was supposed to turn that run back inside, but instead chose to take on Lou Polite’s block, which allowed Ronnie to get to the edge. Moats just needs to do his job better.

Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford

by Brian Galliford on Dec 21, 2010 9:01 AM EST up reply actions  

He was still oh so close on that play.

But close doesn’t count obviously.

YOU ARE OUT of you kuku fufu mine craker laker Flaber baber FUNKI chunki brain. WE want to winn every year -- abayarde

by VanScottM on Dec 21, 2010 9:18 AM EST up reply actions  

agree

and he is showing the athleticism and smarts to lead me to believe he will do his job better.

prediction for 2010 season is 3 and 13

by jpheff on Dec 21, 2010 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Some comments

The Bills are playing with a makeshift OL and give credit to Miami’s run defense. The Bengals shredded Cleveland’s run defense on Sunday, so don’t take the Bills performance against the Browns as what they are capable of week in and week out. The Bills need improvement at both OT positions, that should be a draft priority. Also, Soliai will be a free agent after this season, I’d love to see him in a Buffalo uniform.

Maybe an improving Buffalo run defense was the reason behind that decision, or maybe Dan Henning called a bad game.

It’s probably more of the latter. They are ready to run Henning out of town in Miami. Ronnie Brown is past his prime, and Henne isn’t a good enough QB to keep defenses honest. As Brian said yesterday, Henne bears a strong resemblence to Trent Edwards. Holding Marshall’s longest reception to 16 yards is more a reflection on Henne and Henning than it is on the Bills pass defense.

Moats, maybe this is nit picking for a rookie, but he isn’t that good in space yet. About as good as Kelsay. It looked like he should have had easy contain on Ronnie Brown’s TD. But I really like the way he gets underneath OT’s and turns in, reminds me of Mathis and Freeney on the Colts. Hopefully he can develop another move or two in the offseason.

by Rick A on Dec 21, 2010 9:00 AM EST reply actions  

Playing in space is about awareness and not wasting motion. Moats is too young to have a solid grasp on either.

Starting the official Buffalo "Draft Owen Marecic in 2011" campaign.

I had a dream the night after the first round. Buffalo traded for Tim Tebow. Josh McDaniels is gone; does the new coach like Tebow as much? It could happen.

by Der Jaeger on Dec 21, 2010 9:20 AM EST up reply actions  

As Brian said yesterday, Henne bears a strong resemblence to Trent Edwards.

I’ve been saying this for some time, too. He’s the type of player who, on occasion, will give a team a reason for optimism about his play. Then they ask him to do something outside of check-downs and he flops.

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Fins fans

At the bar I was at watching the game said the same things to me. Couldn’t agree more, he’s Florida’s other Trent Edwards

Circle them wagons!

by B3@$TMoD3 on Dec 21, 2010 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

aka Seaman Checkdown

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Giggity.

The Buffalo Bills, finding new and exciting ways to lose since January 8th, 2000.

by CanadianBillsFan on Dec 21, 2010 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, and i am not sure why

but when he ran off the field at the end of the game i thought of trent too. It was probably just the booing in the background that brought it up, but i also think it had something to do with that emotionless unpassionate look that trent always had on his face after an ugly loss.

"When I came here, I didn't know anybody, ... I wanted to see what true Buffalonians are like. And so I met them, and they're just like me - just very, very real people. They're not fake or phony. They're not fluff."
-J.P Losman

by freddy22 on Dec 21, 2010 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

  • Another bad – Brian Moorman’s punting. The last one was fine even if was a touchback because it went so far, but the rest of his punts were not good. The one from the 45 (ish) that was fair caught around the 22 was particularly bad. There’s been a definite slip in his game this year. The Bills should probably start taking a look at some competition for him next training camp.
  • I wouldn’t limit the bad to just defending Marshall. The Bills D gave up short passes easily pretty much the entire game. Moats is starting to get sacks, but overall the pass rush is still sub-par which I think is the biggest problem. I guess bending but not breaking is good, as well as limiting big plays (the Bills have rarely given up big plays this year), but it’s frustrating to see all those short passes being completed, particularly because Henne doesn’t show an inclination to throw down field (and his clock management on the last drive was pitiful).
  • Conversely, Fitz is getting some completions on throws you wouldn’t expect to even be attempted. Nelson’s TD was the obvious one, but there were some others as well, like the Roosevelt one down the sideline.
  • I realize that Miami missed a bunch of FGs, but even if they were being made I don’t think the Bills were being outplayed. There wasn’t a point in the game after it was 7-0 where I thought the Dolphins looked like they were going to win.

