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Evolution of a roster (Part 1)

 

In a recent post, I described the "offensive" players that had been added by the Chix regime.  That post drew the ire of many a reader, and so I have gone back and taken a second look at the the roster decisions made by Chix.  My second look has yielded a result that hopefully paints a more accurate picture of the roster decisions made by Chix on the offensive side of the ball.  For me, it resulted in a more balanced opinion of the decisions that have been made; like many, I am not completely satisfied with the moves that have been made, but do not view the current roster as being any less talented than the one they inherited.  The analysis lies after the jump. 

Star-divide

In order to get the most accurate representation of the roster moves, I looked up the entire opening day roster of the 2009 Bills.  I placed that in the first column.  In the second column I listed the players Nix elected to keep, since keeping a player is just as much a "roster decision" as cutting a player.  Finally, in the 3rd column, I listed the players that have been brought in over the past 2 years to develop what makes up our current roster. 

2009 Roster 2011 Roster 2011 Roster
Remaining Players New Additions
QB Edwards Fitz
Fitz Thigpen
Hamden Brad Smith
RB Jackson Jackson
Lynch Spiller
Omon White
McIntyre McIntyre
WR Evans Stevie
Owens Parrish
Hardy Jones
Stevie Easley
Parrish Nelson
Reed Martin
Justin Jenkins
TE Stupar Chandler
Fine Martin
Nelson Smith
OL Bell Bell
Levitre Levitre
Hang Wood
Wood Urbik
Butler Pears
Scott Rinehart
McKinney Brown
Chambers Hairston

 

Position-by-position analysis:

At QB, Nix has elected to ditch Edwards and Hamden, and replaced them with Thigpen and Smith.  Edwards was unable to make it work in either Jacksonville or Oakland, so his career may be nearing its end.  Smith is a decent pickup for running the wildcat, but has little additional value.  Nix could have chosen to make a run at Vick (before his fantastic season last year), Kolb, Orton, Hasselbeck, etc.  Or, he could have reached to draft someone in either of the past 2 drafts. But he has chosen to stick with Fitz.  A questionable decision we all hope works out.

At RB, they have chosen to trade Lynch in favor of Spiller.  They are very different backs, and Spiller certainly has a ton of potential.  Hopefully he turns into the next Jamaal Charles or Chris Johnson.  It is a position we didn’t really need to upgrade and is the only position on the offense which received attention in the first 3 rounds of either of the first 2 drafts.  Another questionable decision.

At WR, I can admit that I like the 6 WRs we currently have a lot better than the 7 we used to have (with the only exception being that I don’t think we’ll be a better team for losing Evans).  Our depth at the position is quite remarkable, and was found at very little cost.

At TE, we dropped 3 mediocre players in favor of 3 new mediocre players.  Hmm…

At OL, we kept 3 players from the previous regime (Bell, Wood and Levitre).  The experiment that is Demetrius Bell comes with a lot of risk, and losing Butler hurt our team a lot -- hopefully Pears succeeds at replacing him.  On the bright side, Urbik and Rinehart seem to have some potential.

Ultimately, in my view, the success or failure of our offense rests in the hands of 2 relatively mediocre and inconsistent players that were inherited from the previous regime.  If Fitz or Bell fails to perform at an exceptionally high level, the whole team will suffer.  Few, if any, "game-changers" have been brought in.  Gailey has done a lot to develop the talent of the WRs on the squad, but many other positions still need a lot of work.  Admittedly, they have paid a LOT of attention to the defense (and I will address that in a subsequent post), but I personally wish they had done a little more (especially at LT and TE).

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Is better than your other post. However, we are deeper and better at QB. Lynch and Freddie are the same type of back and you start one back. TE’s, we are much bigger, especially with the new kid we picked up from NE. Hairston and possible Jasper could be our OT’s of the future. We are bigger and deeper than we were, and best of all Edwards is gone. Depending on how the Oline and Fitz do, next yrs draft should round out the team w OT if needed, QB, OLB, CB, MLB,

by fanick82 on Sep 6, 2011 8:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Much better post.

I find myself looking at the TE picture as an upgrade. Granted it would be hard to downgrade, but Chandler seemed to be someone Fitz targeted in the pre-season, and Lee Smith has some potential.

New season, new faces, new record? We can only hope.

Year two is upon us.

by Buffalo for Eternity on Sep 6, 2011 8:48 AM EDT reply actions  

This breakdown was much easier to follow. I think a big thing that the old regime did was bring the guys in, but not fully understand how to use them. Just look at Parrish’s numbers last year until he got hurt for example.

by joe r on Sep 6, 2011 9:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I enjoyed this read

Thanks for re-doing the analysis, we appreciate it.

I find myself seeing the analysis as follows: At QB, it’s a slight upgrade. I like Fitz considerably more than Edwards, but he was a holdover. Thigpen is not impressing me at all (I’d almost rather have Edwards as the backup), but Smith is better than Hamden.

RBs look to be a step back, because Spiller hasn’t shown me anything. I think Gailey could have used Freddie and Lynch a bit more effectively than he did. I feel that Nix and Gailey made a mistake drafting Spiller, but that’s been discussed to death. Step back at RB.

I also think it’s a step back at WR, but that’s because I know what Stevie’s been able to do since 2009. Looking at it in 2010, you wouldn’t have been able to predict an outburst like last year. That being said, I would love to have Evans, Johnson, Owens as my top 3 WRs. I like the depth we have this year, but am not sold on the WRs as a group. This is a step backwards in my opinion.

TEs to me are a clear upgrade. They’re better blockers now, and Chandler has shown some pass catching ability.

I don’t blame the OL on Nix as much as other people, since Butler wasn’t his fault. That being said, I like the OL as a group now more than in 2009, but only slightly. Also, Wood has gotten better and moved to Center, so that’s a positive.

Overall, I think the roster is a wash, as you mentioned. TE and OL and QB are slight upgrades, but WR and RB are downgrades in my eyes. Thanks for the analysis!

"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.

by stetzwebs on Sep 6, 2011 11:19 AM EDT reply actions  

With the exception of RB

Every other position has been upgraded

by Winnie33 on Sep 6, 2011 12:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Nice Post

Looking forward to D write-up!

Hey, win or lose we'll look better in our new uniforms! Go Bill's!

by buffalobacker on Sep 6, 2011 1:09 PM EDT reply actions  

I read "Evolution of a Rooster"

I thought this was a Chicken Wing related post.

Never confuse movement with action.
~Ernest Hemingway

by NolaBillsFan on Sep 6, 2011 7:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Nix didn’t make a run at vick ? short memory I guess.

by cencalclassics on Sep 7, 2011 12:55 AM EDT reply actions  

Nope

Good memory, I think!?

Hey, win or lose we'll look better in our new uniforms! Go Bill's!

by buffalobacker on Sep 7, 2011 1:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

The analysis calls the new TE Lee Smith a “mediocre player”. I think we should wait until the guy plays at least one NFL game before hanging a label on him. And, even if the new batch of tight ends is mediocre, it doesn’t take an all-pro to cross the middle and catch a few first downs a game.

by JapanJohn on Sep 7, 2011 8:05 AM EDT reply actions  

you're right, but

he was a 5th round pick in this year’s draft that carried a draft grade one spot below that of Pinalto. Gailey himself said that he is basically here as insurance, in case Martin’s return is delay, since Lee is more of a blocking tight end than a pass-catching end.

Mediocre might be pre-mature… but I certainly don’t expect fireworks out of a one-dimensional, 5th round rookie TE!

by tarvismonroe on Sep 8, 2011 8:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

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