2012 NFL Draft: Brandon Weeden's Stock Is Rising
There is a rather large contingent of Buffalo Bills fans that, despite the long odds, are desperately clinging to the hope that their favorite team will draft a "franchise quarterback" with the No. 10 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft - or, at minimum, a developmental quarterback prospect somewhere. One name that group of fans (and everyone, really) should be paying attention to: Brandon Weeden of Oklahoma State.
Weeden's had a good college career and a better week at the 2012 Senior Bowl. In his last two years in the Big 12, Weeden completed 69.8 percent of his passes for 9,004 yards with 71 touchdowns and 26 interceptions. In Mobile, Weeden made a strong on-field impression with Mike Mayock, the go-to guy for pre-draft prospect talk, and also in meeting rooms with teams. As Peter King points out, Weeden's is perhaps the most compelling pre-draft story to follow this spring.
Why, you ask? Simple: the former pro baseball prospect will turn 29 years old in October of his rookie season.
Ryan Fitzpatrick will be 30 in November; Tyler Thigpen turns 28 in April. Weeden would fit comfortably between them age-wise. Set aside Fitzpatrick's contract and focus on Buffalo's second-round pick; would you be OK with the Bills taking a polished, productive quarterback prospect like Weeden, even at his current age?
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YES
Yes, yes please, thank-you.
The Sum Of A Franchise Is Directly Proportionate To The Talent Of Franchise's QB. Get A QB OBD!
No
With fritz new contract the answer will be no. They will not sign a new contract wit fritz then draft someone to replace him rite away.. Waste of money..they will draft a young prospect to be fritz backup for a couple years… Weeden is too old and can’t wait a couple years
by Mk209 on Jan 30, 2012 9:15 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
NO
big 12 = no defense take a developmental youth and rebuild the sieve we call Buffalos defense
by ONEREALMAN on Jan 31, 2012 12:18 AM EST via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
here here
hahahaha
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 12:20 AM EST up reply actions
I THIRD that motion ..
RED HULK: Pos: OLB, Height: 6'4, Weight: 1,040 .. 0.5 ON THE 40 ... uummm looks like we found our NEW OLB BOYS!
by khameleon59 on Jan 31, 2012 12:45 AM EST up reply actions
And sec= no qbs.
"This is a chance to shine some light on the city, They say it’s too cold. I’m going to bring some warmth to it." Marcell Dareus
by matthew62 on Jan 31, 2012 8:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
No,
Rather a younger guy with more upside…can’t get pass his age. He’ll be 29 this year and will have a pretty short career…this has Chris Weinke written all over it..I’ll pass
by doctork44 on Jan 30, 2012 7:56 PM EST via mobile reply actions 2 recs
agreed, and he was only a 4th rounder.
Too much risk for a high 2nd rounder. It also then puts obvious pressure on the Bills to start him because he would clearly NOT be a devolepmental project at that age !
The Buffalo Bills - Drafting big and nasty men since 2011.
Yes
But then, I’ve always said yes. QBs don’t suddenly die when they turn 30, and more and more rookies are coming out and killing it nowadays.
But he’s not a 22 year-old rookie. His body will react differently to being hit as someone 8 years older than traditional rookies. It isn’t the fact that he’s 30 and has a ton of mileage on the odometer, it’s that the human body reacts differently to stress once you hit 30.
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by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 9:50 AM EST up reply actions
No
Not with a high second rounder anyway ! Lets say he takes 2 or 3 years to get it and get good. He’s then 32 and only has 2 or 3 more years left.
Sure if we knew he’d be a top 12 NFL starter for 5 or 6 years then of course you do – but considering he comes with all of the doubts you get on any other QB prospect I’d say high round 2 is too high for a 29 YO rookie QB.
The Buffalo Bills - Drafting big and nasty men since 2011.
Only
if they plan on starting him very soon. What is the upside to a player starting his first game at age 30 if they don’t start him next year. If he’s worth drafting early, then he needs to play early. Otherwise no reason to draft a 29 year old back up project. Draft someone younger.
by J09 on Jan 30, 2012 8:19 PM EST reply actions 2 recs
If buffalo picks him be better start.day one. A.28 year old is not developmental.
"This is a chance to shine some light on the city, They say it’s too cold. I’m going to bring some warmth to it." Marcell Dareus
by matthew62 on Jan 30, 2012 8:20 PM EST via mobile reply actions
No
Please guys be realistic about this, he won’t start until he is probably 31. That’s not the age I’m looking for in a 10 year face of the franchise type QB
this would end up the icing on the proverbial cake, for me.
