Buffalo Bills Playoff Picture: Yes, It Still Exists
by MattRichWarren on Dec 5, 2011 3:19 PM EST
in Buffalo Bills News
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The Buffalo Bills knew going into Sunday's game against the Tennessee Titans that they would likely need to run the table and win their five remaining games in order to be in the mix for a playoff spot. They didn't, and most of the teams above them won.
The biggest shake-up in the playoff picture was the Denver overtaking Oakland in the AFC West. All the other teams and positions remained the same. Cincinnati remained in the sixth playoff spot despite their loss thanks to their AFC record.
After the jump, you'll see the only remaining scenarios where the Bills make the playoffs. It's more than a long-shot, folks.
If the playoffs began today, here's what the AFC would look like:
No. 1 - New England Patriots (9-3)
No. 2 - Houston Texans (9-3, lose strength of victory tie-breaker)
No. 3 - Baltimore Ravens (9-3, lose AFC record tie-breaker to NE/HOU)
No. 4 - Denver Broncos (7-5)
No. 5 - Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3, lose head-to-head tie-breaker to BAL)
No. 6 - Cincinnati Bengals (7-5)
7 (OUT) - Tennessee Titans (7-5, lose AFC tie-breaker to CIN)
8 (OUT) - Oakland Raiders (7-5, lose AFC West tie-breaker to DEN, lose AFC tie-breaker to TEN)
9 (OUT) - New York Jets (7-5, lose head-to-head tiebreaker to OAK)
10 (OUT) - Buffalo Bills (5-7)
11 (OUT) - Kansas City Chiefs (5-7, lose head-to-head tie-breaker to BUF)
AFC Also-rans: San Diego Chargers (4-7), Cleveland Browns (4-8), Miami Dolphins (4-8), Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8), Indianapolis Colts (0-12)
Four remaining playoff scenarios:
- Buffalo wins out to finish 9-7 AND New England loses out AND New York loses three of their remaining four games - Bills win AFC East
- Buffalo wins out to finish 9-7 AND Cincinnati loses three of their final four remaining games AND Tennessee loses three of their final four remaining games AND New York loses three of their final four remaining games AND Denver loses one game other than their game against Buffalo OR Oakland loses one of their remaining games - Bills win AFC Wild Card
- Buffalo wins out to finish 9-7 AND Baltimore loses all their remaining games OR Pittsburgh loses all their remaining games AND two of Cincinnati, Tennessee, and New York lose three of four remaining games AND Denver loses one game other than their game against Buffalo OR Oakland loses one of their remaining games - Bills win AFC Wild Card
- Buffalo wins three of four to finish 8-8 AND Cincinnati loses their final four remaining games AND Tennessee loses their final four remaining games AND New York loses their final four remaining games AND Denver loses two games other than their game against Buffalo OR Oakland loses two of their remaining games - Bills win AFC Wild Card
So... yeah. That's not going to even come close to happening.
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Come ooooon Jets and Pats!
Lose out!!
Oh wait, we have to WIN out???
lol
If we couldn’t win out the rest of our schedule, war the hell would be the point of going to the playoffs anyway?
Ron Paul 2012
by BuffaloBlueBlood on Dec 5, 2011 3:34 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
In fairness
the Jets fall bass ackwards into the playoffs every year, just barely making it by the skin of their teeth, and then hit it hard and get to the afc title game. It would be nice to see if we have that capability, or better.
Not quite true
At 9-7 in 2009..yes they did back in but last year they were 11-5 and had the wildcard sewn up going into the last game of the year against buffalo, hence the resting most of their starters.
by SantonioBurress on Dec 5, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions
Thanks for the history lesson, Mr. Feeny.
Ron Paul 2012
by BuffaloBlueBlood on Dec 5, 2011 5:52 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
but thanks for taking a headache for the team(us not the Bills) to figure this out. And to carry the absurd further. If everything happens as written in bullet point 4, and the Fins go 8-8, wouldn’t they have the tie breaker over the Bills? Just sayin’
"Hallelujah, Noel, be it heaven or hell, the Christmas we get, we deserve"- Greg Lake
Hahahaha
Buffalo wins three of four to finish 8-8 AND Cincinnati loses their final four remaining games AND Tennessee loses their final four remaining games AND New York loses their final four remaining games AND Denver loses two games other than their game against Buffalo OR Oakland loses two of their remaining games – Bills win AFC Wild Card
This is my favorite.
