Bills vs. Jets Key Matchup: Targeting Kyle Wilson
The New York Jets, under the guidance of Rex Ryan, run their defense with two things in mind: confuse opponents with pressure packages, and build a great secondary. The Jets certainly have talent in the secondary, as it features the game's best corner (Darrelle Revis) and one of the game's best pure athletes (Antonio Cromartie).
Those two players match up well against anybody, and that's especially true against the Buffalo Bills. Revis is expected to spend most of his Sunday shadowing Stevie Johnson, easily the Bills' best play-maker at receiver. Cromartie and his lanky 6'2" frame will cause issues for the Bills' second-leading receiver, David Nelson.
With that talent, the Jets have held opposing passers to a 60.5 quarterback rating this season. It's going to be tough sledding for Ryan Fitzpatrick and the aerial attack on Sunday. That said, if there's a spot that the Bills can make plays, it's against the Jets' third cornerback, former first-round pick Kyle Wilson.
There's nothing inherently wrong with Wilson, mind you. He struggled a bit earlier in his career, but has developed into a pretty talented and useful sub-package cornerback. He's only 5'10" - that's why the Jets are likely to put Cromartie on Nelson - so Wilson is likely to spend his time on Sunday matching up against the likes of Donald Jones (if he plays), Naaman Roosevelt and perhaps even Brad Smith or C.J. Spiller.
The Jets will be going into the game with the idea of stopping not Johnson or Nelson first, but Fred Jackson, who has been one of the four or five best offensive players in the league this year. With Jackson the likely focal point of the Jets' game plan - and with Johnson and Nelson likely rendered afterthoughts due to the talent they're playing across from - it's imperative that Buffalo's second-fiddle offensive weapons (a group that includes Scott Chandler, as well) make plays on Sunday.
That group is certainly capable of making plays, and Wilson - who may spend time on all of those players - is talented enough to hold his own. Even still, if the Jets have a vulnerability in their back seven, that's the spot - and the Bills are capable of exploiting that. They cannot rely solely on that exploitation, mind you - it's especially important for Jackson to continue his dominating ways this weekend - but the team can't be one-dimensional, and they'll need to make plays through the air.
Keeping Fitzpatrick protected is the first goal, and Ryan is capable of sacking quarterbacks from the sideline with good scheming. If they can keep Fitzpatrick clean a good majority of the time, however, expect the Bills to target Wilson - and hope that Buffalo's second group of offensive skill players is capable of beating the second-year cover corner.
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And before anyone asks why Stevie’s covered by Wilson in the picture: Revis didn’t play in the first BUF/NYJ game last year. :)
Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford
Stevie was also #3 when they played last year
Evans #1 and Roscoe was bumped to #2 briefly… Good write up- was hoping to see Nelson catching passes over Wilson all day but Cromartie is a different story.
I think that
Wilson may play on Nelson despite the size advantage. Cromartie usually doesn’t fair against tall physical receivers. He usually guards the speedy Wr’s such as Jones. I could be wrong but i think Cro will be on Jones and Wilson on Nelson. Don’t think tho that Wilson is a easy target anymore. He’s a great tackler, if anything the Jets struggle against TE’s, especially with Leonhard and Smith guarding them. So I think that the Bills may target Chandler more often this week. As good as Johnson is Revis will shut him down or whoever else he may face. He has allowed 10 recpetions on 33 targets this year, including 10 PD, 4 ints and a QB rating of 2.9 when QB’s throw his way.
by beefylennox on Nov 3, 2011 2:00 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
Don’t think tho that Wilson is a easy target anymore.
I know he’s not. But he will be if he’s asked to cover David Nelson.
Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford
by Brian Galliford on Nov 3, 2011 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I thought that also
picture Nelson pushing cro around after the whistle and cro crying on the sideline.
Those are some insane stats on Revis
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." - Vince Lombardi
by thrills&bills on Nov 3, 2011 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions
I think it would be a great idea to put Stevie in the slot a lot this game. Anything we can do to put the Jet’s DB’s out of their comfort zone. Nelson is capable of playing outside, (albeit at a diminished capacity) and that would leave Jones on the outside against Wilson where he doesn’t normally play. The other advantage i could see is making Revis fight through the traffic in the middle of the field to stay on Johnson. I would also love to run at him and try and rough him up a bit, despite the fact he is a sure tackler.
The other advantage i can see is sending Chandler early and often straight down the seam towards our old friend Jim Lenhard (sp?). Jim is like 5-10 and Chandler may not be able to outrun him, but he is a mountain of a man, so just throw it high.
