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THe Curse of the Number 3 Draft Pick

• The probability that the first player drafted at a given position is better than the second player drafted at the same position is only 53%, that is, slightly better than a tie. • The probability that the first player drafted at a position is better than the third player drafted at the same position is only 55%. • The probability that the first player drafted at a position is better than the fourth player drafted at the same position is only 56%. ....

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