Fitz = M(C)²
"Lets Go Buff! a! lo!"
I got a TROPPer in the car, uhh!!
My favorite
Buffalo wins out to finish 9-7 AND New England loses out AND New York loses three of their remaining four games – Bills win AFC East
I wonder what kind of odds Vegas would give you to vote on this???
Well, I’ll tell you New England has the easiest remaining schedule of any team in the NFL……
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 7:06 AM EST up reply actions
Hurray, the Bills made it into December without being mathematically eliminated
That’s what I call successful rebuilding!
Dreamer........
Dreamer, you know you are a dreamer
Well, can you put playoffs in your head? Oh no
I said, “Dreamer, you’re nothing but a dreamer”
Well, can you put playoffs in your head? Oh no
I said, “Stop playing like a team of Buffoons”
You know you’re failing out of contention too soon
Now there’s not a lot the team can do
Dreamer, you stupid little dreamer
So now the losses out number the wins, oh no
We’ll take a win on a Sunday afternoon
But the losses continue to balloon
We are in the middle of another season swoon
Dreamer, you know you are a dreamer
.
"My advice to defensive players: Take the shortest route to the ball and arrive in a bad humor."
by Goose22 on Dec 5, 2011 3:57 PM EST reply actions 6 recs
I “rec’d” just for Supertramp.
.
When the job is finished no one remembers how long it took, just how well it was performed.
by Buffalo for Eternity on Dec 5, 2011 4:45 PM EST up reply actions
Well
Let’s win and see if these scenarios still exist next week. That’s all we can do, right?
Go Buffalo Bills, Utah Jazz, and Arkansas Razorbacks
OUR KING DOME IS HOLLY GROUND YOU CAN ENTER BUT YOU WILL LEAVE WITH OUT A SOUL - Abayarde, Buffalo Rumblings
Alright MRW, you can stop now. It officially hurts.
"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.
hurts my head...
had to take an aspirin before continuing… makes me think MRW is a math teacher in high school, or teaches statistics in college with some of this stuff he comes up with!!!!
No knock either MRW… it’s a compliment!!!
Optimistic??? Of course I am!! I'm a Bills fan, and as of right now, we are undefeated on the regular season!!!
Things are truly looking up!!!
My brother is a math teacher. I am a music teacher with a love of the Buffalo Bills, food, making solid arguments using statistics, and more!
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 7:07 AM EST up reply actions
The Bills were handed the playoffs this season
Well not handed, but by the way they played through the first half and the win over the pats, they should have made it.
There is no excuse for the 5 losses in a row. The Dolphins and Titans were must wins. They blew it. They deserve nothing.
Lose out and move on to next year.
The bill will lose until there is no shot left, and then and only then will they win games to take away their draft position
"The Buffalo Bills have just exploded all over the Cincinnati Bangles"
-Steve Tasker-
by billsoferie on Dec 5, 2011 3:59 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I disagree
The Bills have been shockingly poor, granted. But even had they won and/or competed in some of the November games there was no guarantee they would be going into the playoffs even with 10 or 11 wins. It’s been a strange year, NFC teams look better but the AFC has more middling teams. A wild card spot is harder to achieve than some division titles (see AFC West and South).
by Billsdownunder on Dec 5, 2011 4:11 PM EST up reply actions
“So you’re saying there’s a chance?”
by buffalo_bills on Dec 5, 2011 4:09 PM EST reply actions 3 recs
“What’s that? Ah — Playoffs? Don’t talk about — playoffs? You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win a game! Another game.”
by agage5 on Dec 5, 2011 4:09 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
Long shot but....
I think it was Philly two years ago that had to have some set of four teams winning/lossing on the last day to make it and it happened, so miracles are possible.
But I would be happy with a non-losing season.
If the Bills were to make the playoffs this year.........
………. that would mean:
Pigs are flying around my house.
I would win the lottery the Saturday night before we beat the Patriots, securing our playoff berth.
If this happens, I will send MRW a check for $1,000 (obviously from my lottery winnings.)
:-)
"There is not a loser in this room." Marv Levy.
by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Dec 5, 2011 5:51 PM EST reply actions
Don't spite me!!
