FanPost

"Lose Your Own Adventure" Mock Draft

Yep, it's a "Lose Your Own Adventure" mock. (Does it show that I'm on Spring Break and have a little too much time on my hands?) It works the same way that those Choose Your Own Adventure books worked when you were a kid; you've got some options, make your choice and see the results. When you read those books as a kid you no doubt expressed some opinions as to your fate. Well, here you have a poll at the end. Don't cheat! Choose your poison and then see how it turns out. Then go vote as to whether or not you were happy with the choice you made. Only then is it permissible to read the other options.

In this particular incarnation I am making some different assumptions than in the previous mock drafts. I am going to assume that (1) CHIX doesn't like either Gabbert or Newton as the franchise QB solution for the Bills, (2) that CHIX is looking to help out the defense in the first round and that (3) the rest of the guys being covered in the Baker's Dozen posts (Amukamara, Bowers, Dareus, Fairley, Green, Jones, Jordan, Miller, Peterson, Quinn, Watt) all rank pretty highly on Buffalo's board.

It was reported that Cam Newton didn't do very well on the Wonderlic, scoring a 21. People have pointed out that Jim Kelly and Dan Marino each posted 15s. It's worth pointing out that Kelly and Marino were at the Combine long before it became what it is now-a place where highly specialized training for Combine events is the difference between making or losing millions of dollars. Still, it can't be said that Newton is some kind of drooling idiot. A not-so-great score on an intelligence test surely won't outweigh Newton's college production. It may take a year to get Newton acclimated to playing under center and reading defenses. Ron Rivera has that year and at least two more beyond it to turn Newton into a franchise QB.

1. Carolina Panthers: QB Cam Newton

I originally had Arizona trading up with Denver to secure Gabbert as a hedge against Buffalo taking him at #3. However, Marcell Dareus seems to be a rare prospect. He's big enough to play defensive tackle in a 4-3, which Denver will reportedly employ now that John Fox is running the show. Champ Bailey's return to the Broncos allows the Broncos to pass on Patrick Peterson. The game is won in the trenches and the Broncos turn down offers from a couple of teams hoping to hop in front on Buffalo in order to secure Gabbert.

2. Denver Broncos: DT Marcell Dareus

Buffalo is on the clock and, in this scenario, doesn't particularly want Blaine Gabbert. No other team knows that. Thanks to elaborate pre-draft smoke screens it's pretty much assumed by many front offices that Gabbert will be the choice. Teams hurting at the QB position (Cincy, Arizona, Tennessee, Washington, Minnesota) call, frantically trying to get CHIX to budge out of the #3 slot. The offers shake out like this:

  • Cincy: #3 and #99 (2304) for #4 and #35 (2350)
  • Arizona: #3 (2200) for #5 and #38 (2220)
  • Titans: #3 (2200) for #8, #39 and 2012 2nd round pick (around 2400)
  • Redskins: #3 and #99 (2304) for #10 and 2012 1st round pick (around 2600)
  • Vikings: #3 and #68 (2450) for #12, #43 and 2012 1st round pick (around 2670)

Below you will find, basically, 6 different mocks. In the first, Buffalo stands pat and selects a player. If you think that Buffalo would sit at #3 read that mock. If you think the Bills would take a deal, page down until you get to the write up about that deal. At the end you'll find a poll. As in the traditional "Choose Your Own Adventure" it's really just cheating to read all of the possible scenarios and then decide on a path. Try to think about what you'd do in the Bills war room without first looking at how things shake out. I've dropped most of the explanations for the picks between Buffalo's selections, except where trades have pushed things past where I had previously rambled. You'll notice that both Locker and Mallett go in the first round in these mocks, with a pair of teams who missed out on Newton and Gabbert trading back into the first round to get their man.

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OPTION 1: STAND AT #3

You chose to stand pat. Buddy Nix has said that he's not a big fan of trading down. You might believe that he believes that. Or, knowing that Gabbert won't be taken by Buffalo (No, we don't really know that but we're working on an assumption here.) and that a team trading with Buffalo would almost certainly take him, you're perhaps concerned that the team trading up might take a guy the Bills wanted instead of Gabbert. In any case, all but one of the Baker's Dozen options are still on the board. Von Miller is a strong consideration due to his pass rush ability but he's not likely to help upgrade the worst run defense in the league. A corner or wide receiver seem to be luxury picks at this point. The choice comes down to Robert Quinn and Da'Quan Bowers. CHIX goes with the guy with more experience.