Not sure if I could hate any idea, more, or support it less. Starting Thigpen. That would be the culmination actually. This, would be like some sort of puke garnish. hahaha.
that’s extreme. Weeden has talent. But agree w matthew62 (got that extra t this time, sorry if I haven’t in the past.) this guy, should come in and start for someone right away, and for that reason, I think his value decreases some. I equate him similarly to McElroy. His physical limitations didn’t completely offset how bright, hard working, or knowledgeable he was, he just didn’t have a big time arm. He was still drafted, still has value, and can still be a successful QB in the league though he is probably a system QB.
Weeden, certainly has equal or maybe even more upside (i say more), but his ceiling is limited by his relative amount of time to produce. SO if he doesn’t translate immediately, his odds of success decrease exponentially, because his opportunities are going to be slightly limited. That is why I expect he could maybe be around still in the 3rd round, just for fear of missing out on a better prospect by selecting him too early. As you move through the draft though, I expect he will be that guy that you start thinking about selecting, just about the time someone else takes him right before you. I would burn a 4th, no more. That is my assessment. Perhaps I am way off. 26-3 as a starter, right? that is pretty good. But his age can’t just be ignored. It is certainly a factor.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
You could have coined the term “puke ganach” with that cake reference.
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 9:52 AM EST up reply actions
*ganache
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 9:52 AM EST up reply actions
if I were familiar with ganache, I might have.
not much of a dessert person, and, I really don’t know what that is. But, you coined it, so good enough. impression made. hahaha.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 7:56 PM EST up reply actions
Take him in the third if he's there
Only take him in the second if you’re damn sure he can come in and compete with Fitzpatrick for the starting spot.
I like to believe this has more to do with the Bills players feeling like they can be something special. They started a year 0-8 and finished 4-4 while taking playoff and championship game bound teams to OT and 3 pt nail biters. All this with one year under a new coach and with a young roster. Im sure they can feel what they are capable of. -poz
That...
…was exactly what I thought reading the article!
there are many other needs to get fulfilled BEFORE we talk about hiring a qb. and IF we hire a new one in later rounds or on the FA-market, it would make sense to take a younger, developable one…
by billssupporterfromeurope on Jan 31, 2012 5:01 AM EST up reply actions
Not in the 2nd round.
But Id take him if he still around in the 4th for sure. I think this guys got a lot of talent, but because of his age, will probably never get a “fair shot” at a real starting gig in this league. Could make for a nice backup for the next 8 years, but I doubt he’ll ever be a true #1 guy, because of the age. him or Russell Wilson from Wisconsin are my 2 4th round QBs I want OBD to target.
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No way we take Weeden
Chix has hooked their bandwagon on Fitzy after the Edwards debacle… they’ll draft a QB but I wouldn’t expect anyone before the 4th round. Weeden will be gone.
Agreed....maybe as high as the 3rd round
unless something unforeseen happens like RG3 falling to #10
"Ability may get you to the top, but it takes character to keep you there." - John Wooden
"Do not repeat the tactics which have gained you one victory, but let your methods be regulated by the infinite variety of circumstances." - Sun Tzu
if anything in the world would make me not give a crap about our defense
it would be if we had an crazy talented kid with a brain to be our signal caller. I’m not saying, I am just saying. hahaha.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 12:21 AM EST up reply actions
No way
if they did.. I would probably want every single person involved with that decision to be fired, it makes zero sense to waste a pick on a 30 year old, especially a pick that high. Much rather they take a guy who needs more development but by age 25 could be the franchise QB, Tannehill, Osweiler, Foles, those type of players.
and can we stop considering Russell Wilson a real NFL QB prospect? This is another guy if they draft I will lose hope in this FO. Nothing against these people, but IMO opinion they will never be great nfl QBs. Russell Wilson isn’t even 5’11". Can’t play NFL QB. Not that you mentioned him, but many people on this site believe he can be and at under 5’11" it is pretty much a fact he cannot be a starting NFL QB.
With the 10th Pick in the 2012 NFL Draft the Buffalo Bills select Dont'a Hightower LB Alabama.
Foles
He is the prospect I been hoping buffalo would target. Ok fine I’m not real hip with FITZ but he’ll do till foles is ready for primetime
by ONEREALMAN on Jan 31, 2012 12:28 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I was basically scoffed and dismissed when I asked about him prior to the senior bowl
but after seeing him throw routes and combinations that we employ, with good ball velocity and accuracy, and though many were to his own WR, he was putting the ball into their body with enough speed to get there, enough time to handle it, and opportunities for YAC. That sounds like our system to me, and he is bigger, will get time to develop, and for all I know (which is probably not much, especially by Rumblers’ standards) he could be the next Dalton. And there are going to be plenty of teams looking for guys like him.
