This is a very win-able game. Yes the Bills have caught some lucky breaks in their first 3 games, but I think some luck is due for a team that's had seldom chance to celebrate over the past 11 years. I think the Bills win if the offense continues its hot streak, and on the defensive side they stop the run, and force rookie Andy Dalton to beat them through the air. The Bills secondary showed that they can adapt to the quarterback throwing against them, and Chan Gailey has shown that he can effectively adjust the defense to something that works well against what the offense is doing.
Stopping the run: Assuming Cedric Benson plays this weekend and doesn't start his 3 game suspension for getting arrested in the off season, the Bengals have a very capable back. Hes averaging 80 yds a game with just over 4 yds a carry. However, compared to some of the backs the Bills have faced though, I think there was a much bigger challenge in stopping Charles in KC, and McFadden/Bush vs Oakland. Prediction: Benson is limited to 60 yds and a TD, as the Bills jump ahead early and Cinci is forced to throw.
Getting to the quarterback: This Cincinnati team has allowed 7 sacks so far, but Buffalo has only come up with a paltry 2 of its own. I think this is the game where Buffalo's pass rush shows some life. Look for Kyle Williams to be getting into the backfield regularly, thanks to good efforts by Marcell Dareus and ...dare i say it Shawne Merriman. If the Bills create any kind of pressure, Dalton may start throwing some picks. If the Bills can pick Brady 4 times, they can sure as hell capitalize on some rookie mistakes.
Prediction: Bills offense rolls along while Cincinnati remains stagnant, Bills win 31-14
This is my first post, let me know what you think.