3. Buffalo Bills: DE Da'Quan Bowers

4. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Blaine Gabbert

5. Arizona Cardinals: LB Von Miller

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: DT Nick Fairley

8. Tennessee Titans: DE Robert Quinn

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

10. Washington Redskins: WR Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

12. Minnesota Vikings: DT Muhammed Wilkerson

13. Detroit Lions: DE JJ Watt

14. St Louis Rams: OT Anthony Costanzo

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cameron Jordan

19. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Nate Solder

24. Arizona Cardinals (from New Orleans Saints): QB Jake Locker

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Tennessee Titans (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: LB Akeem Ayers

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Minnesota Vikings (from New England Patriots): QB Christian Ponder

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE Da'Quan Bowers should add some pass rush (16 sacks in 2010) and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense. Another is Kyle Rudolph, who could finally make Buffalo's TE position relevant again. CHIX again stands pat. Because Chan Gailey doesn't make much use of the TE position (in the passing game), the Bills continue to help the defense:

34. LB Martez Wilson

You've come away from the first two rounds with DE Da'Quan Bowers and LB Martez Wilson. You didn't gain any picks but in both cases the Bills took the guy they wanted. The run defense and the pass rush should be improved in 2011, nothing to sneeze at as Buffalo was dreadful in both areas in 2010. Skip down to the poll and vote as to whether or not you're satisfied with how this draft turned out for you before looking at the other scenarios.

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OPTION 2: TAKE THE CINCINNATI DEAL (#3 and #99 for #4 and #35)

You took the painless way out. The Bengals are almost certain to take Gabbert at 3. Dropping back all of one spot has essentially worked out to trading an early fourth rounder for the 3rd pick in the second round. Best of all, all but one of the guys in the Baker's Dozen (not counting the two QBs who've I assumed aren't really on Buffalo's radar) are still on the board after the trade. CHIX wanted Bowers, preferring him to Quinn (who didn't play in 2010) and Miller (who won't help with the dreadful run defense and would split time with Merriman).

3. Cincinnati Bengals (from Buffalo Bills): QB Blaine Gabbert

4. Buffalo Bills (from Cincinnati Bengals): DE Da'Quan Bowers

5. Arizona Cardinals: LB Von Miller

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: DT Nick Fairley

8. Tennessee Titans: DE Robert Quinn

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

10. Washington Redskins: WR Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

12. Minnesota Vikings: DT Muhammed Wilkerson

13. Detroit Lions: DE JJ Watt

14. St Louis Rams: OT Anthony Costanzo

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cameron Jordan

19. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Nate Solder

24. Arizona Cardinals (from New Orleans Saints): QB Jake Locker

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Tennessee Titans (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: LB Akeem Ayers

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Minnesota Vikings (from New England Patriots): QB Christian Ponder

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE Da'Quan Bowers should add some pass rush (16 sacks in 2010) and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense. Another is Kyle Rudolph, who could finally make Buffalo's TE position relevant again. CHIX stands pat. Because Chan Gailey doesn't make much use of the TE position (in the passing game), the Bills continue to help the defense:

34. Buffalo Bills: LB Martez Wilson

The phones keep right on ringing. Teams looking for Martez, like perhaps Baltimore, aren't interested but almost all of the guys teams were wanting to select are still on the board. CHIX again stands pat and starts to look to the offensive side of the ball. TE Kyle Rudolph is a consideration but, again, Gailey doesn't much use TEs in the passing games. He has been known to rely on the pistol offense, however.

35. Buffalo Bills (from Cincinnati Bengals): QB Colin Kaepernick

The draft haul from the early rounds includes DE Da'Quan Bowers, LB Martez Wilson and QB Colin Kaepernick. For virtually no risk and essentially the cost of just a 4th rounder (#99) you managed to add a potential franchise QB to the squad. Kaepernick can sit behind Fitz while he figures out the NFL game. Should Fitz be injured, Gailey can send Kaep into the game using an offense reasonably familiar to him. Head down to the poll and vote as to your thoughts about how things turned out.

