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Fixing The Bills' Pass Rush Without Breaking The Bank

In reading posts and articles and thinking more about this situation and the upcoming opportunities with the FA signing period and the 2012 draft, I have modified my thinking about this off-season with a specific focus on how the Bills might best address their woeful pass rushing situation.

I know there are a lot of Bills fans excited about the possibility of Mario Williams possibly becoming a UFA but I am pretty skeptical about trying to lure and pay for a big name FA to Buffalo. I think the solution could come in the combination of a much more reasonable FA signing target plus intelligent use of the Bills' strong draft position.

Specifically, I agree with what Chris Brown recently posted about liking the idea of signing Anthony Spencer (Cowboys) to return to the role he had previously been more successful in - playing RDE in a 4-3 base defense. I think then you look at who the Bills might be able to add in the draft and I can see them using the #10 pick on DE/OLB Melvin Ingram, who is climbing up boards and who could fit in well with the Bills in multiple roles, just like they used him at South Carolina. Then I think you still look at using the Bills' 3rd round pick on yet another versatile pass rusher, Shea McClellin, who is also a big OLB prospect who was also used in multiple roles in college (Boise State). You add those three players to Buffalo's roster and let Dave Wannstedt have his way with playing around with all kind of combinations and formations and blitz packages and the Bills could easily transform into an absolute terror. All without breaking the bank in the process.

My updated 2012 mock draft below:

Round 1: DE/OLB Melvin Ingram
Round 2: QB Brock Osweiler
Round 3: OLB Shea McClellin
Round 4: CB Coryell Judie
Round 4: WR Ryan Broyles
Round 5: C Quentin Saulsbury
Round 5: TE Michael Egnew
Round 6: LDE Tyrone Crawford
*Round 6: OG Jaymes Brooks
Round 7: WLB Sammy Brown
* - Compensatory Pick (for Poz)

Just another great fan opinion shared on the pages of BuffaloRumblings.com.

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I agree wpod......... let's not break the bank.

If we were tapping on the door to the Super Bowl, then sure. But we are not.

Let’s resign our own, build through the draft, and make a couple good FA signings that are smart and fill holes at a fair price.

Rather have a Super Bowl team in two years and a consistent playoff team for many years than doing what the Jets did.

"My new cat just farted on my lap. Smells like Bills football." BG.

by SERGEANT MAJOR THOR on Feb 12, 2012 5:50 PM EST reply actions  

Lost Me after Pick 1

I Loved the article,just not the mock.lol.Not breaking the bank is exactly why we havent been contenders in years.Break it!Spend it!Ingram @ 10,yes.Curry next.Keep Stevie,bring in another WR in fa,also,A.Spencer from Dallas would work.Im super stoked for this off-season,Mr.Nix,BREAK THE BANK!

by billsguy34 on Feb 12, 2012 6:01 PM EST reply actions  

How long have you been a Bills fan?

Remember who the owner is, one Ralph C. Wilson? The Bills aren’t going to break the bank. But that doesn’t mean that CHIX can’t make a few smart signings and fill holes and improve the team.

by wpod on Feb 12, 2012 6:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Whats with all the ralph is cheap

He isnt cheap we spend money lots of it just on the wrong players

With the first pick in the 2012 draft the Indianapolis Colts select Robert Griffen III

by Gpluehri on Feb 12, 2012 7:45 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

28 Years

I understand your point,however,CHiX has more leeway when it comes to spending than any GM/Coach in Bills recent history.It’s year 3 for them,now we should be seeing the results of their labor.I believe Ralph will open his wallet this year.Look for them to break out of old habits.(penny pinching)Its a new day,new team.I dont think Im alone,when I say,I just have a feeling something Big,and,unexpected WILL happen this year at One and Two Bills Drive!Go Bills!

by billsguy34 on Feb 13, 2012 3:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Breaking the bank is not the answer

Wash, Philly, Jets break the bank all the time. Where are they as a team? Breaking the bank doesn’t work. Spending wisely works.

I'd rather go out in a blaze of glory, then slowly fade away in the antiquities of time.

by suteck on Feb 13, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Right, SMT.

I’m thinking that in addition to re-signing all their own key internal FAs, the Bills could sign 3 external FAs who fill the right holes: DE Anthony Spencer; CB Stanford Routt; WR Robert Meachem. The rest they can take care of via the draft.

by wpod on Feb 12, 2012 6:03 PM EST reply actions  

I like the idea but

only like 1 pick in this mock, and that is Osweiler. The bills are not going to draft two interior lineman, we need an OT.