by Pistol on Dec 21, 2010 9:03 AM EST reply actions  

I don't think Miami outplayed Buffalo until the fourth quarter

But, they should have won the game. 3 of the 4 Carpenter field goals were doable.

Starting the official Buffalo "Draft Owen Marecic in 2011" campaign.

I had a dream the night after the first round. Buffalo traded for Tim Tebow. Josh McDaniels is gone; does the new coach like Tebow as much? It could happen.

by Der Jaeger on Dec 21, 2010 9:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Doable makes it sound easy, most of these seemed improbable (except for maybe one of them). They looked really long in sub-par conditions. I think its a bit generous to lay this loss at the kickers feet. This was a miami team, desperate for a win and their season came down to a series of long fgs on stalled drives, not gimmes in the red zone. To make it like the kicker handed us the win is silly, they trailed the entire game. Sure, they put together some nice drives in the 4Q, but they couldnt get it done. If he hits one of those, it changes the gameplan.

by greysquirrel on Dec 21, 2010 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

2 were 48, the others were 58 and 61. That’s not exactly easy stuff. Those are basically hail mary kicks. Even 48 yards isn’t anything to snicker at. Yes I just said snicker.

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 9:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Truf

I think, if any fan base should know, a 48 yard field goal (or 47 for that matter) is anything but a gimme, even in Florida. We found that out a little earlier and a little rougher than Mr Carpenter and Sporano did, but I think they now got the memo.

Circle them wagons!

by B3@$TMoD3 on Dec 21, 2010 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

The whole game they couldn’t stop talking about how he’s made what I think is the 6th-longest FG ever in the NFL. They doomed his day. It always happens that way. Earlier this year someone couldn’t stop talking about how Vick hadn’t turned the ball over. Wham – INT.

It’s the most amazing thing, really.

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 10:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Those were tough FG attempts because of the wind

Remember, we went for it on 4th and 1 inside the 30 because a 44-yd FG attempt—closer than any of their attempts—looked risky. It was a smart move. They miscalculated. Poor execution on the part of Sparano.

"This is a tough gayem for tough peepole." -- Chan Gailey
"The Bills will be bad, but Chan Gailey can fake it pretty good." --Jason Cole before the 2010 season.

by Backup to Farve's Backup on Dec 21, 2010 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

yes, but if he had made some of them Chan's game plan would have changed. Even though it was so close i felt like we were always in control of the game.

"When I came here, I didn't know anybody, ... I wanted to see what true Buffalonians are like. And so I met them, and they're just like me - just very, very real people. They're not fake or phony. They're not fluff."
-J.P Losman

by freddy22 on Dec 21, 2010 3:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe I am mistaken the Johnson TD for the Nelson one

but i thought that was single man coverage coming across the middle at the front of the end zone. If i have the correct touchdown (it just saw the replay on ESPN last night) then i see no problem with the pass. I want my QB to have the confidence that his recevier will come down with the ball in man on man coverage. Trent never did that is why he always checked down. I am not a fitz lover, but i want a qb that throws a ball to a wr in single coverage all day. It is the wr’s job to get position and catch the ball.

by wab2 on Dec 21, 2010 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

The big Miami receiver was the best player on the field all day. If not for four missed field goals by Dan Carpenter, Marshall’s big day would’ve grabbed the headlines.

ya – I don’t like this line of thinking. If he would have made all 4 maybe Buffalo wouldn’t have lost intensity like you said and been more aggressive.

or even the last FG he missed – if he would have made that Fitz and Co. would have had ample time to go down and get a FG.