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OPTION 3: TAKE THE ARIZONA DEAL (#3 for #5 and #38)

You took a conservative path, but gained a second round pick without having to sacrifice a fourth rounder. With Arizona all but certain to take Gabbert at #3, you know that no more than two of the non-QB Baker's Dozen will be on the board when you pick at #5. You're hoping that Da'Quan Bowers slips through to #5 but you won't be crushed if you get ‘stuck' with Robert Quinn or Von Miller.

3. Arizona Cardinals (from Buffalo Bills): QB Blaine Gabbert

4. Cincinnati Bengals: DE Da'Quan Bowers

Well, it was kind of a crapshoot as to who the Bengals were going to select. The hope was that they'd go for Von Miller. Unfortunately for the Bills, the Bengals have a greater need for a top end DE than for a linebacker. While the phone keeps ringing - teams wanting Von Miller most likely - Buffalo doesn't press its luck any further.

5. Buffalo Bills: DE Robert Quinn

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: LB Von Miller

8. Tennessee Titans: DT Nick Fairley

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

10. Washington Redskins: WR Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

12. Minnesota Vikings: DT Muhammed Wilkerson

13. Detroit Lions: DE JJ Watt

14. St Louis Rams: OT Anthony Costanzo

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cameron Jordan

19. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Nate Solder

24. Tennessee Titans (from New Orleans Saints): QB Jake Locker

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Minnesota Vikings (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: LB Akeem Ayers

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Atlanta Falcons (from New England Patriots): TE Kyle Rudolph

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE Robert Quinn should add some pass rush and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense.

34. Buffalo Bills: LB Martez Wilson

In this scenario, the Bengals didn't get a QB in the first round. Kaepernick isn't ready to be thrown to the wolves but that may be his fate given the Carson Palmer fiasco. His ability to make plays with his legs should keep things interesting for Cincy fans (both of them) while the team vies for an early draft pick in 2012.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Colin Kaepernick

The Broncos picked up one of the best players in the draft in the form of Marcell Dareus. The front seven could use help pretty much across the board. Fox continues to rebuild the defense

36. Denver Broncos: LB Justin Houston

The Browns were one of those teams calling about the #34 pick, hoping to acquire Martez Wilson. Having fortified the defensive end position in the first round - and picked up numerous picks by dropping back twice - the Browns keep working on the defensive line, going with an athletic freak.

37. Cleveland Browns: DT Stephen Paea

The Bills are back on the clock. Kaepernick was taken just after the Bills selected Martez Wilson. Christian Ponder might be a consideration but the Bills already have a more experienced version of him on the roster. The Bills could take the second TE off the board but Gailey doesn't make a great deal of use of TEs in the pass game. With a DE and LB taken with the first two picks, it could be time to look for someone to play RT...but quite a few prospects who play that position are already off the board. There's value to be had at WR and every safety is still on the board. And that damn phone keeps ringing, mainly because Cameron Heyward and Corey Liuget represent first round value to some teams. Resisting temptation, the Bills take an outside linebacker from North Carolina to go along with Tarheel Robert Quinn.

38. Buffalo Bills (from Arizona Cardinals): LB Bruce Carter

The first two rounds nets the Bills DE Robert Quinn, ILB Martez Wilson and OLB Bruce Carter. While Bowers was the first round target the Bills didn't do too shabbily; Mike Mayock has Quinn rated higher than Bowers even though Quinn was suspended for the 2010 season. The addition of Carter also helps assuage the sting of missing Bowers. Buffalo didn't come away with a QB in the first two rounds, missing out on Kaepernick. Scroll all the way down to the poll and vote as to whether you're happy with this outcome.

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OPTION 4: TAKE THE TENNESSEE DEAL (#3 for #8, #39 and 2012 second round pick)

You're taking a bit of a measured risk. With the Titans moving up to take Gabbert, 5 of the non-QB Baker's Dozen figure to be chosen by the time the #8 pick rolls around. Not being sold on any QB the Bills are looking to both get pressure and some help against the run. That spells defensive line, specifically DE. With Bowers the top target (due to fact that he actually played in 2010 instead of being suspended like Robert Quinn), dropping back to #8 all but assures that the Bills will be settling for a different player.

