What do you like this weekend? - Divisional Playoff Weekend

by rjryan on Jan 13, 2012 2:37 PM EST

We're winding down quickly and only have a few more chances for a favorite pastime...wagering on NFL games. Let's recap last week's wildcard picks:

CIN+4 - (L) This was looking good up until JJ Watt's turning point pick six.

CIN@HOU OVER 38.5 - (W) ended with the split on this game thanks to this over pick.

DET@NO OVER 59 - (W) I said last week, "I don't care if NO is playing the '85 Bears, they're gonna put up points in the 40's. While I expect DET to make up the difference" Well sitting at a pub with some buddies, I was really hearing it at Halftime. This game looked like the exact opposite. Then - some 2nd Half magic leads to this bet covering easily.

ATL+3 - (L) This was a tough one. Anyone that went with ATL is probably thinking the same thing as I was...YOU ARE A DAMN FOOL, MIKE SMITH! Take the points...3 points was huge in that first spot. Could have completely changed the course of the game.

DEN+8.5 - (W) I was nervous on this pick going into the game...but obviously it worked out. I also took the OVER 34 and covered for another (W)

Season record is now 83-66-7. This week's picks and analysis after the jump.

NO@SF+4 O/U47

DEN@NE-13.5 O/U50

HOU@BAL-7.5 O/U36

NYG@GB-7.5 O/U53

My picks:

NO@SF OVER 47: Hear me out, Alex Smith plays very well against the blitz. NO is gonna blitz the heck out of him. I think he does enough to keep SF in there for most of the game at home in their First playoff game since 2002. On the other side of the ball, NO can score a lot on anyone (see Lion's Defense). I am seeing a 27-24 kind of game.

NE-13.5: Goodnight Tebow...it's been fun while it lasted. Tom Brady is getting up there in age and he knows it. He is not gonna go out like a chump in his first playoff game like the last couple years. He's gonna come out and hang 45 points on them.

DEN@NE OVER 50: On the other side of the ball, NE's defense is awful and we know it. Denver will hang a few early to do their part in getting to 50 total points ala DEN @ BUF (Week 16) and BUF@NE (Week 17). I see the same kind of game.

BAL-7.5: It's Houston, it's TJ Yates...enough said.

GB-7.5: This is the pick I feel least confident in...but, I think GB rolls Eli and the boys at home. I also think there is a lot of emotion in GB right now (obviously with the OC's son passing so tragically). GB is a community like Buffalo... they stick together. Tough times make tough people. I think the electricity in Lambeau is just gonna be too much. Perhaps I read too much into storylines, but that makes it fun for me.

Well, what do you like this weekend? Let's comment away and all cash in. Good Luck!

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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Comments

NO -4. I don’t see anyone stopping the Saints.

Denver +13.5. Tebow’s got that magic. I think NE will win, but closer than many expect

Bal -7.5. What you said

NYG +7.5. I’m very confident in the Giants, I actually think they could win this game if Eli is on point.

Kenny Powers is back!

by atlantalove on Jan 13, 2012 4:19 PM EST reply actions

I liked most of your picks.

NO@SF OVER 47. This game has a bad feel to it. The Saints have proven that they CAN stub their toe on occasion. If the Niners bring out there “A” game, the score could very well end up 23-20 Saints. Which screws everybody.

GB-7.5: “This is the pick I feel least confident in..”
Me too. That’s why I wouldn’t touch this one with a ten-foot pole. Anything can happen.
Eli is really playing out of his mind right now and the Giants front four are relatively healthy. Packers cannot run. So the big boys up front are gonna pin there ears back and try to kill Aaron.
I think you would be better served picking the over 53.

"My new cat just farted on my lap. Smells like Bills football." BG.

by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Jan 13, 2012 4:21 PM EST reply actions 1 recs

excellent points sir

ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE

by ThaRealTruth on Jan 14, 2012 1:52 PM EST up reply actions

I like the over in the Ravens game… and I really like a Ravens/over teaser.

by TrufflePig on Jan 13, 2012 5:58 PM EST reply actions

Went 4 out of 6 last week.

NO @ SF

I may get some flack for this but the 49ers have a great shot at winning. Candlestick (or whatever they call it now) is a crappy so-called grass field, not the track meet Superdome surface. I see this game close in the fourth quarter. Pick ’em. And take the over.

DEN @ NE

Denver just lost their long-snapper, and NE pounded them a month ago. Status quo here. NE might even hang fifty on DEN. I’ll take the over.

HOU @ BAL

If Ravens utilize Ray Rice often then I see a BAL victory. If Ravens try to get “cute” then Flacco will blow it. I stick with BAL. No play O/U.

NYG @ GB

Given the sad news I expect that to help unify GB even more. Take the points and the over.

When the job is finished no one remembers how long it took, just how well it was performed.

by Buffalo for Eternity on Jan 13, 2012 6:03 PM EST reply actions

Nice week for me. Got 3 out of 4 games correct and three overs to go 6 of 7.

