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Buffalo Bills' Brad Smith: Lockout Limited His Effectiveness

Soon after the NFL lockout ended last summer, the Buffalo Bills signed free agent do-everything weapon Brad Smith to a four-year, $15 million contract. The idea of the signing: get as much value as possible out of a third quarterback roster spot that, in previous seasons, wasn't allowed to play on game days.

Smith did not have a particularly effective first year in Buffalo. Injuries forced him to play more receiver than anticipated; he caught 23 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown. The playing time there limited his opportunities as a Wildcat quarterback (20 carries, 87 yards, 1 TD), and his 18.8-yard kick return average was a monumental disappointment following a 29.0-yard average over the past two seasons.

Still, there aren't many No. 3 quarterbacks in the league that do what Smith does, or even produce the meager numbers Smith produced. Smith on Sunday (to SiriusXM radio) repeated something that head coach Chan Gailey has said previously about Smith's first season in Buffalo: the lockout limited the ways in which the Bills could use Smith offensively.

What are you expecting out of Brad Smith in the 2012 season, Bills fans?

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More of the same, unfortunately.

"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.

by stetzwebs on Jan 30, 2012 11:18 AM EST reply actions  

I will stay opimistic

Early in the season I thought Smith was very effective in the Wildcat. And when I use the term “effective” it seemed as if each of his carries resulted in a first down. As injuries forced him to play more WR, we saw much less of the Wildcat formation.

If he can remain an effective Wildcat option, while also serving as a solid back-up WR and occasional KR – that will be fine with me.

by MarinoTheBill on Jan 30, 2012 11:29 AM EST reply actions  

Rec'd

It seem like we couldn’t get a 3 and short to save our lives last season. I really thought in the pre season this was going to be huge for us…

by doctork44 on Jan 30, 2012 1:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I know that I am in the minority for Brad Smith but I thought he played well for us, especially in the begining of the season. For the first 4-5 games 3rd & 2 or less were “automatic” for this team with Smith running very basic wildcat plays. He averaged over 4 yds a cary when everyone knew he was going to run.

When WR’s started to drop like flies Chan had a choice to put a rookie or 2nd year WR in the lineup or a vetran like Smith. By playing him at WR full time the WC became a thing of the past. As far as his production at WR, I thought it was acceptable considering he wasn’t brought in here to be a #2 WR.

I know a lot of you hate the WC and I don’t want to see it all the time but its hard to argue with the initial success it had. I imagine that early in the offseason workouts the Bills will spend some quality time devoloping a more comprehensive package not only for 3rd downs but also for the final 4 mins of a game when we need to run out the clock.

On the flip side I was very dissapointed in his KO returns. He seemed to run very hesitant on the few KO’s that he returned. I don’t know if this was just a lack of knowledge of your teammates or a lack of trust. I don’t want to write him off as an option for KO’s but he is definetly not the first option right now.

by Honestabe75 on Jan 30, 2012 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

I was doing some research on short yardage situations

You are right Smith had three attempts at (2nd or 3rd and 2 or less) in the first two games. He converted all of them. I have only gotten throught week five but he did not get any more attempts at short yardage through then and only two wildcats of any kind in week three. No wildcat in week four but four wildcat attempts in week 5,6 and 8 each, but none for short yardage. He only got one more wildcat in week 12 for the rest of the year as he was being used as a WR by that time. He was perfect at the short yardage stuff in the first two games, but for whatever reason never got any more oppertunities after that even when he was not being used as a number two WR until week 12.

I am all for seing more of him in 2012 especially if they let him throw some short passes to keep the defense honest.

Please base your arguments in provable facts instead of pulling stuff out of your rear. -CanadianBillsFan- This is why talk is cheap because the supply always exceeds the demand.

by jbbillfan on Jan 30, 2012 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Thank you Brian

For explaining why we picked him in such plain language. Smith’s signing had, until now, seemed very odd to me. The rule change! Of course! I feel Much better about his signing now. To answer your prediction question, I’m going to say that ALL of his numbers rise, except (hopefully) WR, as I hope he will not be needed nearly as much. Also, this realization gives Nix and Gailey a few more “good job” points, in my book.

"This is what happens Larry!, This is what happens! "-Walter Sobchak" "Did we give up when the germans bombed pearl harbor!!??"-John Belushi

by BigEasyBillsKrewe on Jan 30, 2012 11:38 AM EST reply actions  

his 18.8-yard kick return average was a monumental disappointment following a 29.0-yard average over the past two seasons.

Could this be contributed to the new kick-off rule?

Wasn’t a big fan of him on the outside. His wildcard looks were effective. And I wish he wouldve attempted a couple of the passes that looked to be there.

I expect him to get more looks like he did in the beggining of the year last year. People will gripe about how much we are paying him. But until we get near the cap, i dont see the problem. As long as he can help this team in the slightest.