3. Tennesee Titans (from Buffalo Bills): QB Blaine Gabbert

4. Cincinnati Bengals: DE Da'Quan Bowers

5. Arizona Cardinals: LB Von Miller

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: DT Nick Fairley

This worked out marvelously for the Bills. While the Bengals took Buffalo's top target, the Cardinals, Cowboys (via the Browns) and 49ers chose players who aren't defensive ends. While calls come in exploring whether or not the Bills will trade down again, CHIX doesn't press matters any further.

8. Buffalo Bills: (Tennessee Titans): DE Robert Quinn

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

10. Washington Redskins: WR Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

12. Minnesota Vikings: DT Muhammed Wilkerson

13. Detroit Lions: DE JJ Watt

14. St Louis Rams: OT Anthony Costanzo

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cameron Jordan

19. New York Giants: OT Gabe Carimi

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Nate Solder

24. Washington Redskins (from New Orleans Saints): QB Jake Locker

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Minnesota Vikings (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: LB Akeem Ayers

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Atlanta Falcons (from New England Patriots): TE Kyle Rudolph

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE Robert Quinn should add some pass rush and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense.

34. Buffalo Bills: LB Martez Wilson

In this scenario, the Bengals didn't get a QB in the first round. Kaepernick isn't ready to be thrown to the wolves but that may be his fate given the Carson Palmer fiasco. His ability to make plays with his legs should keep things interesting for Cincy fans (both of them) while the team vies for an early draft pick in 2012.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Colin Kaepernick

The Broncos picked up one of the best players in the draft in the form of Marcell Dareus. The front seven could use help pretty much across the board. Fox continues to rebuild the defense

36. Denver Broncos: LB Justin Houston

The Browns were one of those teams calling about the #34 pick, hoping to acquire Martez Wilson. Having fortified the defensive end position in the first round - and picked up numerous picks by dropping back twice - the Browns keep working on the defensive line, going with an athletic freak.

37. Cleveland Browns: DT Stephen Paea

The Cardinals addressed a crying need by getting one of the premier pass rushers in the draft. On the other side of the ball the biggest need is, of course, quarterback. Having missed out on all of the top prospects, the Cardinals know that most of the second tier guys will be gone by pick #69. Thoughts of Derek Anderson quell any doubts about going with another position.

38. Arizona Cardinals: QB Christian Ponder

The Bills are back on the clock. Kaepernick was taken just after the Bills selected Martez Wilson. Christian Ponder might have been a consideration but the Bills already have a more experienced version of him on the roster even if he hadn't been picked by the Cardinals. The Bills could take the second TE off the board but Gailey doesn't make a great deal of use of TEs in the pass game. With a DE and LB taken with the first two picks, it could be time to look for someone to play RT...but quite a few prospects who play that position are already off the board. There's value to be had at WR and every safety is still on the board. And that damn phone keeps ringing, mainly because Cameron Heyward and Corey Liuget represent first round value to some teams. Resisting temptation, the Bills take an outside linebacker from North Carolina to go along with Tarheel Robert Quinn.

39. Buffalo Bills (from Tennessee Titans): LB Bruce Carter

The first two rounds nets the Bills DE Robert Quinn, ILB Martez Wilson and OLB Bruce Carter, plus Tennessee's 2012 second round selection-which figures to be in the high 30s. While Bowers was the first round target the Bills didn't do too shabbily; Mike Mayock has Quinn rated higher than Bowers even though Quinn was suspended for the 2010 season. The addition of Carter and 2012 second rounder also helps assuage the sting of missing Bowers. Buffalo didn't come away with a QB in the first two rounds, missing out on Kaepernick. Scroll all the way down to the poll and vote as to whether you're happy with this outcome.