"Listen: Tom Brady promotes UGGs — and that’s atrocious — but he’s won enough Super Bowls to prance around in girls’ boots if he wants to." ~ Dan Hanzus and Marc Sessler NFL.com blog
I think it would be a great idea to put Stevie in the slot a lot this game. Anything we can do to put the Jet’s DB’s out of their comfort zone
Darrell Revis is comfortable anywhere, you’d be asking only Wilson to make the change and have him go outside.
And the home of the .... JETS!!!
Now lets get a G-D snack!!!
"You might not like that. You might be very cynical about that. Well, f**k it, I don't care what you think."-Roy McDonald
Yep, see his coverage on Wes Welker.
"I got no problem with 7-9 coming off of 4-12 as long as I don't buy a couch there, you got to keep moving" - Mike Schoop
You mean the coverage that he rolled to Eric Smith who gave up that huge play?
And the home of the .... JETS!!!
Now lets get a G-D snack!!!
"You might not like that. You might be very cynical about that. Well, f**k it, I don't care what you think."-Roy McDonald
No, I meant that he did a very good job on the best "slot" receiver in the game.
There was no sarcasm in the original post. Was just giving an example to point out his ability to cover inside as well as outside.
While I can’t stand the media love fest for him, he is the best CB in the league and will pretty much eliminate who he’s facing. It’s irritating, but true nonetheless
"I got no problem with 7-9 coming off of 4-12 as long as I don't buy a couch there, you got to keep moving" - Mike Schoop
oh sorry, I've taken a few hits defending the team.
That’s the way I feel about guys like Brady, Manning, Ware, Wake, AP, CJ0K, etc. Though I’ve given a nod of approval for Newton, I couldn’t wait to hang him with his hype, but he’s impressing.
And the home of the .... JETS!!!
Now lets get a G-D snack!!!
"You might not like that. You might be very cynical about that. Well, f**k it, I don't care what you think."-Roy McDonald
75% agree
Many people would say that I’m crazy but the key match to win this game is REVIS. I would say, move Stevie through the slot… not in the slot. Design plays Nelson and Chandler punishing Revis. Continue Fred on screen plays. Throw Donald and C.J. as far as you can.
Something is telling me that Fitzpatrick will have time. Jets already know that Fred can dismantle them with screen passes and that Chandler is too big for any LB or safeties.
Cro
Good post, but I just dont think they are going to let Cromartie play in the middle of the field/slot and play Nelson. He is not the best tackler, and more importantly, he does not seem to have the quick hips/twitch that coaches like out of their slot CB’s. If I were the Jets, I would not fool around too much and play the Bills without putting much thought, i.e. Revis and Cro on the outside and Wilson in the middle with LB help when the Bills line up traditionally.
The problem occurs when the Bills flex Jackson and Spiller with Chandler. I think that is when the Bills exploit the matchups. When the Bills go 2 WR’s 2 RB packages and then split everyone out, it creates a lot of mismatches for the defense (run or pass) with base or subpackage defense.
by J09 on Nov 3, 2011 2:31 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
The Bills don’t ever line up “traditionally.” Corey McIntyre gets 5-7 plays per game. Chandler doesn’t even play that much.
Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford
by Brian Galliford on Nov 3, 2011 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Chandler doesn’t even play that much.
nope – only when they want TDs
by J2 on Nov 3, 2011 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions
I meant
to emphasize the line-up part not the package type. Meaning when the WR’s are out wide, the RB’s are in the backfield, and the TE has his hand in the ground. When the Bills have 4-5 WR’s, the defense usually will play with dime packages. Its the slightly exotic formations with route combinations that get teams into trouble with match ups and alignment. I think the Bills will put the Jets to the test with the alignment of Stevie, CJ and Fred. At least that’s my two cents.
by J09 on Nov 3, 2011 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions
definitely
having spiller out wide has been huge for opening up the middle for nelson (and roosevelt). Mind you if they get D.Jones back the middle will be even more open because we will have a legit downfield threat. I like the 4 WR sets a lot, again, even more if D. Jones can suit up.
by billshabsriders on Nov 3, 2011 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I expect to see a lot
Of 3 safety formations this week from my Jets. I read this somewhere but don’t remember where, but I agree. The Jets have occasionally been playing Erick Smith as the Nickel OLB lately with Pool and Leonhard as the Safeties. The Bills from what I understand run a lot of 3 WR formations so I expect to see this formation from the Jets often.
is this the reason
the jets have had such a tough time against the run? Limiting passing and big plays is one thing, but I see Freddy having a field day if they trot out 5 or DB’s.
by billshabsriders on Nov 3, 2011 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions
stats would bear that out
I see Freddy having a field day if they trot out 5 or DB’s.