South Park showed us the benefit of Captain Hindsight

by J2 on Dec 21, 2010 9:06 AM EST reply actions  

Maybe

But what did happen was that Carpenter did miss the field goals, and Buffalo did lose intensity. And Marshall was the best player on the field.

Starting the official Buffalo "Draft Owen Marecic in 2011" campaign.

I had a dream the night after the first round. Buffalo traded for Tim Tebow. Josh McDaniels is gone; does the new coach like Tebow as much? It could happen.

by Der Jaeger on Dec 21, 2010 9:17 AM EST up reply actions  

oh I agree with that.

but I took that comment as you implying that if he hadn’t missed those FG then Miami would have won and as a result Marshall would have gotten more headlines.

I disagree because if he had made those we have no idea what different plays would have been called or the intensity level of our players.

South Park showed us the benefit of Captain Hindsight

by J2 on Dec 21, 2010 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Buffalo lost intensity because they couldn’t run the clock out. They still kept trying to run, but it bore no fruit. Who’d have thought the run game would be the concern on offense?

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

We shouldn't ignore the fact

That we went into Miami, a team still in the hunt for a playoff spot and played to a level of winning and as you mentioned was fortunate to hold on for the win. That does account for something. Still I wasn’t as impressed with the win as I should be and I hate being critical.

YOU ARE OUT of you kuku fufu mine craker laker Flaber baber FUNKI chunki brain. WE want to winn every year -- abayarde

by VanScottM on Dec 21, 2010 9:25 AM EST reply actions  

CRAZY xcited for the PATS game. It is clear, at the very least, that the culture change is in full effect, and like New England in some sense… the Bills are getting alot of production from younger, inexperienced players that are buying into the culture and the strategy. I really like this version of the Bills.

Go Bills because I'm a blind homer... sort of

by killascript on Dec 21, 2010 9:29 AM EST reply actions  

Great write up

I have to say, despite the occasional lapses on the defensive side of the football, I really like what Edwards is doing. He has shown me that he has a grasp not only on the Bullough-Fairbanks system, but the one gap Phillips 3-4 defense as well. Sometimes he gets caught in some poor defensive calls, but for the most part I think he has the defense going in a nice direction. With the great offenses in our division a more aggressive style of defense was needed if we were to compete. I’m hoping to see him use even more aggressive tactics in the 3-4 like an elephant rusher and more packages that create pressure in between the tackles as well.

Remember Chan took Mike Tomczak to a divisional playoff! The guy can coach QBs!

by Mr S on Dec 21, 2010 10:12 AM EST reply actions  

Can we stop with the missed FGs already

How many times this year have we been beaten by last play FGs? These were not easy FGs that were missed. Had the been from the 35-45 range then I would agree this would have been a game we were handed. Other than that, we have been been burned by perfectly executed FGs but this week they were not executed and WE WIN!

If the Bills are to change the culture of the team maybe we the fans should think differently as well. When we lose ppl say we did not make the catch or the D couldnt stop the run, well guess what MIA’s ST sucked this week and they lost. Not the Bills fault, other than to force long FG’s.

We never seem to win……we either lose or the mentality is that the other team lost, never a win. This, for some ppl here, is madness.

by MikeEverett08 on Dec 21, 2010 10:34 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

The great thing in all of this is that the defense was somehow able to keep the Dolphins out of short field goal range. That’s likely a huge key to the win.

In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!

Current song recommendation: Ween "Mr. Richard Smoker"

by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 21, 2010 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I think this has been undervalued so far in the post game talk. The defense kept them out of easy field goal range, and that’s something to be happy about. 48 is not a chip shot. Should he have made one? Probably. But the defense didn’t let the Fins get into a position to win the game at any time, really, and that’s exciting.

by stetzwebs on Dec 21, 2010 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Let’s Face it. The D has had egg on its face many many times this year. This game was a well played Def game. Stopping the Browns on there long drive last week and making them take 3 was a sign that the D is not as bad as they were. They are getting better, not where we would like them, but better.

Stop saying well the other team called a bad game…. How bout we called a better game. Are the Bills to be responsible for how the other team calls a game? They went with what they thought would work, we countered and forced tough decisions.