With the 10th Pick in the 2012 NFL Draft the Buffalo Bills select Dont'a Hightower LB Alabama.

by tomcs on Feb 12, 2012 6:18 PM EST reply actions  

but i wouldnt be take brock at 42, maybe at 74

by forlife on Feb 15, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Not if they re-sign Demetrius Bell, they won’t need to draft another OT. But I can see taking an OT instead who could also be moved inside if/when needed…

by wpod on Feb 12, 2012 6:20 PM EST reply actions  

even if they resign Bell which i doubt they still should take Massie at 42, as for needing to move someone inside, have you seen to there roster they have Levitre, Wood, Jasper Rinehart, Urbik and Brown not to mention there is to Guards on the practice squad

by forlife on Feb 15, 2012 12:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Changed 6th Round compensation pick to OT Joe Long

Jake’s little brother was named the Gene Upshaw DII Lineman of the Year and could slide inside as well as play OT.

by wpod on Feb 12, 2012 6:26 PM EST reply actions  

DE/OLB Melvin Ingram, who is climbing up boards

man do i dislike that phrase. why is ingram climbing up boards? he hasnt played a game in over a month. NFL scouting departments already have their scouting reports on all these guys. the prospects are already graded out, and a huge majority of that grade comes from game film. ergo, there typically isnt much change in a guys grade after the seasons concluded. NFL teams use the all star games and combine too weed out red flags and confirm what they saw on tape.
players usually dont ‘climb up boards’ during the pre draft stuff. thats just something that draftniks/analysts say to not seem clueless when they undervalued someone originally. so i ask again: how is it that ingrams stock is rising with NFL teams exactly?

on a side note: i would hate the ingram pick. i think hes hands down one of the most overrated prospects in this draft. ingrams more athlete than football player, and his skill set doesnt really translate to the pros that well in my mind.

Its fun to think quarterback, but i think the odds of nix taking one in the first are close to 0%.

by boomsauce on Feb 12, 2012 6:31 PM EST reply actions  

great point Boom. Player ranks will adjust constantly from now to draft day. Some will rise, some will fall. Some have risen and fallen just from the Senior Bowl, and the Shrine bowl games for the Seniors. And like you said as more game tap is reviewed, players will shuffle around the board. Then add in the Combine, individual work outs, more game tape review before the draft to tweek the board. Too bad we can’t get in on the action of the Bills draft board to see how close there board is to the ones we see on the internet.

Are we drafting Dino's now?
"6'6" monster receiver with a Terradactyl wingspan "....... Keysh67

by Billsfanstuckinthesouth on Feb 12, 2012 7:20 PM EST up reply actions  

great point Boom. Player ranks will adjust constantly from now to draft day.

i dont understand. what u just said is the opposite of the point i was trying to make.

Its fun to think quarterback, but i think the odds of nix taking one in the first are close to 0%.

by boomsauce on Feb 12, 2012 7:25 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry that i misunderstood your logic. Ok, i guess we disagree then…..:-)

Are we drafting Dino's now?
"6'6" monster receiver with a Terradactyl wingspan "....... Keysh67

by Billsfanstuckinthesouth on Feb 12, 2012 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not sure why you’re still giving Buffalo a 6th round pick for losing Poz. It’s just not going to work out that way. Either the Bills gave Kirk Morrison more than the vet minimum and they’ll get no picks, or they’ll get a 7th for losing two UFAs and signing two UFAs. At least, that’s how the last four years of comp pick rewards have gone with nobody ever getting anything other than a 7th without a net loss of FAs.

I’m interested in the idea of going after Anthony Spencer. As a general rule, 2nd and 3rd tier FAs almost always end up being overpaid in hindsight, but Spencer still is probably worth that risk considering the importance of the pass rush and Buffalo’s current pathetic group of pass rushers.

I’m intrigued by Melvin Ingram, although I’m not sure he has the versatility that you’re talking about. At least in that you listed him as a DE/OLB. I just can’t imagine him playing LB in a 4-3. In college he was versatile because he played DE and shifted inside to DT sometimes. They dropped him into coverage some, but he struggled at it, IMO and you can’t really ask him to do anything other than handle the flat and even then RBs might be able to take advantage of him. In a 4-3, I think he’s a right-side DE only, unless you’re occasionally sliding him inside to DT on obvious pass downs. Which is an awesome strategy, but one that loses it’s luster some when you’re two best players on the whole roster already play there and when that move leaves somebody like Chris Kelsay on the field instead.

I’m not sure Shea McClellin is a 4-3 LB fit either, even though I love the guy. You’d need to run a specific defense to play him there. You’re strongside backer needs to be able to at least occasionally cover a TE. It’s not like Buffalo can switch up responsibilities and leave the TE to the MLB or anything either considering that Sheppard vs. a TE is a mismatch in the opposing team’s favor as well.

"You mean @TWHITNER. It’s how he prefers to be referenced." - Jon Harrington

by kaisertown on Feb 12, 2012 7:31 PM EST reply actions  

Anthony Spencer has never played in a 4-3

Or been particularly successful, unless you’re referring to college.