The 25th ranked rushing D (Jets) vs. the 5th ranked rushing O (Bills). If ever there was a game where you “run to set up the pass” …this is it. Or just run, run, run – control the TOP and both the Jets passing D and their offense are neutralized.
This team is making me skeptical of my skepticism- putting the crow in the oven to slow roast.
As far as Kyle Wilson – I know there is “Revis Island” – but Stevie runs some extremely sick routes – I expect Fitz to throw some slants or fades because even Revis island will get juked by Stevie. His route running is almost tops in the NFL if you ask me
I am not so confident in Stevie’s ability to beat Revis. Maybe on some short, possession-type stuff. Maybe.
Editor-in-Chief, BUFFALO RUMBLINGS®
@BrianGalliford
by Brian Galliford on Nov 3, 2011 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Maybe on some short, possession-type stuff. Maybe.
on that stuff for sure – the deeper stuff i’m not confident either but that has more to do with Fitz’s inability to put the ball in a small window once he gets a step because that window is small and that step only lasts for a short period of time.
by J2 on Nov 3, 2011 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions
and...
it will be fun if Stevie makes a few grabs and frustrates Revis… Not sayin’ it’ll happen, but I think we all know, Stevie ain’t scared, and Fitzy will trust him to make a play…
Stevie is averaging over 5 receptions a game so far…. I would lay odds he gets those 5, Revis or not….
Optimistic??? Of course I am!! I'm a Bills fan, and as of right now, we are undefeated on the regular season!!!
Things are truly looking up!!!
And force Revis into making a deep pass interference call.
He is great.
But not an earth god.
Stevie has to be pumped for this game, and Fitz ain’t scared.
"There is not a loser in this room." Marv Levy.
by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Nov 3, 2011 9:21 PM EDT up reply actions
i foresee a lot of 5 wide rb screens and a lot of chandler in the redzone
2011 author-mod pick'em -poz
I'll knock the bieber out of brady - arthur moats @dabody52
2011 -adopted offensive player roscoe parrish(IR) david nelson
2011-adopted defensive player arthur moats
If you really want to get the Jets going
You need to hit them at the TE position, spread them out and force the safeties to stay between in the box and out of the box selling the run or the short passes.
And the home of the .... JETS!!!
Now lets get a G-D snack!!!
"You might not like that. You might be very cynical about that. Well, f**k it, I don't care what you think."-Roy McDonald
I know Stevie is good and all
but it would be in your best interests to avoid him all game if Revis is covering him. You might get a catch or two but the risk out weighs the reward
I know some of you guys have said it, but some still don't get it.
Forget about Stevie Johnson, he’s on vacation this weekend. Wilson will be tested this week but this could be just as much as his coming out party then it could be his exploitation if you attack him. The kid has skills and it’s just chomping at the bit the show them to the world after he was exploited as a rookie. Revis and him training over the offseason was essential.
If you stick with your money makers, this game is going to be a nail biter for the Jets. Fred Jackson has been a beast for years, I always found it laughable that your organization treated him as a 3rd down back when he was obviously better then Lynch (Wasting a pick on Spiller was equally laughable).
Chandler is another person I expect to have major success, this will be exponentually great if the run game is going. Smith will be thinking another 5 WR run and bam he’s torched deep. I wish you guys the best of luck staying healthy, and I’m glad this game finally means something to both teams.
Solid post
I agree that they should forget about Johnson but I really hope they do try and go at Revis. Wilson has been playing extremely well and I feel confident about his coverage. He may give up a few but he’s always right there on the tackle. The Bills should go to their TE, and RBs out of the backfield. That’s where we struggle a lot. If Fred Jackson has success against us running the ball (which I fully expect as we haven’t been that good against the run) then it will open up the TE and RBs on play action. All in all, I think this is going to be a very close, hard fought game.
"I just build our guys up. If it's trash talking that I believe in our football team, then, yes, I agree with that statement. I'm the biggest trash talker there is." Rex Ryan
by OldJetsFanatic on Nov 3, 2011 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Curious what Rex will do ala Blitz
Fitz is pretty good vs Blitz so do JETS just Rush 3 and Steve Urkle, erghhh Aaron Maybin (Maybin our worst draft pick since Eric Flowers – similarities anyone?) and drop 7 in coverage to take away our split package
That would dicate our running the ball all day – and I like our chances then.
Seems like a day of slants, hitches and screens – and the 3rd and long staple – shuffle pass to Donald Jones or Freddy
We'll mix it up.
We still have Brad Smith, Fred Jackson, Naaman Roosevelt, CJ Spiller and Scott Chandler. Somebody can move the ball out there.