I think there are a few to find maybe, as there are most years, and I am optimistic that we will pick someone who we could be watching for years to come. maybe a LT in the first, a QB in the second, and start going a little more, recent tradition style, and build up your line and get your QB and find your TE, and just go for it a la Falcons. haahaha.
That would be a vast improvement. At least it would say: “We are gonna do this with the offense, and then learn them up. Then we are gonna do this with the defense, and learn them up, and I bet we can probably get better.” I bet though they would leave out the “unless we completely change our minds again 2 years from now” part like they did last time.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 1:26 AM EST up reply actions
Second coming of trent edwards I will pass.
"This is a chance to shine some light on the city, They say it’s too cold. I’m going to bring some warmth to it." Marcell Dareus
by matthew62 on Jan 31, 2012 8:25 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
the odds are surely against Wilson
because Brees is basically 1 guy out of how many? Last one was who, Flutie? I mean, this league has far more shorter guys that never pan out, than exceptions to the rule.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 1:19 AM EST up reply actions
The other way to look at it is how many short QBs has the NFL had between Flutie and Brees? If the answer is anywhere close to two, then we can see that short QBs are successful.
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions
not sure i get your point
i am saying, short guys don’t usually find success. there is a handful of exceptions, over decades. that was what I am saying.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
by ThaRealTruth on Jan 31, 2012 7:57 PM EST up reply actions
No
Not young enough. I want someone who can be groomed and lead the team for 12-15 years. Unless he’s around in the third or fourth, no.
"Slowly all the roles we act out become our identity. And in the end we are what we pretend to be." - Jerry Cantrell.
He is a good QB but
no way. Nothing earlier than a 5th round pick. He is just WAAAAAAY to old to us a draft pick on. I would rather them take Tannehill or Foles is the second.
No.
I would rather a WR in the first and Cam Johnson in the second. Im almost sold on that now that they shifted to the 4-3. Maybe if they got him in the fourth or fifth round, but even then its almost a wasted pick.
No, No, No
2nd round is way too high. Remember John Beck? He was an older QB coming out of college and went in the 2nd round and ended up being nothing. Weeden would be a waste of a 2nd rounder IMO, no point in draft a low-potential QB in the 2nd round. I’d rather take the low odds on a high potential QB ind the 2nd(Foles) or later in the draft (Coleman, Harnish, Osweiler etc.)
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by atlantalove on Jan 30, 2012 9:16 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I like Weeden. If we needed a starting QB right now, i would say yes. But we have Fitz, so no use the 2nd rounder elsewhere. Even though i think Weeden would be better in our system then Fitz.
Are we drafting Dino's now?
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by Billsfanstuckinthesouth on Jan 30, 2012 9:34 PM EST reply actions
I’d much rather hedge my bets and hope that Ryan Tannehill falls to the 2nd round than draft a 29 year old.
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The only way I would take him is if, as one poster said, he started right away...
Otherwise I would take a flyer on someone like Russell Wilson who needs to be in the shotgun a majority of the time….which fits in line with what Gailey likes to do….
Plus Wilson throws good on the run…he has played winning football and has the ability to lead and carry a team….height be damned.
Darkhorse QB in the late late rounds or as a UDFA……G.J. Kinne from Tulsa. Perfect spread QB….just the type of young project that Gailey could succeed with.
One can hope.
The score dictated they pass
by norcaliangelsfan on Jan 30, 2012 9:45 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Yah weeden has to start week one. Then you have to hope he has a small learning curve. I say we draft russel wilson break the flutie curse.
"This is a chance to shine some light on the city, They say it’s too cold. I’m going to bring some warmth to it." Marcell Dareus
by matthew62 on Jan 30, 2012 9:55 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
If we're going to take a shotgun QB...
I would love to see the Bills grab Case Keenum. I know he played in an inferior conference, but his numbers were both phenomenal and consistent. (There’s that “body of work” that Nix loves.) His TD-to-INT ratio is spectacular, so he obviously doesn’t just make good throws, he make good decisions, too. He came from a spread offense, so he should fit right in with Gailey’s system.