Shun the non Billievers!

by Superduff on Jan 30, 2012 11:38 AM EST reply actions  

Mostly agreed. I didn’t think he did too bad at WR (all things considered). He’s certainly not the long-term solution, but IMO we didn’t go into the season with a long-term solution so I didn’t anticipate a few injuries to change that.

Official ledge-talker-offer of the Buffalo Bills.
Citi Field loves the mets so much it smothers them. -the caveman

by WhyBillsWhy on Jan 30, 2012 2:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Thought same thing

(new rule). Also, I’m not sure most of us dislike the WC, it does work. It’s just, well, boring.

"This is what happens Larry!, This is what happens! "-Walter Sobchak" "Did we give up when the germans bombed pearl harbor!!??"-John Belushi

by BigEasyBillsKrewe on Jan 30, 2012 11:41 AM EST reply actions  

altering prediction

What I mean’t about Smiths WR numbers…. of course I WANT them to rise, just in say, a lot less plays;)

"This is what happens Larry!, This is what happens! "-Walter Sobchak" "Did we give up when the germans bombed pearl harbor!!??"-John Belushi

by BigEasyBillsKrewe on Jan 30, 2012 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Properly used

Brad Smith has a fantastic role to play with this team, extending drives and getting yards when they are needed via the option. If we can keep out of 3rd and long, by having success on early running downs, or Fitz ’s short passing game, Smith becomes a critical weapon, rather than an injury fill-in.

Just once I’d like to see him out of the wild-cat on 3rd and long, with Fitz split wide, hand it off to Fitz on the reverse, and have Fitz toss a perfect strike to Smith in the end zone.

by NoiseIsTheBestRevenge on Jan 30, 2012 11:51 AM EST reply actions  

His biggest problem...

Smith was effective, but only when he was decisive… which was about 50/50. It didn’t matter whether it was the wildcat or a kick return, but you never knew if you would get Decisive Smith or Hesitant Smith. When decisive, he would quickly plow ahead for yards, and these almost always resulted in first downs or better kick returns. When he was indecisive, he would dance around too much, resulting in a bad run or a kick return that looked like he had a parachute attached to his back.

The issue I have with the wildcat is that they almost exclusively used it to run the ball. Once it becomes that predictable, it’s trivial to stop. All you have to do is stuff the box. This is what happened in Miami and why it lost its effectiveness there.

On the whole, I would much rather see some of Gailey’s supposed creativity by having Smith do more end arounds and reverses, occasionally using that as a way to work in the option to pass. Same thing with Fred Jackson. We know he can throw the ball, but when was the last time he did it? I have to admit that while I am still a fan of Gailey, I am disappointed by the predictability and lack of imagination in the play calling.

by SiriusRed on Jan 30, 2012 12:09 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

was the plowing ahead because he saw daylight and the hesitancy because he didn’t?

I had a drink the other day
Opinions were like kittens
I was giving them away
-Modest Mouse

by oompaloompa on Jan 30, 2012 1:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think so

He seemed to be Jekyll and Hyde when it came to the wildcat. When decisive, he would put his head down, put his free hand on the back of the guard, and plow ahead for yardage. When indecisive, he would keep his head up and spend most of his time dancing side-to-side while waiting for a running lane to open up. It was like he was two completely different people.

by SiriusRed on Jan 30, 2012 2:15 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I was being a little cute. Oh, what this Bills fan is driven to for kicks….

I actually did notice that he was inconsistent but never put much thought into it. He didn’t dance like Lynch used to, but you have a point. I just chalked it up to overall team ineptitude.

One of these days maybe I’ll go back and watch some games from the season. Right about when I decide I should go and get that serious dental work I need done.

I had a drink the other day
Opinions were like kittens
I was giving them away
-Modest Mouse

by oompaloompa on Jan 30, 2012 5:21 PM EST up reply actions  

goofy signing

I expect mostly the same. I tried to talk myself into Smith’s signing (mostly because Jets’ fans really loved the guy), but deep down I always suspected it was a strange move. A bad team that has holes everywhere and a history of frugality in free agency spends lavishly on a hood ornament like Smith? Weird. Add in the fact that much of Smith’s value was at kick returner and the NFL was actively seeking to eliminate kick returns and Nix comes off looking confused yet again. I doubt Smith finishes his contract at this point. He’ll go down as another misguided move by Buffalo’s floundering braintrust that is led by a GM who has no real plan.

"There's only one C.J. Spiller." -Buddy Nix

by Port Royal on Jan 30, 2012 12:12 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

. I doubt Smith finishes his contract at this point.

as do I. Not to mention that he is not a good kick returner. Isn’t that what late round draft picks like Rodgers is for? Oh wait, we’re Bills fans, that’s what 1st round picks and high priced FA’s are for. My fault!

I’m not buying this one bit. First Gailey is suppose to be an offensive guru – how hard can it be for a guy who’s job for the past 2 decades is offense yet he fails to get a player 5 or 10 touches a game? Considering how hard it was for him to find touches for Spiller even I have to think that’s gailey sucking it up again.

Plus, Smith was actually better at the first half of the year than later on. Why did we stop the Wildcat stuff when it was good for short yardage situations?