Excuses for wins is silly. MIA should have, could have, would have but at the end of the day didnt cuz the team they were facing put them in bad positions. That team was OUR Bills.

by MikeEverett08 on Dec 21, 2010 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

2 of the 4 missed FG’s were from <1% range. Those are stops. The attempts were cocky bad calls by the Phins. They resulted in giving the Bills solid field position is all. Maybe they were afraid of the Bills’ punt return unit? the other two FG’s were from the less than 50% range. You hope your kicker hits those 48 yarders but they are far from guaranteed especially in the windy conditions on sunday

by Buffalo Bills VT on Dec 21, 2010 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s a credit to the defense, nonetheless, for the stops.

by stetzwebs on Dec 21, 2010 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

It's great to see this team finally coming together, even if it's late in the season.

Another good point is our young receiving corps showed up BIG for this game. our 7th rounder and 3 UDFA’s showed up bigger than just about any other receiving corps in the league this week.

As for this…

Next: A day-after-Christmas game in Ralph Wilson Stadium against a very 2004-looking Patriots team which isn’t making mistakes, and is simply punishing opponents for their own gaffes. A win against the Pats would not only end the dreaded streak, but show that Buffalo has indeed made strides this season.

TIME TO WIN OUT THE SEASON BABY!!!!

The Buffalo Bills, finding new and exciting ways to lose since January 8th, 2000.

by CanadianBillsFan on Dec 21, 2010 11:01 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Miami's fans let their team down.

Jeez—beautiful weather, a must win against a division rival, and the stadium is at least half empty for the kickoff? Then they start booing as soon as the Dolphins punt. That city deserved the loss.

"This is a tough gayem for tough peepole." -- Chan Gailey
"The Bills will be bad, but Chan Gailey can fake it pretty good." --Jason Cole before the 2010 season.

by Backup to Farve's Backup on Dec 21, 2010 12:26 PM EST reply actions  

I feel like everyone is ignoring something
This game, Miami didn’t focus on the run, allowing inconsistent Chad Henne to throw 45 times.

everyone is trashing henne, but he completed 73 percent of his passes for 276 yards. Maybe that’s why they kept passing: because they kept marching into Buffalo territory by doing it.

"I'd like to thank the good Lord for making me a Yankee. And specifically, not a Buffalo Bill."
-Joe Dimaggio
Gus Malzahn!

by JPH on Dec 21, 2010 12:32 PM EST reply actions  

he completed 73 percent of his passes for 276 yards.

That was the game plan, my man – force Henne to complete throws and make them earn their points. That’s why drives kept stalling for long field goal attempts – because Henne sucks. It’s also why Henne put up a rather sad 6.1 yards per passing attempt.

Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford

by Brian Galliford on Dec 21, 2010 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Moats is slowly becoming Buffalo’s version of James Harrison

I like Moats, but if we’re comparing him to James Harrison he’s a poor, homeless street-hipster-without-a-cellphone’s version.

THAT is why i'm serious.

by Trashplate on Dec 21, 2010 2:23 PM EST reply actions  

I don’t get the physical comparison. I’ve never thought Harrison has looked undersized. Moats looks like London Fletcher.

by Pistol on Dec 21, 2010 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Both Harrison and Moats are 6-foot-tall, thickly built outside linebackers drafted low (or not at all) making an impact in a 3-4 defense.

While Moats is not even close to Harrison’s production, it may come, and the similarities are their.

Starting the official Buffalo "Draft Owen Marecic in 2011" campaign.

I had a dream the night after the first round. Buffalo traded for Tim Tebow. Josh McDaniels is gone; does the new coach like Tebow as much? It could happen.

by Der Jaeger on Dec 21, 2010 4:52 PM EST up reply actions  

i don't think its a comparison of skill as much as the type of player

"When I came here, I didn't know anybody, ... I wanted to see what true Buffalonians are like. And so I met them, and they're just like me - just very, very real people. They're not fake or phony. They're not fluff."
-J.P Losman

by freddy22 on Dec 21, 2010 3:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Isn’t it also a comparison of draft position?

by stetzwebs on Dec 21, 2010 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

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