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 8:48 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I like Weeden
but when you think of a franchise guy, you think of a dude that can be your Quarterback for a decade. And another question I’ve seen raised is how much of his personality/superior play wowing head coaches, is simply him being more mature, both physically, and emotionally, than other prospects? It seems like a question you have to ask
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NOOOOOOOOO
Pay first round money for a QB that is a year younger than our current competent QB who was recently given a contract this year? Weeden is just too old.
Yup
Interesting
While a second obviously sounds too high for a guy close to Fitz age. Not to mention not fitting the ‘next 10-12 years franchise guy’ mold the Bills say they r in need of. I find it more interesting to discuss where Weedens talent and performance grade him in the draft, IF he were the normal age of collegiates entering the NFL.
The reason I say this is because we got a certain QB late in his ‘development’ back in the eighties. That turned out pretty good for us didn’t it? :) Of course, that was not by design that Jim didn’t come here for 3 years but it brings up a point. Are we too hung up on the age here, making it almost impossible to judge the talent at hand?
I for one, thing he looks much better than a Foles, Landry Jones and Matt Barkley. But how much of that success is due to being older than his competitors? Valid question, but at the QB position I don’t think it’s as relevant as a player playing a spot where brute strength has an obvious advantage. The QB needs to process quickly and make accurate throws,, while under duress. Most QBs get drafted in hope they can develop these skills. Weeden may already have them.
I have opined that Weeden has looked as impressive as Luck and RG3 – in terms of on field play being so important to a teams overal performance and record. Strong statements I know. But my favorite determining factor when grading QB’s is the IT factor. After all the obvious skills are proven, ie arm strength, accuracy, decision making, pocket presence, etc. It is a rare quality to be able to make those around you better. And to me, that is a big part of the IT. The ability to propel your team to victory, when your team was clearly inferior talent wise on the field, cannot be overstated.
Therefore I’m curious to know where Weeden would be on the board if he were, let’s say, turning 23 next fall. Any thoughts?
If he was 5 years younger, he would be a top 10 pick, if not top 5 pick.
Are we drafting Dino's now?
"6'6" monster receiver with a Terradactyl wingspan "....... Keysh67
by Billsfanstuckinthesouth on Jan 31, 2012 2:55 AM EST up reply actions
It’s his age that is dragging him down. He could easily go in round one if he was five years younger. With him turning 29 during his rookie season, he needs to go to a team where he can start right away. If he spends 2-3 years in development, his career will be over too soon.
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 8:43 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
NO NO NO
We don’t to waste a pick on a 29 year old rookie.
I would seriously question the sanity of Nix or any GM that would spend a 2nd on him.
This guy has UDFA all over him because of his age.
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by The Buffalo Kid on Jan 31, 2012 1:02 AM EST reply actions
wouldn't we be just as good getting Brady Quinn?
He is like, the Incredible Hulk version of Trent Edwards. Trent is the Bill Bixby guy, and Brady would be Lou Fourigno. (i probably butchered his name).
Seriously though, another way to see this, is this is a guy, who is the same age and similar measureables to numerous backup QBs who have been in the league, and have been at least AROUND the level of competition that it promotes. They seem like a better option.
ABAYARDE IS NOSTRADAMUS JUST WATCH WE WILL NOT YIEALD TO NOBODY YOUR SOUL WE WILL TAKE
good news everyone
If the skins or another team are willing to use a high second round pick on him, all it means is one more young and talented prospect will be there when we pick at 41.
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by Let's Go Buffalo (UK) on Jan 31, 2012 1:47 AM EST via mobile reply actions
weeden is a stud
but hes not coming to buffalo. too bad. i think hes a late first rounder, might find himself ins a ponder situation and be taken mid first as well.
Change is inevitable; progress is optional. - Buffalo Bills Mantra
Absolutely not
His age is way too much of a factor here.
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 7:41 AM EST reply actions
Doesn't make any sense to me, besides...
I think we should give Fitz a chance here. And now with David Lee in place I trust that all three QBs will improve.
For me it remains the same strategy as every year BPA (First round), BVP (Rounds 2-7). We need pass rushers and a 4-3 OLB, so i see us getting at least one of each in rounds 2-7.
Round 1 for me is Coples/Reiff/Martin/Ingram/Upshaw (in that order)
The problem is that Fitz is going to be there for at least 2 more years, they want to give the guy a chance and that would mean that Weeden would be well into his 30s before he would get the chance. Too old. If we can pick him up in round 3-4 maybe but otherwise for me its a no
Rebuilding a team properly takes time and patience
No thanks
He needs to go to a team where he can start right away. You can’t take a guy who will be 29 as a rookie and have him be a backup for a few years. His career would be over before it begins. I would much rather see the Bills take a young developmental prospect to sit behind Fitzpatrick for at least a year — someone like Nick Foles or Case Keenum. Barring either a miracle or an injury, Fitzpatrick will be the starter next season, and we need somebody that we can start developing to take over for him. Thigpen is not it.