I don’t think the lockout hurt his usage – I think Gailey stopped using him properly and then just forgot about him because he was trying to find 50 plays for Fitz to be successful passing the ball.

I love this plan! I'm excited to be a part of it! LET'S DO IT! - Venkman

by J2 on Jan 30, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I think what Chan meant was in the passing game.

It was easy to put Smith in the game in the wildcat and say find a crease and run the ball for whatever you can get. That takes almost no offseason prep and practice. It is just using Smith’s talent. On the other hand to take a guy like Smith that has little experience throwing the ball and put him in a new offense and expect him to know all the routs, and all the plays is what I think Chan meant by saying that they were limited. This is why he seldom threw the ball.

Next year I expect the same plus a little more. 5-7 wildcat plays a game with 2-3 short yardage plays and 1-2 pass plays just to keep the defense honest. These pass plays dont have to be big throws just short throws to Nelson or Chandler(big targets) or to Fred or CJ out of the backfield. I also am glad that he is capeable of playing WR in a pinch as we need a fistfull of them when you play a lot of four wide. I hope that next year he is #6 on the depth chart as WR as it is obvious that Chan did not want him running the wildcat and playing WR in the same games as he only had stats for both in two games last year.

Please base your arguments in provable facts instead of pulling stuff out of your rear. -CanadianBillsFan- This is why talk is cheap because the supply always exceeds the demand.

by jbbillfan on Jan 30, 2012 1:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I still dont understand

why they stopped using him on 3rd and short, it worked almost everytime.

It would be nice to have that extra cash this year for Mario or Vincent

"The Buffalo Bills have just exploded all over the Cincinnati Bangles"
-Steve Tasker-

by billsoferie on Jan 30, 2012 12:47 PM EST reply actions  

Reasons why ("excuses for") Bills missed playoffs in 2011:

1.) Team was overcome by absurdly high number of injuries, leading to poor play from backps.
2.) Ryan Fitzpatrick played the 2nd half of season although badly injured, leading to poor play from Fitzpatrick.
3.) The NFL lockout limited Brad Smith’s effectiveness in the offense, leading to Smith not contributing fully to team.

Any others for 2011?

Any estimates on what these reasons (“excuses”) will be for missing the playoffs next year? Here are some of the ones I think:

1.) Change to 4-3 defense and first-year defensive coordinator Dave Wannstedt means defense needs some time to learn and gain experience in new system, leading to poor play defensively.
2.) Loss of Stevie Johnson in offseason left Bills scrambling to adequately replace him, (but who could have known that team X would throw that much money at Stevie Johnson? Team X can have him at that price!), leading to an offense lacking in big plays AND part of the reason for Fitzpatrick’s up and down season.
3.) Fred Jackson, angry that the Bills did not redo his contract prior to the season, publicly demands to be traded, causing a distraction to the team, leading to poor play.
4.) Buddy Nix, in attempting to satisfy Ralph Wilson’s request to acquire “some tight ends that don’t get injured”, signs Wolverine from the X-Men, citing his ability to “recover from virtually any wound, disease or toxin at an accelerated rate” and also his ability to “chop block”. Wolverine is tossed from the first game for seriously wounding 3 defensive linemen with his sharp claws, and subsequently suspended from all league play by the Roger Goodell (Wolverine’s appeal to the league, citing that Ndamukong Suh
has performed worse actions without a league suspenion, was denied. The Commish was later found unresponsive with claw marks all over body.) Somehow this lead to poor play.
5.) And of course, as with all Buffalo sports teams, an absurd amount of injuries, leading to poor play.

"WHEN THE WAGON BLASTER TAKES OFF dont try to get in. THE SPACESES ARE LIMITED FOR WINNING ATTITUDE GODZILLA IS COMING GET READY" - abayarde

by StroudFanClub on Jan 30, 2012 1:25 PM EST reply actions   3 recs

HAHA

Only 5.) will be a legitamate excuse for next year and the first four all have about the same odds of happening.

Please base your arguments in provable facts instead of pulling stuff out of your rear. -CanadianBillsFan- This is why talk is cheap because the supply always exceeds the demand.

by jbbillfan on Jan 30, 2012 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I buy the lockout and injuries explanation.

I choose to believe that they do have a Kordell Stewart type plan for Smith. It is consistent with Gailey’s comments about what he sees as the future of the QB position.

With that said, I think the guys who point out Gailey seems to have a hard time utilizing all the talent on his roster is a little too true. Spiller and Smith being these examples.

I had a drink the other day
Opinions were like kittens
I was giving them away
-Modest Mouse

by oompaloompa on Jan 30, 2012 1:38 PM EST reply actions  

Smith

got some big hits early in the season despite converting on a few 3rd and shorts, I wonder if that dissuaded Gailey from continuing to use him in such a fashion down the stretch.

Check out http://mocknfldrafts.blogspot.com/

by Billsdownunder on Feb 1, 2012 5:03 PM EST reply actions  

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