I love spreadsheets; the nerd in me seeks opportunities to dump data into Excel and watch it compile. Everyone has their own view of the draft, who is likely to be taken where. Mock drafts - not ours, various beat draftniks and writers - have different guys going in a variety of places. Michael Floyd, for example, is seen as going anywhere from the top 10 to the low 20s. I was curious where the average writer thought he'd go. Averages, Excel, spreadsheets....ahhhhhhh.

I found mocks by 4 writers on NFL.com (Reuter, Baldinger, Brooks, Davis), Walter football, SI, draft countdown, drafttek, 5 writers on usatoday.com (Bell, Corbet, DAvis, Rang, Bunting) and Schrager at foxsports. I looked at 160 prospects listed on those 15 total mocks, and where they were taken on the various mocks. (Only a couple of mocks went to 160 while most were only 1 or 2 rounds.) I had Excel then average the slots each guy was selected and came up with the chart below the jump.

For the sake of simplicity, I've pasted (hopefully) only those guys who were taken (by average) in slot 100 or higher.

Assuming the chart actually pastes (iffy proposition) the top 6 guys (Luck, Griffin, Kalil, Richardson, Claiborne, Blackmon) are almost universally seen as the first 6 names who will be called on draft day. But look at right after those top 6. Tannehill averages 6.6 for a draft slot....and then the list becomes a muddle. 16 guys are in the range from 10.7 to 20.8. This says to me that there isn't much agreement among the mock drafters as to who is going to be chosen from 7 to about 20.

Some thoughts about particular guys:

• Tannehill is a favorite pick for Miami. I think that alone makes it likely that he's gone by the time the 8th pick rolls around. Any team wanting the guy has to worry about Miami taking him. Meanwhile, Miami could give up a 3rd to St Louis to get him if he is their target-not because the Rams will take him but because the Rams might trade #6 to a team that will.
• Mock drafters like OT Reiff (10.7) quite a bit better than Glenn or Martin (20s). Taken as a whole, the mock drafters believe that Reiff represents value for Buffalo....and he meets a need as well. OT Adams (24) is viewed by the mock drafters as a late first round pick, Brian's pick notwithstanding. (Brian was the only guy who picked Adams before the 20s.
• Of the guys slotted from 10-15 Reiff and Floyd are the only two guys who make sense for Buffalo other than possibly Kuechly. Ingram, Coples, Poe and Cox really aren't good candidates for Buffalo given that the defensive line is such a strength, and so is the interior of the offensive line which makes Decastro unlikely.
• Jenkins, who is reportedly not even on some draft boards, is slotted even after OT Adams.
• The Jets are going to get themselves a good defensive player if the slotting is anywhere close to accurate.
• Hightower is the 32nd guy on this ‘board'. Worthy, Fleener, Zach Brown, Harrison Smith are among the guys I really thought who would average higher draft slots.
• Dwayne Allen is slotted at 53.5. There are no other TEs (other than Fleener at 30.3) before the 90s. If Buffalo wants a TE there really aren't many early round options according to the mock draft consensus.
• Decastro must be seen as a beast; he's the only interior offensive lineman slotted about 30.
• Man, I hope Buffalo trades down. The value, as I see it, is in trading into the late teens or early 20s and getting a guy like Glenn or Adams for the line or Hill or Fleener for Fitz.