Just for that, its $2000 for you! (After I win the lottery).
"There is not a loser in this room." Marv Levy.
by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Dec 6, 2011 10:26 PM EST up reply actions
The False Prophet has gone underground to hide his shame it appears.
Girls use hair spray, Men don't.
DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!
Don't be a Paully!
by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 6, 2011 6:26 AM EST up reply actions
After the last 5 weeks I fear abayarde is taking souls out on his own! Look out Boston and New York/New Jersey!!!
GET TO THE CHOPPA!!!
by hoosier3 on Dec 5, 2011 7:00 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
It’s the holidays and MRW is tapping into the “Yes, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus” storyline. Sadly, I think we (and Virginia) have a better chance at seeing Santa than the playoffs.
"Hallelujah, Noel, be it heaven or hell, the Christmas we get, we deserve"- Greg Lake
THERE’S NO SANTA?!
"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.
Yes, Santa is real. Our playoff chances aren’t. :-(
"Hallelujah, Noel, be it heaven or hell, the Christmas we get, we deserve"- Greg Lake
But if Santa were real, he’d give me a playoff birth for Christmas.
"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.
So no other AFC fan asked Santa for a playoff birth? I think it’s white noise because all the AFC contenders have kids asking Santa for that spot.
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 7:09 AM EST up reply actions
Playoff Birth
Boy or girl?
Buffalo Bill's are like family to me. dysfunctional mind you, but after some thought, just like my family:) Go Bill's!
by buffalobacker on Dec 6, 2011 3:19 PM EST up reply actions
Brian wrote the headline….. Credit where credit is due.
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 7:08 AM EST up reply actions
we're front runners for the Matt Barkely sweepstakes
and the sweepstakes for that RG3 guy or whatever his name is.
by JJS on Dec 5, 2011 7:01 PM EST up reply actions
I think Buffalo would have to lose out to even get close to Barkley. He might be top 3 by the end of this thing.
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 7:10 AM EST up reply actions
as Ditka would say regarding this topic:
“STOP IT”
I like this picture, and it's caption
as it at least proves the existence of our Offensive Coordinator.
I wasn’t sure he was real; I thought he might have just been a sign of some type of mental health issue that Chan was experiencing… alternate personality, or like, dementia or some kind of imaginary friend…. Snuffaluffagus style or whatever…… really didn’t know.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
Matt, you’re a hard worker. Wish our team was.putting forth this effort.
"They’re a very special group of men. Cherish them, you will not see their like again."
by chaucer on Dec 6, 2011 12:23 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Playoffs
If we I say stay the course, If we lose out I say change the course, if get blown out again I say Chan Gailey’s out, if Fitz produces at least the way he has the last 2 games I say stick with him, but pick up another QB to challenge him next season, if he plays better than he has the last 2 games I say he remains our unquestioned starter this year and next, if he plays worse I say bench him now fire Gailey, hand the team over to who ever this fanthom offensive coordinator is, see what he can do with these guys, try to hire Grueden once again or whoever they can find maybe someone younger ( like that matters remember Gregg Williams ) but maybe try again, oh and same for Nix send him packing with Gailey, give the guy he brought in from Pittsburg a shot in time to prepare for the draft. Yes the draft you know that time of year when we shake off the stink of the previous seasons disappiontments and smell the fresh new hope of a new and better season that we seem to live on, Ralph Wilson and his incompetent front office seem ( definetly ) to count on. I’m not ready to say this season is over or that this staff is done. I’m just ready to deal with it. I’ve been a Bills fan since I was a kid in the early 60s and this team ( players, GM, & head coach ) unfortunately looks to much like the many bad teams we’ve had in the past. Sure we support them but at some point we have to admit the painful truth, they’er just not good enough. I know I know they deserve a chance because they had that one moment when they played well ( 5-2 ) but it’s a 16 game regular season leauge then there’s this thing they ( the NFL ) like to call the playoffs, where the good teams are invited to play elimination games to determine which teams are better than the rest in each division, they are called division champions, wait there’s more, then those 2 teams play one more game to find out once and for all who is the best team for the year, the winner, get this the winner