Buffalo Rumblings Community Needs List, V2.0
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Almost two weeks ago, we took a look at the first version of our Buffalo Rumblings Community Needs List and saw how quickly and aggressively the Buffalo Bills attacked some of those top needs with the additions of DT (#1) Marcus Stroud and Spencer Johnson, LB (#4) Kawika Mitchell, TE (#5) Courtney Anderson and CB (#6) William James.
When we revisited that original list, I kindly asked the community to re-work that needs list based on the moves the Bills had made in free agency. Here are the fruits of your labor, in what we're dubbing version two of the Buffalo Rumblings Community Needs List:
1. Wide Receiver: The Bills made a serious push to address this position in free agency with the team heavily pursuing WR Bryant "Panda" Johnson, but his signing with the 49ers has left this position as bare as it was when free agency started. Wideout is the clear-cut top need for the Bills, as it's the one position where finding a starter in the draft is an absolute certainty.
2. Tight End: Even after the signing of Courtney Anderson, the Bills lack a true difference-maker at the position. Robert Royal is seemingly a lock for the roster due to his run blocking, but it's not absolutely necessary for the team to retain Anderson, Teyo Johnson, Derek Schouman or Tim Massaquoi. Buffalo needs to, at the very least, find a receiving threat at this position, but if they can find a starter to supplant Royal, it would be even better.
3. Center: Despite the coaching staff's faith in Fowler, this community seems very down on him. Excellent O-Line analysis provided by Ron from NM proves that Fowler is the weakest link along the line, although he is solid enough in pass protection. The Bills could stand to find a bigger, more run-blocking oriented center to eventually replace Fowler at the pivot.
4. Defensive End: Easily the position spoken out for the most amongst this community, defensive end ranked in at #4 on this list. The consensus is that the Bills must, at a bare minimum, add a speed rusher that can play on pass downs, as pass rush was a huge problem for Buffalo's defense last season. If the team can find a value selection (including Florida's Derrick Harvey, I'll concede) that can eventually replace one of the team's starters, it would be a good thing for the present and future of this defensive line.
5. Cornerback: Even though the club added William James, there are only four NFL-worthy cornerbacks on the roster (sorry, Dustin Fox). Bills head coach Dick Jauron all but confirmed this past week that the team could add up to two cornerbacks in this draft; with four corners with NFL starting experience on the roster, however, the team doesn't have to find a starter. This position should, however, be addressed early and often by the Bills.
6. Defensive Tackle: The team has four solid players on the interior of the line (Stroud, Johnson, John McCargo and Kyle Williams), but questions about Stroud's health remain. A mid-round rookie that can plug the run would be a nice addition in the event that Stroud can't stay healthy - because as it stands now, run defense is still a problem for this team.
7. Wide Receiver 2: Even after adding one wide receiver, it's clear that another is needed. Depth beyond the team's top four receivers (Lee Evans, the new addition, Josh Reed and Roscoe Parrish) is woefully thin. The team should look to add another receiver with size, red zone potential and special teams ability to replace the departed Sam Aiken.
8. Fullback: The team added veteran Darian Barnes in January when it was announced that they would re-incorporate the fullback into their offense, but Barnes has hopped from team to team for a reason - his run blocking is only average. If the Bills can find a way to add a smash-mouth fullback - or a fullback with pass receiving skills - in the 5th or 6th round, that player could wind up starting for this team and being a key contributor on special teams.
9. Strong Safety: This isn't necessarily viewed by us as a big need, but it seems that the Bills are hell-bent on adding more versatility to their defensive backfield. As it stands right now, only two of their safeties - Donte Whitner and John Wendling - have the athletic ability to switch safety positions on the fly. Ko Simpson and George Wilson are exclusively free safeties. If the Bills truly want to get Whitner deeper into coverage more often, they'll look to add a coverage strong safety who can play on pass downs, leaving Whitner at the strong slot on run downs.
10. Offensive Tackle: The team seems relatively comfortable with Kirk Chambers as its third tackle, and Chambers performed relatively well in spot duty last season. Still, there are a lot of quality tackles available in this draft, so if the team can find value at the position, they may just add one to develop and eventually replace Langston Walker at right tackle.
