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Bills End Pre-Season with 16-13 Victory in Detroit

Edwards leads the comeback (Courtesy: BuffaloBills.com)

The Buffalo Bills closed out their 2007 pre-season schedule by defeating the Detroit Lions 16-13. Despite the final score, the Bills players we're expected to watch for the next seventeen weeks played, in general, poorly - before Trent Edwards came in for the final first-half drive (and finished the game), the Bills were trailing 13-0. There were penalties, problems and missed tackles, and the Lions were really taking it to the first and second units of the Bills.

Game Thread :: Game Preview :: Pride of Detroit

Despite the poor first-half performance, there was plenty to be excited about with the final pre-season performance. J.P. Losman looked very sharp, completing five of six passes, and (his backup?) Edwards was brilliant, completing 18 of 24 passes for 182 yards and putting up all 16 points for the Bills. There were a few players who played well, including Fred Jackson (scored the lone TD), Ashton Youboty and John Wendling.

Run Game Showing (Faint) Signs of Life
For much of the first half Buffalo's rushing offense was stymied. Marshawn Lynch looked a little better in his final pre-season tuneup, as he had a bit more room to run this time around. His numbers weren't great but he ran hard, and he always seems to fall forward once he gets moving in that direction. He also had a nice catch-and-run on a route out of the backfield.

Fred Jackson, Dwayne Wright and Shaud Williams took most of the second-half carries (Jackson saw a lot of playing time in the first half), and all three had their moments. Jackson again made some nice runs and catches and scored the Bills' only touchdown; Wright had some nice runs to the outside and finished a lot of his runs nicely; and Williams proved to be shifty, breaking a few runs for intermediate gains after sifting through some trash at the line of scrimmage.

Overall it was by no means a stellar rushing performance - especially in the first half. The starting offensive line again had trouble blocking directly up the middle, causing Lynch to get hit in the backfield multiple times. But there were signs of life. I get the feeling that this line is going to struggle with quick, powerful lines - as Detroit has, and as the Broncos have.

Tackling Still Shaky in Run Support
Like the rushing offense, Buffalo's run defense is showing signs of being OK, but the fundamentals aren't quite there yet. Repeatedly last night, Lions RB T.J. Duckett would take a carry, hit the line with nowhere to go, then bounce, find a cutback lane and there would be no Bill defender there to clean up the play. Either that or the defender would miss the tackle. I thought the defensive line played pretty well - Kyle Williams and Tim Anderson are going to make a fine 1-2 combo at the nose tackle position, because they consistently tie up their blocker and allow linebackers to penetrate. The problem is the linebackers.

Perhaps things will be different when Angelo Crowell gets back in there, but I wasn't impressed with the Bills' linebackers last night. I thought Paul Posluszny struggled, as he had trouble getting through, around and off blockers and often had to try to trip up runners rather than bring them down in a more conventional manner. Keith Ellison was not much better, although he did have one play where he read a run perfectly, blew through the line and hit the Lions runner in the backfield for a loss. Coy Wire was awful - sure he made some nice hits, but it's feast or famine with him. Either he explodes through the line and makes a tackle for a short gain, or he gets blown off the ball and the back picks up 10 yards.

The scheme is going to work. The defensive line has done a pretty nice job of clogging up lanes. Buffalo's back seven just needs to do a much better job of filling their gaps and tackling; if they do that, the Bills' run defense could be much better than the travesty that was last season.

Pass Rush is Anemic at Best
For a fourth consecutive game Buffalo's pass rush left a lot to be desired. The starting defensive ends - Aaron Schobel and Chris Kelsay - saw only three plays, so that must be taken into consideration. But the rest of the linemen struggled.

The Bills did eventually start to get after the quarterback in the second half, but the reasons were twofold - first, the team often sent two blitzers, either two linebackers or one 'backer and a cornerback; second, the secondary's coverage was often so tight that it gave the Bills about six seconds to get after J.T. O'Sullivan. I think that the Bills' blitz packages work well, but the blitzers need to do a much better job of getting there - I saw Posluszny sent on a few last night and he'd hit the line as if he were running into a brick wall. When he times those right he'll drive quarterbacks nuts.

If there was one defensive end I was impressed with in the pass rush it was C.J. Ah You. For a seventh-round pick, he's a lot speedier than I guessed he would be. He consistently gets good burst off the ball and good leverage on his blocker, but he just doesn't have enough moves in his pass rush arsenal to do anything with his physical talent. I really hope this kid sticks with this organization in some capacity, because I really feel he could be a pass-rushing third-down specialist in the not-too-distant future.

Penalties Hurt Not in Quantity, but in Quality
With a really young football team, penalties and mistakes could be the team's ultimate downfall in the early portion of the season. That showed through last night - the Bills didn't commit a lot of penalties, but their mistakes came in crucial situations that inhibited their success. A holding penalty nuked a good drive being orchestrated by Losman in the first quarter; an offensive pass interference on Peerless Price wiped out a very nice third-down conversion. These are just two examples. If the Bills want to stay in contention early this season, they're going to have to avoid committing penalties that effectively shoot themselves in the foot like that.

