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Bills K Lindell Does Not Inspire Confidence

Lindell, left, hasn't made many big kicks (Courtesy: BuffaloBills.com)

Normally in football, statistics don't lie. So when a certain Bills kicker, over four-plus seasons in Buffalo, has connected on 96 of 117 attempts (82%) and scored 424 points in those seasons, you may think that the Bills have found themselves a pretty good kicker. And, using those statistics as a base line, Rian Lindell is a pretty good kicker.

But it may end there. Lindell is not considered a great kicker; at best, he's a steady veteran. Here's an opinion that isn't exactly a news flash to Bills fans: Lindell will never be a great kicker. Why? Simple - he misses too many important kicks.

A Few Too Many Examples
To be fair, Lindell has been pretty accurate during his time in Buffalo, and has made plenty of kicks to warrant the five years he's spent here. But if you recall, prior to the end of the 2006 season, Lindell received a five-year extension that will keep him in Buffalo for the forseeable future. Was the kicker worth that contract?

That can be debated, obviously, but what we know is this: in just the last two years, 2006 and the first 5 games of 2007, Lindell has missed four of 30 field goal attempts. 87% is very good. What's not good: all four of those misses had devastating or near-devastating effects on the outcome of the game.

Lindell's first, and least important, blunder came in a home contest against the Minnesota Vikings. Buffalo ended up winning that game 17-12, but it took a drop by former Viking wideout Marcus Robinson on a fly pattern to seal the loss for Minnesota. Lindell missed a field goal in that game - a field goal that could have tacked a few years onto each life that witnessed that game.

His second - and final - missed kick of 2006 came in Indianapolis, as the 3-5 Bills were attempting to become the first team to take down the undefeated Colts. Lindell missed with the Bills trailing 17-16; that ended up being the final score of the game. Indianapolis became the first team in NFL history to start consecutive reasons 9-0 - but they shouldn't have.

Then there's 2007. Lindell is just 3 of 5 on the season, and his two misses have come in one-point losses to the Broncos and the Cowboys. When a kicker misses this many important kicks, there is definite cause for concern - no matter how steady he is otherwise.

Aren't All Kicks "Big"?
It can be argued that all kicks in the NFL are big. And, figuring there is some truth to that, Lindell has made some big kicks. Most prominent among them was a field goal that sealed a 27-24 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last season - arguably the biggest kick Lindell has made in a Bills uniform.

The argument that all kicks are big, however, fails to cover up for Lindell's big misses. My view on this is simple - Lindell will never be more than a very good kicker for a mediocre football team. He's not a guy who would get a look from, say, the Patriots or Colts - teams that are used to making big kicks. Lindell has not had many opportunities to make big kicks playing in Buffalo; that is somewhat to his credit, but also magnifies his misses.

Yet we're stuck with him. "Stuck" is a negative term that doesn't necessarily apply here, because as I've repeated (purposely), Lindell is a good kicker. For better or worse, he'll be here for the next five years.

But questions will linger. One of them will be spoken most often by me; until Lindell starts making field goals as big as the ones he's missed this season, I will continue to beg the question: "Is Lindell a kicker the Bills can win with?"

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Lindell needs to go!
I'm glad to see someone agrees with me that his misses usually spell disaster!  I was at the Vikings game last year and it was heart breaking to see him miss that kick.  My heart also dropped watching their WR run wide open down the sideline!  But thanks to a bad pass by Johnson it was a little out of his reach.  Lindell got off the hook that game but he's been on it too many times.

I don't care what kind of contract extension he's received he needs to be let go or traded!  I would much rather put my trust into an unproven rookie then Lindell who has provided mainly heart ache.

I wasn't impressed when they signed him from Seattle and my mindset hasn't changed.  I'll be at the game this weekend and I really hope it doesn't come down to him!

by Teaters33 on Oct 15, 2007 10:08 AM EDT   0 recs

Need more info
Just saying that he's missed big kicks isn't enough for me. How long were the attempts? How many other kicks and kick-offs had he done that day? What was the weather at the time?

Maybe he's attempted all these "big" kicks under very trying circumstances (eg, 50+ yds, in the snow and wind, in a high-scoring game where he's already been 5-5 XP and 4-4 FG, for 18 kicks that day already). Now, that's a very extreme example, but I'd want to see some more info about these big misses before rushing to judgement.

by gabefarkas on Oct 15, 2007 12:43 PM EDT   0 recs

I could look all that up for you...
But would it really matter? Whether the conditions are adverse or not, or he's tired or not, it's his job to make kicks. If he's tired or the conditions suck, it's the coach that needs to keep Lindell off the field. If the kicker hits the field, the coach obviously felt that the kick was makeable. It's his job to make the kick. It's as simple as that.
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by Brian Galliford on Oct 15, 2007 1:26 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Good point...
Here's the circumstances of the 4 kicks Lindell has missed in the last two years:
Against Denver, he missed a 45 yard FG (only attempt on the day). The weather was not great, with wind and some rain, and Elam missed two kicks on the same day; I think it was the first game he had ever missed two FG attempts.

Against Dallas, he missed a 54 yard attempt. Normally, we might ignore that... except that the miss allowed Dallas to score a field goal just before the half.

Last year - he missed a 44 yard attempt against the Vikings, and made a 28 yard FG. Longwell, the opposing kicker, was successful from 37 and 49 yards, and the weather was in the high 50s with some wind.

Finally, a miss against the Colts last year; in Indianapolis, so the weather wasn't a factor. He was 3-4 on field goals, with successful attempts from 22, 30, and 43, and a miss from 41.

What's frustrating is that the Bills would have won all four of these games (instead of just one) had that missed attempt been good (and nothing else changed). But that's not entirely Lindell's fault, right? I think the problem is that the Bills need every single FG in order to win games, so his misses look much worse than they normally would be. Compare to Gostkowski - last year he was 20-26 on FGs with two blocked (plus 8-8 in the playoffs), but none of those misses decided the game for the Patriots; they either won the game anyway or lost by 7 or more. But the Patriots don't need every point - Gostkowski could have gone 0-10 this season and the Pats still would have won every game by two touchdowns...

by Krenn on Oct 15, 2007 1:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Great point regardless
This is a good point that deserved to be raised.  Lindell has missed big kicks.  There is no doubt about it.  However, he also has not been put into the spotlight too often.  He did make a GW last year against Jacksonville I think it was when time expired?  So he has made some big kicks too.  But, is he the future of our kicking game?  Moorman is for sure, but is Lindell?  I'm not so sure.
MARVelous

by MARVelous on Oct 15, 2007 2:51 PM EDT   0 recs

Re:
Yep - he did hit the Jax FG as time expired, after Losman made a great throw to Roscoe Parrish on the sideline to get him in position. But as far as big, game-winning kicks go, that's the only one Lindell has nailed in recent memory.
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by Brian Galliford on Oct 15, 2007 4:29 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Question to you all....
When Lindell trots onto the field, are you confident he'll make the kick regardless of where on the field the ball will be placed?

I, for one, am nowhere near confident when this guy is out there.  He's missed nearly every 'big' kick he's been faced with and just doesn't seem like a guy you want in there with the game on the line.  He shows no fire so you never know how nervous he might be.  I just have no confidence in this guy at all.

~K

by Kurupt on Oct 15, 2007 11:50 PM EDT   0 recs

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