11. Linebacker: The team has five players with starting experience at linebacker, so adding one early is not a priority. However, Angelo Crowell is scheduled to hit the open market as a free agent after the 2008 season, and the team has little depth (especially from a special teams standpoint) after the top five guys. It's a certainty, in my mind, that a linebacker will be drafted that can play special teams early and eventually back up Crowell at the strong side position.
12. Quarterback: QB remains on our needs list, but only as a contingency in the event that J.P. Losman's trade demands are met. That does not seem likely at this point, so QB may be dropped off the list altogether.
So there it is. Our brand new, fully revitalized community needs list. We'd love to hear further feedback on this list as we get closer to draft day.
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Comments
More Needs Than Picks
I'd put center above TE simply because Fowler's ineptitude killed 4.4% of running plays. That's about 1 in 20 running plays where the Bills might as well just do a kneel down. In most cases doing that would lose less yardage... I'd be happy if Buffalo took their highest rated center in the 3rd or early 4th at the latest.
The TE position does certainly need help and I'd put that as the 3rd need. All Buffalo has done is bring in some training camp fodder (Johnson, Anderson) that couldn't stick anywhere else in the league. Edwards loves the checkdown and Buffalo let their designated pass catching (and pass dropping) TE go--Gaines. Ironically, even though center is a bigger need I'm hoping they use their 2nd round pick on a TE.
I don't know that DE is a bigger need than corner but in either case I don't see Buffalo addressing these positions until late in the draft. Of course, I had the Bills taking Ngata 2 years ago and Willis last year so my prognosticative abilities are clearly suspect.
Don't drop QB
TE, TE, TE
Fowler may kill 4.4% of running plays, but taking a center in the middle rounds and developing is clearly the way to go. Drafting Butler and Merz 2 years ago in the later rounds shows how O-lineman can develop in this league. Merz failed, Butler succeeded. Doing the same again this year would be smart for the Bills. TE, IMO, is a more pressing need as developing a QB's best friend is way more cruical at this junction due to the severe deficiency at the position. Some combination of C. Anderson, Roberty Royal, Teyo Johnson, and Derek Schouman does nothing for me. A PASS-CATCHING TE is required in today's NFL as evidenced by all the successful teams in this league.
Getting a TE will have much more immediate impact on this club. I yearn for having a big, athletic TE, who can take advantage of 8 men in the box and burn a Safety for a big play. It would give Trent the middle of the field and would take pressure off the outside and let Lee and Kelly/Thomas to exploit the outsides. It would do wonders for our offense.
MARVelous
What are your opinions on that?
by hilliarddavid on Apr 5, 2008 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Just to be clear
- WR, their top rated-starter
- TE, possibly their top rated-starter
- C, their top rated-hopefully starter
4b. WR, best remaining-developmental project
- CB, best remaining-developmental project
- QB, best remaining-developmental project
7b. OT, best remaining-developmental project
7c. LB, best remaining-developmental project
Buffalo would come out of the draft with their first choice WR, first choice center, first choice FB and possibly their first or second choice TE. That wouldn't be a bad haul at all for the aenimic offense. Naturally, this offense-heavy draft wouldn't help out the defense at all. However, if Buffalo can score on, say 25% of drives instead of 11% the team might be able to overcome the still-suspect defense. Best case, Stroud returns to Pro Bowl form and Buffalo moves into the middle of the pack against the run. The worst case would be that Buffalo's defense is as bad as it was last year...in which case the Bills endure 6-8 close wins, one blowout win, a 5-7 close losses and the occasional drubbing.
my draft
by Amir FaSaad on Apr 5, 2008 12:29 PM EDT reply actions
The offense will remain just plain
The defense will be improved, but not great either. They are starting with really bad DTs, only one starting DE, and mediocre or worse CBs. Stroud is a hope with a big question mark attached. Microfracture surgery works 50% for knees, but only 25% for ankles, based on previous history for returning NFL players. Mitchell had a great game against the Bills, but he was no Pro Bowl star for the Champs, and they didn't shed many tears when he left. He could not be worse than Ellison. Johnson is just about an even trade for Hargrove. Posluzny is essentially a rookie trying to play the second most sophisticated position in the sport.