But he’s aiming a little too low for me.

by usuo mojinga on Feb 12, 2012 8:36 PM EST reply actions  

Spencer isn’t the kind of guy that’s going to draw much blocking attention, or divert it from others. Sure, he’ll be cheaper than Mario Williams. For that matter, so will Cliff Avril. But Spencer doesn’t do anything to change offenses. The center and guards with still block Kyle Williams and Dareus; the LT will still block the RE; the RT will still block Spencer; the offense will be OK.

Now substitute Mario Williams for Spencer. Unless the LT is special, he’s going to need some help to block Williams. The LT’s not going to get it from the guards or center, who are busy enough with the Bills’ DT’s. The RT still blocks Kelsay or whoever is playing LE. But the offense now has a problem in that its LT is potentially overmatched.

The offense compensates with blocking help from a back or TE. To make this extra blocking happen, the offense either takes a potential receiver out of the passing game (TE or RB) or reduces that receiver to a chip-then-dump-off receiver.

From a defensive perspective, the back seven now has to cover 4 receivers, or 4 plus a late developing check down. That leaves open coverage possibilities, and blitz possibilities. The defense has the advantage.

This type of problem for the offense is exactly why Minnesota had such a dominant defense. Mario Williams-Kyle Williams-Marcell Dareus would give Buffalo the same type of front, but with more shelf live, because they’re younger than Minnesota’s Allen-Williams-William trio when it was formed.

One last benefit: Buffalo can rotate LE’s to see who’s best. Whether that’s Kelsay playing solid, Carrington developing into a good starter, or someone drafted developing, one thing is certain: they get the RT one-on-one every play. Ask Ray Edwards how that works.

Re-starting the official Buffalo "Draft a quarterback in the First Round in 2012" campaign.

by Der Jaeger on Feb 12, 2012 10:26 PM EST reply actions  

This here is going off the assumption that Ingram and McClellan can’t play. Ingram, McClellan, Spencer and Kelsay could be a deep DE group. Your assumption that the guards and center can capably block Williams and Dareus down in and down out doesn’t make sence to me either. You can’t double team them both every play. Those two may be equally as good at pass rushing as they are run stopping. Williams consistantly gets pressure splitting blockers and beating them off the line. I’ll take these fresh DE’s(due to deep rotation) in one on one situations any day. I think you would still need help blocking from your TE/RB’s with this scenario. Not saying that I don’t like Mario Williams, just saying this is not a bad idea either. Especially if this is your Plan B or C.
p.s. Let’s not forget the “slight” possibility Merriman finishes a whole season. Who knows, with this rotation it may be possible.

by bbills85 on Feb 12, 2012 11:27 PM EST up reply actions  

If I had to choose between a rotation of ends, and a Williams-DT line, give me the Williams-DT line all day.

The guards and center blocking the DT’s happens in both models, so it’s irrelevant to the issue. The point is that they’ll have their hands full, leaving the OT’s singled up on DE’s. Your wave idea has merit. Dallas used to do it. But they had a HOF-calibur RDE in Charles Haley, which made everything else work.

That’s what Mario Williams would do.

Re-starting the official Buffalo "Draft a quarterback in the First Round in 2012" campaign.

by Der Jaeger on Feb 13, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

for starter Spencer will be a RE like he was in college, as for commanding double teams with dareus and Meatball n the middle teams will not be able to commit double teams to the ENDS thus the bills need guys that can beat there guy one on one, if the offence has 6 guys blocking double the DT that leaves the ends 1-on-1 with 7 guys in the secondary to cover 4

by forlife on Feb 15, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

To be clear, this is based on the idea that the Bills cannot lure Mario Williams

and/or that doing so would be so prohibitively expensive that they cannot afford the deal. This is purposely a (much) less expensive alternative that I believe may be more feasibly achievable for OBD. It still addresses the pass rush needs although via a platoon of DEs as bbills85 says, rather than by assuming the Bills can sign and pay Mario Williams. Personally, I think they have plenty of other FA needs to address, starting with re-signing their own key FAs and then there are several other positions where they should also be looking to sign an external FA to start (i.e., #2 WR; CB). Sorry – I don’t see signing Mario Williams to the Bills as being very practical or feasible so I started trying to think of alternative solutions.

by wpod on Feb 13, 2012 2:29 AM EST reply actions  

If I'm wrong and the Bills CAN lure and afford Mario Williams to sign

Then I will of course be as stoked as other Bills fans and we will see a completely different team in 2012. I don’t wish those who believe this can happen ill. I just don’t happen to believe it’s feasible, personally.

by wpod on Feb 13, 2012 5:46 AM EST up reply actions  

You know

Unless I am wrong, hasn’t Mario Williams now been injured for the last 2 years now? I don’t see anyone talking about his risk potential. If we spend a gadzillion dollars getting him and he ends up in IR in year 1, where are we ahead?

I'd rather go out in a blaze of glory, then slowly fade away in the antiquities of time.

by suteck on Feb 13, 2012 10:46 AM EST reply actions  

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