State of the Roster: Bills Defensive Ends
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As we continue to await news on the offensive coordinator front, we'll continue our roster breakdowns by switching over to the defensive side of the ball to discuss Buffalo's much-maligned defensive ends. A defensive strength in 2006, the Bills saw a massive drop-off in production at this position last year. Injuries riddled the group on and off all season, and the lack of true speed at the position was apparent. As the catalyst for success in Buffalo's Cover-2 defense, this unit has come under harsh criticism as being one of the main causes of the Bills' defensive woes this season.
There is, however, upside with this group. Let's take a look at its members:
Aaron Schobel
Due to his prominent stature, Schobel is the main scapegoat for this group. He totaled just 6.5 sacks last year - his lowest total since his rookie season - but finished fifth on the team with 57 tackles, and was voted by his peers as a Pro Bowl alternate. Schobel wasn't the main problem; he was often asked to do too much, mainly cover backs and tight ends on zone blitzes. He is still a defender that opposing offenses must game-plan against; the veteran is a heady player, and still has something left in the tank. He just needs some help - he's not a guy who can carry a defense (though he's paid like it).
Will Improve in '08 if - he's asked to do less in blitz packages :: a pass rusher is added to take pressure off of him :: his linemates can stay healthy
Chris Kelsay
If you want a scapegoat, Kelsay is your man. It's hard to question his work ethic and leadership skills, but when you sign a $23 million extension with your team, you have to provide more than 44 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Kelsay is a solid player, but he'll never strike fear into his opponents as a pass rusher. Still, he had one of Buffalo's coolest plays in '07 - a batted pass of Tony Romo that he caught in the end zone for a touchdown. I can rip Kelsay all I want, but that play was the stuff of legends.
Will Improve in '08 if - he's off the field on third downs :: he retains his team captaincy :: he can stay healthy
Ryan Denney
Denney's troubles with injury last season really hurt the team from a depth standpoint. Kelsay and Denney are essentially the same player - hard-working, hustling, great against the run, so-so pass rushers. When he went down, however, the Bills had nowhere to turn. His importance to this club is underrated; if he can stay healthy in '08, he should re-assume his niche on this line.
Will Improve in '08 if - he can stay healthy :: he's not used as often on pass downs
Anthony Hargrove
If the Bills are looking to add depth at defensive end this off-season, Hargrove may be the odd man out. He provided a nice energy boost for much of 2007, but he also has a suspension and an expired contract under his belt. With recent long-term contracts handed out to Schobel, Kelsay and Denney - and with Ryan Neill the team's long snapper - there really is only room for one more end on the roster. Hargrove may get the axe if, say, a mid-round pass-rushing rookie is added.
Ryan Neill
It was a bit surprising to see Neill earn some playing time toward the end of the season as an end; massive amounts of injuries will do that to you. Neill struggled a bit late in the season with his long-snapping, but in general was pretty consistent in his first year on the job. A virtual lock to hold that position again next season.
Copeland Bryan
The enigma of Buffalo's 2007 roster, Bryan was added very early in the season after the Bills cut Eric Powell - a player who saw a significant chunk of time in the opening day loss to Denver. Bryan rarely saw the field, however, before ending his season by being placed on the Injured Reserve. Has virtually no shot at being on the roster in '08.
Al Wallace
Signed in the pre-season after Denney was injured, Wallace's Bills career lasted about half a game. The veteran's one-year deal has expired, and while he was fun to watch during that one pre-season game, he won't be here next year.
Other roster members: Daniel Watts, Shaun Nua, Khari Long. These three young men ended the season on the practice squad (Watts was there the entire season) and will be lucky if they're in that same position this time next year.
Off-Season Outlook
Let's get this out of the way: Schobel, Kelsay and Denney are here to stay. They're solid, hard-working football players that can be successful in this type of defense. What they can't provide, however, is game-breaking speed; finding that type of explosiveness is precisely what the Bills need to do this off-season, even if it comes in the form of a mid-round pick. A situational pass rusher with speed would really elevate the effectiveness of the three veterans on the roster; maybe, at that point, they'd no longer be scapegoats. Maybe, at that point, they'll return to their '06 production and earn a bit of their massive paychecks.