The point, the Bills might be starting four new rookies, plus two de facto rookies at the toughest positions that require the most experience (QB and Tampa 2 mike). Help is desirable practically everywhere. I can't argue with BG's list, nor could I argue with any other list. Starving men don't turn down tuna fish sandwiches because they prefer egg salad. It's going to be a very interesting season, but IMO it will end a lot like last year. The best thing is that the schedule of opponents is a bit softer, and the Patriots are no longer invincible (aged defense).
by Mighty Taco on Apr 5, 2008 12:45 PM EDT reply actions
Yeah, that's the flip side
How is Edwards a "rookie" quarterback? He's got 9.5 (almost 10) games under his belt, most of them as a starter, and he's entering year two in the same offense (at least terminology-wise). Yes, he's got a lot to learn, but he's definitely not a rookie. (Not that I'm saying he won't play like one at times.)
Johnson doesn't even play the same position as Hargrove, so I don't get how you can compare the two. Johnson was an outstanding pass-down DT for the Vikings - one of the better defensive lines in football - and he should be a gigundous improvement on pass downs from the interior of Buffalo's line. If you want to compare him to Larry Tripplett, that makes more sense, and he's clearly a better athlete than Tripplett ever hoped to be as well. Hargrove still needs to be replaced; Johnson will play end, but probably only on run downs.
by Brian Galliford on Apr 5, 2008 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
The front four are
The front four in the Tampa 2 has to prevent the opposing offense from dictating the game. Don't even bother to argue this point. They have to batter the opposing QB so that he does not even have time to execute the west coast, let alone take shots down the field.
Hargrove had his moments getting pressure, now he is gone with no one to replace him. Don't tell me Denney.
Johnson is no major force at all. He is a situational player on third down. A so-called DT, who came in on passing downs to give Pat Williams a blow, and to crash in from the 3 technique, or swim out to the 5, which he did a lot for the Vikes. So the Bills have lost Hargrove (a five technique pass rush guy), and gained Johnson (a primarily three technique pass rush guy). Neither guy can hold his own against the run. Zero gain.
by Mighty Taco on Apr 5, 2008 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Yikes
I'm flattered, but please don't feel the need to bend over backwards on my account - I'm just a Bills fan like yourself. You may want to reconsider your personal stance on 'splaining yourself, however, because we like discussion here. Discussion reigns supreme.
by Brian Galliford on Apr 5, 2008 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Questions
I don't like
My new list
TE - again ..... obviously.
I think the Bills will keep 4 TEs this year. Royal, Anderson, Teyo Johnson and a rookie. I think if Teyo makes the team it has to be as a 4th TE/6th WR combo player. Having 4 TEs will allow the Bills to use a rotation that best utilizes all of their talents. The impact of rookie WRs is often discussed here, but TEs develop even more slowly. I don't think we should assume a 2nd or 3rd round TE will really improve the offense this year.
C - I have been convinced.
One thing I will point out though is that we don't need a bigger center. In fact, Fowler is one of the bigger starting centers in the entire league.
CB - Could use an upgrade
Greer isn't a great fit for the D and Youboty is still a mystery. Continued improvement from both of them does make this less of a need, but I think Greer has peaked and what you see is what you get. No one can really predict whether Youboty will ever turn the corner. Will James is pretty bad. If he starts any games this year then our CBs have taken a step backwards from last season.
DE - can they really be as bad as last year again?
Two years ago our DEs had 26 sacks between them. They were considered one of the teams strengths. One year later almost half of the Bills fans on this site are advocating a DE in the first round. What happened? Well they are older and Schobel decides to lose a few pounds for every season. Denney missed time and Kelsay really struggled. I think our DEs will rebound and combine for about 20 sacks. With McCargo moving to undertackle and the addition of Stroud I think our D-Line can be good against the pass.
FB - Darian Barnes and Jonathan Evans?
I think a FB will play a considerable role in this offense. If a FB will be on the field for 50% of offensive plays then the position has to be considered a pretty big need. The Bills massive O-Line and run first philosophy would be complemented perfectly by a FB that loves to hit. Michael Gaines excelled last season catching check downs coming out of the backfield. A FB with some receiving ability could take some pressure off the TEs and add 20-25 receptions next season.
LB - depth
The Bills should be able to find a LB who can contribute a little on special teams. I am curious what type of LB the Bills will target. Mitchell can hypothetically play all three LB spots. Crowell would look good on either side. Poz is entrenched in the middle. Ellison is relegated to the weakside, but DiGorgio could play in the middle or on the weak side. The Bills should target a bigger SLB, but I wouldn't be surprised if they took a versatile MLB or took advantage of the depth at WLB this year and took a player with a lot of value.