When the job is finished no one remembers how long it took, just how well it was performed.

by Buffalo for Eternity on Jan 15, 2012 7:54 PM EST up reply actions

I went 6 out of 7 last week

I missed the ATL +3 pick.

This week I have
NO -4 and NO/SF under 47
NE -13.5 and NE/Den over 50
Hou +7.5 and Hou/Bal over 36
GB/NYG over 53… no play on either team

I expect GB and Bal to win. Don’t think either will cover though.

"First souls collected" - Abayarde, 9/11/11

by MJuice23 on Jan 13, 2012 7:54 PM EST reply actions

I never thought I'd say this (especially twice in 1 season) but... GO PATS!!!!!

I can’t stand Tebowmania BS and wish it would just die already. So common Tom, carve up that D. The Steelers were overconfident and Lazy last week. The Pats wont do that same mistake.

Also…

GO Baltimore! Because I need someone that can beat the Pats next week and I know that you guys can do it!

As for the NFL? It’s going to be a GB/NO Conference finals.

by CanadianBillsFan on Jan 13, 2012 8:23 PM EST reply actions

As for the ~~NFL~~ NFC?

by CanadianBillsFan on Jan 13, 2012 8:23 PM EST up reply actions

Haha, I can’t believe you hate the Tebow talk so much that you’re rooting for the Pats…

"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.

by stetzwebs on Jan 13, 2012 9:00 PM EST up reply actions

No sh%t. C’mon CBF. If the Fighting Tebows win, we won’t have to worry about the Ravens beating the Pats.
Because they will be one and done for the 3rd year in a row.
With a bye week.
“These things are good: ice cream and cake, a ride on a harley, seeing monkeys in the trees, the rain on my tongue, the sun shining on my face, Tom Brady being repeatedly sacked, and the Patsies losing. These things are a drag: dust in my hair, holes in my shoes, no money in my pocket, NFL blackouts, the Bills losing, and the sun shining on my face.”

"My new cat just farted on my lap. Smells like Bills football." BG.

by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Jan 13, 2012 9:29 PM EST up reply actions

Unlike most Bills fans, I actually have a lot of respect for the Pats. They are a terrific team year in and year out because they know how to build, sustain, and build around their best player. Ok it helps that their best player is also the best QB of his generation, but thems the breaks.

I think most of the hate for the Pats comes from two things: Spygate (which all the hate is warranted), and gelousy (mostly for Brady). I do hate what spygate brought them (1 SB), but the other championships they won clean (as far as we know).

Meanwhile to me Tebowmania needs to die. It is offensive to me on many different levels, most of which have nothing to do with football. As you can probably guess the none football related ones have to do with religion. So to avoid going too deep into the subject and starting that convo again I’ll just sum it up with one simple thought and 1 link: to me it is offensive to imply that God plays favorites when it comes to football (and as promised here’s the link for comic relief). But the real reason why I hate Tebowmania is that it takes away from great football that the Broncos are playing. Their D is of championship caliber right now, and their running O is very good. The only reason that Tebow threw for 316 yards is because the Steelers D was overconfident, notice how over half those yards were after that catch? That’s more on Tebow’s receivers than Tebow himself.

Tebow himself is a below average QB, with lots of charisma and leadership and a huge following that has nothing to do with his play. Personally I can’t stand it. So yes I’d rather see the Pats win and let them take their chances against the Ravens than see Tebowmania for 1 more week.

by CanadianBillsFan on Jan 14, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions

but the other championships they won clean (as far as we know).

Cough tuck rule cough.

When the job is finished no one remembers how long it took, just how well it was performed.

by Buffalo for Eternity on Jan 14, 2012 1:27 PM EST up reply actions

Home team

Just like last week i would go with the home team in all the games except one. Denver will keep it close for the 1st half by running the ball but once the pats get up its gonna be tough for denver to catch up. pats 37-17. san fran is gonna shut down brees and company by playing smash mouth football. Also brees blows on the road. san fran 24-21. baltimore crushes the texans. 44-6. and the only game im going against the home team is the giants to cover the spread but lose the game 35-31. stay away from the over unders. good luck

by koozyburger on Jan 13, 2012 11:44 PM EST reply actions

But with your scoring scenarios, all but one over looks good.

by rjryan on Jan 14, 2012 8:28 AM EST via mobile up reply actions

Rogers is going down.

GB-7.5: This is the pick I feel least confident in…but, I think GB rolls Eli and the boys at home. I also think there is a lot of emotion in GB right now (obviously with the OC’s son passing so tragically). GB is a community like Buffalo… they stick together. Tough times make tough people. I think the electricity in Lambeau is just gonna be too much. Perhaps I read too much into storylines, but that makes it fun for me.

I like GB to lose, not because of logic…..but because of that horrible discount double check insurance commercial :).