Possible additions: speed rusher
Possible subtractions: Hargrove, Bryan, Wallace
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Comments
DE
by sireric on Jan 14, 2008 9:12 AM EST 0 recs
Re: Gholston
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 9:19 AM EST
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Money shouldn't matter
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 9:31 AM EST
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Your point is a good one
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 9:49 AM EST
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Conner & Cason
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 10:53 AM EST
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$$$ money money money
Our current DE numbers: Schobel - due $11.5 million in base salaries over the next 3 years, and guaranteed $21 million on current contract
Kelsay - due $8.1 million over the next 3 years
Denney - due $4.7 million over the next 2 years
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 11:13 AM EST
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$$$ money money money
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 11:19 AM EST
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Re: Denney
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 11:30 AM EST
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I don't see it either
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 11:36 AM EST
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Kelsay
To me, Kelsay is absolutely terrible. He gives us nothing out there that a mid-level FA, Ryan Denney or a draft pick couldn't, other than maybe some leadership. 2.5 sacks and one of the worst run D's to his side pretty much tells it all.
As for who I'd like to replace him with I have a few Gator candidates. First is Bobby McCray, a FA from Jacksonville (& former Gator), who had 10 sacks in 2006. He fell out of favor there a bit this year and didn't quite have the stats again, but he is a pretty solid speed rusher. I think he could be relatively cheap too, especially compared to Kelsay. He'd be able to rotate w/Denney and Hargrove (if retained) and be a 3rd down specialist for sure. I also like Derrick Harvey in the draft the most. I like him more than Gholston and think he'll be a premier pass rusher in the NFL. I am definitely not opposed to spending #11 on a pass rusher as it's a desperate need, IMO. A couple of mid round prospects to look at are Tommy Blake (TCU), Jason Jones (E. Michigan), and Kenny Iwebema (Iowa) and Angelo Craig (Cincinnati) late in the draft...
by Kurupt on Jan 14, 2008 1:16 PM EST 0 recs
Derrick Harvey
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 1:23 PM EST
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re:
Yup. I hope the FO sees it that way.
by Kurupt on
Jan 14, 2008 1:27 PM EST
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Re: Run D
I, too, like Harvey. I still prefer Gholston, just because he's a bit more balanced but still has the pass rush skills to dominate, but Harvey is a blue-chipper as well. I'd be fine with either guy.
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 1:25 PM EST
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Ellison
Either way, Kelsay still sucks. Ellison is pathetic, obviously, but Kelsay wasn't doing him any favors. Plus, wasn't our run D even worse the first 3 games of the year when Ellison was out allowing 170+ ypg???
by Kurupt on
Jan 14, 2008 1:31 PM EST
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Serviceable.
I'm inclined to keep this group as is. I think it's more important to address the other two spots I spoke of.
If I were to do anything, I'd rather go for a bigger DE, someone like that freak from Miami (Campbell?), or even Tyson Jackson from LSU if he comes out early. I understand the importance of speed in this defense, but Gholston to me looks just like the other three, ie, I'm concerned about his lack of size.
Could Kelsay ever play LB? I still picture him as more of a OLB in the 34 than a DE in the 43.
by krytime on Jan 14, 2008 2:02 PM EST 0 recs
Size matters not
Kelsay isn't a LB - he's not agile enough to play in space, though the Bills asked him to from time to time on zone blitzes. He's a much better fit as a DE in the 4-3.
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 2:10 PM EST
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If George Wilson can
I agree about the "power" thing being most important. I just don't see Gholston having that either.
by krytime on
Jan 14, 2008 2:39 PM EST
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Wilson comparison
As far as your concerns about Gholston go, if this isn't explosion and power, I don't know what is. :)
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 2:55 PM EST
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Another Gholston vid
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 2:56 PM EST
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Love those clips
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 3:04 PM EST
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I'm not saying
by krytime on
Jan 14, 2008 3:14 PM EST
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Questions
Why did the Bills invest so heavily in the Duo of Mediocrity? Do the Bills value character more than production?
Is Cover 2 really their base defense?
by Fort Worth on
Jan 14, 2008 3:41 PM EST
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Because...
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 3:48 PM EST
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D-Line
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 2:20 PM EST
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I would just be
by krytime on
Jan 14, 2008 2:46 PM EST
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First day
I like drafting D also, but I do think, given how poorly the offense played last year, that there should be maybe 1 offensive guy in there. Maybe.
by sireric on
Jan 14, 2008 2:56 PM EST
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I wonder
I knew they switched it up, and I like the idea behind it. Talk about a successful cottage industry...
by krytime on
Jan 14, 2008 3:10 PM EST
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I was only saying
by krytime on
Jan 14, 2008 3:20 PM EST
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Re: Losman
by Brian Galliford on
Jan 14, 2008 3:31 PM EST
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