Those are the only real needs that have to be filled. Every other position that could be addressed is just a bonus.
G/T combo player - Duke Preston is still on this team?
I like Kirk Chambers and am comfortable with him as the third T. I like him more than our backup guards (Preston and Whittle). If the Bills draft a center/guard combo player then this is no longer a need. I would like the Bills to go into next season with the starting 5 returning and Kirk Chambers, a rookie center who can challenge Fowler down the road and a rookie who can backup at guard and play T in a pinch. I think Preston shouldn't make this team and Whittle is versatile, but expendable.
KR - McGee shouldn't have to handle returns
There are plenty of players the Bills can take in the 7th round or sign after the draft to handle KR duties. If the Bills draft a player who can handle returns earlier in the draft then they are in good shape, but I wouldn't mind the Bills keeping 6 WRs or CBs this year if one of them is a 7th round return specialist.
2nd WR - Roster Crunch
I like Justin Jenkins and think he should make this team. There is a good chance that someone would pick him up if we tried to stash him on the practice squad. The Bills should look for a 7th round or undrafted FA to develop on the practice squad and provide insurance.
QB - The Bills should also look to grab a QB late or after the draft to compete with Hamden this year. The days of three active QBs are gone. The winner of the rookie/Hamden battle can spend the year on the practice squad, running the scout offense. After JP leaves next year either Hamden or the rookie can compete with a veteran QB for backup duties. All this is under the assumption that JP won't be traded and that Trent is still the starting QB a year from now.
S - barely a need
The Bills already have too many safeties on the roster. A late round prospect only further clouds the situation. If the Bills don't go SS early then they shouldn't take one at all. The Bills already have Whitner starting somewhere while Simpson and Wilson compete for time at FS and Scott and Wendling compete at SS.
I don't view DT as a need. I don't like to carry players on the 53 man roster who aren't going to play. Even if Stroud were to get hurt, a rookie would play less than 20% of the snaps. Keeping 5 DTs seems unlikely to me. If the Bills want to take one late to stash on the practice squad and replace Jefferson as depth that is fine too.
Quick mock
1 - Malcolm Kelly - WR
2 - Martellus Bennett - TE
3 - Jason Jones - DE
4 - Jeremy Zuttah - OL
4 - Zack Bowman - CB
5 - Owen Schmitt - FB
6 - Thomas Williams - LB
7 - Cam Colvin - WR
7 - Geoff Schwartz - OL
7 - Samie Stroughter - WR/KR
UFAs for practice squad:
TC Ostrander - QB
Josh Thompson - DT
Trey Brown - CB
Eric Wicks - S
I think that looks like a good draft that brings in plenty of talent and covers all the needs.
good list
Great idea on Cameron Colvin during the 7th... he's got upside... he was the #1 WR recruit out of high school and has the size/speed combo we're looking for...i don't know what exactly happened, but once at oregon got injured and somehow got buried in the depth chart... and basically never climbed out of the hole...
btw: what's your rationale on TC Ostrander? ... is this a stanford brotherhood thing with Trent?
Ostrander
Another thing I was looking for was a QB who has similiar strengths to Edwards. I like having a backup QB who has a lot in common with the starter. So when the ineviatable injuries strike, the team won't have to change up their game plan entirely. I think some of the Bills offensive struggles last season came from the Bills going back and forth between two very different QBs.
The Stanford connection is something that I considered. Ostrander dealt with the same issues that Edwards did at Stanford. Namely tough competition, injuries and an awful offensive line. If nothing else it would be an interesting story to watch unfold.
re: hillarddavid
Adding a TE in my opinion would have a more immediate impact than Kelly/Thomas would have. Having Robert Royal/Teyo Johnson/Courtney Anderson/Derek Schouman running down the middle of the field is not going to make defenses ADJUST at all. TE is made to make the safety or LB stay in the middle on him opening up crossing routes underneath and outside WR's to win 1:on:1 battles. Its that simple.
Mighty Taco...
If the Offense wins those games....that is a whole other discussion
I don't think it's ludicrous...
Key word sometimes... :)
by Brian Galliford on Apr 5, 2008 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions
my point
I believe the defense will be improved, the ST's excellent, and it will all come down to a 2nd year QB, and a first year QB to win us those 4-5 games that are toss-ups to get the squad to 9-11 wins. I just am real pessimistic to think that Trent and Schonert can do that.