gets a trophy and is crowned champion, I guess it’s some kind of big deal the game it self even has a name a superlative even they call it the super bowl! If that wasn’t enough as it turns out we use to be pretty a long time ago, because we to that game not once but 4 times, I mean 4 times in a row, some sort of a record of accomplishment because it has never been done before or since. Unfortuneatly we lost all 4 times and every sinece then we’ve been looked at and thought of as losers, barely making the playoffs once or twice after that. And then we’ve been on this really great 11 year playoff draught and we lose out we get to extend it to 12 years with out the playoffs! I know we should just be happy, no thankfull Mr. Wilson put a team here in the first place and kept it here all these years. With us being such a small market and all, he’s probably been losing money just like we’ve been losing games, poor Mr. Wilson he’s such a great guy, and selfless to, shame on me for asking him to bring us a winner, or make a plan to keep the team her after he no longer owns the team. Oh here’s a novel ideal I heard he could actually sell this team even though it’s in a small market, and turn his loses into a huge winfall imagine that! There’er actually people out there somewhere that think they can come in make money and turn this team into a winner, and think that the fans deserve an owner who wants to win, who tries to win, who expects to win. HEY RALPH WILSON, BUDDY NIX, & CHAN GAILEY THERE’S THIS THING IN SPORTS CALLED WINNING, IF YOU DO IT YOUR LOOKED AT AND CALLED WINNERS, BUT IF YOU DON’T YOUR CALLED LOSERS!
Playoffs? Playoffs !?!
You’re talking playoffs?
Let’s just try to win a game, it’s been over a month since we have, before we even mention playoffs.
Is writer’s block that bad where you have to write about this fantasy?
Girls use hair spray, Men don't.
DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!
Don't be a Paully!
kind of like rubber-necking at a bad car crash…look away, look away! Can’t!
"Hallelujah, Noel, be it heaven or hell, the Christmas we get, we deserve"- Greg Lake
Good anolagy.
Simple truth, we are not going to the Playoffs.
The way this season is going. we will be lucky to win another game.
Bring me RG3.
Girls use hair spray, Men don't.
DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!
Don't be a Paully!
by The Buffalo Kid on Dec 6, 2011 7:44 AM EST up reply actions
Didn’t suck enough to be LUCK-ier. I truly do not believe Fitz is the answer even temporarily. He IS the Peter Principle personified.
Having said that, there’s 59 million reasons why we won’t take a QB.
"Hallelujah, Noel, be it heaven or hell, the Christmas we get, we deserve"- Greg Lake
I bought a ticket for this cruise ship a long time ago. He’ll look good for four games next year and everyone will be back on top of the Fitzpatrick mountain. I don’t care what they say about his picking teammates up around him – they’re still losing most of their games and he’s not the difference-maker the team needs.
He is an awesome guy, and a cool character. He has everything you’d hope a franchise QB could have, in terms of intangibles. He’s just not a winner, and winning counts more than anything – including one’s character in the NFL (see Vick, Ray Lewis, etc).
"Go check on the ribs!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 6, 2011 9:56 AM EST up reply actions
The Bills playoff hopes!
The Bills playoff hopes are gone. They exist only in the minds of eternal optimists..
Could this have been the most inappropriate thread ever posted on BR? Salt on the wounds, Brian!
"Go check on the ribs!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 6, 2011 9:54 AM EST reply actions
Apologies, Brian.
Matt, are you trying to give us all heartburn!
"Go check on the ribs!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Dec 6, 2011 9:59 AM EST up reply actions
I’m confident in saying it’s not the most inappropriate thread ever.
by MattRichWarren on Dec 6, 2011 11:51 AM EST up reply actions
One thing that escapes my line of thinking is, if the FO was confident in this group of guys we had this year, assuming that we aren’t going to clean up in Free Agency, we really only have the draft to hit big with….If this next year is the “year” that the rebuilding phase has finished running its course…..how much can we improve with our line of thinking on building from within and this unbreakable trust our FO has with certain players. Will Kelsay and Merriman be replaced to upgrade pass rush? Will Florence be replaced to get consistent shut down corner. Will Sheppard be replaced for run support? Will we target a legit top 2 WR? Will they replace Pears or Bell at tackle?……All said and done, I don’t think much changes next year….thus I think the pain is far from over because we are too invested in what we have and what we have is a group of losers!
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