Draft Pick Value Chart

by biffalobull on Feb 1, 2010 10:14 AM EST

Instead of just pointing out how most draft pick trades we post are unrealistic I figured I would post this, for the benifit of all. This is the chart teams use to figure out if trade are fair. Give it a look.

Draft Pick Value Chart
Round 1		Round 2		Round 3		Round 4		Round 5		Round 6		Round 7		Other
1	3000	33	580	65	265	97	112	129	43	161	28	193	15.2	225	2.9
2	2600	34	560	66	260	98	108	130	42	162	27.6	194	14.8	226	2.8
3	2200	35	550	67	255	99	104	131	41	163	27.2	195	14.4	227	2.7
4	1800	36	540	68	250	100	100	132	40	164	26.8	196	14	228	2.6
5	1700	37	530	69	245	101	96	133	39.5	165	26.4	197	13.6	229	2.5
6	1600	38	520	70	240	102	92	134	39	166	26	198	13.2	230	2.4
7	1500	39	510	71	235	103	88	135	38.5	167	25.6	199	12.8	231	2.3
8	1400	40	500	72	230	104	86	136	38	168	25.2	200	12.4	232	2.2
9	1350	41	490	73	225	105	84	137	37.5	169	24.8	201	12	233	2.1
10	1300	42	480	74	220	106	82	138	37	170	24.4	202	11.6	234	2
11	1250	43	470	75	215	107	80	139	36.5	171	24	203	11.2	235	1.9
12	1200	44	460	76	210	108	78	140	36	172	23.6	204	10.8	236	1.8
13	1150	45	450	77	205	109	76	141	35.5	173	23.2	205	10.4	237	1.7
14	1100	46	440	78	200	110	74	142	35	174	22.8	206	10	238	1.6
15	1050	47	430	79	195	111	72	143	34.5	175	22.4	207	9.6	239	1.5
16	1000	48	420	80	190	112	70	144	34	176	22	208	9.2	240	1.4
17	950	49	410	81	185	113	68	145	33.5	177	21.6	209	8.8	241	1.3
18	900	50	400	82	180	114	66	146	33	178	21.2	210	8.4	242	1.2
19	875	51	390	83	175	115	64	147	32.6	179	20.8	211	8	243	1.1
20	850	52	380	84	170	116	62	148	32.2	180	20.4	212	7.6	244	1
21	800	53	370	85	165	117	60	149	31.8	181	20	213	7.2	245	0.95
22	780	54	360	86	160	118	58	150	31.4	182	19.6	214	6.8	246	0.9
23	760	55	350	87	155	119	56	151	31	183	19.2	215	6.4	247	0.85
24	740	56	340	88	150	120	54	152	31.8	184	18.8	216	6	248	0.8
25	720	57	330	89	145	121	52	153	31.2	185	18.4	217	5.6	249	0.75
26	700	58	320	90	140	122	50	154	30.8	186	18	218	5.2	250	0.7
27	680	59	310	91	136	123	49	155	30.4	187	17.6	219	4.8	251	0.65
28	660	60	300	92	132	124	48	156	30	188	17.2	220	4.4	252	0.6
29	640	61	292	93	128	125	47	157	29.6	189	16.8	221	4	253	0.55
30	620	62	284	94	124	126	46	158	29.2	190	16.4	222	3.6	254	0.5
31	600	63	276	95	120	127	45	159	28.8	191	16	223	3.3	255	0.45
32	590	64	270	96	116	128	44	160	28.4	192	15.6	224	3	256

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Comments

Much appreciated

by Pablo Escobar on Feb 1, 2010 11:05 AM EST reply actions

Rec'd.....

thanks

Yeah, I just stare at my desk, but it looks like I'm working. I do that for probably another hour after lunch too, I'd say in a given week I probably only do about fifteen minutes of real, actual, work. - Peter Gibbons

by norcaliangelsfan on Feb 1, 2010 11:43 AM EST reply actions

I think we'll be refering to this table

quite often in the next few months. Thanks for putting it up.

From trade down purposes (which I will continue to call for until the day of the draft), 1st round picks are disproportionally more valueable than picks from other rounds. If the Bills want to “build thru the draft”, it is imperative that the Bills trade out of their #9 spot.

Conversely, the proportional difference between a 2nd and 3rd round is somehow less than from 3rd to 4th. So, I’m a bit confused with this system. [I’m hoping someone with knowledge can enlighten me.] If I’m a purely numbers guy, I will never trade down from my 2nd round pick, because it doesn’t give me “proportionally” as much value as I’d have trading down my 3rd rounder. (Maybe that’s why the Patriots always try to load up on 2nd rounders instead of 1st rounders?)

The value of a 5th rounder and beyond are again disproportionally low, but I can understand that because most teams might consider these as “throw-in” picks; the system seems to indicate that serviceable picks are only available in the first 4 rounds. However, if the draft is extra deep this year, then it is more cost effective to get an extra 5th rounder.

Bills fan half way around the world

by moncheri on Feb 1, 2010 11:54 AM EST reply actions

I think the last part............

is why you see teams throw in future year draft picks to make any kind of significant moves…..(which the Patriots thrive on BTW)

by norcaliangelsfan on Feb 1, 2010 12:09 PM EST up reply actions

For what it’s worth, I suspect that teams have their own custom made charts. This is the old Jimmie Johnson model from the 90s. And this chart severely overvalues higher picks (in part because salaries at the top of the draft are so high these days relative to when the chart was created).

It’s a good starting point for people like us, but is far from realistic.

The sweet spot in the draft is from the 20-50 range. You’re going to get the best bang for your buck in that area. Signing bonuses and salaries are modest in that range and the player pool is still good.

by Pistol on Feb 1, 2010 12:36 PM EST reply actions