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OPTION 5: TAKE THE WASHINGTON DEAL (#3 and #99 for #10 and 2012 first round pick)

You're really pushing things. With Gabbert and Newton ruled out at #3 for the Bills, the hope is to get a defender who will both help the pass rush and the putrid rush defense. Neither Bowers nor Quinn figure to last until the 10th pick in the draft. There will be other choices at defensive end on the board at #10, such as JJ Watt and Cameron Jordan. The Redskins' 2012 first round pick figures to be a top 10 selection, and possibly even a top 5 as Gabbert will be expected to play immediately and take his lumps.

3. Washington Redskins (from Buffalo Bills): QB Blaine Gabbert

4. Cincinnati Bengals: DE Da'Quan Bowers

5. Arizona Cardinals: LB Von Miller

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: DT Nick Fairley

The Chargers have plenty of juice to move up the board. With defensive end a need the Chargers package #18, #50 and #89 for #8 and #108.

8. San Diego Chargers (from Tennessee Titans): DE Robert Quinn

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

The Bills have seen seven of the non-QB Baker's Dozen taken off the board before having another chance to make a selection. WR Julio Jones, DE JJ Watt, DE Cameron Jordan and CB Prince Amukamara are all that is left of those 13 total prospects. Buffalo wasn't terrible because of shoddy WR play, Steve Johnson's drop against Pittsburgh aside. While McGee is always hurt and McKelvin is far too inconsistent, DB play doesn't much matter when opposing QBs have forever to throw the ball. It circles back to defensive end, assuming that Jones and Amukamara aren't rated outrageously higher than Watt and Jordan.

10. Buffalo Bills (from Washington Redskins): DE JJ Watt

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

12. Minnesota Vikings: DT Muhammed Wilkerson

13. Detroit Lions: DE Cameron Jordan

14. St Louis Rams: WR Julio Jones

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. Tennessee Titans (from San Diego Chargers): QB Jake Locker

19. New York Giants: OT Anthony Costanzo

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Gabe Carimi

24. New Orleans Saints: LB Akeem Ayers

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Minnesota Vikings (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Atlanta Falcons (from New England Patriots): TE Kyle Rudolph

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE JJ Watt should add some pass rush and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense.

34. Buffalo Bills: LB Martez Wilson

In this scenario, the Bills come away from the first two rounds with DE JJ Watt, ILB Martez Wilson and Washington's 2012 first round pick. The 2012 pick may well be in the top five, which could help Buffalo to either trade up to get Luck or possibly even take him first overall with the Redskins pick. Head down to the poll to vote whether you'd be happy with this outcome.

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OPTION 6: TAKE THE MINNESOTA DEAL (#3 and #68 for #12, #43 and 2012 first round pick)

You're a gambling man; Nix is not. With that being said, if CHIX isn't interested in either Gabbert or Newton the most likely position to target is defensive end-someone who can apply pressure and help against the run. Of the eleven non-QB members of the Baker's Dozen, up to 9 of them could be off the board. While the rewards for trading back are appealing, there is much risk involved. The top defensive ends, Bowers and Quinn, will be long gone and there's at least a chance that JJ Watt and Cameron Jordan could be gone as well.

3. Minnesota Vikings (from Buffalo Bills): QB Blaine Gabbert

4. Cincinnati Bengals: DE Da'Quan Bowers

5. Arizona Cardinals: LB Von Miller

6. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): CB Patrick Peterson

7. San Francisco 49ers: DT Nick Fairley

The Chargers have plenty of juice to move up the board. With defensive end a need the Chargers package #18, #50 and #89 for #8 and #108.

8. San Diego Chargers (from Tennessee Titans): DE Robert Quinn

9. Indianapolis Colts (from Cleveland): WR AJ Green

10. Washington Redskins: WR Julio Jones

11. Houston Texans: CB Prince Amukamara

The Bills have seen nine of the non-QB Baker's Dozen taken off the board before having another chance to make a selection. DE JJ Watt and DE Cameron Jordan are all that is left of those 13 total prospects. Buffalo goes with the defensive end CHIX likes best. (Yes, it could be Jordan over Watt - or even Cameron Heyward for that matter - but I'm basing much of this on Mayock's top 32 and his top 5 by position.)