I like to believe this has more to do with the Bills players feeling like they can be something special. They started a year 0-8 and finished 4-4 while taking playoff and championship game bound teams to OT and 3 pt nail biters. All this with one year under a new coach and with a young roster. Im sure they can feel what they are capable of. -poz
Oh man its gonna be a good game.
I have been looking forward to this week since I first put eyes on the ‘11 schedule. Even before I knew we would be going into this game with the division lead I wanted nothing more than to beat the Jets at home. I’m just gonna get tickets instead of thinking about it
This is the one key matchup of yours that I think would be a mistake
Wilson is playing VERY solid this year, especially in coverage and to a lesser extent tackling, he looks nothing like his underperforming form that you’ve seen previously.
He’s certainly not infallible or shutdown, but I consider him to be playing above the level of Antonio Cromartie. IMO Cro, much like Nnamdi, is a bit of a fraud. Cro is terribly inconsistent, has issues in coverage, issues with tackling, issues with holding and PI, and I have about a dozen gifs of Cro where he just isn’t even playing. Besides Donald Strickland, I haven’t seen anyone but Cromartie get picked on in the Jets secondary this year.
With all of that said, tight ends such as Hernandez and Gates seem to give Wilson the most trouble, more than actual receivers. This may just be my perception as the Safeties have blown TE coverage a decent portion of the past few seasons and Wilson usually mops up for them.
Arm chair GM. Mod/contributing writer at SBN Jets blog GGN.
GangGreenNation.com
Could this be the game?
That Brad Smith completes a 3rd and 3, playaction, deep ball to Spiller for……… a …….. TD!!!
"There is not a loser in this room." Marv Levy.
by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Nov 3, 2011 7:16 PM EDT reply actions
I'd love to see that but...
it seems to me Smith ALWAYS runs it himself. He never changes it up. I was saying the same thing yesterday, “If we could get him to throw the long one..!”
All of does who disrespect us and come to our Holly ground will be knock to king dome come and turn to dust in the wind This is our House Holly to the Buffalo Nation. ~abayarde
If you don’t learn something here, you just aren’t paying attention. ~jonramz
we wanted that too... only time he ever did was against the Bengals for like 45 yards.
but half of that was after the catch
And the home of the .... JETS!!!
Now lets get a G-D snack!!!
"You might not like that. You might be very cynical about that. Well, f**k it, I don't care what you think."-Roy McDonald
Brian, this is good stuff!
Articles like these are why there are no excuses for Bills fans to be uneducated about the nuances of football. Our editor has plainly laid out the fundamental beginnings of what a game plan looks like, and if I may I would like to build off of it a bit. The key to winning will be how well we can execute on third downs on offense. Or in layman’s terms, the passing game.
Although I agree that Revis and Johnson will be closer than Siamese twins on Sunday, I would expect to see a lot of slants and double moves as decoy routes for Stevie on this “off day”, you never know every once and a while even the great CBs in this league fall asleep and next thing you know, a big play occurs. However, this is unlikely, but it is extremely likely that Kyle Wilson will be picked on. Nelson, who is still our second best WR IMO is going to line up mostly in the slot, as usual, this makes him especially dangerous in this game for two reasons, this means he will either line up against a LB or a the Jets 3rd CB (Wilson). Although Cromartie may play him more towards the end of the game, (hopefully after the Jets have been gashed a few times) Cromartie historically does not playing in the middle of the field, thus diminishing his value and his ability to do it, so Rex likes to swap him and Wilson if the opposing team’s slot WR is strong. Not only is Nelson a huge mismatch for the Jets personnel, but I think the most under discussed gameplan element is that Chan Gailey will use his RBs in the passing game like he always does. Fred Jackson is a mismatch against anyone in the Jets LB core, let alone the speed that CJ Spiller possesses. Expect a healthy dose of scrimmage yards from the Jackson/Spiller connection. I expect to see the spacing of our offense hurt the effectiveness of the Jets 3-4 as much as possible, especially in the middle of the field. The Jets are a good football team. Rex is a fantastic game-planner on the defensive side of the ball, about as good as it gets. I will be interested to see what wrinkles he throws at Fitz, but personnel wise the Jets are very much a one trick pony. This is why I’m predicting a win for those that circle the wagons. Try and keep a look out and see if portions of this game plan are implemented on Sunday. Cheers!
Remember Chan took Mike Tomczak to a divisional playoff! The guy can coach QBs!
Newton will be a BUST at the next level, mark my words. He looked very pedestrian in the BCS game. He might be full of Athletic abilities but so was Vince & Jamarcus. He can’t read a defense to save his life! - Keysh67

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