Kelly is out of my Mock
1 - Derrick Harvey, DE
2 - Martellus Bennett, TE
3 - Mike Pollak, C
4 - Eric Ainge, QB - We need to start grooming a #2 now. Could be the #1 in a few years if Edwards does not work out.
4 comp - Paul Hubbard (if gone - Marcus Monk),WR
5 - Darnell Terrell, CB
6 - Keilen Dykes, DT
7a - Doug Legursky, C - I still would not mind Velasco with this pick, but Legursky has been working on long snapping too.
7b - Adrian Arrington, WR - I bet Arrington will go much higher than this. This kid has huge upside. His domestic violence issues seem to be very overblown. This pick would be the steal of the draft.
7 comp - Jehuu Caulcrick, FB
Another need not discussed
My guess is on John Wendling. He led the team last year with 10 ST tackles, a fumble recovery, and two punts downed inside the five-yard line.
Some other players to keep an eye on:
Justin Jenkins - 9 ST tackles, including three for a loss on punt returns, plus one fumble recovery
Ryan Neill - 8 tackles on punt coverage in addition to snapping the ball
Blake Costanzo - 5 ST tackles in just three games at the end of the season
In comparison, no other player still on the Bills active roster (which excludes Hargove with 7) had more than three special teams tackles last year.
good stat
by poz on Apr 5, 2008 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Personally
by SP @ Buffalo Rumblings on Apr 5, 2008 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions
good stuff
by poz on Apr 6, 2008 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Redundancy
We have stealth receivers?
If not, who are the 3 WRs with the 'proven ability to play at the NFL level'? Reed isn't one of them. I like Parrish but he's a #3. Jenkins is a special teamer. Mayle was on the practice squad for almost the entire season and I've never heard of Huggins. By my count, Buffalo has 2 WRs, a #1 (Evans) and a #3 (Parrish).
I think you and I have differing opinions on what constitutes slow. Sweed ran a 4.4ish. I don't know Thomas' time and we've yet to see Kelly's but my guess is that they're in the same ball park. Do you honestly think Josh Reed is a 4.3 (or less) burner?
I don't know that the media has hyped the need for a big WR any more than the fans have. Evans, Parrish and Reed can't created (favorable) size mismatches in the red zone. Buffalo needs a tall, physical receiver to improve the dismal drives to TDs ratio.
The offense, for better or worse, is going to live off of short passes and checkdowns. The #1 TE (Royal) is more a blocker than receiver. Schouman (6'2", 223#) is too small to be an effective on-the-line blocker yet not fast (I'm assuming) or fluid enough to be be the big WR Buffalo needs. Massaquoi hasn't done anything in Buffalo while Johnson and Anderson don't figure to make the team. The TE position is screaming to be addressed.
I don't disagree with you about the corner position. You did overlook the easy to overlook Dustin Fox but he, like Youboty and James, doesn't need to worry about fitting the Pro Bowl into his February schedule. CB is still a hole and one the Bills may not be able to adequately address this draft.
Ask yourself. Was Buffalo losing games because they couldn't put points on the board or because they were giving up too many points? I think it's pretty clear that the offense is the reason Buffalo went 7-9 instead of 9-7.
Ron
Holt and Bruce
that is small
Giving up 4 inches to who?
exactly
TEs vs WRs
I agree
Our non-star CBs are better than our non-star WRs.
Greer > Parrish
Youboty > Reed
James > Jenkins
How exactly are our WRs better or deeper than our CBs? The Bills can use safeties especially Wilson in nickel and dime packages if they get hit by the injury bug again.
Sweed and especially Thomas are faster than Doucet. Malcolm Kelly is expected to run a similiar or faster time than Doucet.
I do think that Courtney Anderson and Teyo Johnson will make the team. I think the Bills are going to try and convert Schouman into a FB. When that doesn't work, he will get cut. Massequoi is going back to the practice squad or being cut as well. So the Blls will take one TE on draft day to compete with Anderson as the backup. Teyo Johnson could make the team as a hybrid TE/WR. He could be the 6th WR and 4th TE and provide depth at both positions.
The offense and defense equally sucked
I didn't mean you can completely ignore WR
I love Hubbard.
BTW, I really like that mock towards the top, Kaiser.

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