12. Buffalo Bills (from Minnesota Vikings): DE JJ Watt

13. Detroit Lions: DE Cameron Jordan

14. St Louis Rams: DT DT Muhammed Wilkerson

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: C/G Mike Pouncey

17. New England Patriots: OT Tyron Smith

18. Tennessee Titans (from San Diego Chargers): QB Jake Locker

19. New York Giants: OT Anthony Costanzo

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Aldon Smith

21. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Phil Taylor

22. Cleveland Browns: DE Ryan Kerrigan

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Gabe Carimi

24. New Orleans Saints: OT Nate Solder

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Jimmy Smith

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams

27. Atlanta Falcons: DE Adrian Clayborn

28. Washington Redskins (from New England Patriots): QB Ryan Mallett

29. Chicago Bears: LB Akeem Ayers

30. New York Jets: G Clint Boling

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Derek Sherrod

32. Green Bay Packers: OT Ben Ijalana

33. Atlanta Falcons (from New England Patriots): TE Kyle Rudolph

Buffalo is on the clock at #34. DE JJ Watt should add some pass rush and help out against the run to a degree. The phone is ringing as teams want to pick up someone who slipped out of the first round. One of those players is LB Martez Wilson, a guy who really could help Buffalo's run defense.

34. Buffalo Bills: LB Martez Wilson

In this scenario, the Bengals didn't get a QB in the first round. Kaepernick isn't ready to be thrown to the wolves but that may be his fate given the Carson Palmer fiasco. His ability to make plays with his legs should keep things interesting for Cincy fans (both of them) while the team vies for an early draft pick in 2012.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Colin Kaepernick

The Broncos picked up one of the best players in the draft in the form of Marcell Dareus. The front seven could use help pretty much across the board. Fox continues to rebuild the defense

36. Denver Broncos: LB Justin Houston

The Browns were one of those teams calling about the #34 pick, hoping to acquire Martez Wilson. Having fortified the defensive end position in the first round - and picked up numerous picks by dropping back twice - the Browns keep working on the defensive line, going with an athletic freak.

37. Cleveland Browns: DT Stephen Paea

The Cardinals addressed a crying need by getting one of the premier pass rushers in the draft. On the other side of the ball the biggest need is, of course, quarterback. Having missed out on all of the top prospects, the Cardinals know that most of the second tier guys will be gone by pick #69. Thoughts of Derek Anderson quell any doubts about going with another position.

38. Arizona Cardinals: QB Christian Ponder

Tennessee traded back in the first and added #50 (as well as a 3rd rounder) as well as QB Jake Locker. Keeping him upright will be a challenge as the Titans need some line help.

39. Tennessee Titans: OG John Moffitt

With no 3rd rounder thanks to a trade to land CB Patrick Peterson the Cowboys need to get maximum value for the #40 pick. The Cowboys continue the makeover of the secondary, taking the first safety off the board.

40. Dallas Cowboys: S Rahim Morris

The Redskins had to send #41 and their 2012 second round pick to New England for #28. The Patriots could use some more youth in the LB unit.

41. New England Patriots (from Washington Redskins): LB Bruce Carter

Texas teams love them some secondary players.

42. Houston Texans: S Quinton Carter

Buffalo is back on the clock. The Bills have added DE JJ Watt and ILB Martez Wilson, along with Minnesota's 2012 first round pick. With no third round selection the Bills need maximum impact out of this choice. Unless the Bills take a flyer on a quarterback like Andy Dalton or Greg McElroy it seems like the position won't be addressed in 2011. A fair number of CBs, OGs, OTs, DEs, DTs, and OTs have also come off the board. The Bills are about to add LB Chris Carter when Ron Rivera calls. He can't stand watching Cameron Heyward languish on the board. The Panthers ship Buffalo #65 and a 2012 second rounder for #43 and #99. Heading into 2012 with an extra first (Minnesota) and second (Carolina) is just too much to pass up.

Buffalo exits the second round in this scenario with DE JJ Watt and ILB Martez Wilson added to the roster. Buffalo has replaced the 2011 third round selection lost in the Minnesota trade and picked up extra first and second round selections in 2012. While the QB position has been completely ignored for the first two rounds of the draft the Bills are well positioned to move up the board to get Luck next year....assuming he doesn't have a Jake Locker type senior year. Head down to the poll and let your view on this outcome be known.

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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