Overall Impressions: My overall impression for this game was that it was a good win, that our reserves played quite well - especially offensively - and that I'm extremely glad that the pre-season is now over. I thought the first-unit offense showed that it's just about ready for the regular season and their performance boosted my confidence a bit going into the Denver game. But I am scared about this defense - the Bills are going to have to control the clock as much as possible if they want to win games early. Get that ground game going, don't turn the ball over and shoot for 40 minutes of possession time. That's the key to winning games early.

The Bills will trim their roster from 75 players to 53 over the next two days; there is a 6:00 PM deadline to do so by Saturday evening. We'll be predicting these cuts before they're made, so stay tuned for a little roster analysis and be prepared to leave your thoughts on the pre-season and the upcoming cuts!

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Good recap
I thought the first offense was good last night. Of course it was derailed by silly mistakes again, but looked good overall. The catch Price made should have been challenged and that pass interference call was poor at best.  I still wish we could open some lanes in the running game though.  One second Lynch will have a hole and the next he's getting hit 3 yards deep. We can't have that.

Crowell will help when he's back, so no worries there. Once Poz fully learns to scrape off blockers, he'll also be fine. Plus, he can't be any worse than our two veteran LB's last year who couldn't get off a block to save their lives. I don't necessarily think Wire was bad last night. He looks no worse than any other LB we've got out there and he's making plays more often than not. He'll get swallowed by blockers on occasion because of his size, but he's smart enough to finagle his way into the backfield more than I expected. With that, I think we're going to see him more than we though come week 1 because apparently Ellison is hurt. Not sure how truthful the reports are but people at BB.com were saying he was carted off per Sirius (or Bills radio, not sure) with an ankle injury. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

Our pass rush is going to kill us all year. The young secondary is going to get eaten alive because of this. Be prepared for the dissension among Bills fans regarding our starting corners in the near future, when it'll be tough to complain when our pass rush does nothing to help them. I already think Schobel's going to have no more than 7-8 sacks this year, but now I'm not sure we'll see anyone approach that mark.  Every day I'm still flabbergasted that we gave Schobel and Kelsay all that money for only above average play. Such a completely boneheaded move by the Front Office.

Finally, the penalties are really starting to piss me off.  I know it's partly due to our youth, but we're seeing veteran receivers, linemen and our ST really hurting us. That's not just young players. We were a young team last year and finished #1 with the fewest penalties. Right now, it's a lack of concentration and a bit of lax coaching. This really needs to stop if we want to have any success this year.

Chris Brown made his final roster prediction, at least based on players we have currently. I don't agree with all of it though. I can't see us keeping 5 TE's, but only 8 OL. I'd also like to see Denney put on IR as I really can't envision a guy coming off foot surgery being of much use for more than a handful of games this year. I'd also add a DT and OL (Gaddis) to the practice squad.

~K

by Kurupt on Aug 31, 2007 8:08 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We'll have to live
and die by the blitz. It is clear that we need pressure on the QB to take the pressure off the secondary. The only way we can achieve that is by blitzing.

I still have confidence in Falwell's ability to make second half adjustments. That's what impressed me last year.

by Onoekeh on Aug 31, 2007 11:04 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Still flabbergasted
'Every day I'm still flabbergasted that we gave Schobel and Kelsay all that money for only above average play. Such a completely boneheaded move by the Front Office.'

I cant believe they did it for Schobel with 3 years left on his contract.

by Thronsen on Aug 31, 2007 1:34 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Gentlemen, gentlemen... relax.
Schobel and Kelsay got a combined 9 snaps, I believe.

The offense has been uber-vanilla, we all know that - but so has the d.

Let's - PLEASE - see what actual play calling does first (in terms of the pass rush).

Kurupt - I'm here in NY.  We'll have to think of some over/under achievement (by our DEs) to wager on.  I'll be cocky - I don't see the Schobel/Kelsay combo as getting less than 21 sacks this year.  What say you?

by Dock Ellis on Aug 31, 2007 2:36 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Welll
in that case....

Schobel/Kelsay will combine for no more than 17 sacks and I think I'm going higher than I actually truly believe (5 for Kelsay and 8-9 tops for Schobel seems better to me).

Dock, do you really think after both had career years, that they'll do it again?????

~K

by Kurupt on Aug 31, 2007 6:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

count me in...
on the "Schobel-and-Kelsey-got-too-much-money" bandwagon.  I like them both and both are good/above average ends, but neither are pure pass rushers that are going to put the fear in opposing offenses.  Add in the fact that niether are steller run stoppers amd Schobel still had three years on his contract (and he's 30 now!).  I would have much rather seen that money go to a guy of Nate Clement's ability...  Anyways, we're stuck with them now, so hears hoping they play up to their contracts...
John I.

by jri111 on Aug 31, 2007 9:29 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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