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 8:38 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Really? People saying Yes?
With the 10th pick overall?
I don’t even
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I was giving them away
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I might consider him if he was still available in the seventh round, but I would still probably pass.
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 10:33 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
In thinking this through some more...
I still say no, but not because of his age now. It’s because of certain things he has been quoted on, most notably the way he seems hung up on giving up home runs – gotta let those things go. It’s because he’s rather green as a prospect, and only in the Senior Bowl prep and game did he perform out of a pro-style offense.
Numerous people state that he needs to go somewhere he can start right away. I feel the opposite is true. He needs more time to mature as a player and poses a huge risk to any team depending on his success in the near future.
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 10:04 AM EST reply actions
That’s the rub. He probably needs time to develop, but because he’ll be 29 as a rookie, who can afford to give him that time? I would be disgusted if the Bills drafted him over a variety of viable, young QB prospects who would be available in the middle rounds.
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 10:30 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I’m just not convinced it’s worth their time drafting any QB after round 1. The success rate drops dramatically. If they feel they need an upgrade, they need to find a way to get one in the first round, and have him be of first-round caliber.
I’d prefer they use the middle rounds to select RBs, WRs, and LBers, where there’s more success to be found.
"Son. People can see you!"
by TheAfghanTwilight on Jan 31, 2012 11:42 AM EST up reply actions
Depends on the QB
If Tannehill or Foles are still available in round two, I would consider them, but they might end up going mid to late first round just because of the lack of top QB prospects this year. Tannehill’s lack of experience makes him too much of a risk to take at #10, but he could be a great value in round two.
Case Keenum will probably fall to a middle round simply because he played in an inferior conference (C-USA) in a spread offense. Even so, he put up mind-boggling numbers for several seasons, and he would fit right in with Gailey’s offense. He probably wouldn’t fit as well with other teams who want a QB who can run a “pro style” offense. I would definitely take a shot on him in a middle round, knowing full well that he could be hit or miss. Most of the other QBs this year are projected as mid-round picks because they have serious flaws. Some might be correctable with coaching, others might be stuck. (You can’t coach height.)
by SiriusRed on Jan 31, 2012 1:11 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
29 y.o. development QB?
put me in as a no on this one. As a backup QB? sure maybe. As anything more? No. He is still a college QB. He will take at least a year or two to develop (if at all), now you are looking at a 30-31 y.o. QB who is ready to play. I know age isn’t necessarily an issue for everyone, fred seems to get better every year, but he’s special. I just have to go with no thanks
you guys can't be serious
PPL seriously want a guy that is not even twelve months younger than fitz, who has never played a down in the NFl in his life to replace a guy who was 11th in yards, 9th in completion %age, and 10th in touchdowns and to boot waste a 2nd round pick? I mean that seems really insane. Did Fitz throw too many picks last year, of course but as the new QB coach said 6 of those bounced off receivers. You take those picks out of the equation and his QB rating improves to 83.5 which is just behind Cam Newton. On year and its his first year as a starter in the system and 3 of his top 4 receiving threats and his pro bowl RB missed significant time. The number one thing that fitzpatrick needed to improve upon this past season was his accuracy, which he did. Now the question is can he complete more deep balls and cut down on turnovers. I for one say give the guy a chance before we start using valuable draft picks that could be spent on other positions of need (e.g. Defense, and depth)
Yep
And I know that OBD isn’t gonna take a QB so you hangman can let go of the rope before someone gets hurt. Perish the thought of getting a qb at all! How single minded can we get? No QB!
The Sum Of A Franchise Is Directly Proportionate To The Talent Of Franchise's QB. Get A QB OBD!
by buffalobacker on Jan 31, 2012 10:43 PM EST up reply actions
With all the Bills needs
It’s hard to see them taking a chance on Weeden but I think he could be good value for a team like the Browns who have 2 first round picks and a high 2nd. If Weeden fell to the 3rd would I be disappointed if Buffalo took him? No, not at all, plenty of QB’s play into their mid to late 30’s and rookie contracts are only 4 years anyway so why not take a guy that possibly has the maturity to go right away. Better than grooming a guy for 3-4 years only to see him disappear by the time he is actually good.
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