2010 NFL Draft Chronicles - Fan Satisfaction, Year One

by The Buffalo Kid on Apr 10, 2011 1:23 AM EDT

As we continue to move towards the NFL draft and the camps of Buffalo Rumblings start to form around their favorite first round draft pick, I thought it might be insightful to look back at how the different camps of prospective Bills 2010 draft picks fared with the fans opinion ,of the team that actually picked them

From 2010, there was 2 major camps of the Buffalo Rumblings Fanbase, the Franchise QB Camp who were pining for Clausen or Tebow, and the Franchise OT who the majority were pining for Bryan Bulaga, including myself. There were also other camps, the Dan Williams NT camp and of course the pick we took in Spiller, who I like to call the in Chix we trust camp. There was much chatter the week before the draft we would take Spiller and it turned out to be true.

I ignored any of the players who were wanted who were taken before we picked. I also have ignored some of the smaller camps who were taken after we picked such as Jerry Hughes, who even Bill Polian seems to regret picking and Anthony Davis who's camp shrunk by a country mile when he didn't show up for his pro day.

To grade fan satisfaction, I gave each player 4 choices of how the fanbase felt about drafting said player after year one. Great, Good, Mediocre, and Poor. For the sake of rating each prospect who was a potential Bills target, Great gets 4 points, Good 3, mediocre 2, Poor 1. Which will be added up, then divided by the number of voters for the final score. Without further ado, here are the results of my fan research for the Draft Chronicles 2010,

Tim Tebow QB

His poll on SB Nation is located here, on the Mile High Report blog.

http://www.milehighreport.com/2011/2/28/2019972/poll-how-do-you-fell-about-taking-tim-tebow-at-25-after-year-1

Tebow received 640 votes

285 Great, 234 Good, 67 Mediocre, 54 Poor for an average score of 3.17

Bryan Bulaga OT

His poll on SB Nation is located here, on the Acme Packing Company blog.

http://www.acmepackingcompany.com/2011/1/23/1952505/bryan-bulaga-what-are-your-thoughts

Bulaga received 207 votes

41 Great, 151 Good, 11 Mediocre, 4 Poor for an average score of 3.11

Dan Williams NT

His poll on SB Nation is located here, on the Revenge Of The Birds blog.

http://www.revengeofthebirds.com/2011/3/27/2074662/how-do-you-feel-about-dan-williams-as-a-first-round-pick

Williams received 90 Votes.

15 Great, 65 Good, 6 Mediocre, and 4 Poor for an average score of 3.01

Jimmy Clausen QB

His poll on SB Nation is located here, on the Cat Scratch Reader blog..

http://www.catscratchreader.com/2011/2/9/1983523/how-are-you-feeling-about-drafting-jimmy-clausen-in-the-2nd-round-poll

Clausen received 125 votes.

3 Great, 49 Good, 56 Mediocre, and 17 Poor for an average score of 2.3

C.J. Spiller RB

His poll on SB Nation is located here, on this very blog.

http://www.buffalorumblings.com/2011/1/24/1952663/c-j-spiller-what-are-your-thoughts

Spiller received 299 votes.

9 Great, 93 Good, 162 Mediocre, 35 Poor for an average score of 2.25

What did this research and polling tell us? Not really a lot, except how the picks the Bills fans wanted last year, fared with the fans opinion, of the teams that drafted them, after year one. It really takes 3 years to determine a firm judgement on a draft pick, so we could see major opinion changes in the next 2 years, but this is how they stand for now.. I just thought it might be nice to start tracking the results of fan favorite draft picks we see on Buffalo Rumblings for 3 years from the draft, based on the opinion of the fans of the team that actually drafted them, and see what can be learned over time.

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Comments

very cool post BK

rec’d.

I’d have to imagine that Bulaga’s votes would be lower if he was on a team that didnt just make it to the Super Bowl at the time of the poll.

Either way, this was a very interesting study and great idea. Thanks for sharing.

i’m sure i’m going to regret this conversation… but what the hell - J2

by poz on Apr 10, 2011 1:59 AM EDT reply actions

I’d have to imagine that Bulaga’s votes would be lower if he was on a team that didnt just make it to the Super Bowl at the time of the poll.

I’d have to imagine, the better question would be, would they have even won a super bowl without him once Tauscher went down?

I think the biggest possibility for anomalies in stats, would be Tebow, he will have huge fan support, until he blows a big game I predict, then his fan support will even out, at least from a statistical standpoint, once he totattly blows a big game with a huge mistake..
.

Girls use hair spray, Men don't.

DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!

Don't be a Paully!

by The Buffalo Kid on Apr 10, 2011 2:20 AM EDT reply actions

It really takes 3 years to determine a firm judgement on a draft pick

Unless his name is Aaron Maybin.

It can always get worse. Let me tell you how.

by Ron From NM on Apr 10, 2011 10:49 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs

I would say

Unless his name is Aaron Maybin.

Unless he was drafted as a sophomore wgo can’t even get on the field by the end of year 2 in the NFL.

It is really rare for sophomores to get drafted as high as Maybin, and to not show anything by now, I think it is safe to label him a bust.

Girls use hair spray, Men don't.

DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!

Don't be a Paully!

by The Buffalo Kid on Apr 12, 2011 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions

Great idea.....well done...rec'd

I will be fun to see how these numbers play out over the next few years.

Anyone but Cam Newton at #3

If you ask a question you don't want an answer to, expect an answer you don't want to hear.

by Joe P. on Apr 10, 2011 10:52 AM EDT reply actions

nice post!!

My prediction is that by the time of your next poll it will be Bulaga (3.25) Dan Williams (3.15) Spiller (2.85) Tebow (2.65) and Clausen (2.1).

My point is that IMO Nix did not go after the flash, but time will show his picks to be solid. Spiller could end up in the top two of this group by the three year mark.

Please base your arguments in provable facts instead of pulling stuff out of your rear. -CanadianBillsFan- This is why talk is cheap because the supply always exceeds the demand.

by jbbillfan on Apr 11, 2011 9:07 AM EDT reply actions

My thoughts on the results.

I was most surprised that Dan Williams wasn’t rated lower. I heard a lot of press early on saying he came in to camp overweight, and couldn’t crack the lineup. The Cards fans definitely seem to feel he came on down the stretch, which was mostly ignored by the media.

If Nix was telling the truth, that they weren’t trying to trade back into the first for Tebow. If they were trying to trade back into the first for Williams, it would be in his best interest to say so, since I imagine Williams has a higher fan satisfaction rate with Cards fans, than Troup would have with Bills fans, especially since it is perceived that Troup was a 3rd round pick and a bit of a reach at the early 2nd round.

The result that surprised me most next, was Clausen didn’t finish dead last. I thought for sure he would finish dead last. You are picking #1 with him QB’ing your team. II guess Panthers fans want to give him one more year before deciding their GM doesn’t have a clue.

In my opinion, I predicted it would shake out

Bulaga
Tebow
Spiller
Williams
Clausen

but that’s not the way it shook out.

Guess we will have to wait for he 2010 draft chronicles year 2 to see how this shakes out in the end.

Girls use hair spray, Men don't.

DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND GROW UP BY NOT USING HAIRSPRAY MALES!

Don't be a Paully!

by The Buffalo Kid on Apr 12, 2011 1:08 AM EDT reply actions